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Arsenal v Chelsea : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 16th Mar, 13:30 BST, Emirates Stadium, London

It's an away match for Enzo Maresca's Chelsea side on Sunday afternoon, as they visit the Emirates Stadium for a English Premier League meeting with Mikel Arteta's Arsenal. You'll see statistics supporting our top of below, but be sure to take a look at the 16 other markets we cover too. We aim to deliver as full a picture as possible, with Premier League performances and head to heads (H2Hs) included, so that you feel able to make a well-informed bet. Finally, be sure to get the best odds from leading bookmakers.

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Premier League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We predict there's very little chance of a bore-draw or a sneaky 1-0 win here, and instead we're tipping over 1.5 goals. That means that Arsenal and Chelsea will score a minimum of a couple of between them during 90 minutes. It's a prediction based on the recent form of the respective sides, as well as historical records when they go head-to-head. We give it a probability of 79%. The bookies have it available at 1.25.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Arsenal are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 54% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.80.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Arsenal 54%	4/5 3%	4/5 3%
Draw 23%	13/5 5%	27/10 3%
Chelsea 23%	7/2	10/3 2%
Draw 1-1 11%	13/2 6%	11/2 7%
Arsenal 1-0 10%	7/1 6%	6/1
Arsenal 2-1 10%	17/2 6%	13/2
Arsenal 2-0 9%	17/2	7/1
Chelsea 1-0 6%	14/1	10/1
Chelsea 2-1 6%	16/1	11/1
Arsenal 3-1 6%	14/1	11/1 9%
Draw 0-0 6%	10/1 8%	17/2 5%
Arsenal 3-0 5%	16/1 13%	11/1
Draw 2-2 5%	16/1	12/1 8%
Chelsea 2-0 3%	25/1	16/1 11%
Arsenal 3-2 3%	28/1 12%	18/1 12%
Arsenal 4-1 3%	33/1 17%	20/1 11%
Arsenal 4-0 2%	33/1 17%	20/1
Chelsea 3-1 2%	40/1	22/1 12%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%	10/11 6%	4/5 3%
Under 2.5 Goals 45%	10/11 5%	10/11 5%
Home 1st Goal 54%	1/2	-
Away 1st Goal 43%	7/4	-
No 1st Goal 3%	10/1 8%	-
BTTS - Yes 55%	4/5 3%	3/4
BTTS - No 45%	19/20 3%	19/20 3%
BTTS - Home Win 26%	11/4 7%	5/2 3%
BTTS - Draw 18%	15/4	19/5
BTTS - Away Win 12%	15/2 6%	13/2
Home/draw 77%	2/11	2/9 2%
Away/draw 46%	19/20 3%	1/1 2%
Home/away 77%	2/7 3%	2/7 3%
Over 1.5 Goals 78%	2/7 3%	1/4
Under 1.5 Goals 22%	11/4 6%	5/2 5%
Over 3.5 Goals 33%	11/5 7%	2/1 4%
Under 3.5 Goals 67%	4/11 3%	4/11 3%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%	5/1 9%	9/2 5%
Under 4.5 Goals 83%	1/8 2%	1/8 2%
Over 5.5 Goals 7%	12/1 18%	9/1
Under 5.5 Goals 93%	1/25 1%	1/25
Over 0.5 Goals 94%	1/20 1%	1/25
Under 0.5 Goals 6%	10/1 8%	17/2 5%
Home DNB 70%	3/10	1/3 2%
Away DNB 39%	12/5	21/10 3%
Arsenal win to nil 28%	2/1 8%	-
Chelsea win to nil 11%	7/1	-
Arsenal / Arsenal 30%	15/8	7/4 2%
Arsenal / Chelsea 2%	40/1 21%	33/1
Arsenal / Draw 6%	14/1	12/1
Draw / Arsenal 18%	15/4	18/5 2%
Draw / Chelsea 9%	17/2 5%	8/1
Draw / Draw 15%	5/1	17/4 5%
Chelsea / Arsenal 4%	22/1	20/1 11%
Chelsea / Chelsea 12%	13/2 6%	11/2 7%
Chelsea / Draw 5%	16/1	14/1

Win / draw / win Premier League table

Arsenal have played 28 matches so far this season and lay in 2nd place in the Premier League league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 27 games against teams below in the table, having won 15, drawn 9 and lost 3 matches. They have kept 10 clean sheets and have failed to score in 5 fixtures. They have been outscored by their opponents by 53 goals to 52 goals.

Home League Performance

Arsenal have played 13 games at home winning 8, drawing 4 and losing 1 game. They have scored 27 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and conceded 11 goals at home.

Chelsea are in 4th position in the Premier League on 49 points having played 28 matches so far this season. Chelsea are winless in the 3 games they have played against teams above them in the table and have conceded in every game.

Away League Performance

5 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 21 goals and kept 3 clean sheets. They have scored 26 goals in total and failed to score in 3 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

3 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 1 games, drawn 2 and won zero. Chelsea have conceded 4 goals, scored 3, scored in every game and have kept no clean sheets.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Arsenal Chelsea
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Liverpool	29	21	7	1	42	70	d 2-2F	May 10	May 3	l 2-1A
2	Arsenal Home	28	15	10	3	28	55	-	-	d 1-1A	Mar 16
3	Nottm Forest	28	15	6	7	12	51	w 3-0F	d 0-00-0	d 1-1A	May 25
4	Chelsea Away	28	14	7	7	17	49	Mar 16	d 1-1F	-	-
5	Man City	28	14	5	9	15	47	w 5-1F	d 2-2A	l 0-2A	l 3-1F
6	Newcastle	28	14	5	9	9	47	May 18	l 1-0A	w 2-1F	May 10
7	Brighton	28	12	10	6	6	46	d 1-1F	d 1-1F	w 4-2A	l 3-0A
8	A Villa	29	12	9	8	-4	45	d 2-2F	w 0-2F	w 3-0F	l 2-1F
9	Bournemouth	28	12	8	8	13	44	May 3	l 2-0A	d 2-2F	w 0-1F
10	Fulham	28	11	9	8	3	42	Apr 1	d 1-1A	l 1-2F	Apr 19
11	C Palace	28	10	9	9	3	39	Apr 26	w 1-5F	d 1-1F	d 1-1F
12	Brentford	28	11	5	12	4	38	Apr 12	w 1-3A	w 2-1F	Apr 6
13	Spurs	28	10	4	14	14	34	w 2-1A	w 0-1F	Apr 3	w 3-4A
14	Man Utd	28	9	7	12	-6	34	w 2-0F	d 1-1A	May 18	d 1-1A
15	Everton	28	7	12	9	-4	33	d 0-00-0	Apr 5	Apr 26	d 0-00-0
16	West Ham	28	9	6	13	-16	33	l 0-1A	w 2-5F	w 2-1A	w 0-3F
17	Wolves	28	6	5	17	-19	23	w 2-0F	w 0-1F	w 3-1F	w 2-6F
18	Ipswich	28	3	8	17	-32	17	w 1-0F	Apr 20	Apr 12	l 2-0A
19	Leicester	28	4	5	19	-37	17	w 4-2F	w 0-2F	w 1-0F	w 1-2F
20	Southampton	28	2	3	23	-48	9	w 3-1A	May 25	w 4-0F	w 1-5F

	UEFA Champions League
	UEFA Europa League
	UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Chelsea have lost 3 consecutive away league games

Chelsea have not won in 6 consecutive away league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Arsenal	0 - 1	West Ham
Arsenal	5 - 1	Man City
Arsenal	2 - 2	A Villa
Arsenal	2 - 1	Spurs
Arsenal	1 - 0	Ipswich
Arsenal	0 - 0	Everton
Arsenal	2 - 0	Man Utd
Arsenal	3 - 0	Nottm Forest
Arsenal	2 - 2	Liverpool
Arsenal	3 - 1	Southampton
Arsenal	4 - 2	Leicester
Arsenal	1 - 1	Brighton
Arsenal	2 - 0	Wolves
Arsenal	2 - 1	Everton
Arsenal	3 - 0	Bournemouth
Arsenal	5 - 0	Chelsea
Arsenal	0 - 2	A Villa
Arsenal	2 - 0	Luton
Arsenal	2 - 1	Brentford
Arsenal	4 - 1	Newcastle

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Arsenal	1 - 1	Man Utd
A	Arsenal	0 - 0	Nottm Forest
H	Arsenal	0 - 1	West Ham
A	Arsenal	2 - 0	Leicester
H	Arsenal	5 - 1	Man City
A	Arsenal	1 - 0	Wolves
H	Arsenal	2 - 2	A Villa
H	Arsenal	2 - 1	Spurs
A	Arsenal	1 - 1	Brighton
A	Arsenal	3 - 1	Brentford
H	Arsenal	1 - 0	Ipswich
A	Arsenal	5 - 1	C Palace
H	Arsenal	0 - 0	Everton
A	Arsenal	1 - 1	Fulham
H	Arsenal	2 - 0	Man Utd
A	Arsenal	5 - 2	West Ham
H	Arsenal	3 - 0	Nottm Forest
A	Arsenal	1 - 1	Chelsea
A	Arsenal	0 - 1	Newcastle
H	Arsenal	2 - 2	Liverpool

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
A Villa	2 - 1	Chelsea
Brighton	3 - 0	Chelsea
Man City	3 - 1	Chelsea
C Palace	1 - 1	Chelsea
Ipswich	2 - 0	Chelsea
Everton	0 - 0	Chelsea
Spurs	3 - 4	Chelsea
Southampton	1 - 5	Chelsea
Leicester	1 - 2	Chelsea
Man Utd	1 - 1	Chelsea
Liverpool	2 - 1	Chelsea
West Ham	0 - 3	Chelsea
Bournemouth	0 - 1	Chelsea
Wolves	2 - 6	Chelsea
Brighton	1 - 2	Chelsea
Nottm Forest	2 - 3	Chelsea
A Villa	2 - 2	Chelsea
Arsenal	5 - 0	Chelsea
Sheff Utd	2 - 2	Chelsea
Brentford	2 - 2	Chelsea

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Chelsea	1 - 0	Leicester
H	Chelsea	4 - 0	Southampton
A	Chelsea	1 - 2	A Villa
A	Chelsea	0 - 3	Brighton
H	Chelsea	2 - 1	West Ham
A	Chelsea	1 - 3	Man City
H	Chelsea	3 - 1	Wolves
H	Chelsea	2 - 2	Bournemouth
A	Chelsea	1 - 1	C Palace
A	Chelsea	0 - 2	Ipswich
H	Chelsea	1 - 2	Fulham
A	Chelsea	0 - 0	Everton
H	Chelsea	2 - 1	Brentford
A	Chelsea	4 - 3	Spurs
A	Chelsea	5 - 1	Southampton
H	Chelsea	3 - 0	A Villa
A	Chelsea	2 - 1	Leicester
H	Chelsea	1 - 1	Arsenal
A	Chelsea	1 - 1	Man Utd
H	Chelsea	2 - 1	Newcastle

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Arsenal have not lost to Chelsea in 6 consecutive league meetings

Arsenal

Chelsea

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

25 / 32

22 / 32

Clean sheets

10 / 32

7 / 32

ARS

CHE

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Arsenal
Arsenal	5 - 0
Arsenal	3 - 1
	0 - 2	Chelsea
Arsenal	3 - 1
	1 - 2	Chelsea
Arsenal	2 - 0
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Arsenal	3 - 0
	0 - 1	Chelsea
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	1 - 2	Chelsea
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Arsenal	3 - 1
	0 - 3	Chelsea
	1 - 4	Chelsea
Arsenal	1 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	0 - 2	Chelsea
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Arsenal	2 - 1
Arsenal	3 - 2
Arsenal	2 - 1
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Arsenal	2 - 1
Arsenal	1 - 0
Arsenal	2 - 0
Draw	3 - 3	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Arsenal	3 - 1
Arsenal	1 - 0
Arsenal	2 - 1

Chelsea

Arsenal

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

26 / 33

22 / 33

Clean sheets

11 / 33

7 / 33

ARS

CHE

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Chelsea
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
	0 - 1	Arsenal
	2 - 4	Arsenal
	0 - 1	Arsenal
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Chelsea	3 - 2
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Chelsea	3 - 1
Chelsea	2 - 0
Chelsea	2 - 0
Chelsea	6 - 0
Chelsea	2 - 1
	3 - 5	Arsenal
Chelsea	2 - 0
Chelsea	2 - 0
	1 - 2	Arsenal
Chelsea	2 - 1
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Chelsea	1 - 0
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	1 - 2	Arsenal
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
	2 - 3	Arsenal
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	2 - 3	Arsenal
	0 - 3	Arsenal
Chelsea	1 - 0
Chelsea	2 - 1
	0 - 2	Arsenal
Chelsea	1 - 0

Goal Statistics

Arsenal have been consistent in front of goal of late, finding the net in 6 consecutive English Premier League outings. Their PG of 1.8 against Chelsea on Sunday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Arsenal's defensive record is very strong, Mikel Arteta's men having conceded 1 or less in 6 consecutive English Premier League games. An average PG rating of 1.1 for Chelsea makes sense in this context.

	Arsenal 2nd	Chelsea 4th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.8 goals	1.1 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 17% 1 30% 2 27% 3 16% 4+ 11% There is a 83% probability that Arsenal will score 1 or more goals	0 34% 1 37% 2 20% 3 4+ There is a 71% probability that Chelsea will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	=0 Arsenal’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	+2 Chelsea’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	2.3 average goals scored	1.9 average goals scored
	0.8 conceded	1.8 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2024/2025 season

ARS

CHE

better

view stats

Games scored	23		24
Failed to score	5		4
Scored first	17		17
Goals scored	52		53
Avg. goals scored	1.9		1.9
Avg. shots per game	10		12
Avg. shots per goal	5		6
Conversion rate for	19		16
Avg. XG for	1.8		1.9
KickOff rating		+1%

23%

better

ARS

CHE

view stats

Games conceded	18		22
Clean sheets	10		6
Conceded first	9		10
Goals conceded	24		36
Avg. goals conceded	0.9		1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded	7		8
Avg. shots/goal conceded	8		6
Conversion rate against	13%		16%
Avg. XG against	0.9		1.4
KickOff rating		+23%

Arsenal v Chelsea Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Arsenal Premier League squad statistics 2024/2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
28	9	10	7
D Raya	K Havertz	B Saka	J Timber

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
D Raya GLK	28			2 -
L Trossard FWD	28	4	5	3 1
T Partey MID	27	3	2	3 -
W Saliba DEF	26	2		2 1
G Magalhães DEF	26	3	1	3 -
D Rice MID	26	2	5	4 1
J Timber DEF	25	1	2	7 -
G Martinelli FWD	23	6	3	1 -
K Havertz FWD	21	9	3	4 -
M Ødegaard MID	20	2	3	2 -
M Merino MID	20	4	1	2 -
E Nwaneri MID	18	3	1	1 -
R Calafiori DEF	17	2	1	4 -
G Jesus FWD	17	3		4 -
B Saka FWD	16	5	10	3 -
M. Lewis-Skelly DEF	13	1		2 2
Jorginho MID	12			4 -
R Sterling FWD	12		1	1 -
B White DEF	11		1	2 -
O Zinchenko DEF	10			1 -
J Kiwior DEF	8			-
K Tierney DEF	5			-
T Tomiyasu DEF	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
9	21	10	30
K Havertz	K Havertz	B Saka	D Rice

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
K Havertz FWD	9	21	3	13
G Martinelli FWD	6	15	3	22
B Saka FWD	5	18	10	20
M Merino MID	4	10	1	8
L Trossard FWD	4	14	5	21
E Nwaneri MID	3	6	1	6
T Partey MID	3	6	2	10
G Magalhães DEF	3	5	1	10
G Jesus FWD	3	8		8
R Calafiori DEF	2	6	1	4
M Ødegaard MID	2	12	3	23
D Rice MID	2	8	5	30
W Saliba DEF	2	2		4
J Timber DEF	1	3	2	7
M. Lewis-Skelly DEF	1	1		3
O Zinchenko DEF				1
K Tierney DEF				1
J Kiwior DEF				1
B White DEF		1	1	3
R Sterling FWD			1	3
Jorginho MID				3

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1847	74	135
W Saliba	T Partey	T Partey

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
W Saliba DEF	1847	48	114
G Magalhães DEF	1568	24	96
T Partey MID	1400	74	135
D Rice MID	1139	38	87
J Timber DEF	1002	50	112
M Ødegaard MID	954	15	56
D Raya GLK	884		16
L Trossard FWD	583	23	85
K Havertz FWD	492	16	105
R Calafiori DEF	456	25	63
B Saka FWD	435	22	93
M Merino MID	425	25	84
G Martinelli FWD	379	17	63
Jorginho MID	353	10	25
B White DEF	315	11	24
M. Lewis-Skelly DEF	309	19	49
E Nwaneri MID	233	8	40
O Zinchenko DEF	210	2	14
G Jesus FWD	189	11	38
J Kiwior DEF	171	4	11
R Sterling FWD	126	6	16
K Tierney DEF	26	2	5
T Tomiyasu DEF	4

Chelsea Premier League squad statistics 2024/2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
28	14	6	9
M Caicedo	C Palmer	C Palmer	M Caicedo

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
M Caicedo MID	28	1	2	9 -
C Palmer MID	28	14	6	4 -
L Colwill DEF	26	1	1	5 -
M Cucurella DEF	26	4	1	7 1
E Fernández MID	26	4	5	6 -
P Neto FWD	25	3	4	6 -
C Nkunku FWD	24	3	2	2 -
M Gusto DEF	23		1	3 -
N Jackson FWD	23	9	5	5 -
N Madueke FWD	23	7	3	3 -
R Sánchez GLK	22			4 -
J Sancho FWD	22	2	4	1 -
T Adarabioyo DEF	15	1	1	2 -
W Fofana DEF	13			6 -
R James DEF	10	1		1 -
R Lavia MID	10		1	4 -
K Dewsbury-Hall MID	8		1	-
M Mudryk FWD	7			-
F Jörgensen GLK	6			-
T Chalobah DEF	6		1	-
J. Acheampong DEF	4			2 -
B Badiashile DEF	4			-
T. George FWD	4		1	1 -
M Guiu FWD	3			-
M. Amougou MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
14	42	6	40
C Palmer	C Palmer	C Palmer	C Palmer

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
C Palmer MID	14	42	6	40
N Jackson FWD	9	31	5	15
N Madueke FWD	7	26	3	20
M Cucurella DEF	4	5	1	11
E Fernández MID	4	14	5	36
P Neto FWD	3	10	4	18
C Nkunku FWD	3	12	2	5
J Sancho FWD	2	4	4	17
M Caicedo MID	1	3	2	16
R James DEF	1	1		3
T Adarabioyo DEF	1	2	1	2
L Colwill DEF	1	2	1	7
M Gusto DEF		4	1	10
W Fofana DEF				4
R Lavia MID			1	5
K Dewsbury-Hall MID			1	2
M Mudryk FWD		1		2
T Chalobah DEF		1	1	2
T. George FWD			1	2
M Guiu FWD				1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1985	82	163
L Colwill	M Caicedo	M Caicedo

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
L Colwill DEF	1985	33	117
M Caicedo MID	1625	82	163
E Fernández MID	1326	52	120
M Cucurella DEF	1233	47	100
C Palmer MID	999	21	110
M Gusto DEF	998	40	64
T Adarabioyo DEF	921	14	50
W Fofana DEF	738	13	60
R Sánchez GLK	723		7
J Sancho FWD	588	9	63
P Neto FWD	473	16	67
R James DEF	443	7	38
N Madueke FWD	419	16	68
N Jackson FWD	302	17	68
C Nkunku FWD	289	8	40
R Lavia MID	285	18	33
T Chalobah DEF	251	3	17
B Badiashile DEF	221	6	14
F Jörgensen GLK	171		1
J. Acheampong DEF	123	2	4
K Dewsbury-Hall MID	108	4	7
M Mudryk FWD	35	2	9
T. George FWD	30	2	5
M Guiu FWD	16	1	1
M. Amougou MID	7

English Premier League match betting previews, predictions and odds

Ipswich v Nottm Forest

Sat 15th Mar, 15:00

Bournemouth v Brentford

Arsenal v Chelsea : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Arsenal have played 28 matches so far this season and lay in 2nd place in the Premier League league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

Home League Performance

Chelsea are in 4th position in the Premier League on 49 points having played 28 matches so far this season. Chelsea are winless in the 3 games they have played against teams above them in the table and have conceded in every game.

Away League Performance

Performance against teams above them in the league

Arsenal v Chelsea Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

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