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Bournemouth v Southampton : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Mon 30th Sep, 20:00 BST, Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth

Monday night at the Vitality Stadium, and it’s a English Premier League clash between Bournemouth and Southampton. Andoni Iraola and Russell Martin will be doing all they can to ensure the win. Recent form, head to head (H2H) stats, predictions and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers are all published below. It's our job to give you all the information you need to place a smart, well-informed bet. We've backed over 2.5 goals, but why not flip through the tabs and find the one you like best?

Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

As Andoni Iraola and his side approach kick-off, our prediction is for a combined total of over 3 goals scored during the fixture. Stats imply both clubs have the weapons to deliver up top, an encouraging sign for the neutrals. With a real favourite to win the match, we think the best tip as they go head-to-head is over 2.5 goals.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Bournemouth are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 59% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.67.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Bournemouth
59%
13/20
5%
4/6
3%
Draw
21%
29/10
8%
3/1
3%
Southampton
20%
4/1
5%
18/5
Bournemouth 2-1
10%
17/2
6%
13/2
Draw 1-1
9%
15/2
13%
13/2
7%
Bournemouth 2-0
9%
9/115/2
Bournemouth 1-0
8%
10/1
16%
15/2
13%
Bournemouth 3-1
7%
12/1
13%
9/1
9%
Bournemouth 3-0
6%
14/111/1
Draw 2-2
6%
14/110/1
8%
Southampton 2-1
5%
18/1
12%
11/1
Southampton 1-0
5%
20/1
24%
12/1
8%
Draw 0-0
4%
16/1
31%
12/1
18%
Bournemouth 3-2
4%
20/1
9%
14/1
12%
Bournemouth 4-1
4%
22/1
21%
16/1
11%
Bournemouth 4-0
3%
25/1
10%
18/1
Southampton 2-0
3%
33/1
17%
20/1
11%
Southampton 3-2
2%
40/122/1
12%
Over 2.5 Goals
62%
4/7
6%
11/20
6%
Under 2.5 Goals
38%
11/8
8%
13/10
7%
Home 1st Goal
55%
2/5
7%
-
Away 1st Goal
42%
15/8
5%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
16/1
31%
-
BTTS - Yes
59%
4/7
6%
3/5
3%
BTTS - No
41%
5/4
7%
5/4
7%
BTTS - Home Win
31%
2/1
12%
19/10
6%
BTTS - Draw
17%
7/218/5
BTTS - Away Win
11%
7/111/2
7%
Home/draw
80%
1/6
1%
1/5
Away/draw
41%
6/5
7%
23/20
2%
Home/away
79%
1/4
3%
2/9
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
83%
1/6
4%
1/6
3%
Under 1.5 Goals
17%
4/1
15%
18/5
15%
Over 3.5 Goals
40%
13/10
12%
13/10
12%
Under 3.5 Goals
60%
8/13
8%
11/20
5%
Over 4.5 Goals
22%
3/1
20%
29/10
13%
Under 4.5 Goals
78%
1/4
7%
2/9
3%
Over 5.5 Goals
11%
6/1
30%
6/1
18%
Under 5.5 Goals
89%
1/10
4%
1/12
2%
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/40
2%
1/40
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
16/1
31%
12/1
18%
Home DNB
74%
1/4
4%
2/7
Away DNB
34%
11/4
10%
12/5
3%
Bournemouth win to nil
28%
9/4
4%
-
Southampton win to nil
8%
10/1
22%
-
Bournemouth / Bournemouth
32%
8/5
5%
6/4
4%
Bournemouth / Southampton
3%
33/125/1
Bournemouth / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Draw / Bournemouth
17%
4/17/2
Draw / Southampton
8%
10/1
10%
17/2
6%
Draw / Draw
13%
6/1
8%
5/1
9%
Southampton / Bournemouth
5%
18/1
10%
16/1
Southampton / Southampton
11%
15/2
13%
6/1
Southampton / Draw
6%
16/1
13%
12/1
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Win / draw / win Premier League table
Bournemouth
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Southampton
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
Nov 2
May 18
 Man City4400812 
May 10
Oct 26
Oct 19
May 3
 Arsenal4310510 
May 25
Oct 5
d
 
1-1F
Jan 18
 Newcastle4310310 
Jan 25
l
 
1-0A
Feb 1
Sep 21
 Liverpool430169 
Nov 24
Mar 8
May 10
Oct 26
 A Villa430119 
Apr 12
Dec 7
Nov 23
Feb 25
 Brighton422048 
Feb 22
Nov 29
Jan 25
d
 
1-1A
 Nottm Forest422028 
l
 
0-1A
Jan 18
l
 
0-1A
Jan 15
 Chelsea421137 
Dec 4
Feb 26
Mar 15
Nov 9
 Brentford420206 
Jan 4
l
 
3-1A
Apr 26
Dec 21
 Man Utd420206 
l
 
0-3A
Jan 15
-
-
 Bournemouth H412105 
Feb 15
Sep 30
Apr 12
Dec 29
 Fulham412105 
Apr 26
Dec 21
Dec 3
Mar 8
 Spurs411224 
Dec 14
Apr 5
Dec 14
Apr 5
 West Ham4112-14 
Dec 26
Apr 19
May 25
Oct 5
 Leicester4022-22 
Oct 19
May 3
Dec 26
Apr 19
 C Palace4022-32 
Apr 2
Dec 29
Apr 1
Dec 7
 Ipswich4022-52 
Sep 21
Feb 1
Feb 22
Nov 30
 Wolves4013-71 
Mar 15
Nov 9
Sep 30
Feb 15
 Southampton A4004-70 
-
-
Jan 4
w
 
2-3A
 Everton4004-90 
Nov 2
May 18
Win / draw / win form
Bournemouth 11TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Bournemouth0 - 1Chelsea
Bournemouth1 - 1Newcastle
Bournemouth1 - 2Brentford
Bournemouth3 - 0Brighton
Bournemouth2 - 2Man Utd
Bournemouth1 - 0C Palace
Bournemouth2 - 1Everton
Bournemouth4 - 3Luton
Bournemouth2 - 2Sheff Utd
Bournemouth0 - 1Man City
Bournemouth1 - 1Nottm Forest
Bournemouth0 - 4Liverpool
Bournemouth3 - 0Fulham
Bournemouth2 - 2A Villa
Bournemouth2 - 0Newcastle
Bournemouth2 - 1Burnley
Bournemouth1 - 2Wolves
Bournemouth0 - 4Arsenal
Bournemouth0 - 0Chelsea
Bournemouth0 - 2Spurs
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HBournemouth0 - 1Chelsea
ABournemouth3 - 2Everton
HBournemouth1 - 1Newcastle
ABournemouth1 - 1Nottm Forest
ABournemouth1 - 2Chelsea
HBournemouth1 - 2Brentford
ABournemouth0 - 3Arsenal
HBournemouth3 - 0Brighton
ABournemouth1 - 0Wolves
ABournemouth1 - 3A Villa
HBournemouth2 - 2Man Utd
ABournemouth1 - 2Luton
HBournemouth1 - 0C Palace
HBournemouth2 - 1Everton
HBournemouth4 - 3Luton
HBournemouth2 - 2Sheff Utd
ABournemouth2 - 0Burnley
HBournemouth0 - 1Man City
ABournemouth2 - 2Newcastle
ABournemouth1 - 3Fulham
Southampton 19TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Brentford3 - 1Southampton
Newcastle1 - 0Southampton
Leeds0 - 1Southampton
West Brom0 - 0Southampton
Leeds1 - 2Southampton
Leicester5 - 0Southampton
Cardiff2 - 1Southampton
Blackburn0 - 0Southampton
Ipswich3 - 2Southampton
Birmingham3 - 4Southampton
West Brom0 - 2Southampton
Bristol C3 - 1Southampton
Rotherham0 - 2Southampton
Swansea1 - 3Southampton
Norwich1 - 1Southampton
QPR0 - 1Southampton
Coventry1 - 1Southampton
Watford1 - 1Southampton
Huddersfield1 - 1Southampton
Millwall0 - 1Southampton
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
8
D
3
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HSouthampton0 - 3Man Utd
ASouthampton1 - 3Brentford
HSouthampton0 - 1Nottm Forest
ASouthampton0 - 1Newcastle
ASouthampton1 - 0Leeds
HSouthampton3 - 1West Brom
ASouthampton0 - 0West Brom
ASouthampton2 - 1Leeds
HSouthampton0 - 1Stoke
ASouthampton0 - 5Leicester
ASouthampton1 - 2Cardiff
HSouthampton3 - 0Preston
HSouthampton3 - 2Watford
HSouthampton2 - 1Coventry
ASouthampton0 - 0Blackburn
ASouthampton2 - 3Ipswich
HSouthampton1 - 1M'Boro
HSouthampton4 - 2Sunderland
ASouthampton4 - 3Birmingham
HSouthampton1 - 2Millwall
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
Southampton have not lost to Bournemouth in 5 consecutive away league meetings
3
Southampton have kept a clean sheet in 3 consecutive away league meetings with Bournemouth
League games at Bournemouth since 2011
Bournemouth
Southampton
Goals: Scored
5
10
Games: Scored
4 / 7
5 / 7
Clean sheets
2 / 7
3 / 7
BOU
1
D
2
SOU
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Bournemouth
0 - 1Southampton
0 - 2Southampton
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 3Southampton
Bournemouth2 - 0
1 - 3Southampton
League games at Southampton since 2010
Southampton
Bournemouth
Goals: Scored
10
8
Games: Scored
5 / 7
4 / 7
Clean sheets
3 / 7
2 / 7
BOU
2
D
2
SOU
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Southampton
0 - 1Bournemouth
1 - 3Bournemouth
Draw3 - 3Draw
Southampton2 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
Southampton2 - 0
Southampton2 - 0
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.1 is decent for Bournemouth in their meeting with Southampton, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 37 consecutive English Premier League games.

Goals have been difficult to come by for Southampton of late. It has been 5 English Premier League games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.1 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Monday night against Bournemouth.

Bournemouth 11th Southampton 19th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.1
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
12%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4+
16%
There is a 62% probability that Bournemouth will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
32%
1
37%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 69% probability that Southampton will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-12
Bournemouth have scored 12% fewer goals at home than predicted
-11
Southampton have scored 11% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.4
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
1.5
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/277848/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Bournemouth
PG (predicted goals)
Southampton
2.1
1.1
Attack rating
70%
better
BOU
SOU
view stats
Games scored3
1
Failed to score1
3
Scored first1
0
Goals scored5
1
Avg. goals scored1.3
0.3
Avg. shots per game12
7
Avg. shots per goal10
29
Conversion rate for10
3
Avg. XG for2.3
1.3
KickOff rating
+70%
Defence rating
17%
better
BOU
SOU
view stats
Games conceded4
4
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first3
4
Goals conceded5
8
Avg. goals conceded1.3
2
Avg. shots/game conceded11
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
6
Conversion rate against12%
18%
Avg. XG against1.5
2
KickOff rating
+17%

Bournemouth v Southampton Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Bournemouth Premier League squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
4212
I Zabarnyi A SemenyoJ KluivertL Cook
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
I Zabarnyi  DEF4
-
A Smith DEF4
1
-
M Kerkez DEF4
1
-
J Araujo DEF4
-
M Tavernier MID41
-
L Cook MID41
2
-
A Scott MID4
-
R Christie MID4
2
-
J Kluivert FWD41
2
-
A Semenyo FWD421
2
-
L Sinisterra  FWD411
-
M Senesi DEF3
2
-
Evanilson  FWD3
-
D Ouattara FWD31
-
D. Huijsen DEF2
-
P Billing MID2
-
K Arrizabalaga GLK1
-
M Travers GLK1
-
E Ünal  FWD1
-
Southampton Premier League squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
4112
Y SugawaraY SugawaraA LallanaT Harwood-Bellis
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Y Sugawara DEF41
-
T Harwood-Bellis DEF4
2
-
J Stephens DEF4
1
1
J Bednarek DEF4
1
-
K Walker-Peters DEF4
-
F Downes MID4
1
-
C Archer FWD4
-
T Obling FWD4
-
B Díaz FWD4
1
-
M Fernandes MID3
-
W Smallbone MID3
-
J Aribo MID3
-
A Armstrong FWD3
1
-
A Ramsdale GLK2
-
A McCarthy GLK2
-
A Lallana MID21
-
S Edozie FWD2
1
-
C Taylor DEF1
-
L Ugochukwu MID1
-
R Fraser FWD1
-
M Cornet FWD1
1
-
R Stewart FWD1
-
S. Amo-Ameyaw FWD1
-