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MK Dons v Cheltenham Town : League Two match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 16th Nov, 15:00 BST, Stadium mk, Milton Keynes

MK Dons are in League Two action on Saturday afternoon, as Mike Williamson looks to get one over on Michael John Flynn and his Cheltenham Town side at the Stadium mk. We've analysed both teams' last 20 League Two matches, as well as trends within the competition and the betting market, to generate our match predictions. All the statistics, including head-to-heads, are shown below, alongside odds from leading bookmakers.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top League Two Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The statistics suggest there's no obvious winner in this fixture, but good reason to think MK Dons and Cheltenham will score 2 or more goals between them. We've seen goals when they've gone head-to-head in years gone by, and neither Mike Williamson or Michael John Flynn has suffered the frustration of many 0-0s recently either. The bookies predict over 1.5 goals too, with top odds of 1.25 equating to approximately a 75% probability.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think MK Dons are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 51% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.65.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
MK Dons
50%
1.73
5%
1.75
3%
Draw
25%
3.75
1%
3.80
3%
Cheltenham
25%
4.50
2%
4.40
8%
Draw 1-1
12%
7.507.00
MK Dons 1-0
11%
8.00
14%
7.00
8%
MK Dons 2-1
10%
8.507.50
MK Dons 2-0
9%
9.00
13%
8.00
7%
Cheltenham 1-0
7%
13.0011.00
Draw 0-0
7%
12.00
9%
10.00
5%
Cheltenham 2-1
6%
15.0012.00
8%
MK Dons 3-1
5%
13.0011.00
Draw 2-2
5%
15.00
12%
13.00
MK Dons 3-0
5%
15.00
15%
12.00
9%
Cheltenham 2-0
4%
23.00
12%
19.00
MK Dons 3-2
3%
23.00
12%
19.00
Cheltenham 3-1
2%
34.00
17%
26.00
MK Dons 4-1
2%
26.0021.00
11%
MK Dons 4-0
2%
26.0021.00
11%
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
1.75
5%
1.75
3%
Under 2.5 Goals
49%
2.05
5%
1.95
2%
Home 1st Goal
53%
1.50
4%
-
Away 1st Goal
43%
2.75
8%
-
No 1st Goal
4%
12.00
9%
-
BTTS - Yes
53%
1.73
5%
1.75
4%
BTTS - No
47%
2.00
9%
2.00
5%
BTTS - Home Win
23%
3.50
3%
3.40
BTTS - Draw
18%
4.75
5%
4.80
BTTS - Away Win
12%
8.00
11%
7.00
13%
Home/draw
75%
1.181.20
2%
Away/draw
50%
2.05
7%
2.05
5%
Home/away
75%
1.25
3%
1.25
Over 1.5 Goals
75%
1.22
2%
1.25
Under 1.5 Goals
25%
4.00
7%
3.60
3%
Over 3.5 Goals
29%
2.75
15%
2.88
4%
Under 3.5 Goals
71%
1.40
5%
1.36
Over 4.5 Goals
14%
5.50
15%
5.25
5%
Under 4.5 Goals
86%
1.14
3%
1.14
2%
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
11.00
15%
10.00
9%
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1.05
1%
1.04
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1.04
1%
1.04
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
12.00
9%
10.00
Home DNB
67%
1.30
1%
1.30
1%
Away DNB
42%
3.40
3%
3.20
6%
MK Dons win to nil
27%
3.25
18%
-
Cheltenham win to nil
13%
8.00
11%
-
MK Dons / MK Dons
30%
2.75
5%
2.70
4%
MK Dons / Cheltenham
3%
34.00
17%
29.00
MK Dons / Draw
6%
15.0013.00
Draw / MK Dons
17%
4.75
6%
4.50
4%
Draw / Cheltenham
9%
9.50
5%
9.00
Draw / Draw
14%
6.00
9%
5.25
5%
Cheltenham / MK Dons
4%
21.0017.00
Cheltenham / Cheltenham
12%
7.50
6%
6.50
7%
Cheltenham / Draw
6%
15.0013.00
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Win / draw / win League Two table

MK Dons have played 15 matches so far this season and lay in 6th place in the League Two league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 12 games against teams below in the table, having won 6, drawn 2 and lost 4 matches. They have kept 1 clean sheet and have failed to score in 3 fixtures. MK Dons have outscored their opponents by 24 goals to 19 goals.

Home League Performance

MK Dons have played 8 games at home winning 4, drawing 2 and losing 2 games. They have scored 12 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and conceded 7 goals at home.

Cheltenham are in 16th position in the League Two on 18 points having played 15 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

4 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 11 goals and kept 1 clean sheet. They have scored 9 goals in total and found the back of the net in every game.

Performance against teams above them in the league

9 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 6 games, drawn 2 and won 1. Cheltenham have conceded 16 goals, scored 10, failed to score in 2 fixtures and have kept no clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
MK Dons
Cheltenham
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
Port Vale15933730 
l
 
0-1A
Mar 15
Dec 3
Jan 1
Walsall148331227 
w
 
1-0F
Jan 18
Jan 4
l
 
2-1A
Notts C157621027 
Dec 26
Apr 1
Dec 29
Apr 21
Doncaster15834427 
d
 
1-1F
Feb 1
Apr 5
Dec 7
Crewe14743425 
Dec 29
Apr 21
Dec 26
Apr 12
MK Dons 15735724 
-
-
Mar 22
Nov 16
Grimsby15807-624 
Apr 26
w
 
1-3A
Mar 1
l
 
3-2A
Gillingham15726423 
Dec 14
Apr 12
Apr 18
Dec 20
Chesterfield155731022 
Dec 3
Jan 1
Feb 1
d
 
1-1A
Bradford15645422 
l
 
1-2A
Feb 22
d
 
1-1A
Mar 4
Barrow15645422 
Apr 5
Dec 7
Feb 15
l
 
2-1F
Fleetwood14563521 
Mar 29
Nov 23
l
 
0-2A
Feb 8
Salford15555-320 
Jan 4
l
 
1-0A
Jan 25
l
 
2-1F
AFC Wim12615819 
Jan 25
l
 
3-0A
l
 
0-1A
Jan 11
Newport15618-719 
Apr 18
Dec 21
w
 
3-2F
Feb 22
Cheltenham 15537-318 
Nov 16
Mar 22
-
-
Tranmere14455-717 
d
 
1-1F
Feb 15
Nov 22
Mar 28
Accrington14446-416 
w
 
2-1F
Mar 4
w
 
2-1A
Jan 28
Bromley14365-215 
Feb 8
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1F
May 3
Harrogate15438-915 
Jan 28
w
 
1-5F
w
 
1-0F
Jan 17
Colchester14275-413 
Mar 1
l
 
2-0A
Mar 8
w
 
1-2F
Swindon15267-712 
w
 
3-1A
May 3
l
 
2-3A
Mar 15
Carlisle153210-1511 
w
 
3-0F
Jan 11
Apr 26
w
 
0-1F
Morecambe15249-1210 
Mar 8
w
 
1-3F
Dec 14
Apr 1
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
4
MK Dons have won 4 consecutive league games
MK Dons 6TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
4
Goals: Scored
41
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
11
D
4
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
MK Dons3 - 1Swindon
MK Dons2 - 1Accrington
MK Dons0 - 1Port Vale
MK Dons1 - 1Tranmere
MK Dons1 - 1Doncaster
MK Dons1 - 0Walsall
MK Dons3 - 0Carlisle
MK Dons1 - 2Bradford
MK Dons1 - 5Crawley
MK Dons4 - 4Sutton
MK Dons1 - 4Mansfield
MK Dons5 - 0Walsall
MK Dons3 - 1Crewe
MK Dons3 - 1Salford
MK Dons3 - 0Newport
MK Dons1 - 1Wrexham
MK Dons2 - 1Accrington
MK Dons2 - 1Gillingham
MK Dons3 - 1AFC Wim
MK Dons1 - 2Morecambe
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
36
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HMK Dons3 - 1Swindon
AMK Dons3 - 1Grimsby
HMK Dons2 - 1Accrington
AMK Dons3 - 1Morecambe
HMK Dons0 - 1Port Vale
HMK Dons1 - 1Tranmere
AMK Dons5 - 1Harrogate
AMK Dons1 - 1Bromley
HMK Dons1 - 1Doncaster
AMK Dons0 - 3AFC Wim
HMK Dons1 - 0Walsall
AMK Dons0 - 1Salford
HMK Dons3 - 0Carlisle
AMK Dons0 - 2Colchester
HMK Dons1 - 2Bradford
HMK Dons1 - 5Crawley
AMK Dons0 - 3Crawley
HMK Dons4 - 4Sutton
AMK Dons5 - 3Harrogate
HMK Dons1 - 4Mansfield
Cheltenham 16TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
6
D
3
Lost
11
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Carlisle0 - 1Cheltenham
Colchester1 - 2Cheltenham
Barrow2 - 1Cheltenham
Chesterfield1 - 1Cheltenham
Salford2 - 1Cheltenham
Walsall2 - 1Cheltenham
Grimsby3 - 2Cheltenham
Stevenage2 - 1Cheltenham
Burton1 - 2Cheltenham
L Orient3 - 1Cheltenham
Fleetwood1 - 2Cheltenham
Barnsley0 - 0Cheltenham
Oxford Utd2 - 1Cheltenham
Wycombe2 - 0Cheltenham
Wigan1 - 1Cheltenham
Cambridge0 - 1Cheltenham
Derby2 - 1Cheltenham
Bolton1 - 0Cheltenham
Northampton1 - 0Cheltenham
Carlisle0 - 1Cheltenham
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
7
D
3
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HCheltenham1 - 1Bromley
ACheltenham1 - 0Carlisle
HCheltenham1 - 1Bradford
ACheltenham2 - 1Colchester
HCheltenham2 - 3Swindon
ACheltenham1 - 2Barrow
HCheltenham2 - 1Accrington
HCheltenham0 - 2Fleetwood
ACheltenham1 - 1Chesterfield
ACheltenham1 - 2Salford
HCheltenham1 - 0Harrogate
ACheltenham1 - 2Walsall
HCheltenham0 - 1AFC Wim
ACheltenham2 - 3Grimsby
HCheltenham3 - 2Newport
ACheltenham1 - 2Stevenage
HCheltenham2 - 0Peterborough
HCheltenham1 - 2Lincoln
ACheltenham2 - 1Burton
HCheltenham1 - 3Bristol R
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at MK Dons since 2008
MK Dons
Cheltenham
Goals: Scored
11
4
Games: Scored
4 / 4
3 / 4
Clean sheets
1 / 4
0 / 4
MKD
3
D
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT MK Dons
Draw2 - 2Draw
MK Dons3 - 1
MK Dons3 - 0
MK Dons3 - 1
League games at Cheltenham since 2009
Cheltenham
MK Dons
Goals: Scored
7
7
Games: Scored
3 / 4
3 / 4
Clean sheets
1 / 4
1 / 4
MKD
1
D
2
CHT
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Cheltenham
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Cheltenham3 - 1
3 - 5MK Dons
Goal Statistics

MK Dons's defensive record is to be admired, Mike Williamson's men having conceded 1 or less in 9 consecutive League Two games. An average PG rating of 1.1 for Cheltenham Town makes sense in this context.

MK Dons 6th Cheltenham 16th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
8%
There is a 80% probability that MK Dons will score 1 or more goals
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 71% probability that Cheltenham will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+20
MK Dons have scored 20% more goals at home than predicted
-2
Cheltenham’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.1
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
League Two - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/281380/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
MK Dons
PG (predicted goals)
Cheltenham
1.6
1.1
Attack rating
MKD
CHT
1%
better
view stats
Games scored11
13
Failed to score4
2
Scored first8
7
Goals scored24
19
Avg. goals scored1.6
1.3
Avg. shots per game9
8
Avg. shots per goal6
6
Conversion rate for18
16
Avg. XG for1.4
0.8
KickOff rating
+1%
Defence rating
11%
better
MKD
CHT
view stats
Games conceded13
13
Clean sheets2
2
Conceded first7
8
Goals conceded17
22
Avg. goals conceded1.1
1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded9
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
6
Conversion rate against13%
16%
Avg. XG against1
1.4
KickOff rating
+11%

MK Dons v Cheltenham League Two lLine ups will show here when available.

MK Dons League Two squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
15664
T McGillA GilbeyA NemaneL Offord
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
T McGill GLK15
-
L Offord DEF15
4
-
A Nemane MID156
3
-
A Gilbey MID156
4
-
J Tomlinson MID1541
1
-
L Maguire  DEF131
2
-
C Lemonheigh-Evans MID132
1
-
L Kelly MID1211
-
M Williams MID111
1
-
T Leigh MID1014
1
-
J Tucker DEF9
1
-
J White MID92
-
E Harrison FWD911
1
1
T Carroll MID81
-
S Wearne MID7
1
-
C Hendry FWD721
2
-
S Finch FWD61
-
C Tripp MID5
1
-
S Sherring DEF4
-
N Lawrence DEF3
-
D Lewington DEF3
1
-
K Thompson-Sommers MID31
-
B Ilunga MID2
-
M Dennis FWD2
-
J Pritchard  MID1
-
Cheltenham League Two squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
14454
S BennettE ArcherE ArcherL Payne
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
E Archer MID1545
-
L Young  MID1422
1
-
S Bennett MID14
3
-
J Colwill MID1322
2
-
T Pett MID13
1
-
R Bowman FWD1321
1
-
S Stubbs DEF12
3
-
O Evans GLK11
-
T Bradbury DEF111
1
-
L. Dulson FWD1111
-
L Payne DEF101
4
-
J. Thomas FWD102
-
G Miller FWD102
1
-
I Bakare DEF9
1
-
M Taylor FWD91
2
-
H Sohna MID81
1
-
L Kinsella MID81
-
L. Shipley DEF7
2
-
A. Jude-Boyd DEF611
1
-
R Haynes DEF6
2
-
L Laing DEF5
-
M. Norkett FWD51
-
J Day GLK4
1
-
F Willcox MID2
1
-