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MK Dons v Crewe Alexandra : League Two match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 29th Dec, 15:00 BST, Stadium mk, Milton Keynes

Mike Williamson and Lee Bell clash in the League Two on Sunday afternoon, as MK Dons face Crewe Alexandra at the Stadium mk. Stats power the algorithmic predictions below for all the markets, and switching between them delivers bespoke analysis, including head to head (H2H), form and unique league tables. Odds are also provided. Hit the tabs below to explore.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top League Two Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

There's 78% chance of MK Dons and Crewe 3 goals or less combined during this League Two fixture according to our predictive algorithm and, with no strong favourite in the WDW market, we think that's where the smart money should go. Calculations are made based on recent form, historical head-to-head (H2H) statistics and the view of the betting market, and you can get it at top odds of 1.30.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think MK Dons are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 44% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.05.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
MK Dons
44%
1/121/20
Draw
27%
5/213/5
Crewe
28%
9/412/5
Draw 1-1
13%
6/111/2
MK Dons 1-0
13%
13/26/1
Crewe 1-0
9%
9/18/1
Draw 0-0
9%
10/18/1
MK Dons 2-1
9%
8/17/1
MK Dons 2-0
8%
9/18/1
Crewe 2-1
7%
11/19/1
Crewe 2-0
5%
16/114/1
Draw 2-2
4%
14/111/1
MK Dons 3-1
4%
16/112/1
MK Dons 3-0
4%
18/114/1
Crewe 3-1
2%
28/120/1
MK Dons 3-2
2%
25/118/1
Crewe 3-0
2%
40/125/1
Crewe 3-2
2%
33/125/1
Over 2.5 Goals
43%
19/2010/11
Under 2.5 Goals
57%
17/205/6
Home 1st Goal
50%
8/13-
Away 1st Goal
44%
7/5-
No 1st Goal
6%
10/1-
BTTS - Yes
48%
8/114/5
BTTS - No
52%
1/119/20
BTTS - Home Win
18%
10/33/1
BTTS - Draw
18%
15/47/2
BTTS - Away Win
12%
11/25/1
Home/draw
72%
1/33/10
Away/draw
56%
4/58/11
Home/away
73%
2/72/7
Over 1.5 Goals
69%
2/73/10
Under 1.5 Goals
31%
5/223/10
Over 3.5 Goals
22%
12/511/5
Under 3.5 Goals
78%
3/103/10
Over 4.5 Goals
9%
11/25/1
Under 4.5 Goals
91%
1/91/9
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
14/111/1
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1/331/40
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
1/201/20
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
10/18/1
Home DNB
63%
1/21/2
Away DNB
47%
6/47/5
MK Dons win to nil
27%
5/2-
Crewe win to nil
17%
5/1-
MK Dons / MK Dons
24%
12/511/5
MK Dons / Crewe
3%
28/122/1
MK Dons / Draw
6%
12/111/1
Draw / MK Dons
16%
4/14/1
Draw / Crewe
11%
13/26/1
Draw / Draw
15%
9/24/1
Crewe / MK Dons
4%
22/118/1
Crewe / Crewe
14%
5/117/4
Crewe / Draw
6%
14/112/1
bet365
Win / draw / win League Two table

MK Dons have played 19 matches so far this season and are in 9th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

6 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 2 games, drawn 1 and won 3. MK Dons have conceded 6 goals, scored 8, failed to score in 2 matches and kept 2 clean sheets.

Home league performance

MK Dons have played 11 games at home, winning 6, drawing 2 and losing 3 fixtures. They have scored 18 goals, conceded 10 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

Crewe lay in 4th place on 35 points in the League Two league table having played 20 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 17 games against teams below them in the table, winning 9, drawing 5 and losing 3 games. They have scored 21 goals and kept 9 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Crewe have conceded 13 goals and have failed to score in 4 matches.

Away league performance

Crewe have played 10 away games, winning 4, drawing 4 and losing 2 games. They have scored an average of 1.1 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.8 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
MK Dons
Crewe
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Walsall2013431843 
w
 
1-0F
Jan 18
May 3
d
 
1-1F
2
Port Vale211074737 
l
 
0-1A
Mar 15
Mar 29
d
 
1-1A
3
Doncaster211065736 
d
 
1-1F
Feb 1
Mar 15
d
 
1-1F
4
Crewe Away20983835 
Dec 29
Apr 21
-
-
5
Chesterfield219751334 
w
 
3-0F
Jan 1
l
 
0-5A
Mar 1
6
AFC Wim2010371433 
Jan 25
l
 
3-0A
Jan 28
Feb 11
7
Notts C20875731 
Dec 26
Apr 1
w
 
2-0F
Mar 22
8
Grimsby2110110-531 
Apr 26
w
 
1-3A
Apr 1
w
 
0-2F
9
MK Dons Home19937730 
-
-
Apr 21
Dec 29
10
Gillingham20938430 
l
 
0-1A
Apr 12
w
 
2-0F
Feb 15
11
Salford20866330 
Jan 4
l
 
1-0A
d
 
1-1A
Mar 8
12
Bradford20776228 
l
 
1-2A
Feb 22
d
 
1-1F
Apr 5
13
Bromley20695227 
Feb 8
d
 
1-1F
Jan 5
w
 
1-2A
14
Cheltenham21768-127 
w
 
3-2A
Mar 22
Apr 12
Dec 26
15
Barrow20758226 
Apr 5
Feb 11
Feb 22
l
 
1-0A
16
Newport20758-426 
Apr 18
l
 
6-3A
Feb 8
l
 
2-1A
17
Colchester204115123 
Mar 1
l
 
2-0A
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 18
18
Fleetwood19586-123 
Mar 29
Jan 21
Mar 4
w
 
0-1F
19
Tranmere20569-1421 
d
 
1-1F
Feb 15
w
 
3-1A
Apr 26
20
Harrogate216312-1521 
Jan 28
w
 
1-5F
w
 
3-0F
Feb 1
21
Swindon214710-919 
w
 
3-1A
May 3
d
 
0-00-0
Jan 11
22
Accrington20479-1019 
w
 
2-1F
Mar 4
Jan 25
w
 
0-1F
23
Carlisle203611-1715 
w
 
3-0F
Jan 11
Jan 1
d
 
1-1A
24
Morecambe213513-1914 
Mar 8
w
 
1-3F
w
 
1-0F
Jan 18
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
MK Dons 9TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
41
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
11
D
4
Lost
5
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
D
3
Lost
8
Crewe 4TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
Draw
7
Lost
5
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
Draw
8
L
3
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at MK Dons since 2001
MK Dons
Crewe
Goals: Scored
23
12
Games: Scored
9 / 11
8 / 11
Clean sheets
3 / 11
2 / 11
MKD
7
D
2
CRE
2
League games at Crewe since 2000
Crewe
MK Dons
Goals: Scored
13
21
Games: Scored
7 / 11
7 / 11
Clean sheets
4 / 11
4 / 11
MKD
4
D
2
CRE
5
Goal Statistics

Crewe Alexandra's defensive record is to be admired, L. Bell's men having conceded 1 or less in 12 consecutive League Two games. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.4 for MK Dons makes sense in this context.

MK Dons 9th Crewe 4th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 61% probability that MK Dons will score no more than 1 goal
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 73% probability that Crewe will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+21
MK Dons have scored 21% more goals at home than predicted
-9
Crewe’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.1
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
0.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
League Two - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/281465/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
MK Dons
PG (predicted goals)
Crewe
1.4
1
Attack rating
5%
better
MKD
CRE
view stats
Games scored14
16
Failed to score5
4
Scored first9
10
Goals scored33
24
Avg. goals scored1.7
1.2
Avg. shots per game9
7
Avg. shots per goal5
6
Conversion rate for19
17
Avg. XG for1.4
1.2
KickOff rating
+5%
Defence rating
MKD
CRE
35%
better
view stats
Games conceded16
11
Clean sheets3
9
Conceded first10
8
Goals conceded26
16
Avg. goals conceded1.4
0.8
Avg. shots/game conceded9
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
9
Conversion rate against16%
11%
Avg. XG against1
0.9
KickOff rating
+35%

MK Dons v Crewe League Two lLine ups will show here when available.

MK Dons League Two squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
19974
T McGillA GilbeyA NemaneL Offord
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
T McGill GLK19
-
L Offord DEF192
4
-
A Gilbey MID199
4
-
A Nemane MID197
4
-
L Maguire  DEF1711
3
-
L Kelly MID1611
-
J Tomlinson MID1641
1
-
C Lemonheigh-Evans MID132
1
-
J White MID1331
1
-
E Harrison FWD1321
1
1
M Williams MID121
1
-
S Wearne MID11
2
-
T Carroll MID112
-
C Hendry FWD1121
2
-
T Leigh MID1014
1
-
J Tucker DEF9
1
-
N Lawrence DEF6
-
S Finch FWD61
-
K Thompson-Sommers MID51
1
-
C Tripp MID5
1
-
D Lewington DEF4
1
-
S Sherring DEF4
-
J Pritchard  MID41
-
B Ilunga MID2
-
M Dennis FWD2
-
Crewe League Two squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
20555
F MarschallS TraceyJ LankesterZ Williams
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
F Marschall GLK20
2
-
M Conway DEF2011
1
-
Z Williams DEF2012
5
-
M Demetriou DEF191
3
-
J Tabiner MID1922
4
-
M Sanders MID191
4
-
S Tracey FWD195
5
-
R Cooney DEF1834
5
-
M Holicek MID181
2
-
J Connolly DEF16
2
-
J Lankester MID1545
4
-
J. Knight-Lebel DEF14
4
-
K Breckin MID12
2
-
O Bogle FWD1121
-
C Thomas MID101
1
-
O Lunt MID9
-
K Hemmings FWD83
1
-
L Billington DEF7
1
-
C Long FWD51
1
C Finney DEF4
-
J Powell MID4
1
-
C. Agius FWD1
-
English League Two match betting previews, predictions and odds
MK Dons v Notts C
Thu 26th Dec, 15:00
Salford v Barrow
Thu 26th Dec, 15:00
Bromley v Newport
Thu 26th Dec, 15:00
Fleetwood v Chesterfield
Thu 26th Dec, 15:00
AFC Wim v Swindon
Thu 26th Dec, 15:00
Colchester v Gillingham
Thu 26th Dec, 15:00
Cheltenham v Crewe
Thu 26th Dec, 15:00
Carlisle v Morecambe
Thu 26th Dec, 15:00
Walsall v Doncaster
Thu 26th Dec, 15:00
Grimsby v Harrogate
Thu 26th Dec, 15:00
Bradford v Port Vale
Thu 26th Dec, 15:00
Tranmere v Accrington
Thu 26th Dec, 15:00
Bromley v Swindon
Sun 29th Dec, 12:30
Carlisle v Accrington
Sun 29th Dec, 12:30
Fleetwood v Harrogate
Sun 29th Dec, 15:00
Colchester v Doncaster
Sun 29th Dec, 15:00
Cheltenham v Notts C
Sun 29th Dec, 15:00
Salford v Morecambe
Sun 29th Dec, 15:00
Walsall v Newport
Sun 29th Dec, 15:00
Grimsby v Port Vale
Sun 29th Dec, 15:00
Bradford v Chesterfield
Sun 29th Dec, 15:00
Tranmere v Barrow
Sun 29th Dec, 15:00
MK Dons v Crewe
Sun 29th Dec, 15:00
AFC Wim v Gillingham
Mon 30th Dec, 20:00
Harrogate v Salford
Wed 1st Jan, 15:00
Barrow v Bradford
Wed 1st Jan, 15:00
Accrington v Grimsby
Wed 1st Jan, 15:00
Doncaster v Fleetwood
Wed 1st Jan, 15:00
Morecambe v Tranmere
Wed 1st Jan, 15:00
Chesterfield v MK Dons
Wed 1st Jan, 15:00
Notts C v Walsall
Wed 1st Jan, 15:00
Crewe v Carlisle
Wed 1st Jan, 15:00
Port Vale v Cheltenham
Wed 1st Jan, 15:00
Swindon v Colchester
Wed 1st Jan, 15:00
Gillingham v Bromley
Thu 2nd Jan, 19:45
Newport v AFC Wim
Thu 2nd Jan, 19:45
Cheltenham v Walsall
Sat 4th Jan, 12:30
Notts C v Swindon
Sat 4th Jan, 12:30
Bradford v Grimsby
Sat 4th Jan, 13:00
Tranmere v Carlisle
Sat 4th Jan, 15:00
MK Dons v Salford
Sat 4th Jan, 15:00
Colchester v Accrington
Sat 4th Jan, 15:00
Doncaster v Port Vale
Sat 4th Jan, 15:00
Barrow v Harrogate
Sat 4th Jan, 15:00
Crewe v Bromley
Sun 5th Jan, 15:00
Chesterfield v Gillingham
Sun 5th Jan, 15:00
Newport v Morecambe
Sun 5th Jan, 15:00
Fleetwood v AFC Wim
Sun 5th Jan, 15:00