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Bournemouth v Brighton and Hove Albion : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 23rd Nov, 15:00 BST, Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth

Home advantage can be vital in the English Premier League, and Andoni Iraola’s Bournemouth will have the blessing of it on Saturday afternoon. Fabian Hürzeler’s Brighton and Hove Albion are their visitors to the Vitality Stadium. We've analysed both teams' last 20 Premier League matches, as well as trends within the competition and the betting market, to generate our percentage predictions. All the stats, including head-to-heads, are shown below, alongside the best odds.

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Premier League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We predict there's very little chance of a bore-draw or a narrow 1-0 win here, and instead we're tipping over 1.5 goals. That means that Bournemouth and Brighton will score at least two between them during 90 minutes. It's a tip based on the recent form of the respective sides, as well as historical records when they go head-to-head. We give it a probability of 78%. The bookmakers have it priced at 1.17.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Bournemouth are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 44% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.35.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Bournemouth 44%	27/20	6/5 2%
Draw 25%	12/5	5/2 7%
Brighton 32%	2/1 3%	17/10 13%
Draw 1-1 12%	13/2 7%	6/1
Bournemouth 2-1 9%	9/1	15/2 6%
Bournemouth 1-0 9%	12/1 30%	9/1 5%
Brighton 2-1 8%	11/1	17/2 5%
Brighton 1-0 7%	14/1 25%	10/1
Bournemouth 2-0 7%	14/1 15%	11/1 9%
Draw 2-2 6%	11/1 8%	10/1 10%
Draw 0-0 6%	14/1 25%	12/1 8%
Brighton 2-0 5%	20/1 24%	14/1
Bournemouth 3-1 5%	18/1 10%	12/1 8%
Bournemouth 3-0 4%	25/1	18/1 12%
Brighton 3-1 3%	22/1	16/1
Bournemouth 3-2 3%	22/1 21%	16/1 13%
Brighton 3-2 3%	25/1 24%	18/1
Brighton 3-0 2%	33/1	22/1 12%
Over 2.5 Goals 54%	8/13 10%	4/7
Under 2.5 Goals 46%	13/10 15%	13/10
Home 1st Goal 50%	8/11	-
Away 1st Goal 46%	11/10 5%	-
No 1st Goal 3%	14/1 25%	-
BTTS - Yes 57%	1/2 10%	1/2
BTTS - No 43%	6/4 19%	7/5
BTTS - Home Win 22%	3/1 8%	27/10 9%
BTTS - Draw 19%	3/1 8%	10/3 3%
BTTS - Away Win 16%	15/4 14%	17/5 8%
Home/draw 68%	4/11 3%	4/9 7%
Away/draw 56%	4/7	3/5 6%
Home/away 75%	3/10	2/7 3%
Over 1.5 Goals 78%	1/6 6%	2/11
Under 1.5 Goals 22%	4/1 25%	7/2
Over 3.5 Goals 32%	11/8 21%	11/8
Under 3.5 Goals 68%	4/7 12%	8/15
Over 4.5 Goals 16%	10/3 21%	3/1
Under 4.5 Goals 84%	2/9 7%	2/9
Over 5.5 Goals 7%	7/1 27%	13/2
Under 5.5 Goals 93%	1/12 3%	1/12 1%
Over 0.5 Goals 94%	1/33 1%	1/40
Under 0.5 Goals 6%	14/1 25%	12/1 8%
Home DNB 61%	4/6	7/10 8%
Away DNB 49%	11/10	21/20 9%
Bournemouth win to nil 22%	4/1 15%	-
Brighton win to nil 15%	11/2 18%	-
Bournemouth / Bournemouth 23%	11/4 6%	13/5 11%
Bournemouth / Brighton 3%	25/1 10%	22/1 10%
Bournemouth / Draw 7%	12/1 13%	11/1
Draw / Bournemouth 14%	11/2 8%	19/4 10%
Draw / Brighton 12%	6/1	11/2 7%
Draw / Draw 14%	11/2 18%	19/4 5%
Brighton / Bournemouth 4%	22/1 12%	18/1 12%
Brighton / Brighton 18%	15/4	17/5 8%
Brighton / Draw 6%	14/1	12/1 8%

Win / draw / win Premier League table

Bournemouth have played 11 matches so far this season and are in 12th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

8 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 3 games, drawn 3 and won 2. Bournemouth have conceded 11 goals, scored 9, failed to score in 2 matches and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

Bournemouth have played 5 games at home, winning 3, drawing 1 and losing 1 fixture. They have scored 8 goals, conceded 4 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and failed to score 1 time in home league games.

Brighton lay in 6th place on 19 points in the Premier League league table having played 11 matches. Brighton are unbeaten in 6 games against teams below them in the league and kept 3 clean sheets out of 6 games.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 6 games against teams below them in the table, winning 4, drawing 2 and losing 0 games. They have scored 11 goals and kept 3 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Brighton have conceded 5 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Brighton have played 5 away games, winning 2, drawing 1 and losing 2 games. They have scored an average of 1.6 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.4 goals per away game.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Bournemouth Brighton
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Liverpool	11	9	1	1	15	28	Feb 1	l 3-0A	May 18	l 2-1F
2	Man City	11	7	2	2	9	23	w 2-1F	May 18	w 2-1A	Mar 15
3	Chelsea	11	5	4	2	8	19	l 0-1A	Jan 14	Feb 15	l 4-2F
4	Arsenal	11	5	4	2	6	19	w 2-0F	May 3	Jan 4	d 1-1A
5	Nottm Forest	11	5	4	2	5	19	Jan 25	d 1-1A	d 2-2A	Feb 1
6	Brighton	11	5	4	2	4	19	Nov 23	Feb 25	-	-
7	Fulham	11	5	3	3	3	18	Apr 12	Dec 29	Mar 8	Dec 5
8	Newcastle	11	5	3	3	2	18	d 1-1F	Jan 18	May 3	w 0-1F
9	A Villa	11	5	3	3	0	18	May 10	d 1-1A	Apr 1	Dec 30
10	Spurs	11	5	1	5	10	16	Dec 5	Mar 8	w 3-2A	May 25
11	Brentford	11	5	1	5	0	16	Mar 15	l 3-2F	Dec 27	Apr 19
12	Bournemouth	11	4	3	4	0	15	-	-	Feb 25	Nov 23
13	Man Utd	11	4	3	4	0	15	Apr 26	Dec 22	w 2-1F	Jan 19
14	West Ham	11	3	3	5	-6	12	Dec 16	Apr 5	Apr 26	Dec 21
15	Leicester	11	2	4	5	-7	10	May 25	l 1-0A	Apr 12	Dec 8
16	Everton	11	2	4	5	-7	10	Jan 4	w 2-3A	Jan 25	w 0-3F
17	Ipswich	11	1	5	5	-10	8	Apr 1	Dec 8	d 0-00-0	Jan 16
18	C Palace	11	1	4	6	-7	7	Dec 26	Apr 19	Dec 15	Apr 5
19	Wolves	11	1	3	7	-11	6	Feb 22	Nov 30	d 2-2F	May 10
20	Southampton	11	1	1	9	-14	4	w 3-1F	Feb 15	Nov 29	Feb 22

	UEFA Champions League
	UEFA Europa League
	UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Bournemouth have won 3 consecutive home league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Bournemouth	2 - 1	Man City
Bournemouth	2 - 0	Arsenal
Bournemouth	3 - 1	Southampton
Bournemouth	0 - 1	Chelsea
Bournemouth	1 - 1	Newcastle
Bournemouth	1 - 2	Brentford
Bournemouth	3 - 0	Brighton
Bournemouth	2 - 2	Man Utd
Bournemouth	1 - 0	C Palace
Bournemouth	2 - 1	Everton
Bournemouth	4 - 3	Luton
Bournemouth	2 - 2	Sheff Utd
Bournemouth	0 - 1	Man City
Bournemouth	1 - 1	Nottm Forest
Bournemouth	0 - 4	Liverpool
Bournemouth	3 - 0	Fulham
Bournemouth	2 - 2	A Villa
Bournemouth	2 - 0	Newcastle
Bournemouth	2 - 1	Burnley
Bournemouth	1 - 2	Wolves

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Bournemouth	2 - 3	Brentford
H	Bournemouth	2 - 1	Man City
A	Bournemouth	1 - 1	A Villa
H	Bournemouth	2 - 0	Arsenal
A	Bournemouth	0 - 1	Leicester
H	Bournemouth	3 - 1	Southampton
A	Bournemouth	0 - 3	Liverpool
H	Bournemouth	0 - 1	Chelsea
A	Bournemouth	3 - 2	Everton
H	Bournemouth	1 - 1	Newcastle
A	Bournemouth	1 - 1	Nottm Forest
A	Bournemouth	1 - 2	Chelsea
H	Bournemouth	1 - 2	Brentford
A	Bournemouth	0 - 3	Arsenal
H	Bournemouth	3 - 0	Brighton
A	Bournemouth	1 - 0	Wolves
A	Bournemouth	1 - 3	A Villa
H	Bournemouth	2 - 2	Man Utd
A	Bournemouth	1 - 2	Luton
H	Bournemouth	1 - 0	C Palace

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Liverpool	2 - 1	Brighton
Newcastle	0 - 1	Brighton
Chelsea	4 - 2	Brighton
Arsenal	1 - 1	Brighton
Everton	0 - 3	Brighton
Newcastle	1 - 1	Brighton
Bournemouth	3 - 0	Brighton
Burnley	1 - 1	Brighton
Brentford	0 - 0	Brighton
Liverpool	2 - 1	Brighton
Fulham	3 - 0	Brighton
Sheff Utd	0 - 5	Brighton
Spurs	2 - 1	Brighton
Luton	4 - 0	Brighton
West Ham	0 - 0	Brighton
C Palace	1 - 1	Brighton
Arsenal	2 - 0	Brighton
Chelsea	3 - 2	Brighton
Nottm Forest	2 - 3	Brighton
Everton	1 - 1	Brighton

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Brighton	2 - 1	Man City
A	Brighton	1 - 2	Liverpool
H	Brighton	2 - 2	Wolves
A	Brighton	1 - 0	Newcastle
H	Brighton	3 - 2	Spurs
A	Brighton	2 - 4	Chelsea
H	Brighton	2 - 2	Nottm Forest
H	Brighton	0 - 0	Ipswich
A	Brighton	1 - 1	Arsenal
H	Brighton	2 - 1	Man Utd
A	Brighton	3 - 0	Everton
H	Brighton	0 - 2	Man Utd
H	Brighton	1 - 2	Chelsea
A	Brighton	1 - 1	Newcastle
H	Brighton	1 - 0	A Villa
A	Brighton	0 - 3	Bournemouth
H	Brighton	0 - 4	Man City
A	Brighton	1 - 1	Burnley
H	Brighton	0 - 3	Arsenal
A	Brighton	0 - 0	Brentford

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Bournemouth

Brighton

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

8 / 10

6 / 10

Clean sheets

4 / 10

2 / 10

BOU

BHA

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Bournemouth
Bournemouth	3 - 0
	0 - 2	Brighton
Bournemouth	3 - 1
Bournemouth	2 - 0
Bournemouth	2 - 1
Bournemouth	3 - 2
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Bournemouth	1 - 0
	0 - 2	Brighton
Bournemouth	1 - 0

Brighton

Bournemouth

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

8 / 10

Clean sheets

2 / 10

BOU

BHA

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Brighton
Brighton	3 - 1
Brighton	1 - 0
Brighton	2 - 0
	0 - 5	Bournemouth
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
	0 - 2	Bournemouth
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Brighton	3 - 2
Draw	2 - 2	Draw

Goal Statistics

	Bournemouth 12th	Brighton 6th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.6 goals	1.3 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 21% 1 33% 2 26% 3 13% 4+ There is a 79% probability that Bournemouth will score 1 or more goals	0 28% 1 36% 2 23% 3 10% 4+ There is a 64% probability that Brighton will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+9 Bournemouth’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	-16 Brighton have scored 16% fewer goals when away than predicted
	1.7 average goals scored	1.2 average goals scored
	1.3 conceded	1.6 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2024/2025 season

BOU

BHA

24%

better

view stats

Games scored	8		10
Failed to score	3		1
Scored first	5		6
Goals scored	15		19
Avg. goals scored	1.4		1.7
Avg. shots per game	11		10
Avg. shots per goal	8		6
Conversion rate for	13		18
Avg. XG for	1.8		1.5
KickOff rating		+24%

BOU

BHA

15%

better

view stats

Games conceded	10		8
Clean sheets	1		3
Conceded first	6		4
Goals conceded	15		15
Avg. goals conceded	1.4		1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded	10		9
Avg. shots/goal conceded	7		6
Conversion rate against	14%		16%
Avg. XG against	1.4		1.5
KickOff rating		+15%

Bournemouth v Brighton Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Bournemouth Premier League squad statistics 2024/2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
11	4	3	5
I Zabarnyi	A Semenyo	L Cook	R Christie

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
I Zabarnyi DEF	11			1 -
A Smith DEF	11			2 -
M Kerkez DEF	11		2	2 -
M Tavernier MID	11	1	2	2 -
L Cook MID	11	1	3	3 -
R Christie MID	11	1		5 -
J Kluivert FWD	11	2	2	4 -
A Semenyo FWD	11	4	1	4 -
Evanilson FWD	10	4		-
M Senesi DEF	9			4 -
J Araujo DEF	8			1 -
A Scott MID	8			-
E Ünal FWD	8			1 -
L Sinisterra FWD	8	1	1	-
D Ouattara FWD	8	1	1	-
K Arrizabalaga GLK	6			-
D. Huijsen DEF	5			1 -
D Brooks FWD	4			-
M Travers GLK	3			-
T Adams MID	3			1 -
P Billing MID	2			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
4	11	3	13
A Semenyo	A Semenyo	L Cook	M Tavernier

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
Evanilson FWD	4	9		6
A Semenyo FWD	4	11	1	9
J Kluivert FWD	2	9	2	5
D Ouattara FWD	1	2	1	3
M Tavernier MID	1	8	2	13
L Cook MID	1	2	3	13
R Christie MID	1	2		6
L Sinisterra FWD	1	6	1	6
I Zabarnyi DEF				1
T Adams MID				1
D Brooks FWD				1
D. Huijsen DEF				2
K Arrizabalaga GLK				1
E Ünal FWD		2		2
A Scott MID		1		4
A Smith DEF				1
M Senesi DEF				4
M Kerkez DEF			2	8

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
523	31	69
I Zabarnyi	L Cook	A Semenyo

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
I Zabarnyi DEF	523	13	38
M Senesi DEF	460	28	60
L Cook MID	456	31	44
M Kerkez DEF	347	15	36
R Christie MID	308	10	35
A Semenyo FWD	279	18	69
M Tavernier MID	271	19	45
A Smith DEF	175	9	24
K Arrizabalaga GLK	165		2
J Kluivert FWD	151	8	23
D. Huijsen DEF	149	3	16
J Araujo DEF	137	7	10
A Scott MID	127	15	31
D Ouattara FWD	103	12	31
Evanilson FWD	101	4	37
L Sinisterra FWD	64	5	15
M Travers GLK	56
T Adams MID	49	6	7
E Ünal FWD	37	1	15
D Brooks FWD	15	1	2
P Billing MID	8	1	2

Brighton Premier League squad statistics 2024/2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
11	6	3	3
D Welbeck	D Welbeck	K Mitoma	B Verbruggen

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
D Welbeck FWD	11	6	2	1 -
K Mitoma FWD	11	1	3	-
J Hinshelwood DEF	10	1		2 -
J Veltman DEF	10			1 -
G Rutter FWD	10	2	3	1 -
B Verbruggen GLK	9			3 -
J Hecke DEF	9		1	1 -
C Quomah MID	9	1	1	1 -
Y Ayari MID	9			2 -
P Estupiñán DEF	8			2 -
L Dunk DEF	8			2 -
J Enciso MID	7			-
M Wieffer MID	7		1	-
S Adingra FWD	7	1	1	-
Y Minteh FWD	7	1	1	2 -
F Kadioglu DEF	6	1		1 -
Igor DEF	6			3 -
E Ferguson FWD	5	1		-
J Pedro FWD	5	3	1	1 -
B Gruda FWD	4			-
A Webster DEF	3			-
J Milner MID	3			1 -
J Steele GLK	2			-
J Moder MID	2			-
T Lamptey DEF	1		1	-
M O'Riley MID	1	1		-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
6	12	3	7
D Welbeck	D Welbeck	K Mitoma	K Mitoma

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
D Welbeck FWD	6	12	2	4
J Pedro FWD	3	4	1	2
G Rutter FWD	2	5	3	3
K Mitoma FWD	1	9	3	7
E Ferguson FWD	1	1
F Kadioglu DEF	1	1		2
Y Minteh FWD	1	2	1	1
S Adingra FWD	1	1	1	1
M O'Riley MID	1	1
J Hinshelwood DEF	1	3		1
C Quomah MID	1	5	1	5
T Lamptey DEF			1	1
J Milner MID		1
B Gruda FWD				1
Y Ayari MID		2		5
P Estupiñán DEF		1		4
J Hecke DEF			1	3
M Wieffer MID		1	1	1
J Enciso MID		3		1
L Dunk DEF				1
J Veltman DEF				1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
629	23	52
J Hecke	C Quomah	C Quomah

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
J Hecke DEF	629	13	32
L Dunk DEF	626	4	23
J Hinshelwood DEF	436	12	20
J Veltman DEF	385	18	51
Igor DEF	337	1	12
K Mitoma FWD	316	16	50
B Verbruggen GLK	303		1
C Quomah MID	296	23	52
P Estupiñán DEF	291	18	31
D Welbeck FWD	207	9	33
Y Ayari MID	189	21	42
M Wieffer MID	171	10	19
F Kadioglu DEF	143	9	17
G Rutter FWD	142	11	45
J Pedro FWD	105	5	24
J Steele GLK	104		2
Y Minteh FWD	99	5	22
A Webster DEF	75		1
S Adingra FWD	70	6	8
J Milner MID	65	5	7
J Enciso MID	44		11
B Gruda FWD	19	3	4
E Ferguson FWD	19	1	5
J Moder MID	13
M O'Riley MID	9	1	2
T Lamptey DEF	4

English Premier League match betting previews, predictions and odds

Leicester v Chelsea

Sat 23rd Nov, 12:30

Arsenal v Nottm Forest

Sat 23rd Nov, 15:00

Fulham v Wolves

Sat 23rd Nov, 15:00

Bournemouth v Brighton

Southampton v Liverpool

Brighton v Southampton

Fri 29th Nov, 20:00

Brentford v Leicester

Nottm Forest v Ipswich

Man City v Nottm Forest

Wed 4th Dec, 19:30

Everton v Wolves

Wed 4th Dec, 19:30

Southampton v Chelsea

Wed 4th Dec, 19:30

Newcastle v Liverpool

Bournemouth v Brighton and Hove Albion : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Bournemouth have played 11 matches so far this season and are in 12th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

Home league performance

Brighton lay in 6th place on 19 points in the Premier League league table having played 11 matches. Brighton are unbeaten in 6 games against teams below them in the league and kept 3 clean sheets out of 6 games.

Performance against teams below them in the league

Away league performance

Bournemouth v Brighton Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

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