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Grimsby Town v Morecambe : League Two match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 5th Apr, 15:00 BST, Blundell Park, Grimsby

Morecambe, led by manager Derek Adams, visit David Artell and his Grimsby Town side at the Blundell Park on Saturday afternoon in the League Two. We have custom-designed stats for all of the main betting markets, from from under 0.5 goals to over 5.5, including form and historical head to head (H2H) data. Predictions are generated from these, and the odds come straight from the UK's biggest bookmakers.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top League Two Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

A real chess match could be in store as Grimsby and Morecambe go head-to-head, with little to choose between the teams in defence, making it difficult to predict who will win. The statistics do not provide any conclusive evidence in that regard, but they are pointing strongly towards there being 2 goals or fewer in the fixture. It's a prediction which is available at best priced odds of 2.05 with the bookmakers, so we're making under 2.5 goals our tip of the day on this occasion.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Grimsby are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 55% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.55.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Grimsby
55%
13/20
6%
-
Draw
27%
14/5
5%
-
Morecambe
18%
4/1
13%
-
Grimsby 1-0
17%
11/2
13%
-
Grimsby 2-0
12%
13/2-
Draw 1-1
12%
13/2-
Draw 0-0
12%
9/1
17%
-
Grimsby 2-1
9%
15/2-
Morecambe 1-0
8%
12/1
13%
-
Grimsby 3-0
6%
11/1
9%
-
Grimsby 3-1
4%
12/1
8%
-
Morecambe 2-1
4%
16/1-
Draw 2-2
3%
16/1-
Morecambe 2-0
3%
25/1
10%
-
Grimsby 4-0
2%
25/1
24%
-
Grimsby 4-1
2%
28/1
26%
-
Grimsby 3-2
1%
28/1
26%
-
Morecambe 3-1
1%
40/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
37%
19/20
11%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
63%
17/20
10%
-
Home 1st Goal
55%
4/9
3%
-
Away 1st Goal
37%
21/10
5%
-
No 1st Goal
8%
9/1
17%
-
BTTS - Yes
39%
10/11
6%
-
BTTS - No
61%
4/5
6%
-
BTTS - Home Win
17%
11/4
10%
-
BTTS - Draw
15%
9/2
10%
-
BTTS - Away Win
6%
9/1-
Home/draw
82%
1/6
3%
-
Away/draw
45%
6/5
8%
-
Home/away
73%
1/4
2%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
64%
3/10
7%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
36%
12/5
15%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
17%
12/5
24%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
83%
3/10
7%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
7%
6/1
27%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
93%
1/10
4%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
2%
14/1
36%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
98%
1/33
2%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
88%
1/20
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
12%
10/1
8%
-
Home DNB
74%
1/4
4%
-
Away DNB
37%
11/4
13%
-
Grimsby win to nil
38%
13/8-
Morecambe win to nil
12%
7/1
20%
-
Grimsby / Grimsby
32%
13/8
9%
-
Grimsby / Morecambe
2%
40/1-
Grimsby / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Grimsby
19%
10/3-
Draw / Morecambe
8%
9/1
9%
-
Draw / Draw
15%
9/2
8%
-
Morecambe / Grimsby
4%
22/1
10%
-
Morecambe / Morecambe
9%
8/1
5%
-
Morecambe / Draw
5%
16/1-
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Win / draw / win League Two table

Grimsby have played 40 matches so far this season and lay in 7th place in the League Two league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 30 games against teams below in the table, having won 14, drawn 5 and lost 11 matches. They have kept 7 clean sheets and have failed to score in 7 fixtures. Grimsby have outscored their opponents by 54 goals to 36 goals.

Home League Performance

Grimsby have played 20 games at home winning 9, drawing 3 and losing 8 games. They have scored 27 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and conceded 29 goals at home.

Morecambe are in 23rd position in the League Two on 36 points having played 40 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

14 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 28 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 14 goals in total and failed to score in 11 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

39 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 24 games, drawn 6 and won 9. Morecambe have conceded 57 goals, scored 35, failed to score in 19 fixtures and have kept 6 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Grimsby
Morecambe
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Walsall40201282472 
l
 
1-4A
w
 
1-3A
l
 
0-2A
l
 
1-0A
2
Bradford402010101870 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
3-1A
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-0A
3
Port Vale40191381370 
w
 
3-0F
Apr 21
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
4
Notts C401911102268 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
4-1A
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-0A
5
Doncaster391910101367 
l
 
0-3A
w
 
1-2F
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
6
AFC Wim401811112265 
May 3
w
 
0-1F
w
 
1-0F
l
 
3-0A
7
Grimsby Home4019516-362 
-
-
l
 
0-3A
Apr 5
8
Crewe4015169861 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-0A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
9
Colchester4014179859 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
1-2F
d
 
3-3F
l
 
1-0A
10
Chesterfield391610131658 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-1A
l
 
2-5A
Apr 26
11
Salford39151212457 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
1-2F
Apr 21
l
 
1-0A
12
Fleetwood40141412856 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
1-0A
w
 
4-2F
d
 
2-2A
13
Bromley40131413153 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-2F
l
 
0-2A
Apr 18
14
Swindon40121513051 
Apr 18
l
 
3-1A
w
 
1-0F
w
 
2-3F
15
Cheltenham40131116-850 
w
 
3-2F
d
 
1-1A
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-0A
16
Barrow40131017-349 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
3-0A
d
 
2-2F
w
 
0-1F
17
Newport4013819-1647 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-1A
18
MK Dons4013720-1146 
l
 
1-3F
Apr 26
l
 
1-3A
l
 
2-1F
19
Gillingham39111216-845 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-1F
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
20
Harrogate4012919-1845 
w
 
2-1F
Apr 12
May 3
w
 
1-2F
21
Accrington40101218-1342 
w
 
5-2F
l
 
3-2F
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-1A
22
Tranmere4091318-2640 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-1F
w
 
2-0F
d
 
2-2F
23
Morecambe Away4010624-2136 
Apr 5
w
 
0-3F
-
-
24
Carlisle4071023-3031 
w
 
2-1A
w
 
2-3A
Apr 12
w
 
0-1F
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
8
Morecambe have lost 8 consecutive away league games
8
Morecambe have not won in 8 consecutive away league games
Grimsby 7TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
D
3
Lost
8
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Grimsby1 - 0Newport
Grimsby0 - 1Salford
Grimsby0 - 2Notts C
Grimsby1 - 1Tranmere
Grimsby2 - 1Fleetwood
Grimsby2 - 1Carlisle
Grimsby1 - 1Gillingham
Grimsby1 - 1Chesterfield
Grimsby3 - 0Port Vale
Grimsby2 - 1Harrogate
Grimsby0 - 2Crewe
Grimsby5 - 2Accrington
Grimsby0 - 1Colchester
Grimsby1 - 3MK Dons
Grimsby1 - 4Walsall
Grimsby0 - 3Doncaster
Grimsby1 - 0Bromley
Grimsby1 - 2Barrow
Grimsby2 - 1Bradford
Grimsby3 - 2Cheltenham
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AGrimsby0 - 2Crewe
AGrimsby2 - 1Colchester
HGrimsby1 - 0Newport
HGrimsby0 - 1Salford
HGrimsby0 - 2Notts C
AGrimsby3 - 1Walsall
HGrimsby1 - 1Tranmere
AGrimsby1 - 1Cheltenham
HGrimsby2 - 1Fleetwood
AGrimsby2 - 1Doncaster
HGrimsby2 - 1Carlisle
AGrimsby2 - 0Bromley
HGrimsby1 - 1Gillingham
AGrimsby0 - 3Barrow
HGrimsby1 - 1Chesterfield
AGrimsby1 - 3Bradford
AGrimsby2 - 3Accrington
HGrimsby3 - 0Port Vale
HGrimsby2 - 1Harrogate
AGrimsby1 - 3Swindon
Morecambe 23RD
20 league games
Away
8
Overall
Goals: Scored
14
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
9 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
11 / 20
W
4
D
2
Lost
14
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Port Vale1 - 0Morecambe
MK Dons2 - 1Morecambe
Gillingham1 - 0Morecambe
Notts C2 - 0Morecambe
Newport2 - 1Morecambe
Bradford1 - 0Morecambe
Colchester1 - 0Morecambe
Salford1 - 0Morecambe
Carlisle0 - 1Morecambe
Cheltenham2 - 0Morecambe
Tranmere2 - 2Morecambe
Swindon2 - 3Morecambe
Harrogate1 - 2Morecambe
AFC Wim3 - 0Morecambe
Barrow0 - 1Morecambe
Accrington2 - 1Morecambe
Fleetwood2 - 2Morecambe
Crewe1 - 0Morecambe
Doncaster1 - 0Morecambe
Walsall1 - 0Morecambe
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
Won
7
D
1
Lost
12
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HMorecambe2 - 0Cheltenham
HMorecambe1 - 0Swindon
AMorecambe0 - 1Port Vale
HMorecambe2 - 2Barrow
AMorecambe1 - 2MK Dons
HMorecambe1 - 0AFC Wim
AMorecambe0 - 1Gillingham
HMorecambe0 - 2Walsall
HMorecambe0 - 1Doncaster
HMorecambe2 - 0Accrington
AMorecambe0 - 2Notts C
AMorecambe1 - 2Newport
HMorecambe4 - 2Fleetwood
AMorecambe0 - 1Bradford
AMorecambe0 - 1Colchester
HMorecambe0 - 1Crewe
HMorecambe2 - 0Tranmere
AMorecambe0 - 1Salford
AMorecambe1 - 0Carlisle
HMorecambe0 - 2Bromley
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Grimsby since 2007
Grimsby
Morecambe
Goals: Scored
12
16
Games: Scored
7 / 9
8 / 9
Clean sheets
1 / 9
2 / 9
GRI
3
D
1
MOR
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Grimsby
Grimsby3 - 2
0 - 3Morecambe
Grimsby2 - 1
1 - 2Morecambe
0 - 2Morecambe
Grimsby2 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
2 - 3Morecambe
1 - 2Morecambe
League games at Morecambe since 2008
Morecambe
Grimsby
Goals: Scored
8
14
Games: Scored
6 / 10
8 / 10
Clean sheets
2 / 10
4 / 10
GRI
3
D
5
MOR
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Morecambe
0 - 3Grimsby
Draw1 - 1Draw
Morecambe3 - 1
0 - 2Grimsby
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Morecambe1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 4Grimsby
Goal Statistics
Grimsby 7th Morecambe 23rd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
0.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Grimsby will score 1 or more goals
0
50%
1
35%
2
12%
3
4+
There is a 85% probability of Morecambe scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-8
Grimsby’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-28
Morecambe have scored 28% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.4
average goals scored
0.7
average goals scored
1.5
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
League Two - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/281680/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Grimsby
PG (predicted goals)
Morecambe
1.5
0.7
Attack rating
28%
better
GRI
MOR
view stats
Games scored31
21
Failed to score9
19
Scored first19
16
Goals scored54
36
Avg. goals scored1.4
0.9
Avg. shots per game8
7
Avg. shots per goal6
8
Conversion rate for16
12
Avg. XG for1.2
1
KickOff rating
+28%
Defence rating
5%
better
GRI
MOR
view stats
Games conceded31
33
Clean sheets9
7
Conceded first20
24
Goals conceded57
57
Avg. goals conceded1.4
1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded8
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
7
Conversion rate against17%
14%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.6
KickOff rating
+5%

Grimsby v Morecambe League Two lLine ups will show here when available.

Grimsby League Two squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
38121010
H RodgersD RoseD HumeK Green
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
E Khouri MID4033
9
-
D Hume DEF3910
8
-
D Rose FWD39122
5
-
H Rodgers DEF384
7
1
G McEachran MID382
7
-
J Svanthórsson FWD3734
6
-
C McJannett DEF362
4
-
K Green MID3347
9
1
L. Barrington FWD3331
-
J Wright GLK31
1
-
T Warren DEF27
6
-
L Cass DEF2611
2
1
C Ainley MID241
1
-
D Tharme DEF2211
-
J Luker MID2232
2
-
C Thompson MID18
4
-
J Davies  MID1641
3
-
J. Obikwu FWD167
-
D Wilson FWD121
2
-
C Vernam FWD1221
2
-
C. Gardner MID11
-
D Burns MID6
1
-
J Eastwood GLK3
-
G Turi MID2
-
Morecambe League Two squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
377512
J StottL AngolA LewisD Tutonda
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Stott DEF393
1
-
A Lewis DEF3815
5
-
D Tutonda DEF37
12
-
L Hendrie DEF344
7
1
M Dackers FWD3313
3
-
B Tollitt FWD3362
3
-
R Williams DEF311
7
1
Y Songo'o MID3024
4
-
H Macadam MID291
2
-
C Jones MID2811
1
-
T White MID281
6
-
J Slew FWD271
2
-
G Edwards MID2531
3
-
H Burgoyne GLK241
1
-
P Lewis MID23
3
-
H Hope FWD2321
3
-
L Angol FWD207
4
1
R Millen DEF17
-
S Moore GLK15
-
C Cooke MID151
1
-
M Taylor DEF14
3
1
A Dallas FWD1221
1
-
G Garner FWD82
-
R Schofield GLK3
-
G Ray DEF2
-
L. Dobson MID1
-
A. Fairclough MID1
-