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Port Vale v MK Dons : League Two match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 15th Mar, 15:00 BST, Vale Park, Stoke

Saturday afternoon at the Vale Park, and it’s a League Two showdown between Port Vale and MK Dons. Darren Moore and Scott Parker going all-out to guide their side to the win. All the odds are delivered straight from top bookmakers, while predictions are calculated from stats over a 20-game period. We pay particular attention to League Two match data, including head-to-head performance. Explore it all using the tabs below.

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top League Two Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Port Vale are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 51% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.05.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Port Vale 51%	2.05 8%	2.05 7%
Draw 24%	3.50 3%	3.50
MK Dons 25%	3.50 10%	3.60 10%
Draw 1-1 12%	6.50 7%	6.50
Port Vale 1-0 10%	7.00	6.50
Port Vale 2-1 10%	9.00 6%	8.00
Port Vale 2-0 9%	9.50 12%	8.50 6%
MK Dons 1-0 7%	10.00 9%	9.00 5%
MK Dons 2-1 6%	12.00 8%	11.00 8%
Draw 0-0 6%	9.50 5%	8.50
Port Vale 3-1 5%	17.00 13%	13.00
Draw 2-2 5%	15.00	13.00
Port Vale 3-0 5%	19.00 27%	15.00 15%
MK Dons 2-0 4%	17.00 19%	15.00 12%
Port Vale 3-2 3%	29.00	21.00
MK Dons 3-1 2%	29.00 15%	21.00 19%
Port Vale 4-1 2%	41.00 21%	26.00 13%
Port Vale 4-0 2%	41.00 21%	26.00 13%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%	2.05 3%	1.95
Under 2.5 Goals 48%	1.75 3%	1.75
Home 1st Goal 53%	1.62 3%	-
Away 1st Goal 43%	2.50 5%	-
No 1st Goal 4%	9.50 5%	-
BTTS - Yes 54%	1.83	1.83 1%
BTTS - No 46%	1.83	1.91 3%
BTTS - Home Win 24%	4.33 8%	4.00 3%
BTTS - Draw 18%	4.75	4.50 2%
BTTS - Away Win 13%	7.00 13%	6.50 7%
Home/draw 75%	1.29 3%	1.29 6%
Away/draw 49%	1.73 9%	1.75 5%
Home/away 76%	1.29	1.30
Over 1.5 Goals 76%	1.33 2%	1.33
Under 1.5 Goals 24%	3.25 4%	3.20 3%
Over 3.5 Goals 30%	3.50	3.40
Under 3.5 Goals 70%	1.29	1.29
Over 4.5 Goals 15%	8.00 14%	6.50
Under 4.5 Goals 85%	1.08 2%	1.10
Over 5.5 Goals 6%	17.00 13%	13.00
Under 5.5 Goals 94%	1.02 1%	1.02
Over 0.5 Goals 94%	1.06	1.06
Under 0.5 Goals 6%	9.50 5%	8.50
Home DNB 68%	1.50 7%	1.48 9%
Away DNB 42%	2.50 9%	2.50 13%
Port Vale win to nil 27%	3.40 5%	-
MK Dons win to nil 13%	6.00 8%	-
Port Vale / Port Vale 24%	3.40 10%	3.20 7%
Port Vale / MK Dons 3%	34.00	26.00 10%
Port Vale / Draw 6%	15.00	13.00
Draw / Port Vale 16%	5.00 5%	4.80 4%
Draw / MK Dons 11%	7.50 12%	7.50 6%
Draw / Draw 16%	5.00	4.80
MK Dons / Port Vale 4%	23.00	19.00
MK Dons / MK Dons 14%	6.00 8%	5.50 15%
MK Dons / Draw 6%	15.00	13.00

Win / draw / win League Two table

Port Vale have played 35 matches so far this season and lay in 6th place in the League Two league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 28 games against teams below in the table, having won 11, drawn 13 and lost 4 matches. They have kept 10 clean sheets and have failed to score in 8 fixtures. They have been outscored by their opponents by 46 goals to 44 goals.

Home League Performance

Port Vale have played 16 games at home winning 8, drawing 6 and losing 2 games. They have scored 21 goals, kept 6 clean sheets and conceded 14 goals at home.

MK Dons are in 18th position in the League Two on 42 points having played 35 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

10 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 32 goals and kept no clean sheets. They have scored 23 goals in total and failed to score in 5 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

25 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 15 games, drawn 4 and won 6. MK Dons have conceded 40 goals, scored 27, failed to score in 10 fixtures and have kept 3 clean sheets.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Port Vale MK Dons
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Walsall	36	20	8	8	24	68	l 0-1A	Apr 5	w 1-0F	l 4-2F
2	Bradford	36	19	9	8	18	66	Apr 1	l 2-1A	l 1-2A	l 2-0A
3	Doncaster	36	18	8	10	10	62	l 2-3A	w 1-2F	d 1-1F	l 2-1A
4	Notts C	36	17	10	9	18	61	w 1-0F	w 0-1F	l 0-2A	Apr 2
5	AFC Wim	36	17	9	10	22	60	w 3-2F	Apr 26	d 0-00-0	l 3-0A
6	Port Vale Home	35	15	13	7	7	58	-	-	l 0-1A	Mar 15
7	Crewe	36	14	14	8	7	56	d 1-1F	Mar 29	d 1-1F	Apr 21
8	Grimsby	36	17	5	14	-2	56	Apr 21	l 3-0A	Apr 26	w 1-3A
9	Colchester	36	13	16	7	9	55	d 1-1F	l 2-1A	l 0-1A	l 2-0A
10	Bromley	36	13	12	11	3	51	Apr 12	d 0-00-0	l 0-1A	d 1-1F
11	Salford	36	13	11	12	2	50	w 2-1F	w 0-2F	l 0-1A	l 1-0A
12	Fleetwood	36	12	13	11	6	49	w 3-1F	d 1-1A	Mar 29	l 2-1A
13	Cheltenham	36	13	10	13	-3	49	d 0-00-0	d 1-1A	w 3-2A	Mar 22
14	Chesterfield	35	13	9	13	13	48	w 1-0F	d 1-1F	w 3-0F	w 1-2F
15	Swindon	36	11	13	12	0	46	w 2-1F	d 3-3A	w 3-1A	May 3
16	Barrow	35	12	7	16	-3	43	Mar 25	l 4-0A	Apr 5	l 2-1F
17	Newport	36	12	7	17	-16	43	w 3-2A	w 1-4F	Apr 18	l 6-3A
18	MK Dons Away	35	12	6	17	-4	42	Mar 15	w 0-1F	-	-
19	Gillingham	35	11	8	16	-8	41	May 3	l 1-0A	l 0-1A	Apr 12
20	Harrogate	36	11	7	18	-16	40	d 0-00-0	w 0-1F	w 2-1F	w 1-5F
21	Accrington	36	10	9	17	-10	39	w 2-1F	d 2-2A	w 2-1F	l 2-0A
22	Tranmere	36	7	12	17	-28	33	d 0-00-0	d 1-1A	d 1-1F	d 1-1F
23	Morecambe	36	8	5	23	-23	29	Mar 22	w 0-1F	w 2-1A	w 1-3F
24	Carlisle	35	6	9	20	-26	27	d 0-00-0	Apr 18	w 3-0F	Mar 25

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	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Port Vale have not lost in 7 consecutive home league games

MK Dons have not won in 7 consecutive away league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Port Vale	0 - 0	Harrogate
Port Vale	2 - 1	Salford
Port Vale	1 - 0	Notts C
Port Vale	2 - 1	Accrington
Port Vale	3 - 2	Newport
Port Vale	0 - 0	Cheltenham
Port Vale	0 - 0	Carlisle
Port Vale	0 - 1	Walsall
Port Vale	1 - 1	Crewe
Port Vale	3 - 2	AFC Wim
Port Vale	3 - 1	Fleetwood
Port Vale	1 - 1	Colchester
Port Vale	2 - 1	Swindon
Port Vale	1 - 0	Chesterfield
Port Vale	2 - 3	Doncaster
Port Vale	0 - 0	Tranmere
Port Vale	0 - 0	Cambridge
Port Vale	1 - 2	Wycombe
Port Vale	2 - 4	Exeter
Port Vale	2 - 0	Bristol R

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Port Vale	1 - 2	Colchester
A	Port Vale	1 - 1	Fleetwood
H	Port Vale	0 - 0	Harrogate
A	Port Vale	1 - 1	Tranmere
H	Port Vale	2 - 1	Salford
H	Port Vale	1 - 0	Notts C
A	Port Vale	3 - 3	Swindon
H	Port Vale	2 - 1	Accrington
A	Port Vale	1 - 1	Chesterfield
H	Port Vale	3 - 2	Newport
A	Port Vale	2 - 1	Doncaster
H	Port Vale	0 - 0	Cheltenham
A	Port Vale	0 - 3	Grimsby
A	Port Vale	1 - 2	Bradford
H	Port Vale	0 - 0	Carlisle
A	Port Vale	0 - 0	Bromley
H	Port Vale	0 - 1	Walsall
A	Port Vale	1 - 1	Cheltenham
H	Port Vale	1 - 1	Crewe
A	Port Vale	1 - 0	Morecambe

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

19 / 20

Clean sheets

1 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Accrington	2 - 0	MK Dons
Bradford	2 - 0	MK Dons
Tranmere	1 - 1	MK Dons
Barrow	2 - 1	MK Dons
Doncaster	2 - 1	MK Dons
Fleetwood	2 - 1	MK Dons
Walsall	4 - 2	MK Dons
Chesterfield	1 - 2	MK Dons
Newport	6 - 3	MK Dons
Grimsby	1 - 3	MK Dons
Morecambe	1 - 3	MK Dons
Harrogate	1 - 5	MK Dons
Bromley	1 - 1	MK Dons
AFC Wim	3 - 0	MK Dons
Salford	1 - 0	MK Dons
Colchester	2 - 0	MK Dons
Crawley	3 - 0	MK Dons
Harrogate	3 - 5	MK Dons
Forest Green	0 - 2	MK Dons
Notts C	3 - 3	MK Dons

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

18 / 20

Clean sheets

2 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	MK Dons	2 - 1	Morecambe
A	MK Dons	0 - 2	Accrington
H	MK Dons	0 - 1	Colchester
A	MK Dons	0 - 2	Bradford
A	MK Dons	1 - 1	Tranmere
A	MK Dons	1 - 2	Barrow
H	MK Dons	0 - 1	Bromley
A	MK Dons	1 - 2	Doncaster
H	MK Dons	2 - 1	Harrogate
H	MK Dons	0 - 0	AFC Wim
A	MK Dons	1 - 2	Fleetwood
A	MK Dons	2 - 4	Walsall
H	MK Dons	0 - 1	Salford
A	MK Dons	2 - 1	Chesterfield
H	MK Dons	1 - 1	Crewe
H	MK Dons	0 - 2	Notts C
A	MK Dons	3 - 6	Newport
H	MK Dons	0 - 1	Gillingham
H	MK Dons	3 - 0	Chesterfield
H	MK Dons	3 - 2	Cheltenham

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Port Vale

MK Dons

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

4 / 7

3 / 7

Clean sheets

4 / 7

3 / 7

PTV

MKD

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Port Vale
Port Vale	1 - 0
	0 - 2	MK Dons
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Port Vale	1 - 0
Port Vale	3 - 1
Port Vale	3 - 2

MK Dons

Port Vale

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

5 / 8

Clean sheets

3 / 8

PTV

MKD

FIXTURE HISTORY AT MK Dons
	0 - 1	Port Vale
MK Dons	2 - 1
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	0 - 1	Port Vale
MK Dons	1 - 0
MK Dons	3 - 0
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw

Goal Statistics

Port Vale's fans will be hoping for goals on Saturday afternoon, not least because MK Dons have conceded in each of their last 9 League Two matches. A PG of 1.7 for Darren Moore's side suggests that run should continue.

	Port Vale 6th	MK Dons 18th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.7 goals	1.1 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 19% 1 31% 2 26% 3 15% 4+ 9% There is a 81% probability that Port Vale will score 1 or more goals	0 33% 1 37% 2 20% 3 4+ There is a 70% probability that MK Dons will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-11 Port Vale have scored 11% fewer goals at home than predicted	+13 MK Dons have scored 13% more goals when away than predicted
	1.3 average goals scored	1.7 average goals scored
	1.0 conceded	2.1 conceded

Attack defence ratings
League Two - 2024/2025 season

better

PTV

MKD

view stats

Games scored	25		23
Failed to score	9		12
Scored first	17		15
Goals scored	43		46
Avg. goals scored	1.2		1.3
Avg. shots per game	8		8
Avg. shots per goal	6		6
Conversion rate for	16		16
Avg. XG for	1.2		1.1
KickOff rating		+5%

28%

better

PTV

MKD

view stats

Games conceded	22		31
Clean sheets	12		4
Conceded first	12		19
Goals conceded	35		50
Avg. goals conceded	1		1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded	7		9
Avg. shots/goal conceded	7		7
Conversion rate against	13%		15%
Avg. XG against	1.1		1.3
KickOff rating		+28%

Port Vale v MK Dons League Two lLine ups will show here when available.

Port Vale League Two squad statistics 2024/2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
33	7	6	9
C Hall	L Tolaj	L Tolaj	R Croasdale

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
R Croasdale MID	34	3	3	9 -
C Hall DEF	33			4 -
R Curtis FWD	31	4	3	3 1
L Tolaj FWD	26	7	6	3 -
J Stockley FWD	26	7	5	5 -
T Sang DEF	25		2	1 3
B Heneghan DEF	24			4 -
J Debrah DEF	24	1		5 -
E Chislett MID	24	4	1	4 -
K John DEF	23		2	4 -
B Garrity MID	21	3	2	3 -
R Richards MID	20	3	2	1 -
A Hackford FWD	20	4	1	1 -
S Hart DEF	17			2 -
G Byers MID	16	1		2 -
N Smith DEF	14		1	2 -
R Harper MID	14	1		3 1
B Amos GLK	12			1 -
J Shorrock MID	11	1	1	2 -
J Lowe MID	11			1 -
M Clark DEF	9			1 1
J. Umolu FWD	7			-
J. Headley DEF	5	1	1	-
R. Walters MID	2			-
D Edwards MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
7	20	6	18
L Tolaj	J Stockley	L Tolaj	T Sang

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
L Tolaj FWD	7	16	6	15
J Stockley FWD	7	20	5	14
A Hackford FWD	4	9	1	5
E Chislett MID	4	10	1	15
R Curtis FWD	4	17	3	14
R Richards MID	3	8	2	13
B Garrity MID	3	6	2	8
R Croasdale MID	3	6	3	16
J Debrah DEF	1	1		1
G Byers MID	1	2		8
J. Headley DEF	1	4	1	1
J Shorrock MID	1	2	1	4
R Harper MID	1	4		2
S Hart DEF				1
C Hall DEF		6		8
N Smith DEF		2	1	5
K John DEF		2	2	8
T Sang DEF			2	18
J Lowe MID				2
M Clark DEF				4
J. Umolu FWD				1
B Heneghan DEF		3		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1544	89	252
C Hall	R Croasdale	J Stockley

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
C Hall DEF	1544	39	213
R Croasdale MID	1197	89	185
J Debrah DEF	797	32	105
T Sang DEF	774	41	102
B Garrity MID	682	34	118
B Heneghan DEF	605	10	111
K John DEF	588	39	117
L Tolaj FWD	540	21	111
E Chislett MID	534	31	98
R Curtis FWD	531	31	140
G Byers MID	477	37	72
J Stockley FWD	434	15	252
N Smith DEF	402	11	99
B Amos GLK	318		8
R Harper MID	300	12	46
S Hart DEF	290	26	67
R Richards MID	207	20	66
J Shorrock MID	194	16	27
M Clark DEF	178	11	35
J Lowe MID	117	3	9
A Hackford FWD	113	8	42
J. Headley DEF	94	12	28
R. Walters MID	39	4	16
J. Umolu FWD	15	2	8
D Edwards MID	1		1

MK Dons League Two squad statistics 2024/2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
35	10	8	8
A Gilbey	A Gilbey	A Nemane	A Gilbey

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
A Gilbey MID	35	10	1	8 -
A Nemane MID	32		8	7 -
L Offord DEF	31	3		8 -
L Kelly MID	29	1	3	1 -
J Tomlinson MID	29	4	2	3 -
J White MID	26	6	1	8 -
S Hogan FWD	25	6	1	2 -
C Lemonheigh-Evans MID	23	2		5 -
C Hendry FWD	23	3	2	5 1
N Lawrence DEF	21			2 -
L Maguire DEF	19	1	1	4 -
K Thompson-Sommers MID	14	2		1 -
D Crowley MID	12		3	1 -
S Sherring DEF	10			4 -
J Williams MID	10		1	4 -
T O'Reilly MID	8	1		1 -
C Trueman GLK	7			1 -
C. Waller DEF	7			1 -
D Orsi FWD	7	2		1 -
T Patterson DEF	6			3 -
D Lewington DEF	4			1 -
C MacGillivray GLK	3			-
J Sanders DEF	3			1 -
N Thompson DEF	2			1 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
10	31	8	26
A Gilbey	A Gilbey	A Nemane	L Kelly

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
A Gilbey MID	10	31	1	18
J White MID	6	8	1	22
S Hogan FWD	6	22	1	4
J Tomlinson MID	4	17	2	19
L Offord DEF	3	5		5
C Hendry FWD	3	11	2	8
D Orsi FWD	2	5
C Lemonheigh-Evans MID	2	7		3
K Thompson-Sommers MID	2	2		2
L Kelly MID	1	1	3	26
L Maguire DEF	1	2	1	8
T O'Reilly MID	1	2
T Patterson DEF		1		2
D Crowley MID			3	15
C. Waller DEF		1
J Williams MID		1	1	2
S Sherring DEF				3
A Nemane MID		5	8	18
N Lawrence DEF				3

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1957	59	171
L Offord	C Lemonheigh-Evans	C Lemonheigh-Evans

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
L Offord DEF	1957	47	161
L Kelly MID	1714	43	82
N Lawrence DEF	1446	23	117
A Gilbey MID	1184	55	160
L Maguire DEF	1177	19	116
J White MID	1042	33	94
J Tomlinson MID	1013	41	160
A Nemane MID	909	45	119
C Lemonheigh-Evans MID	838	59	171
D Crowley MID	777	18	67
S Sherring DEF	594	20	53
J Williams MID	392	14	74
C Hendry FWD	335	20	75
S Hogan FWD	296	1	45
J Sanders DEF	284	5	28
K Thompson-Sommers MID	283	16	31
C. Waller DEF	276	6	36
C Trueman GLK	253		5
D Lewington DEF	116	5	18
C MacGillivray GLK	111		1
T Patterson DEF	92	10	33
N Thompson DEF	75	1	11
T O'Reilly MID	66	2	9
D Orsi FWD	45	4	14

English League Two match betting previews, predictions and odds

Notts C v Chesterfield

Colchester v Fleetwood

Accrington v Gillingham

Port Vale v Morecambe

Chesterfield v Harrogate

Bradford v Colchester

Port Vale v MK Dons : League Two match betting preview, prediction and odds

Port Vale have played 35 matches so far this season and lay in 6th place in the League Two league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

Home League Performance

MK Dons are in 18th position in the League Two on 42 points having played 35 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

Performance against teams above them in the league

Port Vale v MK Dons League Two lLine ups will show here when available.

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