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Aston Villa v Chelsea : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 22nd Feb, 17:30 BST, Villa Park, Birmingham

Saturday evening sees Unai Emery’s Aston Villa and Enzo Maresca’s Chelsea go up against one another in a English Premier League clash at the Villa Park. We have odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers for 17 different betting markets as well as predictions, statistics and head-to-head data for both teams. All can be selected using the tabs below.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Premier League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Both teams to score

We have a pair of effective, attacking teams going head-to-head and, as such, we are predicting both of them to score at least 1 goal during the 90 minutes. Can respective managers Unai Emery or Enzo Maresca find a tactical plan to top their opponent? Latest form stats and historical head-to-heads, as well as the latest odds from the bookies, do not suggest so.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think A Villa are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 44% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.70.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
A Villa
44%
2.62
10%
2.70
Draw
24%
3.403.70
Chelsea
32%
2.55
9%
2.40
Draw 1-1
11%
7.507.00
A Villa 2-1
9%
12.009.00
A Villa 1-0
8%
15.0011.00
Chelsea 2-1
8%
11.008.50
A Villa 2-0
7%
19.00
10%
13.00
Chelsea 1-0
7%
15.00
15%
10.00
Draw 2-2
6%
11.0010.00
A Villa 3-1
5%
21.00
9%
15.00
Draw 0-0
5%
17.0013.00
Chelsea 2-0
5%
17.0012.00
A Villa 3-0
4%
29.00
15%
21.00
A Villa 3-2
3%
23.00
12%
17.00
Chelsea 3-1
3%
21.00
11%
13.00
Chelsea 3-2
3%
23.0015.00
A Villa 4-1
2%
41.0026.00
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
1.531.53
Under 2.5 Goals
41%
2.50
8%
2.38
Home 1st Goal
51%
2.00
5%
-
Away 1st Goal
47%
1.80
7%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
17.00-
BTTS - Yes
61%
1.44
2%
1.48
BTTS - No
39%
2.622.50
BTTS - Home Win
24%
4.33
9%
4.00
BTTS - Draw
19%
4.004.20
BTTS - Away Win
18%
4.00
7%
3.70
Home/draw
68%
1.50
3%
1.55
Away/draw
56%
1.44
5%
1.44
Home/away
76%
1.30
2%
1.29
Over 1.5 Goals
81%
1.17
4%
1.17
Under 1.5 Goals
19%
5.004.60
Over 3.5 Goals
36%
2.30
2%
2.25
Under 3.5 Goals
64%
1.62
3%
1.57
Over 4.5 Goals
19%
4.00
8%
3.80
Under 4.5 Goals
81%
1.25
5%
1.22
Over 5.5 Goals
9%
7.007.00
Under 5.5 Goals
91%
1.10
3%
1.08
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1.03
2%
1.02
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
15.00
12%
13.00
Home DNB
61%
1.83
13%
1.95
Away DNB
49%
1.83
12%
1.75
A Villa win to nil
20%
6.00
8%
-
Chelsea win to nil
14%
5.50
10%
-
A Villa / A Villa
19%
4.33
4%
4.20
A Villa / Chelsea
4%
23.0017.00
A Villa / Draw
7%
13.00
13%
11.00
Draw / A Villa
12%
7.006.50
Draw / Chelsea
13%
6.505.75
Draw / Draw
14%
6.505.50
Chelsea / A Villa
4%
23.00
12%
19.00
Chelsea / Chelsea
21%
4.00
7%
3.70
Chelsea / Draw
6%
15.00
15%
11.00
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Win / draw / win Premier League table

A Villa have played 24 matches so far this season and are in 9th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

9 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 5 games, drawn 3 and won 1. A Villa have conceded 18 goals, scored 8, failed to score in 4 matches and kept no clean sheets.

Home league performance

A Villa have played 12 games at home, winning 6, drawing 5 and losing 1 fixture. They have scored 20 goals, conceded 14 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

Chelsea lay in 4th place on 43 points in the Premier League league table having played 25 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 22 games against teams below them in the table, winning 12, drawing 5 and losing 5 games. They have scored 44 goals and kept 4 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Chelsea have conceded 30 goals and have failed to score in 4 matches.

Away league performance

Chelsea have played 13 away games, winning 6, drawing 3 and losing 4 games. They have scored an average of 1.9 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.5 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
A Villa
Chelsea
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Liverpool2417613557 
Feb 19
l
 
2-0A
May 3
l
 
2-1A
2
Arsenal2515822953 
l
 
0-2A
d
 
2-2A
d
 
1-1A
Mar 16
3
Nottm Forest2414551347 
Apr 5
l
 
2-1F
d
 
1-1A
May 25
4
Chelsea Away2512761343 
Feb 22
l
 
3-0A
-
-
5
Man City2412571341 
w
 
2-1F
Apr 26
l
 
0-2A
l
 
3-1F
6
Newcastle2412571341 
Apr 19
l
 
3-0A
w
 
2-1F
May 10
7
Bournemouth2411761340 
d
 
1-1F
May 10
d
 
2-2F
w
 
0-1F
8
Brighton259106037 
d
 
2-2A
Apr 1
w
 
4-2A
l
 
3-0A
9
A Villa Home241077-337 
-
-
w
 
3-0F
Feb 22
10
Fulham24996436 
May 3
w
 
1-3A
l
 
1-2F
Apr 19
11
Brentford249411031 
w
 
3-1F
Mar 8
w
 
2-1F
Apr 5
12
C Palace24798-230 
d
 
2-2A
Feb 25
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1F
13
Man Utd248511-629 
d
 
0-00-0
May 25
May 18
d
 
1-1A
14
Spurs2483131127 
May 18
l
 
4-1F
Apr 2
w
 
3-4A
15
Everton24699-527 
w
 
3-2A
w
 
0-1F
Apr 26
d
 
0-00-0
16
West Ham247611-1727 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-2F
w
 
2-1A
w
 
0-3F
17
Wolves245415-1819 
w
 
3-1A
l
 
2-0A
w
 
3-1F
w
 
2-6F
18
Leicester254516-3017 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-2F
Mar 9
w
 
1-2F
19
Ipswich243714-2716 
Feb 15
d
 
2-2A
Apr 12
l
 
2-0A
20
Southampton242319-369 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 12
Feb 25
w
 
1-5F
Win / draw / win form
5
Chelsea have not won in 5 consecutive away league games
A Villa 9TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
9
Draw
8
L
3
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
A Villa1 - 1West Ham
A Villa2 - 1Leicester
A Villa2 - 2Brighton
A Villa2 - 1Man City
A Villa1 - 0Southampton
A Villa3 - 1Brentford
A Villa2 - 2C Palace
A Villa1 - 1Bournemouth
A Villa0 - 0Man Utd
A Villa3 - 1Wolves
A Villa3 - 2Everton
A Villa0 - 2Arsenal
A Villa3 - 3Liverpool
A Villa2 - 2Chelsea
A Villa3 - 1Bournemouth
A Villa3 - 3Brentford
A Villa2 - 0Wolves
A Villa0 - 4Spurs
A Villa4 - 2Nottm Forest
A Villa1 - 2Man Utd
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
Draw
7
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AA Villa0 - 2Wolves
HA Villa1 - 1West Ham
AA Villa2 - 2Arsenal
AA Villa1 - 0Everton
HA Villa2 - 1Leicester
HA Villa2 - 2Brighton
AA Villa0 - 3Newcastle
HA Villa2 - 1Man City
AA Villa1 - 2Nottm Forest
HA Villa1 - 0Southampton
HA Villa3 - 1Brentford
AA Villa0 - 3Chelsea
HA Villa2 - 2C Palace
AA Villa0 - 2Liverpool
AA Villa1 - 4Spurs
HA Villa1 - 1Bournemouth
AA Villa3 - 1Fulham
HA Villa0 - 0Man Utd
AA Villa2 - 2Ipswich
HA Villa3 - 1Wolves
Chelsea 4TH
20 league games
Away
5
Overall
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
Draw
7
Lost
5
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Brighton3 - 0Chelsea
Man City3 - 1Chelsea
C Palace1 - 1Chelsea
Ipswich2 - 0Chelsea
Everton0 - 0Chelsea
Spurs3 - 4Chelsea
Southampton1 - 5Chelsea
Leicester1 - 2Chelsea
Man Utd1 - 1Chelsea
Liverpool2 - 1Chelsea
West Ham0 - 3Chelsea
Bournemouth0 - 1Chelsea
Wolves2 - 6Chelsea
Brighton1 - 2Chelsea
Nottm Forest2 - 3Chelsea
A Villa2 - 2Chelsea
Arsenal5 - 0Chelsea
Sheff Utd2 - 2Chelsea
Brentford2 - 2Chelsea
Man City1 - 1Chelsea
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AChelsea0 - 3Brighton
HChelsea2 - 1West Ham
AChelsea1 - 3Man City
HChelsea3 - 1Wolves
HChelsea2 - 2Bournemouth
AChelsea1 - 1C Palace
AChelsea0 - 2Ipswich
HChelsea1 - 2Fulham
AChelsea0 - 0Everton
HChelsea2 - 1Brentford
AChelsea4 - 3Spurs
AChelsea5 - 1Southampton
HChelsea3 - 0A Villa
AChelsea2 - 1Leicester
HChelsea1 - 1Arsenal
AChelsea1 - 1Man Utd
HChelsea2 - 1Newcastle
AChelsea1 - 2Liverpool
HChelsea1 - 1Nottm Forest
HChelsea4 - 2Brighton
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at A Villa since 1992
A Villa
Chelsea
Goals: Scored
28
41
Games: Scored
18 / 29
21 / 29
Clean sheets
8 / 29
11 / 29
AVL
8
D
8
CHE
13
FIXTURE HISTORY AT A Villa
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 2Chelsea
1 - 3Chelsea
A Villa2 - 1
1 - 2Chelsea
0 - 4Chelsea
1 - 2Chelsea
A Villa1 - 0
1 - 2Chelsea
2 - 4Chelsea
Draw0 - 0Draw
A Villa2 - 1
0 - 1Chelsea
A Villa2 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
A Villa3 - 2
A Villa2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 3Chelsea
0 - 2Chelsea
0 - 2Chelsea
0 - 1Chelsea
A Villa3 - 0
A Villa1 - 0
1 - 3Chelsea
League games at Chelsea since 1993
Chelsea
A Villa
Goals: Scored
57
29
Games: Scored
26 / 30
18 / 30
Clean sheets
12 / 30
4 / 30
AVL
7
D
6
CHE
17
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Chelsea
Chelsea3 - 0
0 - 1A Villa
0 - 2A Villa
Chelsea3 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Chelsea2 - 1
Chelsea2 - 0
Chelsea3 - 0
Chelsea2 - 1
Chelsea8 - 0
1 - 3A Villa
Draw3 - 3Draw
Chelsea7 - 1
Chelsea2 - 0
Draw4 - 4Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Chelsea2 - 1
Chelsea1 - 0
Chelsea1 - 0
Chelsea2 - 0
1 - 3A Villa
Chelsea1 - 0
Chelsea1 - 0
Chelsea2 - 1
0 - 1A Villa
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 2A Villa
Chelsea1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 1A Villa
Goal Statistics

Aston Villa's fans will be hoping for goals on Saturday evening, not least because Chelsea have conceded in each of their last 8 English Premier League games. A PG of 1.7 for Unai Emery's side suggests that run should continue.

A Villa 9th Chelsea 4th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
19%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
9%
There is a 81% probability that A Villa will score 1 or more goals
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 75% probability that Chelsea will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+4
A Villa’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+3
Chelsea’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.9
average goals scored
1.9
average goals scored
1.6
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/278054/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
A Villa
PG (predicted goals)
Chelsea
1.7
1.4
Attack rating
AVL
CHE
17%
better
view stats
Games scored18
21
Failed to score6
4
Scored first11
14
Goals scored34
47
Avg. goals scored1.4
1.9
Avg. shots per game9
11
Avg. shots per goal6
6
Conversion rate for16
17
Avg. XG for1.5
2
KickOff rating
+17%
Defence rating
AVL
CHE
10%
better
view stats
Games conceded21
21
Clean sheets3
4
Conceded first12
10
Goals conceded37
34
Avg. goals conceded1.5
1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded9
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
6
Conversion rate against17%
16%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.4
KickOff rating
+10%

A Villa v Chelsea Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

A Villa Premier League squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
241058
E MartínezO WatkinsO WatkinsM Rogers
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
E Martínez GLK24
2
-
L Digne DEF243
3
-
Y Tielemans MID2414
4
-
O Watkins FWD24105
-
M Rogers MID2364
8
-
E Konsa DEF221
-
J McGinn MID203
4
-
L Bailey FWD2012
2
-
P Torres DEF18
1
-
I Maatsen DEF181
2
-
A Onana MID172
4
-
M Cash DEF1611
6
-
R Barkley MID1631
3
-
J Ramsey MID1612
1
-
B Kamara MID15
2
-
T Mings DEF6
2
-
L Bogarde MID5
2
-
D Malen FWD2
-
R Olsen GLK1
-
A García DEF1
-
Chelsea Premier League squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
251468
M CaicedoC PalmerC PalmerM Cucurella 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Caicedo MID2512
7
-
C Palmer MID25146
4
-
L Colwill DEF231
5
-
M Cucurella  DEF2321
7
1
E Fernández MID2334
5
-
N Jackson FWD2395
5
-
N Madueke FWD2373
3
-
P Neto FWD2222
6
-
R Sánchez GLK21
4
-
M Gusto DEF211
3
-
C Nkunku  FWD2121
1
-
J Sancho FWD1924
1
-
T Adarabioyo DEF121
2
-
W Fofana DEF12
6
-
R Lavia MID101
4
-
R James  DEF91
1
-
K Dewsbury-Hall MID71
-
M Mudryk FWD7
-
F Jörgensen GLK4
-
B Badiashile  DEF4
-
T Chalobah DEF41
-
M Guiu FWD3
-
J. Acheampong DEF2
-
T. George FWD2
1
-