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Bournemouth v Brentford : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 15th Mar, 17:30 BST, Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth

Home advantage makes a difference in the English Premier League, and Andoni Iraola’s Bournemouth will have the joy of it on Saturday evening. Thomas Frank’s Brentford are their opponents at the Vitality Stadium. The odds you see on the page are provided straight from top bookmakers, while predictions are algorithmically generated from statistics over a 20-game period. We focus especially on Premier League match data, including head to head (H2H) performance. Hit the tabs below to explore.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Premier League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The stats suggest there's no obvious winner for this clash, but there's plenty of reasons to believe that Bournemouth and Brentford will find the net twice at least between them. Goals have flowed freely when they've gone head-to-head historically, and neither Andoni Iraola or Thomas Frank has suffered the frustration of many 0-0s recently either. The bookies predict over 1.5 goals too, with odds of 1.14 equating to approximately a 74% probability.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Bournemouth are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 43% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.75.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Bournemouth
43%
8/11
16%
3/4
15%
Draw
26%
16/5
17%
16/5
12%
Brentford
31%
16/5
20%
16/5
24%
Draw 1-1
12%
17/2
27%
13/2
7%
Bournemouth 1-0
10%
11/1
9%
17/2
12%
Bournemouth 2-1
9%
17/213/2
6%
Brentford 1-0
8%
20/1
24%
14/1
36%
Bournemouth 2-0
8%
11/1
8%
9/1
Brentford 2-1
7%
14/1
15%
11/1
20%
Draw 0-0
7%
20/1
40%
14/1
25%
Draw 2-2
5%
12/110/1
Brentford 2-0
5%
28/1
26%
18/1
27%
Bournemouth 3-1
4%
12/1
24%
9/1
17%
Bournemouth 3-0
4%
16/1
19%
12/1
13%
Brentford 3-1
3%
33/1
17%
20/1
11%
Bournemouth 3-2
3%
20/1
9%
14/1
Brentford 3-2
2%
28/120/1
Brentford 3-0
2%
50/1
24%
33/1
31%
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
1/2
7%
4/9
10%
Under 2.5 Goals
50%
13/8
14%
8/5
16%
Home 1st Goal
50%
1/2
7%
-
Away 1st Goal
45%
8/5
13%
-
No 1st Goal
5%
20/1
40%
-
BTTS - Yes
54%
1/2
2%
10/21
5%
BTTS - No
46%
6/4
5%
6/4
9%
BTTS - Home Win
20%
15/8
18%
9/5
18%
BTTS - Draw
19%
15/4
10%
18/5
6%
BTTS - Away Win
15%
11/2
18%
19/4
10%
Home/draw
69%
2/9
5%
2/9
6%
Away/draw
57%
21/20
19%
21/20
17%
Home/away
74%
2/9
5%
2/9
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
74%
1/7
5%
1/7
3%
Under 1.5 Goals
26%
9/2
22%
17/4
21%
Over 3.5 Goals
28%
6/5
12%
11/10
14%
Under 3.5 Goals
72%
4/6
9%
4/6
11%
Over 4.5 Goals
13%
11/4
17%
12/5
19%
Under 4.5 Goals
87%
2/7
8%
2/7
8%
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
11/2
28%
5/1
20%
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/9
4%
1/9
4%
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/66
2%
1/40
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
20/1
40%
14/1
25%
Home DNB
61%
1/3
11%
1/3
11%
Away DNB
49%
9/4
30%
21/10
27%
Bournemouth win to nil
23%
11/4
6%
-
Brentford win to nil
16%
9/1
43%
-
Bournemouth / Bournemouth
30%
7/4
19%
13/8
15%
Bournemouth / Brentford
3%
28/122/1
Bournemouth / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Draw / Bournemouth
17%
4/1
9%
18/5
8%
Draw / Brentford
9%
9/1
25%
15/2
13%
Draw / Draw
12%
13/2
15%
11/2
18%
Brentford / Bournemouth
5%
18/1
10%
14/1
12%
Brentford / Brentford
12%
6/1
27%
11/2
24%
Brentford / Draw
6%
14/112/1
8%
Win / draw / win Premier League table

Bournemouth have played 28 matches so far this season and lay in 9th place in the Premier League league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 15 games against teams below in the table, having won 8, drawn 4 and lost 3 matches. They have kept 4 clean sheets and have failed to score in 3 fixtures. They have been outscored by their opponents by 48 goals to 47 goals.

Home League Performance

Bournemouth have played 13 games at home winning 6, drawing 3 and losing 4 games. They have scored 17 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and conceded 10 goals at home.

Brentford are in 12th position in the Premier League on 38 points having played 28 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

7 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 17 goals and kept 5 clean sheets. They have scored 18 goals in total and failed to score in 3 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

15 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 9 games, drawn 2 and won 4. Brentford have conceded 27 goals, scored 18, failed to score in 5 fixtures and have kept 1 clean sheet.

Won
Draw
Lost
Bournemouth
Brentford
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Liverpool2921714270 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
3-0A
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-0A
2
Arsenal28151032855 
w
 
2-0F
May 3
l
 
1-3F
Apr 12
3
Nottm Forest2815671251 
w
 
5-0F
d
 
1-1A
l
 
0-2A
Apr 26
4
Chelsea2814771749 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
2-2A
Apr 6
l
 
2-1A
5
Man City2814591547 
w
 
2-1F
May 18
d
 
2-2A
l
 
2-1F
6
Newcastle281459947 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-4F
w
 
4-2F
Apr 2
7
Brighton2812106646 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
2-1A
Apr 19
d
 
0-0F
8
A Villa291298-445 
May 10
d
 
1-1A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-1A
9
Bournemouth H2812881344 
-
-
w
 
3-2A
Mar 15
10
Fulham281198342 
Apr 14
d
 
2-2A
May 18
l
 
2-1F
11
C Palace281099339 
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 19
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-2F
12
Brentford Away2811512438 
Mar 15
l
 
3-2F
-
-
13
Spurs28104141434 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
2-2F
l
 
0-2A
l
 
3-1F
14
Man Utd289712-634 
Apr 27
w
 
0-3F
May 3
l
 
2-1F
15
Everton287129-433 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
2-3A
d
 
1-1F
d
 
0-00-0
16
West Ham289613-1633 
d
 
1-1A
Apr 5
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-1F
17
Wolves286517-1923 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
2-4F
w
 
5-3F
May 25
18
Ipswich283817-3217 
Apr 2
w
 
1-2A
w
 
4-3A
May 10
19
Leicester284519-3717 
May 25
l
 
1-0A
w
 
4-1A
w
 
0-4F
20
Southampton282323-489 
w
 
3-1F
w
 
1-3F
w
 
3-1F
w
 
0-5F
Win / draw / win form
4
Brentford have won 4 consecutive away league games
5
Brentford have not lost in 5 consecutive away league games
Bournemouth 9TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
Brentford 12TH
20 league games
Away
4
Overall
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
6
D
3
Lost
11
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
6
Brentford have not lost to Bournemouth in 6 consecutive league meetings
League games at Bournemouth since 2005
Bournemouth
Brentford
Goals: Scored
15
11
Games: Scored
9 / 12
7 / 12
Clean sheets
5 / 12
3 / 12
BOU
6
D
3
BRE
3
League games at Brentford since 2004
Brentford
Bournemouth
Goals: Scored
21
12
Games: Scored
10 / 13
9 / 13
Clean sheets
4 / 13
3 / 13
BOU
1
D
5
BRE
7
Goal Statistics
Bournemouth 9th Brentford 12th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Bournemouth will score 1 or more goals
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 66% probability that Brentford will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-4
Bournemouth’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+27
Brentford have scored 27% more goals when away than predicted
1.6
average goals scored
1.6
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/278078/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Bournemouth
PG (predicted goals)
Brentford
1.5
1.2
Attack rating
BOU
BRE
5%
better
view stats
Games scored22
21
Failed to score6
7
Scored first13
16
Goals scored47
48
Avg. goals scored1.7
1.7
Avg. shots per game12
9
Avg. shots per goal7
5
Conversion rate for14
19
Avg. XG for1.9
1.5
KickOff rating
+5%
Defence rating
7%
better
BOU
BRE
view stats
Games conceded22
23
Clean sheets6
5
Conceded first14
11
Goals conceded34
44
Avg. goals conceded1.2
1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded10
12
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
8
Conversion rate against12%
13%
Avg. XG against1.5
1.7
KickOff rating
+7%

Bournemouth v Brentford Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Bournemouth Premier League squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
281269
M KerkezJ KluivertJ KluivertR Christie
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Kerkez DEF2825
4
-
J Kluivert MID27126
7
-
L Cook MID2713
6
-
R Christie MID2723
9
-
A Semenyo FWD2774
8
-
I Zabarnyi  DEF26
3
1
D Ouattara FWD2574
1
-
D. Huijsen DEF222
6
-
K Arrizabalaga GLK21
3
-
M Tavernier MID2135
4
-
D Brooks  FWD212
3
-
Evanilson  FWD216
-
T Adams MID183
4
-
A Smith DEF17
3
-
E Ünal  FWD1721
3
-
A Scott MID12
1
-
M Senesi DEF11
4
-
L Sinisterra  FWD1111
-
J Araujo DEF8
1
-
J Hill DEF81
-
D Jebbison FWD8
1
-
Brentford Premier League squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2815105
N CollinsB MbeumoM DamsgaardC Nörgaard
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
N Collins DEF2821
4
-
M Damsgaard MID28210
2
-
K Schade FWD2872
1
-
K Lewis-Potter FWD2812
4
-
B Mbeumo FWD28154
2
-
M Flekken GLK271
1
-
V Janelt MID2713
3
-
Y Wissa FWD25132
2
-
C Nörgaard MID2432
4
1
S Berg DEF21
1
-
Y Yarmoliuk MID21
3
-
E Pinnock DEF202
2
-
F Carvalho MID1921
1
-
M Jensen MID161
1
-
K Ajer DEF15
4
-
P Maghoma MID7
-
B Mee DEF6
3
-
Y. Konak MID6
-
M Kayode DEF4
-
I Thiago FWD4
-
K Ji-Soo DEF3
-
H Valdimarsson GLK2
-
R Henry DEF1
-