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Swindon Town v Crewe Alexandra : League Two match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 11th Jan, 15:00 BST, County Ground, Swindon

Lee Bell pays counterpart Mark Kennedy a visit on Saturday afternoon in the League Two, as their Crewe Alexandra and Swindon Town sides face each other at the County Ground. All statistics, including 20-game form for both teams and head to head (H2H) records, will change as you click through each of the betting markets using the tabs below. Odds from leading bookmakers and, of course, our algorithmic predictions will too.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top League Two Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

This match should deliver some entertainment, but don't count on a deluge of goals. Under 3.5 goals is the prediction, meaning no more than 3 goals will be scored in total during 90 mins. The best odds on that outcome are just below, followed by relevant form stats and head-to-head (H2H) records.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Swindon are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 38% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.75.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Swindon
38%
2.80
7%
2.88
7%
Draw
27%
3.25
4%
3.25
4%
Crewe
36%
2.45
9%
2.50
Draw 1-1
13%
6.00
8%
6.00
Swindon 1-0
10%
8.00
16%
7.50
Crewe 1-0
10%
7.50
6%
7.00
7%
Swindon 2-1
8%
11.009.50
6%
Crewe 2-1
8%
10.00
5%
9.00
Draw 0-0
8%
8.50
15%
7.50
12%
Swindon 2-0
7%
13.00
13%
12.00
9%
Crewe 2-0
6%
12.00
9%
10.00
Draw 2-2
5%
15.0013.00
Swindon 3-1
4%
23.00
12%
19.00
12%
Crewe 3-1
3%
21.00
11%
17.00
Swindon 3-0
3%
29.00
15%
21.00
Crewe 3-0
3%
23.00
10%
19.00
Swindon 3-2
2%
34.0023.00
Crewe 3-2
2%
34.00
17%
23.00
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
2.10
5%
2.05
3%
Under 2.5 Goals
53%
1.70
6%
1.70
2%
Home 1st Goal
48%
2.20
4%
-
Away 1st Goal
47%
1.83
6%
-
No 1st Goal
5%
8.50
15%
-
BTTS - Yes
52%
1.83
2%
1.85
1%
BTTS - No
48%
1.83
4%
1.85
3%
BTTS - Home Win
17%
6.005.50
5%
BTTS - Draw
19%
4.504.33
2%
BTTS - Away Win
16%
5.50
16%
4.80
Home/draw
64%
1.53
6%
1.53
2%
Away/draw
62%
1.40
3%
1.40
3%
Home/away
73%
1.33
2%
1.33
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
73%
1.33
2%
1.35
2%
Under 1.5 Goals
27%
3.25
4%
3.00
3%
Over 3.5 Goals
26%
3.75
7%
3.60
3%
Under 3.5 Goals
74%
1.25
3%
1.25
3%
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
8.00
14%
7.00
8%
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
1.08
2%
1.08
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
19.00
27%
15.00
15%
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1.02
1%
1.02
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1.061.07
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
10.007.50
12%
Home DNB
57%
2.00
9%
2.00
5%
Away DNB
54%
1.73
7%
1.73
4%
Swindon win to nil
21%
4.50
18%
-
Crewe win to nil
19%
4.00
7%
-
Swindon / Swindon
17%
4.75
5%
4.50
7%
Swindon / Crewe
3%
29.00
12%
21.00
Swindon / Draw
6%
15.0012.00
Draw / Swindon
13%
6.50
7%
6.00
Draw / Crewe
15%
5.505.50
Draw / Draw
17%
4.75
5%
4.50
6%
Crewe / Swindon
3%
29.0023.00
Crewe / Crewe
20%
4.33
15%
3.90
Crewe / Draw
6%
15.00
15%
12.00
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Win / draw / win League Two table

Swindon have played 25 matches so far this season and are in 22nd position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

23 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 9 games, drawn 9 and won 5. Swindon have conceded 36 goals, scored 29, failed to score in 6 matches and kept 3 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Swindon have played 11 games at home, winning 4, drawing 2 and losing 5 fixtures. They have scored 18 goals, conceded 18 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 3 times in home league games.

Crewe lay in 2nd place on 42 points in the League Two league table having played 24 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 23 games against teams below them in the table, winning 11, drawing 8 and losing 4 games. They have scored 32 goals and kept 9 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Crewe have conceded 21 goals and have failed to score in 4 matches.

Away league performance

Crewe have played 12 away games, winning 4, drawing 5 and losing 3 games. They have scored an average of 1.1 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.9 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Swindon
Crewe
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Walsall2316432352 
l
 
0-4A
Mar 1
May 3
d
 
1-1F
2
Crewe Away2411941142 
Jan 11
d
 
0-00-0
-
-
3
Salford2412661042 
Mar 4
l
 
2-1A
d
 
1-1A
Mar 8
4
Port Vale251186441 
Feb 8
l
 
2-1A
Mar 29
d
 
1-1A
5
AFC Wim2312471640 
Apr 1
d
 
1-1F
Jan 28
Feb 11
6
Notts C2411761240 
l
 
1-2F
l
 
2-0A
w
 
2-0F
Mar 22
7
Doncaster251177540 
l
 
1-2A
Mar 8
Mar 15
d
 
1-1F
8
Bradford241086638 
Apr 12
l
 
1-0A
d
 
1-1F
Apr 5
9
Grimsby2512112-437 
w
 
3-1F
Apr 18
Apr 1
w
 
0-2F
10
Chesterfield24978934 
Feb 22
d
 
1-1A
l
 
0-5A
Mar 1
11
MK Dons231049534 
May 3
l
 
3-1F
Apr 21
d
 
1-1A
12
Bromley248106534 
Apr 21
d
 
1-1A
w
 
4-1F
w
 
1-2A
13
Cheltenham24879-231 
Mar 15
w
 
2-3F
Apr 12
l
 
2-1F
14
Gillingham239311-230 
d
 
1-1A
Apr 26
w
 
2-0F
Feb 15
15
Barrow247710-328 
Jan 18
d
 
1-1A
Feb 22
l
 
1-0A
16
Fleetwood22697027 
w
 
3-1F
Apr 5
Mar 4
w
 
0-1F
17
Colchester245127027 
w
 
3-2F
l
 
4-0A
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 18
18
Newport237511-1026 
w
 
4-0F
Jan 24
Feb 8
l
 
2-1A
19
Accrington236710-825 
Mar 22
d
 
2-2F
Jan 25
w
 
0-1F
20
Tranmere236710-1525 
Jan 28
d
 
1-1A
w
 
3-1A
Apr 26
21
Harrogate257414-1625 
d
 
0-00-0
Feb 15
w
 
3-0F
Feb 1
22
Swindon Home255911-1024 
-
-
d
 
0-00-0
Jan 11
23
Morecambe245514-1720 
l
 
2-3A
Mar 29
w
 
1-0F
Jan 18
24
Carlisle244614-1918 
l
 
0-2A
Feb 1
w
 
3-2A
d
 
1-1A
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
3
Swindon have won 3 consecutive home league games
Swindon 22ND
20 league games
Home
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Swindon3 - 2Colchester
Swindon3 - 1Grimsby
Swindon3 - 1Fleetwood
Swindon2 - 3Morecambe
Swindon1 - 1Gillingham
Swindon1 - 2Doncaster
Swindon0 - 0Harrogate
Swindon0 - 2Carlisle
Swindon4 - 0Newport
Swindon1 - 2Notts C
Swindon0 - 4Walsall
Swindon3 - 3Morecambe
Swindon3 - 2AFC Wim
Swindon2 - 1Notts C
Swindon1 - 2Doncaster
Swindon1 - 2Accrington
Swindon1 - 1Harrogate
Swindon3 - 1Tranmere
Swindon1 - 2MK Dons
Swindon1 - 1Salford
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ASwindon0 - 2Notts C
HSwindon3 - 2Colchester
ASwindon1 - 1Bromley
ASwindon1 - 1AFC Wim
HSwindon3 - 1Grimsby
ASwindon0 - 1Bradford
HSwindon3 - 1Fleetwood
ASwindon0 - 4Colchester
HSwindon2 - 3Morecambe
ASwindon2 - 2Accrington
ASwindon1 - 3MK Dons
HSwindon1 - 1Gillingham
ASwindon1 - 2Salford
HSwindon1 - 2Doncaster
ASwindon3 - 2Cheltenham
HSwindon0 - 0Harrogate
ASwindon1 - 1Tranmere
ASwindon1 - 2Port Vale
HSwindon0 - 2Carlisle
HSwindon4 - 0Newport
Crewe 2ND
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
6
Draw
8
Lost
6
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
MK Dons1 - 1Crewe
Cheltenham2 - 1Crewe
Grimsby0 - 2Crewe
Carlisle1 - 1Crewe
Port Vale1 - 1Crewe
Walsall1 - 1Crewe
Fleetwood0 - 1Crewe
Doncaster1 - 1Crewe
Newport2 - 1Crewe
Accrington0 - 1Crewe
Bromley1 - 2Crewe
Barrow1 - 0Crewe
Crawley2 - 0Crewe
Doncaster0 - 2Crewe
Colchester1 - 1Crewe
Morecambe0 - 1Crewe
Accrington0 - 0Crewe
Gillingham0 - 0Crewe
MK Dons3 - 1Crewe
Doncaster2 - 0Crewe
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
10
Draw
8
L
2
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HCrewe4 - 1Bromley
HCrewe3 - 2Carlisle
ACrewe1 - 1MK Dons
ACrewe1 - 2Cheltenham
HCrewe0 - 0Colchester
ACrewe2 - 0Grimsby
HCrewe1 - 1Bradford
ACrewe1 - 1Carlisle
ACrewe1 - 1Port Vale
HCrewe2 - 0Notts C
ACrewe1 - 1Walsall
HCrewe3 - 1Tranmere
ACrewe1 - 0Fleetwood
HCrewe1 - 1Salford
ACrewe1 - 1Doncaster
HCrewe2 - 0Gillingham
ACrewe1 - 2Newport
HCrewe3 - 0Harrogate
ACrewe1 - 0Accrington
HCrewe1 - 0Morecambe
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
Crewe have not lost to Swindon in 5 consecutive league meetings
League games at Swindon since 1997
Swindon
Crewe
Goals: Scored
34
18
Games: Scored
13 / 16
11 / 16
Clean sheets
5 / 16
3 / 16
SWI
9
D
3
CRE
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Swindon
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 1Crewe
Swindon2 - 1
Swindon3 - 1
1 - 2Crewe
Swindon4 - 3
Swindon4 - 3
Swindon2 - 0
Swindon5 - 0
Swindon4 - 1
Swindon3 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 1Crewe
1 - 2Crewe
Swindon2 - 0
League games at Crewe since 1998
Crewe
Swindon
Goals: Scored
23
16
Games: Scored
12 / 17
10 / 17
Clean sheets
7 / 17
5 / 17
SWI
3
D
4
CRE
10
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Crewe
Draw0 - 0Draw
Crewe2 - 1
Crewe2 - 1
Crewe4 - 2
Crewe3 - 1
Crewe1 - 0
0 - 3Swindon
1 - 3Swindon
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Crewe2 - 1
Crewe2 - 0
Crewe1 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Crewe2 - 1
0 - 2Swindon
Crewe2 - 0
Goal Statistics
Swindon 22nd Crewe 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 62% probability that Swindon will score no more than 1 goal
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
9%
4+
There is a 64% probability that Crewe will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+7
Swindon’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-25
Crewe have scored 25% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.7
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
1.7
conceded
1.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
League Two - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/281503/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Swindon
PG (predicted goals)
Crewe
1.3
1.3
Attack rating
SWI
CRE
17%
better
view stats
Games scored18
20
Failed to score7
4
Scored first9
12
Goals scored31
33
Avg. goals scored1.2
1.4
Avg. shots per game8
7
Avg. shots per goal7
5
Conversion rate for15
19
Avg. XG for1.1
1.2
KickOff rating
+17%
Defence rating
SWI
CRE
36%
better
view stats
Games conceded22
15
Clean sheets3
9
Conceded first14
10
Goals conceded41
22
Avg. goals conceded1.6
0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded8
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
8
Conversion rate against20%
12%
Avg. XG against1.3
0.9
KickOff rating
+36%

Swindon v Crewe League Two lLine ups will show here when available.

Swindon League Two squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
24928
W WrightH SmithW WrightO Clarke
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
W Wright DEF2532
5
-
T Sobowale DEF232
1
-
G Kilkenny MID221
4
-
J Cotterill MID2212
4
-
A Drinan FWD222
-
P Glatzel FWD2211
1
-
K Tshimanga  FWD203
-
G Cox DEF1822
5
-
N Ofoborh MID181
2
-
H Smith FWD1891
4
1
D Butterworth FWD1821
2
-
R Longelo DEF161
3
-
O Clarke MID1522
8
-
J Bycroft GLK14
-
M Freckleton DEF141
1
-
J. McGregor MID1311
3
-
D Barden GLK12
2
-
G Hall DEF12
1
1
R Delaney DEF1211
3
-
J King DEF8
2
-
H Minturn DEF81
-
J Cain MID8
1
-
S. McGurk FWD8
-
B Kirkman DEF6
-
D. Mitchell MID2
-
Crewe League Two squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
24767
F MarschallJ LankesterJ LankesterZ Williams
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
F Marschall GLK24
2
-
M Conway DEF2411
3
-
M Demetriou DEF231
3
-
Z Williams DEF2312
7
-
J Tabiner MID2322
4
-
M Sanders MID231
4
-
S Tracey FWD235
6
-
R Cooney DEF2234
6
-
M Holicek MID224
3
-
J Connolly DEF19
3
-
J Lankester MID1876
4
-
J. Knight-Lebel DEF172
6
-
O Bogle FWD1551
-
K Breckin MID12
2
-
O Lunt MID11
-
C Thomas MID101
1
-
C Long FWD92
1
L Billington DEF82
2
-
J Powell MID81
1
-
K Hemmings FWD83
1
-
C Finney DEF6
-
C. Agius FWD1
-