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Aston Villa v Newcastle United : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Villa Park, Birmingham

Saturday evening sees Unai Emery’s Aston Villa and Eddie Howe’s Newcastle United go up against one another in a English Premier League clash at the Villa Park. Quite simply, we want you to win betting on this game. To this end, statistics for seventeen major betting market have been published below, with head-to-head history and statistically significant form streaks highlighted. Odds from leading bookmakers are also given.

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Aston Villa's next match is v Fulham at 12:30 on Saturday 3rd May
Newcastle United's next match is v Brighton at 14:00 on Sunday 4th May
The last English Premier League meeting between A Villa and Newcastle was on Saturday 19th April 2025
English Premier League
April 19th 2025
A Villa 4
1 Newcastle
 
O. Watkins 1'18' F. Schär
I. Maatsen 64'
D. Burn (OG) 73'
A. Mvom Onana 75'
 
AVL
NEW
Shots On
9
3
Shots Off
10
4
Corners
7
7
Possession
48%
52%
Fouls
9
12
Yellow/red cards
1/0
3/0
 
A VillaNewcastle
 
D. Martínez
M. Cash
I. Maatsenfootball icon
T. Mings
E. Konsa Ngoyo
Y. Tielemans
J. McGinn (J. Ramsey 72')
M. Rogers (D. Malen 82')
B. Kamara (R. Barkley 82')
O. Watkinsfootball icon (M. Rashford 83')
M. Asensio Willemsen (A. Mvom Onana 72')
N. Pope
football iconD. Burn
V. Livramento
(E. Krafth 76') K. Trippier
(M. Targett 82') football iconF. Schär
J. Apolinário de Lira
S. Tonali
B. Guimarães Rodriguez Moura
(J. Willock 76') H. Barnes
(C. Wilson 76') A. Isak
(A. Gordon 65') J. Murphy

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Premier League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Both teams to score

Here is a pair of strong, attacking sides going head-to-head and, as such, we're predicting both of them to score at least 1 goal during the 90 mins. Can respective bosses Unai Emery or Eddie Howe mastermind a defensive masterclass to scupper our tip? Recent form stats and historical head-to-heads, as well as the latest odds from the bookies, show that doesn't seem likely.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think A Villa are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 40% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.30.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
A Villa
40%
6/4
6%
-
Draw
24%
27/10
3%
-
Newcastle
36%
13/8
5%
-
Draw 1-1
11%
13/2-
A Villa 2-1
9%
10/1
10%
-
Newcastle 2-1
8%
10/1-
A Villa 1-0
8%
12/1
30%
-
Newcastle 1-0
7%
12/1
8%
-
Draw 2-2
6%
12/1
13%
-
A Villa 2-0
6%
14/1
15%
-
Newcastle 2-0
5%
16/1-
Draw 0-0
5%
14/1
15%
-
A Villa 3-1
4%
20/1-
Newcastle 3-1
4%
20/1
9%
-
A Villa 3-2
3%
25/1
10%
-
Newcastle 3-2
3%
25/1
10%
-
A Villa 3-0
3%
28/1
12%
-
Newcastle 3-0
3%
28/1
15%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
8/13
10%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
42%
13/10
15%
-
Home 1st Goal
49%
4/5
4%
-
Away 1st Goal
48%
21/20
2%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
14/1
15%
-
BTTS - Yes
60%
8/15
6%
-
BTTS - No
40%
11/8
8%
-
BTTS - Home Win
22%
10/3-
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/3
4%
-
BTTS - Away Win
20%
7/2
10%
-
Home/draw
64%
4/9
3%
-
Away/draw
60%
1/2
4%
-
Home/away
76%
2/7-
Over 1.5 Goals
80%
1/5
4%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
20%
7/2
13%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
35%
6/4
17%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
65%
8/15
9%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
19%
7/2
18%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
81%
1/5
5%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
8/1
18%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1/14
2%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/33
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
14/1
15%
-
Home DNB
57%
4/5
4%
-
Away DNB
53%
10/11
5%
-
A Villa win to nil
18%
4/1
15%
-
Newcastle win to nil
16%
9/2-
A Villa / A Villa
22%
3/1-
A Villa / Newcastle
3%
25/1
10%
-
A Villa / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / A Villa
13%
11/2
8%
-
Draw / Newcastle
12%
6/1-
Draw / Draw
13%
11/2
8%
-
Newcastle / A Villa
4%
22/1
12%
-
Newcastle / Newcastle
20%
10/3
9%
-
Newcastle / Draw
6%
14/1-
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Win / draw / win Premier League table

A Villa have played 32 matches so far this season and are in 7th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

10 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 5 games, drawn 2 and won 3. A Villa have conceded 19 goals, scored 11, failed to score in 4 matches and kept no clean sheets.

Home league performance

A Villa have played 16 games at home, winning 8, drawing 7 and losing 1 fixture. They have scored 27 goals, conceded 19 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

Newcastle lay in 3rd place on 59 points in the Premier League league table having played 32 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 29 games against teams below them in the table, winning 17, drawing 4 and losing 8 games. They have scored 57 goals and kept 10 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Newcastle have conceded 35 goals and have failed to score in 4 matches.

Away league performance

Newcastle have played 16 away games, winning 8, drawing 3 and losing 5 games. They have scored an average of 1.6 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.3 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
A Villa
Newcastle
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Liverpool3425724882 
d
 
2-2A
l
 
2-0A
d
 
3-3F
l
 
2-0A
2
Arsenal34181333467 
l
 
0-2A
d
 
2-2A
w
 
1-0F
May 18
3
Newcastle Away34195102162 
w
 
4-1F
l
 
3-0A
-
-
4
Man City3418792361 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-1A
d
 
1-1A
l
 
4-0A
5
Chelsea3417981960 
w
 
2-1A
l
 
3-0A
May 11
l
 
2-1A
6
Nottm Forest3318691460 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-1F
w
 
4-3A
w
 
1-3A
7
A Villa Home341699557 
-
-
w
 
3-0F
l
 
4-1A
8
Fulham3414911451 
May 3
w
 
1-3A
l
 
1-2F
l
 
3-1A
9
Brighton3413129151 
d
 
2-2A
w
 
0-3F
l
 
0-1A
May 4
10
Bournemouth341311101250 
d
 
1-1F
May 10
l
 
1-4A
d
 
1-1A
11
Brentford3313713646 
w
 
3-1F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
2-1F
l
 
4-2A
12
C Palace34111211-445 
d
 
2-2A
l
 
4-1A
w
 
5-0F
d
 
1-1F
13
Wolves3412517-1041 
w
 
3-1A
l
 
2-0A
w
 
3-0F
w
 
1-2A
14
Man Utd3410915-839 
d
 
0-00-0
May 25
w
 
4-1F
w
 
0-2F
15
Everton3481412-738 
w
 
3-2A
w
 
0-1F
May 25
d
 
0-00-0
16
Spurs3411419637 
May 18
l
 
4-1F
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-2A
17
West Ham349916-1936 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-2F
l
 
0-2A
w
 
0-1F
18
Ipswich344921-4121 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2A
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-4F
19
Leicester344624-4918 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-2F
w
 
4-0F
w
 
0-3F
20
Southampton342527-5511 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-3F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-3A
Win / draw / win form
A Villa 7TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
9
Draw
10
L
1
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
A Villa2 - 1Nottm Forest
A Villa2 - 1Chelsea
A Villa2 - 2Liverpool
A Villa1 - 1Ipswich
A Villa1 - 1West Ham
A Villa2 - 1Leicester
A Villa2 - 2Brighton
A Villa2 - 1Man City
A Villa1 - 0Southampton
A Villa3 - 1Brentford
A Villa2 - 2C Palace
A Villa1 - 1Bournemouth
A Villa0 - 0Man Utd
A Villa3 - 1Wolves
A Villa3 - 2Everton
A Villa0 - 2Arsenal
A Villa3 - 3Liverpool
A Villa2 - 2Chelsea
A Villa3 - 1Bournemouth
A Villa3 - 3Brentford
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AA Villa3 - 0Southampton
HA Villa2 - 1Nottm Forest
AA Villa3 - 0Brighton
AA Villa1 - 0Brentford
AA Villa1 - 4C Palace
HA Villa2 - 1Chelsea
HA Villa2 - 2Liverpool
HA Villa1 - 1Ipswich
AA Villa0 - 2Wolves
HA Villa1 - 1West Ham
AA Villa2 - 2Arsenal
AA Villa1 - 0Everton
HA Villa2 - 1Leicester
HA Villa2 - 2Brighton
AA Villa0 - 3Newcastle
HA Villa2 - 1Man City
AA Villa1 - 2Nottm Forest
HA Villa1 - 0Southampton
HA Villa3 - 1Brentford
AA Villa0 - 3Chelsea
Newcastle 3RD
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
D
3
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Leicester0 - 3Newcastle
West Ham0 - 1Newcastle
Liverpool2 - 0Newcastle
Man City4 - 0Newcastle
Southampton1 - 3Newcastle
Spurs1 - 2Newcastle
Man Utd0 - 2Newcastle
Ipswich0 - 4Newcastle
Brentford4 - 2Newcastle
C Palace1 - 1Newcastle
Nottm Forest1 - 3Newcastle
Chelsea2 - 1Newcastle
Everton0 - 0Newcastle
Fulham3 - 1Newcastle
Wolves1 - 2Newcastle
Bournemouth1 - 1Newcastle
Brentford2 - 4Newcastle
Man Utd3 - 2Newcastle
Burnley1 - 4Newcastle
C Palace2 - 0Newcastle
Goals: Scored
48
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
13
D
2
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HNewcastle5 - 0C Palace
HNewcastle4 - 1Man Utd
ANewcastle3 - 0Leicester
HNewcastle2 - 1Brentford
ANewcastle1 - 0West Ham
ANewcastle0 - 2Liverpool
HNewcastle4 - 3Nottm Forest
ANewcastle0 - 4Man City
HNewcastle1 - 2Fulham
ANewcastle3 - 1Southampton
HNewcastle1 - 4Bournemouth
HNewcastle3 - 0Wolves
ANewcastle2 - 1Spurs
ANewcastle2 - 0Man Utd
HNewcastle3 - 0A Villa
ANewcastle4 - 0Ipswich
HNewcastle4 - 0Leicester
ANewcastle2 - 4Brentford
HNewcastle3 - 3Liverpool
ANewcastle1 - 1C Palace
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Newcastle have beaten A Villa in 3 consecutive league meetings
League games at A Villa since 1993
A Villa
Newcastle
Goals: Scored
33
26
Games: Scored
20 / 27
17 / 27
Clean sheets
10 / 27
7 / 27
AVL
10
D
8
NEW
9
FIXTURE HISTORY AT A Villa
1 - 3Newcastle
A Villa3 - 0
A Villa2 - 0
A Villa2 - 0
A Villa2 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
1 - 2Newcastle
1 - 2Newcastle
Draw1 - 1Draw
A Villa1 - 0
A Villa1 - 0
A Villa4 - 1
A Villa2 - 0
1 - 2Newcastle
A Villa4 - 2
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 1Newcastle
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 1Newcastle
A Villa1 - 0
0 - 1Newcastle
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 2Newcastle
0 - 2Newcastle
League games at Newcastle since 1994
Newcastle
A Villa
Goals: Scored
59
20
Games: Scored
26 / 29
16 / 29
Clean sheets
13 / 29
3 / 29
AVL
2
D
8
NEW
19
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Newcastle
Newcastle3 - 0
Newcastle5 - 1
Newcastle4 - 0
Newcastle1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Newcastle2 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Newcastle1 - 0
Newcastle1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Newcastle2 - 1
Newcastle6 - 0
Newcastle2 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Newcastle3 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 3A Villa
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Newcastle3 - 0
Newcastle3 - 0
0 - 1A Villa
Newcastle2 - 1
Newcastle1 - 0
Newcastle4 - 3
Newcastle1 - 0
Newcastle3 - 1
Newcastle5 - 1
Goal Statistics

Aston Villa have been steady in attack of late, finding the net in 8 consecutive English Premier League outings. Their PG of 1.5 against Newcastle United on Saturday suggests that run is likely to continue.

A Villa 7th Newcastle 3rd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
21%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
7%
There is a 79% probability that A Villa will score 1 or more goals
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Newcastle will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+7
A Villa’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+10
Newcastle’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.9
average goals scored
1.8
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/278118/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
A Villa
PG (predicted goals)
Newcastle
1.5
1.5
Attack rating
AVL
NEW
13%
better
view stats
Games scored26
27
Failed to score6
5
Scored first15
16
Goals scored49
61
Avg. goals scored1.5
1.9
Avg. shots per game9
10
Avg. shots per goal6
5
Conversion rate for17
20
Avg. XG for1.6
1.7
KickOff rating
+13%
Defence rating
AVL
NEW
15%
better
view stats
Games conceded26
21
Clean sheets6
11
Conceded first16
15
Goals conceded46
40
Avg. goals conceded1.4
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded9
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
7
Conversion rate against15%
14%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.4
KickOff rating
+15%

A Villa v Newcastle Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

A Villa Premier League squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3415810
Y TielemansO WatkinsM RogersM Rogers
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
E Martínez GLK33
4
-
M Cash DEF2311
7
-
T Mings DEF13
2
-
E Konsa DEF301
-
I Maatsen DEF2512
2
-
B Kamara MID22
2
-
Y Tielemans MID3427
4
-
M Rogers MID3388
10
-
M Asensio MID931
1
-
J McGinn MID3013
7
-
O Watkins FWD34157
2
-
Subs
R Olsen GLK3
-
A Disasi DEF7
2
-
L Digne DEF304
4
-
A García DEF7
-
R Barkley MID1731
4
-
J Ramsey MID2613
2
-
A Onana MID223
4
-
M Rashford FWD1541
2
-
D Malen FWD113
-
Newcastle Premier League squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
34221011
B GuimarãesA IsakJ MurphyJoelinton
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
N Pope  GLK24
2
-
K Trippier DEF233
2
-
F Schär DEF304
7
1
D Burn DEF331
10
-
T Livramento  DEF331
1
-
B Guimarães MID3446
6
-
S Tonali MID3232
6
-
Joelinton MID2943
11
-
J Murphy FWD31810
4
-
A Isak FWD31226
1
-
H Barnes FWD2994
-
Subs
M Dúbravka GLK10
-
E Krafth DEF9
-
M Targett DEF2
-
J Willock MID292
2
-
S Longstaff MID24
3
-
L Miley MID121
-
C Wilson FWD14
1
-
A Gordon FWD3066
2
-
W Osula FWD121
-