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Aston Villa v Manchester City : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 21st Dec, 12:30 BST, Villa Park, Birmingham

Home advantage can be vital in the English Premier League, and Unai Emery’s Aston Villa will have the joy of it on Saturday lunch time. Pep Guardiola’s Manchester City are their opponents at the Villa Park. Statistics for our tip of are shown below, including head-to-head history. Flipping the market with the tabs changes all stats and the odds, so be sure to have a browse to find the best bet for you.


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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Our predictive algorithm suggests there's a 79% probability of A Villa and Man City delivering a minimum of two goals in this Premier League tie. Recent form stats and head-to-head (H2H) records are factored into that calculation , and it would appear that the bookmakers are predicting the same. This over 1.5 goals tip is available at a best price of 1.17.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 39% chance of Man City coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
A Villa
37%
13/5
14%
5/2
20%
Draw
25%
14/5
5%
29/10
7%
Man City
39%
9/10
10%
19/20
15%
Draw 1-1
11%
15/2
6%
6/1
7%
Man City 2-1
9%
17/27/1
7%
A Villa 2-1
8%
12/1
24%
9/1
17%
Man City 1-0
8%
11/18/1
A Villa 1-0
8%
16/1
19%
11/1
20%
Draw 2-2
6%
12/19/1
9%
Man City 2-0
6%
12/1
18%
9/1
5%
A Villa 2-0
6%
22/1
21%
16/1
19%
Draw 0-0
5%
16/1
11%
12/1
Man City 3-1
4%
14/1
15%
10/1
10%
A Villa 3-1
4%
28/1
15%
18/1
17%
Man City 3-2
3%
20/114/1
A Villa 3-2
3%
28/1
15%
18/1
10%
Man City 3-0
3%
18/1
12%
14/1
25%
A Villa 3-0
3%
40/1
20%
25/1
24%
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
8/15
2%
8/15
3%
Under 2.5 Goals
43%
6/4
5%
7/5
4%
Home 1st Goal
48%
11/8
9%
-
Away 1st Goal
49%
4/7
9%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
16/1
11%
-
BTTS - Yes
60%
1/21/2
2%
BTTS - No
40%
6/429/20
2%
BTTS - Home Win
20%
9/2
21%
17/4
13%
BTTS - Draw
19%
7/217/5
4%
BTTS - Away Win
21%
9/4
13%
21/10
11%
Home/draw
61%
10/11
7%
5/6
13%
Away/draw
63%
2/7
6%
3/10
8%
Home/away
76%
1/4
2%
1/4
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
1/6
3%
1/6
2%
Under 1.5 Goals
21%
4/1
9%
19/5
4%
Over 3.5 Goals
34%
13/10
5%
5/4
5%
Under 3.5 Goals
66%
8/13
3%
4/7
3%
Over 4.5 Goals
18%
3/114/5
6%
Under 4.5 Goals
82%
1/42/9
2%
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
7/1
14%
6/1
8%
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1/12
2%
1/12
2%
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/33
1%
1/66
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
14/1
21%
12/1
Home DNB
54%
13/8
23%
8/5
20%
Away DNB
56%
4/9
11%
4/9
11%
A Villa win to nil
17%
7/1
20%
-
Man City win to nil
18%
3/1
14%
-
A Villa / A Villa
15%
5/1
20%
17/4
19%
A Villa / Man City
4%
20/1
11%
16/1
13%
A Villa / Draw
6%
14/111/1
8%
Draw / A Villa
10%
15/2
15%
13/2
17%
Draw / Man City
16%
9/2
10%
4/1
11%
Draw / Draw
13%
6/15/1
Man City / A Villa
3%
28/1
15%
20/1
19%
Man City / Man City
27%
21/10
18%
2/1
15%
Man City / Draw
6%
14/111/1
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Win / draw / win Premier League table

A Villa have played 15 matches so far this season and are in 6th position in the league. A Villa have a shocking record against teams above them in the league, they have lost all 3 matches and failed to score in 3 of those games.

Performance against teams above them in the league

3 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 3 games, drawn zero and won zero. A Villa have conceded 7 goals, scored none, failed to score in 3 matches and kept no clean sheets.

Home league performance

A Villa have played 8 games at home, winning 4, drawing 3 and losing 1 fixture. They have scored 13 goals, conceded 9 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

Man City lay in 4th place on 27 points in the Premier League league table having played 15 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 12 games against teams below them in the table, winning 7, drawing 2 and losing 3 games. They have scored 23 goals and kept 2 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Man City have conceded 17 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Man City have played 8 away games, winning 3, drawing 2 and losing 3 games. They have scored an average of 1.5 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.4 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
A Villa
Man City
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Liverpool1411211835 
Mar 15
l
 
2-0A
Feb 22
l
 
2-0A
2
Chelsea159421731 
Feb 22
l
 
3-0A
Jan 25
w
 
0-2F
3
Arsenal158521429 
l
 
0-2A
Jan 18
d
 
2-2F
Feb 2
4
Man City Away15834627 
Dec 21
Apr 26
-
-
5
Nottm Forest15744125 
Apr 5
Dec 14
w
 
3-0F
Mar 8
6
A Villa Home15744025 
-
-
Apr 26
Dec 21
7
Brighton15663324 
Dec 30
Apr 1
Mar 15
l
 
2-1F
8
Bournemouth15735324 
d
 
1-1F
May 10
May 18
l
 
2-1A
9
Brentford15726323 
w
 
3-1F
Mar 8
w
 
2-1A
Jan 14
10
Fulham15654223 
May 3
w
 
1-3A
w
 
3-2A
May 25
11
Spurs156271220 
May 18
l
 
4-1F
l
 
0-4A
Feb 25
12
Newcastle15555-220 
Apr 19
Dec 26
Feb 15
d
 
1-1F
13
Man Utd15546119 
d
 
0-00-0
May 25
Dec 15
Apr 5
14
West Ham15537-818 
Jan 26
w
 
1-2F
Jan 4
w
 
1-3F
15
Everton14356-714 
w
 
3-2A
Jan 15
Dec 26
Apr 19
16
Leicester15357-914 
Jan 4
w
 
1-2F
Apr 2
Dec 29
17
C Palace15276-613 
d
 
2-2A
Feb 25
Apr 12
d
 
2-2A
18
Ipswich15168-139 
Feb 15
d
 
2-2A
w
 
4-1A
Jan 19
19
Wolves152310-159 
w
 
3-1A
Feb 1
May 3
w
 
1-2A
20
Southampton151212-205 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 12
w
 
1-0F
May 10
Win / draw / win form
7
A Villa have not lost in 7 consecutive home league games
A Villa 6TH
20 league games
Home
7
Overall
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
9
Draw
7
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
A Villa1 - 0Southampton
A Villa3 - 1Brentford
A Villa2 - 2C Palace
A Villa1 - 1Bournemouth
A Villa0 - 0Man Utd
A Villa3 - 1Wolves
A Villa3 - 2Everton
A Villa0 - 2Arsenal
A Villa3 - 3Liverpool
A Villa2 - 2Chelsea
A Villa3 - 1Bournemouth
A Villa3 - 3Brentford
A Villa2 - 0Wolves
A Villa0 - 4Spurs
A Villa4 - 2Nottm Forest
A Villa1 - 2Man Utd
A Villa1 - 3Newcastle
A Villa3 - 2Burnley
A Villa1 - 1Sheff Utd
A Villa1 - 0Arsenal
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HA Villa1 - 0Southampton
HA Villa3 - 1Brentford
AA Villa0 - 3Chelsea
HA Villa2 - 2C Palace
AA Villa0 - 2Liverpool
AA Villa1 - 4Spurs
HA Villa1 - 1Bournemouth
AA Villa3 - 1Fulham
HA Villa0 - 0Man Utd
AA Villa2 - 2Ipswich
HA Villa3 - 1Wolves
HA Villa3 - 2Everton
AA Villa2 - 1Leicester
HA Villa0 - 2Arsenal
AA Villa2 - 1West Ham
AA Villa0 - 5C Palace
HA Villa3 - 3Liverpool
AA Villa0 - 1Brighton
HA Villa2 - 2Chelsea
HA Villa3 - 1Bournemouth
Man City 4TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
41
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
13
D
3
L
4
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
C Palace2 - 2Man City
Liverpool2 - 0Man City
Brighton2 - 1Man City
Bournemouth2 - 1Man City
Wolves1 - 2Man City
Newcastle1 - 1Man City
West Ham1 - 3Man City
Chelsea0 - 2Man City
Spurs0 - 2Man City
Fulham0 - 4Man City
Nottm Forest0 - 2Man City
Brighton0 - 4Man City
C Palace2 - 4Man City
Liverpool1 - 1Man City
Bournemouth0 - 1Man City
Brentford1 - 3Man City
Newcastle2 - 3Man City
Everton1 - 3Man City
Luton1 - 2Man City
A Villa1 - 0Man City
Goals: Scored
43
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
13
D
3
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AMan City2 - 2C Palace
HMan City3 - 0Nottm Forest
AMan City0 - 2Liverpool
HMan City0 - 4Spurs
AMan City1 - 2Brighton
AMan City1 - 2Bournemouth
HMan City1 - 0Southampton
AMan City2 - 1Wolves
HMan City3 - 2Fulham
AMan City1 - 1Newcastle
HMan City2 - 2Arsenal
HMan City2 - 1Brentford
AMan City3 - 1West Ham
HMan City4 - 1Ipswich
AMan City2 - 0Chelsea
HMan City3 - 1West Ham
AMan City2 - 0Spurs
AMan City4 - 0Fulham
HMan City5 - 1Wolves
AMan City2 - 0Nottm Forest
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at A Villa since 1993
A Villa
Man City
Goals: Scored
25
33
Games: Scored
17 / 24
19 / 24
Clean sheets
5 / 24
7 / 24
AVL
6
D
8
MCI
10
FIXTURE HISTORY AT A Villa
A Villa1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 2Man City
1 - 2Man City
1 - 6Man City
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 2Man City
A Villa3 - 2
0 - 1Man City
0 - 1Man City
A Villa1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
A Villa4 - 2
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 3Man City
0 - 1Man City
1 - 2Man City
Draw1 - 1Draw
A Villa1 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 1Man City
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
A Villa3 - 1
League games at Man City since 1992
Man City
A Villa
Goals: Scored
65
19
Games: Scored
23 / 24
13 / 24
Clean sheets
11 / 24
1 / 24
AVL
2
D
2
MCI
20
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Man City
Man City4 - 1
Man City3 - 1
Man City3 - 2
Man City2 - 0
Man City3 - 0
Man City4 - 0
Man City3 - 2
Man City4 - 0
Man City5 - 0
Man City4 - 1
Man City4 - 0
Man City3 - 1
Man City2 - 0
Man City1 - 0
0 - 2A Villa
Man City3 - 1
Man City2 - 0
Man City4 - 1
Man City3 - 1
1 - 3A Villa
Man City1 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
Man City3 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Goal Statistics
A Villa 6th Man City 4th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that A Villa will score 1 or more goals
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 78% probability that Man City will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-3
A Villa’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+8
Man City’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.9
average goals scored
2.1
average goals scored
1.6
conceded
1.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/277958/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
A Villa
PG (predicted goals)
Man City
1.5
1.5
Attack rating
AVL
MCI
13%
better
view stats
Games scored11
13
Failed to score4
2
Scored first6
7
Goals scored23
27
Avg. goals scored1.5
1.8
Avg. shots per game10
13
Avg. shots per goal6
7
Conversion rate for16
14
Avg. XG for1.7
2.1
KickOff rating
+13%
Defence rating
AVL
MCI
5%
better
view stats
Games conceded13
12
Clean sheets2
3
Conceded first8
8
Goals conceded23
21
Avg. goals conceded1.5
1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded8
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
5
Conversion rate against18%
20%
Avg. XG against1.3
1.4
KickOff rating
+5%

A Villa v Man City Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

A Villa Premier League squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
15744
E MartínezO WatkinsY TielemansM Rogers
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
E Martínez GLK15
1
-
L Digne DEF152
3
-
Y Tielemans MID154
3
-
M Rogers FWD1542
4
-
J Durán FWD155
2
-
O Watkins FWD1573
-
P Torres DEF14
1
-
L Bailey FWD142
2
-
E Konsa DEF131
-
J McGinn MID131
2
-
I Maatsen DEF12
1
-
R Barkley MID1221
3
-
J Philogene FWD11
2
1
J Ramsey MID102
1
-
A Onana MID102
3
-
M Cash DEF91
3
-
D Carlos DEF8
1
-
E Buendía FWD7
1
-
B Kamara MID6
1
-
L Bogarde DEF3
1
-
K. Nedeljković DEF3
-
R Olsen GLK1
-
T Mings DEF1
-
Man City Premier League squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
151344
E HaalandE HaalandB SilvaB Silva
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B Silva MID1514
4
-
E Haaland FWD15131
2
-
R Lewis DEF1412
3
1
J Gvardiol DEF143
-
I Gündogan MID141
1
-
Ederson GLK121
3
-
R Dias DEF12
3
-
M Akanji DEF12
3
-
S Sávio FWD122
2
-
K Walker DEF11
1
-
J Grealish MID111
2
-
M Kovacic MID113
3
-
M Nunes MID113
1
-
J Doku FWD1122
-
P Foden MID101
1
-
K Bruyne MID922
2
-
J Stones DEF72
1
-
N Aké  DEF5
-
S Ortega GLK3
-
J McAtee MID2
-
Rodri MID2
-