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Morecambe v Chesterfield : League Two match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 26th Oct, 12:30 BST, Globe Arena, Morecambe

Morecambe are in League Two action on Saturday lunch time, as Derek Adams attempts to outsmart Paul Cook and his Chesterfield side at the Globe Arena. All the odds are provided straight from the bookmaker, while predictions are calculated from statistics over a 20-game period. Particular attention is given to League Two match data, including head-to-head performance. Hit the tabs below to explore.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top League Two Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither Morecambe or Chesterfield are in the kind of form that would leave us feeling confident in tipping a match winner, so we've opted for over 1.5 goals. The statistics tell us that both have form in this market, both individually and when going head-to-head. We're predicting there's a 75% chance of 2 goals or more.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Morecambe
18%
10/310/3
Draw
22%
5/25/2
Chesterfield
60%
5/617/20
Chesterfield 1-0
12%
13/26/1
Chesterfield 2-0
11%
8/17/1
Draw 1-1
11%
11/211/2
Chesterfield 2-1
10%
15/213/2
Chesterfield 3-0
7%
14/112/1
Draw 0-0
6%
9/115/2
Chesterfield 3-1
6%
14/111/1
Morecambe 1-0
6%
11/110/1
Morecambe 2-1
5%
14/111/1
Draw 2-2
5%
14/111/1
Chesterfield 4-0
3%
33/122/1
Chesterfield 4-1
3%
28/120/1
Chesterfield 3-2
3%
25/118/1
Morecambe 2-0
3%
20/116/1
Morecambe 3-1
1%
33/125/1
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
9/1017/20
Under 2.5 Goals
48%
9/1017/20
Home 1st Goal
40%
7/4-
Away 1st Goal
56%
8/15-
No 1st Goal
4%
9/1-
BTTS - Yes
51%
8/114/5
BTTS - No
50%
1/119/20
BTTS - Home Win
9%
7/16/1
BTTS - Draw
16%
7/27/2
BTTS - Away Win
26%
11/413/5
Home/draw
40%
10/1110/11
Away/draw
82%
1/51/5
Home/away
78%
2/73/10
Over 1.5 Goals
76%
1/42/7
Under 1.5 Goals
24%
11/412/5
Over 3.5 Goals
30%
9/421/10
Under 3.5 Goals
70%
1/31/3
Over 4.5 Goals
15%
11/219/4
Under 4.5 Goals
85%
1/91/8
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
12/110/1
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1/251/33
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/161/18
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
9/115/2
Home DNB
34%
9/42/1
Away DNB
75%
1/31/3
Morecambe win to nil
9%
7/1-
Chesterfield win to nil
34%
9/4-
Morecambe / Morecambe
12%
6/111/2
Morecambe / Chesterfield
4%
22/118/1
Morecambe / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Draw / Morecambe
9%
15/215/2
Draw / Chesterfield
17%
15/418/5
Draw / Draw
16%
9/219/5
Chesterfield / Morecambe
3%
33/128/1
Chesterfield / Chesterfield
27%
2/115/8
Chesterfield / Draw
6%
12/111/1
bet365
Win / draw / win League Two table

Morecambe have played 12 matches so far this season and are in 24th position in the league. Morecambe are having a poor run against away teams, having not won a match so far this season. They have also not scored in 2 of those games.

Performance against teams above them in the league

12 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 7 games, drawn 4 and won 1. Morecambe have conceded 17 goals, scored 10, failed to score in 5 matches and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

Morecambe have played 6 games at home, winning 0, drawing 3 and losing 3 fixtures. They have scored 6 goals, conceded 10 goals, kept 0 clean sheets and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

Chesterfield lay in 8th place on 18 points in the League Two league table having played 12 matches. Chesterfield are unbeaten in 7 games against teams below them in the league and kept 2 clean sheets out of 7 games.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 7 games against teams below them in the table, winning 3, drawing 4 and losing 0 games. They have scored 15 goals and kept 2 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Chesterfield have conceded 6 goals and scored in every game.

Away league performance

Chesterfield have played 6 away games, winning 3, drawing 1 and losing 2 games. They have scored an average of 2.2 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.7 goals per away game.

Morecambe
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Chesterfield
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
Nov 16
Mar 22
 Port Vale12732624 
Jan 25
l
 
1-0A
Jan 11
l
 
1-0A
 Doncaster12723423 
Feb 8
w
 
0-3F
Feb 22
l
 
1-0A
 Walsall117131022 
d
 
2-2A
Feb 15
d
 
1-1F
Feb 8
 Notts C12642922 
d
 
2-2F
Mar 15
d
 
1-1F
Jan 28
 Bradford12633621 
Apr 21
Dec 29
l
 
0-1A
Mar 1
 Gillingham12615519 
Jan 5
l
 
1-0A
Mar 15
w
 
0-1F
 Barrow12615419 
Nov 23
Mar 29
Oct 26
Apr 26
 Chesterfield A124621018 
-
-
Jan 18
l
 
1-0A
 Crewe11533118 
Mar 1
w
 
0-5F
Dec 7
Apr 5
 Grimsby12606-618 
w
 
2-1F
Jan 18
Mar 4
Oct 22
 AFC Wim9513716 
Dec 21
Apr 18
Feb 1
d
 
2-2A
 Fleetwood10442516 
Apr 12
Dec 26
l
 
1-3A
Mar 8
 MK Dons12435215 
Jan 1
Dec 3
May 3
Nov 9
 Harrogate12435-615 
Mar 22
Nov 16
l
 
0-1A
Jan 5
 Newport12507-815 
Mar 8
w
 
0-3F
Jan 1
Dec 3
 Tranmere11353-514 
Dec 7
Apr 5
Apr 1
Dec 14
 Cheltenham12417-413 
d
 
1-1F
Feb 1
Apr 21
Dec 29
 Salford11344-413 
d
 
1-1F
Jan 11
Feb 15
l
 
2-1A
 Accrington11335-612 
Nov 9
May 3
d
 
3-3F
Jan 25
 Colchester11254-311 
Oct 22
Mar 4
Mar 29
Nov 23
 Swindon12255-411 
d
 
1-1F
Feb 22
Dec 21
Apr 18
 Bromley11245-310 
Jan 28
d
 
2-2A
Apr 12
Dec 26
 Carlisle12228-138 
Apr 1
Dec 14
-
-
 Morecambe Home12147-77 
Apr 26
Oct 26
Win / draw / win form
9
Morecambe have not won in 9 consecutive home league games
Morecambe 24TH
20 league games
Home
9
Overall
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
W
3
Draw
7
Lost
10
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
3
Draw
5
Lost
12
Chesterfield 8TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
4
D
4
Lost
12
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
5
Draw
7
Lost
8
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Morecambe since 2008
Morecambe
Chesterfield
Goals: Scored
12
10
Games: Scored
6 / 7
6 / 7
Clean sheets
1 / 7
1 / 7
MOR
2
D
4
CHF
1
League games at Chesterfield since 2007
Chesterfield
Morecambe
Goals: Scored
6
10
Games: Scored
5 / 7
6 / 7
Clean sheets
1 / 7
2 / 7
MOR
3
D
3
CHF
1
Goal Statistics

A truly dismal PG of just 0.9 should cause concerns for Morecambe fans, as should a 5 League Two games run in which they have failed to score more than 1 goal.

Chesterfield have been consistent in attack of late, scoring in 6 consecutive League Two matches. Their PG of 1.9 against Morecambe on Saturday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Morecambe 24th Chesterfield 8th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
0.9
goals
1.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
40%
1
37%
2
17%
3
4+
There is a 77% probability of Morecambe scoring 1 goal or less
0
16%
1
29%
2
27%
3
17%
4+
12%
There is a 84% probability that Chesterfield will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-26
Morecambe have scored 26% fewer goals at home than predicted
=0
Chesterfield’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.0
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
1.6
conceded
1.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
League Two - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/281356/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Morecambe
PG (predicted goals)
Chesterfield
0.9
1.9
Attack rating
MOR
CHF
45%
better
view stats
Games scored7
10
Failed to score5
2
Scored first4
8
Goals scored10
22
Avg. goals scored0.8
1.8
Avg. shots per game7
8
Avg. shots per goal9
4
Conversion rate for12
23
Avg. XG for0.9
1.4
KickOff rating
+45%
Defence rating
MOR
CHF
30%
better
view stats
Games conceded11
9
Clean sheets1
3
Conceded first8
4
Goals conceded17
12
Avg. goals conceded1.4
1
Avg. shots/game conceded10
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
8
Conversion rate against14%
12%
Avg. XG against1.6
1
KickOff rating
+30%

Morecambe v Chesterfield League Two lLine ups will show here when available.

Morecambe League Two squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
12324
S MooreB TollittA LewisY Songo'o
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Moore GLK12
-
D Tutonda DEF12
2
-
J Stott DEF121
-
B Tollitt MID1231
3
-
L Hendrie DEF11
2
-
A Lewis DEF112
2
-
Y Songo'o MID101
4
-
J Slew FWD101
2
-
R Williams DEF9
-
H Macadam MID9
-
H Hope FWD91
1
-
P Lewis MID8
1
-
M Dackers FWD81
-
L Angol FWD81
3
-
R Millen DEF7
-
T White MID6
1
-
K Harrack DEF5
2
-
G Edwards FWD5
1
-
M Taylor DEF2
-
C Brown FWD2
-
G Ray DEF1
-
Chesterfield League Two squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
12645
L GordonW GriggT NaylorT Naylor
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Gordon DEF122
-
A Dobra FWD122
-
T Naylor MID1114
5
-
D Oldaker MID1112
3
-
O Banks MID112
2
-
W Grigg FWD1161
2
-
J Berry FWD1151
1
-
D Markanday FWD1042
-
R Boot GLK9
-
C Dunkley DEF91
1
-
M Jacobs FWD9
-
H. Araujo DEF8
1
-
L Mandeville MID81
-
J. Metcalfe MID8
3
-
V Daley-Campbell DEF7
1
-
R Colclough FWD7
-
D. Tanton DEF5
1
-
P Madden FWD521
1
-
K. Drummond FWD4
-
M. Thompson GLK3
-
J Grimes DEF3
1
-
T Williams DEF2
-
M Jones MID2
-
B Hobson MID1
-
L. Jessop FWD1
1
-