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Arsenal v Aston Villa : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 18th Jan, 17:30 BST, Emirates Stadium, London

Aston Villa are away from home on Saturday evening, as manager Unai Emery takes his men to visit Arsenal and Mikel Arteta at the Emirates Stadium in the English Premier League. Our predictions are based on extensive statistical analysis of each side, across 17 of the biggest markets. The data and the odds is designed to fit each market, and head-to-head statistics are included for all.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Premier League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Arsenal to win

A Premier League home win for Mikel Arteta's Arsenal side win in the win / draw / win market is our prediction. Stats suggest that their form is good coming into the match, and they should have too much for their opponents. The odds from the bookmakers are pointing in the same direction, and when that happens you've got reason to feel confident. A Arsenal win is the bet we'd suggest, but it could be a close one.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Arsenal are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 64% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.44.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Arsenal
64%
2/5
1%
4/9
3%
Draw
20%
7/218/5
A Villa
16%
13/2
15%
11/2
8%
Arsenal 2-0
11%
7/1
6%
6/1
Arsenal 1-0
11%
13/2
17%
11/2
13%
Arsenal 2-1
10%
8/113/2
Draw 1-1
10%
17/27/1
Arsenal 3-0
7%
10/1
8%
8/1
5%
Arsenal 3-1
7%
12/19/1
Draw 0-0
5%
12/1
13%
10/1
15%
A Villa 1-0
5%
18/1
10%
14/1
Draw 2-2
5%
20/1
11%
14/1
15%
A Villa 2-1
4%
20/116/1
13%
Arsenal 4-0
4%
20/114/1
Arsenal 4-1
4%
22/1
10%
16/1
13%
Arsenal 3-2
3%
25/1
13%
18/1
12%
A Villa 2-0
2%
40/125/1
13%
Arsenal 4-2
2%
40/128/1
12%
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
8/11
10%
4/6
4%
Under 2.5 Goals
43%
11/10
7%
11/10
7%
Home 1st Goal
58%
1/3
2%
-
Away 1st Goal
39%
13/5
11%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
12/1
13%
-
BTTS - Yes
52%
10/11
11%
17/20
6%
BTTS - No
48%
10/11
5%
17/20
5%
BTTS - Home Win
29%
21/10
3%
2/1
3%
BTTS - Draw
15%
5/1
9%
9/2
BTTS - Away Win
8%
11/1
20%
9/1
11%
Home/draw
84%
1/10
2%
1/10
2%
Away/draw
36%
7/4
5%
17/10
4%
Home/away
80%
2/11
3%
1/5
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
80%
2/9
4%
2/9
3%
Under 1.5 Goals
20%
10/3
4%
3/1
8%
Over 3.5 Goals
35%
7/4
12%
13/8
7%
Under 3.5 Goals
65%
4/9
3%
4/9
4%
Over 4.5 Goals
18%
4/1
11%
18/5
10%
Under 4.5 Goals
82%
1/61/6
3%
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
9/1
11%
15/2
6%
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1/16
1%
1/16
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/25
2%
1/33
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
12/1
13%
10/1
15%
Home DNB
78%
1/6
2%
1/7
3%
Away DNB
30%
4/1
11%
4/1
14%
Arsenal win to nil
35%
6/4
5%
-
A Villa win to nil
8%
10/1-
Arsenal / Arsenal
37%
5/4
2%
23/20
2%
Arsenal / A Villa
2%
40/133/1
17%
Arsenal / Draw
5%
16/114/1
Draw / Arsenal
20%
10/3
4%
3/1
5%
Draw / A Villa
6%
14/1
15%
11/1
9%
Draw / Draw
13%
6/1
7%
5/1
8%
A Villa / Arsenal
4%
20/116/1
A Villa / A Villa
8%
11/1
9%
17/2
12%
A Villa / Draw
5%
18/114/1
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Win / draw / win Premier League table

Arsenal have played 20 matches so far this season and lay in 2nd place in the Premier League league table. Arsenal are unbeaten at home after 9 games and have kept 5 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 19 games against teams below in the table, having won 11, drawn 6 and lost 2 matches. They have kept 7 clean sheets and have failed to score in 3 fixtures. Arsenal have outscored their opponents by 39 goals to 30 goals.

Home League Performance

Arsenal have played 9 games at home winning 6, drawing 3 and losing 0 games. They have scored 18 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and conceded 6 goals at home.

A Villa are in 8th position in the Premier League on 32 points having played 20 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

5 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 19 goals and kept no clean sheets. They have scored 11 goals in total and failed to score in 3 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

7 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 5 games, drawn 1 and won 1. A Villa have conceded 14 goals, scored 4, failed to score in 4 fixtures and have kept no clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Arsenal
A Villa
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Liverpool1914412846 
d
 
2-2F
May 10
Mar 15
l
 
2-0A
2
Arsenal Home2011722140 
-
-
l
 
0-2A
Jan 18
3
Nottm Forest2012441040 
w
 
3-0F
Feb 25
Apr 5
l
 
2-1F
4
Chelsea2010641536 
Mar 15
d
 
1-1F
Feb 22
l
 
3-0A
5
Newcastle2010551235 
May 18
l
 
1-0A
Apr 19
l
 
3-0A
6
Man City201046934 
Feb 2
d
 
2-2A
w
 
2-1F
Apr 26
7
Bournemouth20965733 
May 3
l
 
2-0A
d
 
1-1F
May 10
8
A Villa Away20956-232 
Jan 18
w
 
0-2F
-
-
9
Fulham20794330 
Apr 1
d
 
1-1A
May 3
w
 
1-3A
10
Brighton206104128 
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1F
d
 
2-2A
Apr 1
11
Brentford20839327 
Apr 12
w
 
1-3A
w
 
3-1F
Mar 8
12
Spurs2073101224 
Jan 15
w
 
0-1F
May 18
l
 
4-1F
13
Man Utd20659-523 
w
 
2-0F
Mar 8
d
 
0-00-0
May 25
14
West Ham20659-1523 
Feb 22
w
 
2-5F
Jan 26
w
 
1-2F
15
C Palace20497-721 
Apr 26
w
 
1-5F
d
 
2-2A
Feb 25
16
Everton19388-1017 
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 5
w
 
3-2A
Jan 15
17
Wolves204412-1416 
w
 
2-0F
Jan 25
w
 
3-1A
Feb 1
18
Ipswich203710-1516 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 19
Feb 15
d
 
2-2A
19
Leicester203512-2114 
w
 
4-2F
Feb 15
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-2F
20
Southampton201316-326 
w
 
3-1A
May 25
w
 
1-0F
Apr 12
Win / draw / win form
Arsenal 2ND
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
46
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
15
D
3
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Arsenal1 - 0Ipswich
Arsenal0 - 0Everton
Arsenal2 - 0Man Utd
Arsenal3 - 0Nottm Forest
Arsenal2 - 2Liverpool
Arsenal3 - 1Southampton
Arsenal4 - 2Leicester
Arsenal1 - 1Brighton
Arsenal2 - 0Wolves
Arsenal2 - 1Everton
Arsenal3 - 0Bournemouth
Arsenal5 - 0Chelsea
Arsenal0 - 2A Villa
Arsenal2 - 0Luton
Arsenal2 - 1Brentford
Arsenal4 - 1Newcastle
Arsenal3 - 1Liverpool
Arsenal5 - 0C Palace
Arsenal0 - 2West Ham
Arsenal2 - 0Brighton
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
11
Draw
7
L
2
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AArsenal1 - 1Brighton
AArsenal3 - 1Brentford
HArsenal1 - 0Ipswich
AArsenal5 - 1C Palace
HArsenal0 - 0Everton
AArsenal1 - 1Fulham
HArsenal2 - 0Man Utd
AArsenal5 - 2West Ham
HArsenal3 - 0Nottm Forest
AArsenal1 - 1Chelsea
AArsenal0 - 1Newcastle
HArsenal2 - 2Liverpool
AArsenal0 - 2Bournemouth
HArsenal3 - 1Southampton
HArsenal4 - 2Leicester
AArsenal2 - 2Man City
AArsenal1 - 0Spurs
HArsenal1 - 1Brighton
AArsenal2 - 0A Villa
HArsenal2 - 0Wolves
A Villa 8TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
37
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
8
D
3
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Newcastle3 - 0A Villa
Nottm Forest2 - 1A Villa
Chelsea3 - 0A Villa
Liverpool2 - 0A Villa
Spurs4 - 1A Villa
Fulham1 - 3A Villa
Ipswich2 - 2A Villa
Leicester1 - 2A Villa
West Ham1 - 2A Villa
C Palace5 - 0A Villa
Brighton1 - 0A Villa
Arsenal0 - 2A Villa
Man City4 - 1A Villa
West Ham1 - 1A Villa
Luton2 - 3A Villa
Fulham1 - 2A Villa
Sheff Utd0 - 5A Villa
Everton0 - 0A Villa
Man Utd3 - 2A Villa
Brentford1 - 2A Villa
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HA Villa2 - 1Leicester
HA Villa2 - 2Brighton
AA Villa0 - 3Newcastle
HA Villa2 - 1Man City
AA Villa1 - 2Nottm Forest
HA Villa1 - 0Southampton
HA Villa3 - 1Brentford
AA Villa0 - 3Chelsea
HA Villa2 - 2C Palace
AA Villa0 - 2Liverpool
AA Villa1 - 4Spurs
HA Villa1 - 1Bournemouth
AA Villa3 - 1Fulham
HA Villa0 - 0Man Utd
AA Villa2 - 2Ipswich
HA Villa3 - 1Wolves
HA Villa3 - 2Everton
AA Villa2 - 1Leicester
HA Villa0 - 2Arsenal
AA Villa2 - 1West Ham
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Arsenal since 1993
Arsenal
A Villa
Goals: Scored
55
29
Games: Scored
23 / 29
18 / 29
Clean sheets
11 / 29
6 / 29
ARS
17
D
5
AVL
7
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Arsenal
0 - 2A Villa
Arsenal2 - 1
Arsenal3 - 1
0 - 3A Villa
Arsenal3 - 2
Arsenal4 - 0
Arsenal5 - 0
1 - 3A Villa
Arsenal2 - 1
Arsenal3 - 0
1 - 2A Villa
Arsenal3 - 0
0 - 2A Villa
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Arsenal5 - 0
Arsenal3 - 1
Arsenal2 - 0
Arsenal3 - 1
Arsenal3 - 2
Arsenal1 - 0
Arsenal3 - 1
Arsenal1 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
Arsenal2 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
1 - 2A Villa
0 - 1A Villa
League games at A Villa since 1992
A Villa
Arsenal
Goals: Scored
25
43
Games: Scored
19 / 29
20 / 29
Clean sheets
9 / 29
10 / 29
ARS
14
D
9
AVL
6
FIXTURE HISTORY AT A Villa
0 - 2Arsenal
A Villa1 - 0
2 - 4Arsenal
0 - 1Arsenal
A Villa1 - 0
A Villa1 - 0
0 - 3Arsenal
1 - 2Arsenal
Draw0 - 0Draw
1 - 2Arsenal
2 - 4Arsenal
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
1 - 2Arsenal
0 - 1Arsenal
Draw0 - 0Draw
1 - 3Arsenal
0 - 2Arsenal
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 2Arsenal
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
A Villa3 - 2
A Villa1 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 4Arsenal
1 - 2Arsenal
A Villa1 - 0
Goal Statistics
Arsenal 2nd A Villa 8th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.1
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
13%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4+
15%
There is a 61% probability that Arsenal will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
40%
1
37%
2
17%
3
4+
There is a 77% probability of A Villa scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+1
Arsenal’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-2
A Villa’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.3
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
0.7
conceded
1.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/278006/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Arsenal
PG (predicted goals)
A Villa
2.1
0.9
Attack rating
21%
better
ARS
AVL
view stats
Games scored17
15
Failed to score3
5
Scored first13
9
Goals scored39
30
Avg. goals scored2
1.5
Avg. shots per game10
9
Avg. shots per goal5
6
Conversion rate for20
17
Avg. XG for1.9
1.6
KickOff rating
+21%
Defence rating
37%
better
ARS
AVL
view stats
Games conceded13
18
Clean sheets7
2
Conceded first6
10
Goals conceded18
32
Avg. goals conceded0.9
1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded7
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
6
Conversion rate against13%
18%
Avg. XG against1
1.3
KickOff rating
+37%

Arsenal v A Villa Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Arsenal Premier League squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
207105
D RayaK HavertzB SakaD Rice
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Raya GLK20
2
-
L Trossard FWD2032
1
1
W Saliba DEF192
2
1
T Partey MID1922
2
-
G Magalhães DEF1831
2
-
D Rice MID1813
4
1
G Martinelli FWD1852
1
-
J Timber DEF1711
5
-
K Havertz MID1772
3
-
G Jesus  FWD173
4
-
B Saka FWD16510
3
-
M Ødegaard MID1312
1
-
M Merino MID1321
2
-
R Calafiori DEF1111
3
-
Jorginho MID10
3
-
B White DEF91
2
-
J Kiwior DEF8
-
O Zinchenko DEF7
1
-
R Sterling FWD61
-
T Tomiyasu DEF1
-
A Villa Premier League squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
20845
E MartínezO WatkinsY TielemansM Rogers
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
E Martínez GLK20
2
-
L Digne DEF202
3
-
Y Tielemans MID204
3
-
O Watkins FWD2084
-
M Rogers FWD1963
5
-
E Konsa DEF181
-
P Torres DEF18
1
-
J McGinn MID183
3
-
J Durán FWD187
3
1
L Bailey FWD1712
2
-
R Barkley MID1631
3
-
I Maatsen DEF151
1
-
A Onana MID142
3
-
M Cash DEF131
5
-
J Ramsey MID122
1
-
B Kamara MID11
1
-
J Philogene FWD11
2
1
D Carlos DEF10
1
-
E Buendía FWD10
1
-
K. Nedeljković DEF4
-
T Mings DEF3
1
-
L Bogarde DEF3
1
-
R Olsen GLK1
-