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Morecambe v Grimsby Town : League Two match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 7th Dec, 15:00 BST, Globe Arena, Morecambe

Morecambe and their manager Derek Adams will be hoping for victory against David Artell and his Grimsby Town side on Saturday afternoon, as the pair meet at the Globe Arena in the League Two. We've analysed both sides' last 20 League Two matches, as well as trends within the competition and the market, to generate our match predictions. All the stats, including head-to-heads, are shown below, alongside the best odds.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top League Two Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

KickOff's predictive algorithm suggests there is a 75% chance of Morecambe and Grimsby delivering a minimum of 2 goals in this League Two tie. Recent form stats and head-to-head (H2H) records are factored into that calculation , and the bookmakers like the look of it as a tip too. This over 1.5 goals tip is available at a best price of 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 45% chance of Grimsby coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Morecambe
30%
8/513/8
1%
Draw
26%
23/1012/5
Grimsby
45%
8/5
1%
13/8
Draw 1-1
12%
11/25/1
Grimsby 1-0
10%
17/215/2
Grimsby 2-1
9%
9/18/1
Morecambe 1-0
8%
17/27/1
6%
Grimsby 2-0
8%
12/111/1
Morecambe 2-1
7%
9/18/1
Draw 0-0
7%
10/18/1
5%
Draw 2-2
5%
12/110/1
Morecambe 2-0
5%
12/111/1
9%
Grimsby 3-1
5%
20/116/1
13%
Grimsby 3-0
4%
25/120/1
11%
Morecambe 3-1
3%
20/114/1
Grimsby 3-2
3%
28/120/1
Morecambe 3-2
2%
28/120/1
Morecambe 3-0
2%
25/118/1
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
9/10
3%
17/20
3%
Under 2.5 Goals
50%
9/10
3%
17/20
3%
Home 1st Goal
45%
20/21
7%
-
Away 1st Goal
51%
20/21
5%
-
No 1st Goal
4%
10/1-
BTTS - Yes
54%
4/67/10
2%
BTTS - No
46%
11/1021/20
2%
BTTS - Home Win
14%
4/118/5
2%
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/316/5
BTTS - Away Win
21%
4/118/5
Home/draw
55%
1/2
4%
10/21
Away/draw
70%
1/210/21
Home/away
74%
1/33/10
Over 1.5 Goals
75%
2/7
3%
2/7
3%
Under 1.5 Goals
25%
5/2
7%
12/5
3%
Over 3.5 Goals
28%
9/42/1
Under 3.5 Goals
72%
1/37/20
Over 4.5 Goals
13%
11/2
8%
19/4
5%
Under 4.5 Goals
87%
1/9
1%
1/8
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
12/110/1
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/251/33
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/201/20
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
10/18/1
5%
Home DNB
47%
5/617/20
1%
Away DNB
63%
5/617/20
Morecambe win to nil
15%
7/2-
Grimsby win to nil
24%
7/2
10%
-
Morecambe / Morecambe
19%
10/33/1
Morecambe / Grimsby
3%
25/120/1
Morecambe / Draw
6%
12/111/1
Draw / Morecambe
14%
5/119/4
Draw / Grimsby
13%
5/15/1
4%
Draw / Draw
16%
9/219/5
Grimsby / Morecambe
3%
25/120/1
Grimsby / Grimsby
19%
10/316/5
Grimsby / Draw
6%
12/111/1
bet365
Win / draw / win League Two table

Morecambe have played 18 matches so far this season and are in 22nd position in the league. Morecambe are having a poor run against away teams, having not won a match so far this season. They have also not scored in 3 of those games.

Performance against teams above them in the league

17 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 10 games, drawn 5 and won 2. Morecambe have conceded 29 goals, scored 16, failed to score in 7 matches and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

Morecambe have played 8 games at home, winning 0, drawing 3 and losing 5 fixtures. They have scored 8 goals, conceded 16 goals, kept 0 clean sheets and failed to score 3 times in home league games.

Grimsby lay in 7th place on 28 points in the League Two league table having played 18 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 14 games against teams below them in the table, winning 9, drawing 1 and losing 4 games. They have scored 21 goals and kept 5 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Grimsby have conceded 14 goals and have failed to score in 3 matches.

Away league performance

Grimsby have played 9 away games, winning 5, drawing 1 and losing 3 games. They have scored an average of 1.1 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.1 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Morecambe
Grimsby
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Port Vale181053835 
l
 
0-1A
Mar 22
Dec 29
Apr 21
2
Walsall1710431434 
Feb 22
l
 
1-0A
l
 
1-4A
Mar 8
3
MK Dons179351130 
l
 
1-3A
Mar 8
l
 
1-3F
Apr 26
4
Crewe17863630 
Jan 18
l
 
1-0A
Dec 14
Apr 1
5
Doncaster17854429 
-
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-3A
Feb 15
6
Notts C18774728 
d
 
1-1F
Feb 8
Jan 11
l
 
4-1A
7
Grimsby Away18918-428 
Dec 7
Apr 5
-
-
8
AFC Wim178361127 
Mar 4
l
 
3-0A
May 3
w
 
0-1F
9
Chesterfield18675725 
l
 
2-5A
Apr 26
Jan 18
l
 
2-1A
10
Bradford17665424 
d
 
1-1F
Jan 28
w
 
2-1F
Jan 4
11
Salford17665-124 
Apr 21
Dec 29
Mar 15
w
 
1-2F
12
Gillingham16727323 
l
 
0-1A
Mar 1
Jan 28
w
 
0-1F
13
Barrow18657123 
Mar 15
w
 
0-1F
l
 
1-2A
Jan 25
14
Fleetwood15573522 
Feb 1
d
 
2-2A
Feb 22
l
 
1-0A
15
Cheltenham18648-322 
Apr 1
Dec 14
w
 
3-2F
Mar 1
16
Newport18648-722 
l
 
0-1A
Jan 5
Mar 22
d
 
0-00-0
17
Colchester18495121 
d
 
3-3F
Jan 25
l
 
0-1A
Mar 28
18
Harrogate18639-921 
May 3
w
 
1-2F
Dec 26
Apr 12
19
Accrington17467-718 
Feb 15
l
 
2-1A
w
 
5-2F
Jan 1
20
Tranmere17467-1018 
Jan 1
d
 
2-2F
Mar 4
w
 
0-1F
21
Bromley16385-217 
Dec 21
Apr 18
w
 
1-0F
Feb 1
22
Morecambe Home183510-1214 
-
-
Apr 5
Dec 7
23
Carlisle183510-1514 
Apr 12
Dec 26
Feb 8
w
 
2-3A
24
Swindon18279-1213 
Mar 29
w
 
2-3F
Apr 18
Dec 21
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
3
Morecambe have lost 3 consecutive home league games
11
Morecambe have not won in 11 consecutive home league games
6
Grimsby have not lost in 6 consecutive away league games
3
Grimsby have kept a clean sheet for 3 consecutive away league games
Morecambe 22ND
20 league games
Home
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
3
Draw
6
Lost
11
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
36
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
3
Draw
6
Lost
11
Grimsby 7TH
20 league games
Away
6
Overall
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
10
D
1
Lost
9
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Morecambe since 2008
Morecambe
Grimsby
Goals: Scored
8
11
Games: Scored
6 / 9
7 / 9
Clean sheets
2 / 9
3 / 9
MOR
2
D
5
GRI
2
League games at Grimsby since 2007
Grimsby
Morecambe
Goals: Scored
12
16
Games: Scored
7 / 9
8 / 9
Clean sheets
1 / 9
2 / 9
MOR
5
D
1
GRI
3
Goal Statistics

Grimsby Town's fans will be hoping for goals on Saturday afternoon, not least because Morecambe have conceded in each of their last 7 League Two outings. A PG of 1.5 for David Artell's side suggests that run should continue.

Morecambe 22nd Grimsby 7th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 67% probability that Morecambe will score no more than 1 goal
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 78% probability that Grimsby will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-24
Morecambe have scored 24% fewer goals at home than predicted
-14
Grimsby have scored 14% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.0
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
1.7
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
League Two - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/281416/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Morecambe
PG (predicted goals)
Grimsby
1.2
1.5
Attack rating
MOR
GRI
21%
better
view stats
Games scored11
14
Failed to score7
4
Scored first7
9
Goals scored19
24
Avg. goals scored1.1
1.3
Avg. shots per game7
8
Avg. shots per goal7
6
Conversion rate for15
17
Avg. XG for0.9
0.9
KickOff rating
+21%
Defence rating
MOR
GRI
22%
better
view stats
Games conceded17
13
Clean sheets1
5
Conceded first11
8
Goals conceded31
28
Avg. goals conceded1.7
1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded10
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
6
Conversion rate against17%
17%
Avg. XG against1.6
1.6
KickOff rating
+22%

Morecambe v Grimsby League Two lLine ups will show here when available.

Morecambe League Two squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
18644
J StottB TollittA LewisD Tutonda
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Tutonda DEF18
4
-
J Stott DEF182
1
-
B Tollitt MID1862
3
-
L Hendrie DEF173
3
1
A Lewis DEF1714
2
-
S Moore GLK15
-
R Williams DEF151
1
-
H Macadam MID141
1
-
M Dackers FWD141
1
-
J Slew FWD141
2
-
Y Songo'o MID131
4
-
T White MID12
2
-
H Hope FWD122
1
-
P Lewis MID10
1
-
R Millen DEF9
-
K Harrack DEF8
2
1
L Angol FWD81
3
-
G Edwards FWD81
2
-
H Burgoyne GLK4
1
-
M Taylor DEF3
-
C Brown FWD3
-
G Ray DEF2
-
Grimsby League Two squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
18457
C McJannettD RoseD HumeK Green
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C McJannett DEF18
4
-
D Hume DEF185
4
-
E Khouri MID181
3
-
D Rose FWD1841
1
-
H Rodgers DEF173
5
1
G McEachran MID17
3
-
L. Barrington FWD173
-
J Svanthórsson FWD1612
1
-
T Warren DEF14
4
-
L Cass DEF1311
1
-
C Ainley MID131
1
-
K Green MID1223
6
1
D Wilson FWD101
1
-
J Wright GLK9
1
-
D Tharme DEF9
-
C. Gardner MID9
-
C Vernam FWD721
2
-
J. Obikwu FWD72
-
M Carson DEF6
3
-
J Davies  MID63
1
-
J Luker MID41
-
J Eastwood GLK3
-
C Thompson MID3
1
-
R Pyke FWD3
1
-