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Aston Villa v Manchester United : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 6th Oct, 14:00 BST, Villa Park, Birmingham

Erik ten Hag takes his Manchester United troops to the Villa Park in the English Premier League on Sunday afternoon, with Unai Emery's Aston Villa their rivals. The aim of this preview is, quite simply, to help you make the smartest bet possible. To this end, statistics for seventeen major betting market have been published below, with head-to-head records and particularly important form streaks highlighted. The best odds are provided too.

Best Tip: Both teams to score

Here is a pair of effective, attacking sides going head-to-head and, as such, we are predicting both of them to score at least 1 goal during the 90 minutes. Can respective managers Unai Emery or Erik ten Hag find a tactical plan to top their opponent? Recent form stats and historical head-to-heads, as well as the latest odds from the bookies, show that doesn't seem likely.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
A Villa
47%
11/1023/20
Draw
23%
14/527/10
3%
Man Utd
31%
21/1021/10
Draw 1-1
10%
15/26/1
A Villa 2-1
9%
9/17/1
Man Utd 2-1
7%
12/19/1
5%
A Villa 1-0
7%
12/19/1
Draw 2-2
7%
12/19/1
A Villa 2-0
6%
14/110/1
A Villa 3-1
6%
16/111/1
Man Utd 1-0
5%
16/111/1
A Villa 3-2
4%
20/114/1
Man Utd 2-0
4%
20/114/1
A Villa 3-0
4%
22/116/1
Draw 0-0
4%
18/112/1
Man Utd 3-1
4%
22/116/1
Man Utd 3-2
3%
25/116/1
A Villa 4-1
3%
33/120/1
Over 2.5 Goals
64%
8/15
3%
1/2
Under 2.5 Goals
36%
6/4
2%
7/5
2%
Home 1st Goal
51%
4/6
2%
-
Away 1st Goal
47%
6/5-
No 1st Goal
2%
18/1-
BTTS - Yes
64%
1/2
2%
10/21
BTTS - No
36%
6/46/4
BTTS - Home Win
27%
12/523/10
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/316/5
3%
BTTS - Away Win
18%
4/118/5
2%
Home/draw
69%
4/11
2%
7/20
1%
Away/draw
53%
7/10
2%
7/10
Home/away
77%
1/4
2%
1/4
Over 1.5 Goals
84%
1/6
3%
2/13
Under 1.5 Goals
16%
4/119/5
Over 3.5 Goals
42%
13/10
2%
5/4
Under 3.5 Goals
58%
8/13
3%
3/5
Over 4.5 Goals
23%
3/127/10
Under 4.5 Goals
77%
1/4
2%
1/4
Over 5.5 Goals
11%
6/111/2
Under 5.5 Goals
89%
1/10
3%
1/11
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/50
1%
1/50
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
18/112/1
Home DNB
62%
4/7
2%
4/7
Away DNB
47%
5/45/4
A Villa win to nil
20%
7/2-
Man Utd win to nil
12%
6/1-
A Villa / A Villa
25%
12/59/4
A Villa / Man Utd
3%
25/120/1
A Villa / Draw
6%
14/110/1
8%
Draw / A Villa
15%
5/117/4
5%
Draw / Man Utd
11%
7/16/1
Draw / Draw
13%
6/119/4
4%
Man Utd / A Villa
4%
20/116/1
Man Utd / Man Utd
17%
4/119/5
4%
Man Utd / Draw
6%
14/111/1
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Win / draw / win Premier League table
A Villa
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Man Utd
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
Mar 15
Nov 9
 Liverpool5401912 
l
 
0-3A
Jan 4
Dec 21
Apr 26
 Man City4400812 
Apr 5
Dec 14
-
-
 A Villa Home5401312 
May 25
Oct 6
Feb 22
Dec 1
 Chelsea5311610 
Nov 3
May 18
l
 
0-2A
Jan 18
 Arsenal4310510 
Mar 8
Dec 3
Apr 19
Dec 26
 Newcastle5311110 
Dec 29
Apr 12
Dec 29
Apr 1
 Brighton422048 
Jan 18
l
 
2-1A
May 3
Oct 19
 Fulham522128 
w
 
1-0F
Jan 25
Apr 5
Dec 14
 Nottm Forest422028 
Dec 7
Apr 1
May 18
Nov 3
 Spurs521247 
Sep 29
Feb 15
Oct 6
May 25
 Man Utd Away521207 
-
-
Dec 3
Mar 8
 Brentford5203-26 
Oct 19
May 3
Oct 26
May 10
 Bournemouth5122-35 
Dec 21
Apr 26
Jan 25
w
 
1-2F
 West Ham5113-44 
May 10
Oct 27
Jan 4
w
 
1-2F
 Leicester5032-23 
Nov 10
Mar 15
Nov 23
Feb 25
 C Palace5032-33 
Feb 1
d
 
0-00-0
Feb 15
Sep 29
 Ipswich5032-53 
Feb 26
Nov 24
Dec 7
Apr 12
 Southampton5014-71 
Jan 15
w
 
0-3F
w
 
3-1A
Feb 1
 Wolves5014-91 
Apr 19
Dec 26
w
 
3-2A
Jan 14
 Everton5014-91 
Dec 1
Feb 22
Win / draw / win form
A Villa 3RD
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
47
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
12
D
4
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
A Villa3 - 1Wolves
A Villa3 - 2Everton
A Villa0 - 2Arsenal
A Villa3 - 3Liverpool
A Villa2 - 2Chelsea
A Villa3 - 1Bournemouth
A Villa3 - 3Brentford
A Villa2 - 0Wolves
A Villa0 - 4Spurs
A Villa4 - 2Nottm Forest
A Villa1 - 2Man Utd
A Villa1 - 3Newcastle
A Villa3 - 2Burnley
A Villa1 - 1Sheff Utd
A Villa1 - 0Arsenal
A Villa1 - 0Man City
A Villa3 - 1Fulham
A Villa3 - 1Luton
A Villa4 - 1West Ham
A Villa6 - 1Brighton
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
38
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
D
4
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HA Villa3 - 1Wolves
HA Villa3 - 2Everton
AA Villa2 - 1Leicester
HA Villa0 - 2Arsenal
AA Villa2 - 1West Ham
AA Villa0 - 5C Palace
HA Villa3 - 3Liverpool
AA Villa0 - 1Brighton
HA Villa2 - 2Chelsea
HA Villa3 - 1Bournemouth
AA Villa2 - 0Arsenal
HA Villa3 - 3Brentford
AA Villa1 - 4Man City
HA Villa2 - 0Wolves
AA Villa1 - 1West Ham
HA Villa0 - 4Spurs
AA Villa3 - 2Luton
HA Villa4 - 2Nottm Forest
AA Villa2 - 1Fulham
HA Villa1 - 2Man Utd
Man Utd 11TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
C Palace0 - 0Man Utd
Southampton0 - 3Man Utd
Brighton2 - 1Man Utd
Brighton0 - 2Man Utd
C Palace4 - 0Man Utd
Bournemouth2 - 2Man Utd
Chelsea4 - 3Man Utd
Brentford1 - 1Man Utd
Man City3 - 1Man Utd
Luton1 - 2Man Utd
A Villa1 - 2Man Utd
Wolves3 - 4Man Utd
Nottm Forest2 - 1Man Utd
West Ham2 - 0Man Utd
Liverpool0 - 0Man Utd
Newcastle1 - 0Man Utd
Everton0 - 3Man Utd
Fulham0 - 1Man Utd
Sheff Utd1 - 2Man Utd
Burnley0 - 1Man Utd
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AMan Utd0 - 0C Palace
AMan Utd3 - 0Southampton
HMan Utd0 - 3Liverpool
AMan Utd1 - 2Brighton
HMan Utd1 - 0Fulham
AMan Utd2 - 0Brighton
HMan Utd3 - 2Newcastle
HMan Utd0 - 1Arsenal
AMan Utd0 - 4C Palace
HMan Utd1 - 1Burnley
HMan Utd4 - 2Sheff Utd
AMan Utd2 - 2Bournemouth
HMan Utd2 - 2Liverpool
AMan Utd3 - 4Chelsea
AMan Utd1 - 1Brentford
HMan Utd2 - 0Everton
AMan Utd1 - 3Man City
HMan Utd1 - 2Fulham
AMan Utd2 - 1Luton
AMan Utd2 - 1A Villa
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at A Villa since 1992
A Villa
Man Utd
Goals: Scored
22
47
Games: Scored
15 / 29
26 / 29
Clean sheets
3 / 29
14 / 29
AVL
3
D
8
MNU
18
FIXTURE HISTORY AT A Villa
1 - 2Man Utd
A Villa3 - 1
Draw2 - 2Draw
1 - 3Man Utd
0 - 3Man Utd
0 - 1Man Utd
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 3Man Utd
2 - 3Man Utd
0 - 1Man Utd
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
1 - 4Man Utd
0 - 3Man Utd
0 - 2Man Utd
0 - 1Man Utd
0 - 2Man Utd
0 - 1Man Utd
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 1Man Utd
0 - 1Man Utd
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 2Man Utd
Draw0 - 0Draw
A Villa3 - 1
1 - 2Man Utd
1 - 2Man Utd
A Villa1 - 0
League games at Man Utd since 1993
Man Utd
A Villa
Goals: Scored
59
18
Games: Scored
25 / 29
15 / 29
Clean sheets
14 / 29
4 / 29
AVL
2
D
5
MNU
22
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Man Utd
Man Utd3 - 2
Man Utd1 - 0
0 - 1A Villa
Man Utd2 - 1
Draw2 - 2Draw
Man Utd1 - 0
Man Utd3 - 1
Man Utd4 - 1
Man Utd3 - 0
Man Utd4 - 0
Man Utd3 - 1
0 - 1A Villa
Man Utd3 - 2
Man Utd4 - 0
Man Utd3 - 1
Man Utd1 - 0
Man Utd3 - 1
Man Utd4 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Man Utd1 - 0
Man Utd2 - 0
Man Utd3 - 0
Man Utd2 - 1
Man Utd1 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Man Utd1 - 0
Man Utd3 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Goal Statistics

Manchester United's fans will be hoping for goals on Sunday afternoon, not least because Aston Villa have conceded in each of their last 10 English Premier League matches. A PG of 1.5 for Erik ten Hag's side suggests that run should continue.

A Villa 3rd Man Utd 11th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.8
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
16%
1
29%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
11%
There is a 84% probability that A Villa will score 1 or more goals
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Man Utd will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+22
A Villa have scored 22% more goals at home than predicted
+3
Man Utd’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.4
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
1.6
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/277861/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
A Villa
PG (predicted goals)
Man Utd
1.8
1.5
Attack rating
%
better
AVL
MNU
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
AVL
MNU
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

A Villa v Man Utd Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

A Villa Premier League squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5422
E MartínezJ DuránL DigneA Onana
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
E Martínez GLK5
1
-
I Maatsen DEF5
-
L Digne DEF52
-
E Konsa DEF51
-
P Torres DEF5
1
-
Y Tielemans MID52
1
-
J Ramsey MID51
-
J McGinn MID5
1
-
A Onana MID52
2
-
M Rogers FWD52
1
-
J Durán FWD54
1
-
O Watkins FWD531
-
R Barkley MID41
-
L Bailey FWD4
1
-
K. Nedeljković DEF3
-
M Cash DEF2
-
L Bogarde DEF2
1
-
J Philogene FWD2
1
-
E Buendía FWD2
-
D Carlos DEF1
-
Man Utd Premier League squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5113
A OnanaM LigtN Mazraoui K Mainoo
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Onana GLK5
-
M Ligt DEF51
1
-
N Mazraoui  DEF51
-
D Dalot DEF51
-
L Martínez  DEF5
2
-
K Mainoo MID5
3
-
B Fernandes MID51
1
-
M Rashford FWD51
-
J Zirkzee FWD51
1
-
A Diallo FWD511
1
-
A Garnacho FWD511
1
-
H Maguire DEF4
2
-
Casemiro MID4
-
C Eriksen MID3
1
-
J Evans  DEF2
-
M Mount  MID2
1
-
M Ugarte MID2
-
T. Collier MID1
-
Antony FWD1
-
R Höjlund FWD1
-