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Newport County v Morecambe : League Two match betting preview, prediction and odds

Tue 4th Feb, 19:45 BST, Rodney Parade, Newport

We’ve League Two action to enjoy on Tuesday evening, as Nélson Marques Jardim and his Newport County side host Derek Adams’s Morecambe at the Rodney Parade. It's our aim to give you everything you need to make a smart bet on this encounter, so we've delved into our expansive database and found the stats that are most significant. Head-to-head and recent form is included, and the KickOff predictions are produced from them. Odds are there to make sure you get the best return.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top League Two Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We're ruling out a bore-draw or a sneaky 1-0 win here, and instead we're tipping over 1.5 goals. That means that Newport and Morecambe will score a minimum of two between them during 90 minutes. It's a prediction based on each side's recent form stats, as well as their historic head-to-heads. We give it a probability of 78%. Bookmakers have it priced at 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Newport are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 41% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.62.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Newport
41%
2.62
10%
2.50
5%
Draw
25%
3.20
2%
3.50
6%
Morecambe
34%
2.70
10%
2.70
7%
Draw 1-1
12%
6.506.50
8%
Newport 1-0
9%
10.008.50
Newport 2-1
9%
10.00
5%
8.50
Morecambe 1-0
8%
10.00
9%
8.50
11%
Morecambe 2-1
8%
10.00
9%
9.00
5%
Newport 2-0
7%
13.0011.00
Draw 0-0
6%
12.009.50
Draw 2-2
6%
12.0011.00
Morecambe 2-0
5%
15.0012.00
8%
Newport 3-1
4%
21.00
11%
15.00
Morecambe 3-1
4%
21.0015.00
12%
Newport 3-0
3%
26.00
13%
19.00
12%
Newport 3-2
3%
26.0019.00
Morecambe 3-2
3%
26.00
10%
19.00
10%
Morecambe 3-0
2%
26.00
10%
21.00
9%
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
1.801.80
3%
Under 2.5 Goals
46%
2.001.95
Home 1st Goal
50%
1.83
2%
-
Away 1st Goal
47%
2.05
2%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
12.00-
BTTS - Yes
57%
1.621.65
2%
BTTS - No
43%
2.202.10
2%
BTTS - Home Win
21%
4.75
6%
4.40
5%
BTTS - Draw
19%
4.004.20
BTTS - Away Win
17%
5.004.60
4%
Home/draw
66%
1.44
6%
1.44
3%
Away/draw
59%
1.44
6%
1.50
4%
Home/away
75%
1.36
2%
1.30
Over 1.5 Goals
77%
1.25
2%
1.25
Under 1.5 Goals
23%
3.75
6%
3.60
Over 3.5 Goals
31%
3.00
9%
2.90
4%
Under 3.5 Goals
69%
1.36
3%
1.36
3%
Over 4.5 Goals
16%
5.505.25
5%
Under 4.5 Goals
84%
1.141.13
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
13.00
18%
10.00
5%
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1.04
1%
1.04
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1.05
1%
1.04
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
11.00
8%
9.50
Home DNB
58%
1.83
6%
1.80
8%
Away DNB
52%
1.83
9%
1.91
7%
Newport win to nil
20%
5.00
11%
-
Morecambe win to nil
17%
5.00
9%
-
Newport / Newport
19%
4.33
8%
3.90
5%
Newport / Morecambe
3%
26.0021.00
Newport / Draw
6%
13.0012.00
Draw / Newport
14%
6.005.75
5%
Draw / Morecambe
13%
6.00
8%
6.00
8%
Draw / Draw
15%
5.505.00
4%
Morecambe / Newport
3%
26.00
13%
21.00
11%
Morecambe / Morecambe
19%
4.33
4%
4.20
9%
Morecambe / Draw
6%
13.0012.00
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Win / draw / win League Two table

Newport have played 26 matches so far this season and lay in 21st place in the League Two league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 2 games against teams below in the table, having won 1, drawn 0 and lost 1 match. They have kept 1 clean sheet and have scored in every game. Newport have outscored their opponents by 34 goals to 22 goals.

Home League Performance

Newport have played 11 games at home winning 5, drawing 2 and losing 4 games. They have scored 20 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and conceded 18 goals at home.

Morecambe are in 24th position in the League Two on 20 points having played 27 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

9 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 20 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 12 goals in total and failed to score in 8 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

27 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 17 games, drawn 5 and won 5. Morecambe have conceded 42 goals, scored 22, failed to score in 14 fixtures and have kept 3 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Newport
Morecambe
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Walsall2718452458 
Apr 21
l
 
2-0A
Feb 22
l
 
1-0A
2
Doncaster281477949 
w
 
3-1A
Mar 1
Feb 18
l
 
1-0A
3
Notts C2713861647 
Mar 29
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1F
Feb 8
4
Bradford2713861147 
Feb 15
l
 
3-1A
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-0A
5
Crewe28121151147 
w
 
2-1F
Feb 8
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
6
AFC Wim2613671845 
l
 
1-2A
d
 
2-2A
Mar 4
l
 
3-0A
7
Port Vale271296545 
l
 
1-4A
l
 
3-2F
l
 
0-1A
Mar 22
8
Salford271278743 
w
 
3-1F
d
 
1-1F
Apr 21
l
 
1-0A
9
Chesterfield2710981239 
l
 
0-3A
Mar 8
l
 
2-5A
Apr 26
10
Grimsby2812313-739 
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 22
l
 
0-3A
Apr 5
11
MK Dons2711511338 
w
 
6-3F
Apr 18
l
 
1-3A
Mar 8
12
Fleetwood26998436 
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 26
Feb 1
d
 
2-2A
13
Bromley278118135 
Apr 1
l
 
5-2A
l
 
0-2A
Apr 18
14
Cheltenham279810-335 
Feb 22
l
 
3-2A
Apr 1
l
 
2-0A
15
Colchester277137234 
Apr 12
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
3-3F
l
 
1-0A
16
Swindon2981011-534 
l
 
1-2F
l
 
4-0A
Mar 29
w
 
2-3F
17
Gillingham269512-332 
Mar 4
w
 
0-2F
l
 
0-1A
Mar 1
18
Barrow278712-431 
Feb 1
l
 
2-0A
Mar 15
w
 
0-1F
19
Accrington267811-1029 
w
 
3-1F
Mar 11
Feb 15
l
 
2-1A
20
Harrogate298516-1629 
Mar 15
l
 
1-0A
May 3
w
 
1-2F
21
Newport Home267613-1227 
-
-
l
 
0-1A
Feb 4
22
Tranmere276813-2326 
May 3
l
 
2-1A
w
 
2-0F
d
 
2-2F
23
Carlisle275616-2021 
Feb 11
Apr 5
Apr 12
w
 
0-1F
24
Morecambe Away275517-2020 
Feb 4
w
 
0-1F
-
-
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Newport 21ST
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
36
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
8
D
2
Lost
10
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Newport1 - 2Swindon
Newport1 - 2AFC Wim
Newport6 - 3MK Dons
Newport0 - 0Grimsby
Newport0 - 0Fleetwood
Newport0 - 3Chesterfield
Newport3 - 1Salford
Newport2 - 1Crewe
Newport1 - 4Port Vale
Newport3 - 1Accrington
Newport3 - 1Doncaster
Newport0 - 1Salford
Newport1 - 2Tranmere
Newport1 - 3Accrington
Newport0 - 4Crawley
Newport5 - 3Morecambe
Newport0 - 1Mansfield
Newport1 - 0Gillingham
Newport1 - 3Notts C
Newport2 - 1Swindon
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
4
Draw
6
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ANewport1 - 1Salford
HNewport1 - 2Swindon
ANewport2 - 3Port Vale
HNewport1 - 2AFC Wim
ANewport0 - 2Walsall
ANewport2 - 5Bromley
HNewport6 - 3MK Dons
ANewport0 - 0Colchester
ANewport2 - 2AFC Wim
ANewport0 - 0Notts C
HNewport0 - 0Grimsby
ANewport1 - 2Tranmere
HNewport0 - 0Fleetwood
ANewport2 - 0Gillingham
HNewport0 - 3Chesterfield
ANewport0 - 1Harrogate
ANewport1 - 3Bradford
HNewport3 - 1Salford
HNewport2 - 1Crewe
ANewport0 - 2Barrow
Morecambe 24TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
5
D
3
Lost
12
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Bradford1 - 0Morecambe
Colchester1 - 0Morecambe
Salford1 - 0Morecambe
Carlisle0 - 1Morecambe
Cheltenham2 - 0Morecambe
Tranmere2 - 2Morecambe
Swindon2 - 3Morecambe
Harrogate1 - 2Morecambe
AFC Wim3 - 0Morecambe
Barrow0 - 1Morecambe
Accrington2 - 1Morecambe
Fleetwood2 - 2Morecambe
Crewe1 - 0Morecambe
Doncaster1 - 0Morecambe
Walsall1 - 0Morecambe
Swindon3 - 3Morecambe
Stockport2 - 0Morecambe
Accrington1 - 2Morecambe
Salford3 - 1Morecambe
Newport5 - 3Morecambe
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
5
D
3
Lost
12
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AMorecambe0 - 1Bradford
AMorecambe0 - 1Colchester
HMorecambe0 - 1Crewe
HMorecambe2 - 0Tranmere
AMorecambe0 - 1Salford
AMorecambe1 - 0Carlisle
HMorecambe0 - 2Bromley
AMorecambe0 - 2Cheltenham
HMorecambe0 - 3Grimsby
AMorecambe2 - 2Tranmere
AMorecambe3 - 2Swindon
HMorecambe0 - 1Port Vale
AMorecambe2 - 1Harrogate
HMorecambe2 - 5Chesterfield
AMorecambe0 - 3AFC Wim
HMorecambe1 - 3MK Dons
AMorecambe1 - 0Barrow
AMorecambe1 - 2Accrington
HMorecambe1 - 1Bradford
HMorecambe1 - 1Notts C
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Newport have beaten Morecambe in 3 consecutive league meetings
7
Newport have not lost to Morecambe in 7 consecutive league meetings
League games at Newport since 2013
Newport
Morecambe
Goals: Scored
14
13
Games: Scored
8 / 9
8 / 9
Clean sheets
1 / 9
1 / 9
NEW
3
D
3
MOR
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Newport
Newport5 - 3
Newport2 - 1
Newport1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 2Morecambe
0 - 1Morecambe
2 - 3Morecambe
League games at Morecambe since 2014
Morecambe
Newport
Goals: Scored
15
15
Games: Scored
8 / 11
10 / 11
Clean sheets
1 / 11
3 / 11
NEW
5
D
2
MOR
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Morecambe
0 - 1Newport
1 - 2Newport
Draw0 - 0Draw
1 - 3Newport
Morecambe2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Morecambe2 - 1
0 - 1Newport
1 - 2Newport
Morecambe3 - 2
Morecambe4 - 1
Goal Statistics
Newport 21st Morecambe 24th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Newport will score 1 or more goals
0
26%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 61% probability that Morecambe will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+7
Newport’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-3
Morecambe’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.6
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
1.8
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
League Two - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/281490/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Newport
PG (predicted goals)
Morecambe
1.5
1.3
Attack rating
18%
better
NEW
MOR
view stats
Games scored15
13
Failed to score9
12
Scored first7
9
Goals scored32
22
Avg. goals scored1.3
0.9
Avg. shots per game7
7
Avg. shots per goal5
8
Conversion rate for20
12
Avg. XG for1.1
0.9
KickOff rating
+18%
Defence rating
10%
better
NEW
MOR
view stats
Games conceded18
22
Clean sheets6
3
Conceded first13
16
Goals conceded43
40
Avg. goals conceded1.8
1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded11
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
6
Conversion rate against16%
16%
Avg. XG against1.7
1.6
KickOff rating
+10%

Newport v Morecambe League Two lLine ups will show here when available.

Newport League Two squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
23557
N TownsendK HudlinA Driscoll-GlennonA Driscoll-Glennon
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
K Evans MID2412
3
-
B Kamwa FWD2443
3
-
N Townsend GLK23
2
-
C Antwi MID221
3
-
M Baker DEF213
2
-
A Driscoll-Glennon DEF205
7
-
C Brennan DEF20
2
1
K Hudlin FWD2051
4
-
C Baker-Richardson FWD1931
3
-
K Jameson DEF18
4
3
C Evans DEF1821
6
-
M Spellman FWD182
1
-
S McLoughlin MID1721
2
-
A Wildig MID154
4
-
K. Whitmore MID152
2
-
O. Greaves MID1321
-
L Jephcott FWD122
1
-
N Mawene MID10
1
-
J Clarke DEF7
1
-
J. Thomas DEF4
-
K Rai FWD4
-
J Carney GLK3
-
T Davies DEF3
-
D Ajiboye FWD3
-
G. Bony FWD3
-
J Martin FWD2
-
Morecambe League Two squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
27648
J StottB TollittA LewisD Tutonda
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Stott DEF273
1
-
B Tollitt FWD2762
3
-
A Lewis DEF2614
3
-
D Tutonda DEF26
8
-
L Hendrie DEF263
6
1
C Jones MID2411
1
-
R Williams DEF231
6
-
J Slew FWD221
2
-
M Dackers FWD223
2
-
H Macadam MID211
2
-
T White MID21
5
-
Y Songo'o MID1921
4
-
H Hope FWD192
2
-
S Moore GLK15
-
P Lewis MID14
2
-
G Edwards MID1411
2
-
H Burgoyne GLK13
1
-
R Millen DEF12
-
L Angol FWD91
3
1
M Taylor DEF5
-
C Cooke MID3
-
G Ray DEF2
-
L. Dobson MID1
-
A. Fairclough MID1
-