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Crewe Alexandra v Carlisle United : League Two match betting preview, prediction and odds

Wed 1st Jan, 15:00 BST, Alexandra Stadium, Crewe

Home advantage makes a difference in the League Two, and Lee Bell’s Crewe Alexandra will have the joy of it on Wednesday afternoon. Paul Simpson’s Carlisle United are their visitors to the Alexandra Stadium. We've analysed both teams' last 20 League Two matches, as well as trends within the competition and the betting market, to generate our match predictions. All the statistics, including head-to-heads, are shown below, alongside odds.

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Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Crewe 51%	-	-
Draw 27%	-	-
Carlisle 23%	-	-
Crewe 1-0 14%	-	-
Draw 1-1 12%	-	-
Crewe 2-0 10%	-	-
Draw 0-0 10%	-	-
Crewe 2-1 9%	-	-
Carlisle 1-0 9%	-	-
Carlisle 2-1 5%	-	-
Crewe 3-0 5%	-	-
Crewe 3-1 4%	-	-
Draw 2-2 4%	-	-
Carlisle 2-0 4%	-	-
Crewe 3-2 2%	-	-
Crewe 4-0 2%	-	-
Carlisle 3-1 2%	-	-
Crewe 4-1 2%	-	-
Over 2.5 Goals 41%	-	-
Under 2.5 Goals 59%	-	-
Home 1st Goal 54%	-	-
Away 1st Goal 40%	-	-
No 1st Goal 6%	-	-
BTTS - Yes 44%	-	-
BTTS - No 56%	-	-
BTTS - Home Win 18%	-	-
BTTS - Draw 17%	-	-
BTTS - Away Win 9%	-	-
Home/draw 77%	-	-
Away/draw 49%	-	-
Home/away 73%	-	-
Over 1.5 Goals 67%	-	-
Under 1.5 Goals 33%	-	-
Over 3.5 Goals 20%	-	-
Under 3.5 Goals 80%	-	-
Over 4.5 Goals 8%	-	-
Under 4.5 Goals 92%	-	-
Over 5.5 Goals 3%	-	-
Under 5.5 Goals 97%	-	-
Over 0.5 Goals 90%	-	-
Under 0.5 Goals 10%	-	-
Home DNB 69%	-	-
Away DNB 41%	-	-
Crewe win to nil 32%	-	-
Carlisle win to nil 14%	-	-

Win / draw / win League Two table

Crewe have played 20 matches so far this season and lay in 4th place in the League Two league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 17 games against teams below in the table, having won 9, drawn 5 and lost 3 matches. They have kept 9 clean sheets and have failed to score in 4 fixtures. Crewe have outscored their opponents by 24 goals to 15 goals.

Home League Performance

Crewe have played 10 games at home winning 5, drawing 4 and losing 1 game. They have scored 13 goals, kept 6 clean sheets and conceded 8 goals at home.

Carlisle are in 23rd position in the League Two on 15 points having played 20 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

5 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 17 goals and kept 4 clean sheets. They have scored 7 goals in total and failed to score in 4 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

20 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 11 games, drawn 6 and won 3. Carlisle have conceded 32 goals, scored 15, failed to score in 8 fixtures and have kept 6 clean sheets.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Crewe Carlisle
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Walsall	20	13	4	3	18	43	May 3	d 1-1F	Mar 4	l 3-1A
2	Port Vale	21	10	7	4	7	37	Mar 29	d 1-1A	Apr 18	d 0-00-0
3	Doncaster	21	10	6	5	7	36	Mar 15	d 1-1F	d 0-00-0	Mar 29
4	Crewe Home	20	9	8	3	8	35	-	-	d 1-1F	Jan 1
5	Chesterfield	21	9	7	5	13	34	l 0-5A	Mar 1	l 0-2A	Apr 1
6	AFC Wim	20	10	3	7	14	33	Jan 28	Feb 11	Mar 15	l 4-0A
7	Notts C	20	8	7	5	7	31	w 2-0F	Mar 22	l 0-2A	Jan 28
8	Grimsby	21	10	1	10	-5	31	Apr 1	w 0-2F	l 2-3F	Feb 8
9	MK Dons	19	9	3	7	7	30	Apr 21	Dec 29	Jan 11	l 3-0A
10	Gillingham	20	9	3	8	4	30	w 2-0F	Feb 15	Feb 22	l 4-1A
11	Salford	20	8	6	6	3	30	d 1-1A	Mar 8	May 3	w 0-1F
12	Bradford	20	7	7	6	2	28	d 1-1F	Apr 5	Jan 18	l 2-1A
13	Bromley	20	6	9	5	2	27	Jan 5	w 1-2A	Mar 22	d 1-1A
14	Cheltenham	21	7	6	8	-1	27	Apr 12	Dec 26	l 0-1A	Apr 26
15	Barrow	20	7	5	8	2	26	Feb 22	l 1-0A	w 1-0F	Mar 1
16	Newport	20	7	5	8	-4	26	Feb 8	l 2-1A	Apr 5	Feb 11
17	Colchester	20	4	11	5	1	23	d 0-00-0	Apr 18	Feb 15	d 0-00-0
18	Fleetwood	19	5	8	6	-1	23	Mar 4	w 0-1F	l 2-3A	Jan 25
19	Tranmere	20	5	6	9	-14	21	w 3-1A	Apr 26	l 1-2F	Jan 4
20	Harrogate	21	6	3	12	-15	21	w 3-0F	Feb 1	d 1-1A	Mar 8
21	Swindon	21	4	7	10	-9	19	d 0-00-0	Jan 11	Feb 1	w 0-2F
22	Accrington	20	4	7	9	-10	19	Jan 25	w 0-1F	Dec 29	Apr 21
23	Carlisle Away	20	3	6	11	-17	15	Jan 1	d 1-1A	-	-
24	Morecambe	21	3	5	13	-19	14	w 1-0F	Jan 18	Dec 26	Apr 12

	Promotion
	Promotion Play Off
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Crewe have not lost in 9 consecutive home league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

11 / 20

Clean sheets

9 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Crewe	0 - 0	Colchester
Crewe	1 - 1	Bradford
Crewe	2 - 0	Notts C
Crewe	3 - 1	Tranmere
Crewe	1 - 1	Salford
Crewe	2 - 0	Gillingham
Crewe	3 - 0	Harrogate
Crewe	1 - 0	Morecambe
Crewe	0 - 0	Swindon
Crewe	0 - 5	Chesterfield
Crewe	0 - 2	Doncaster
Crewe	0 - 3	Wrexham
Crewe	0 - 3	Grimsby
Crewe	0 - 3	Forest Green
Crewe	1 - 1	AFC Wim
Crewe	1 - 0	Sutton
Crewe	2 - 3	Morecambe
Crewe	0 - 0	Harrogate
Crewe	1 - 0	Crawley
Crewe	2 - 3	Salford

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

11 / 20

Clean sheets

9 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Crewe	0 - 0	Colchester
A	Crewe	2 - 0	Grimsby
H	Crewe	1 - 1	Bradford
A	Crewe	1 - 1	Carlisle
A	Crewe	1 - 1	Port Vale
H	Crewe	2 - 0	Notts C
A	Crewe	1 - 1	Walsall
H	Crewe	3 - 1	Tranmere
A	Crewe	1 - 0	Fleetwood
H	Crewe	1 - 1	Salford
A	Crewe	1 - 1	Doncaster
H	Crewe	2 - 0	Gillingham
A	Crewe	1 - 2	Newport
H	Crewe	3 - 0	Harrogate
A	Crewe	1 - 0	Accrington
H	Crewe	1 - 0	Morecambe
A	Crewe	2 - 1	Bromley
H	Crewe	0 - 0	Swindon
H	Crewe	0 - 5	Chesterfield
A	Crewe	0 - 1	Barrow

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Port Vale	0 - 0	Carlisle
Bromley	1 - 1	Carlisle
Salford	0 - 1	Carlisle
Walsall	3 - 1	Carlisle
AFC Wim	4 - 0	Carlisle
Colchester	0 - 0	Carlisle
Swindon	0 - 2	Carlisle
Bradford	2 - 1	Carlisle
MK Dons	3 - 0	Carlisle
Gillingham	4 - 1	Carlisle
Derby	2 - 0	Carlisle
Cheltenham	0 - 1	Carlisle
Northampton	2 - 0	Carlisle
Peterborough	1 - 3	Carlisle
Shrewsbury	1 - 0	Carlisle
Charlton	3 - 2	Carlisle
Burton	0 - 1	Carlisle
Bristol R	2 - 1	Carlisle
L Orient	3 - 2	Carlisle
Barnsley	2 - 1	Carlisle

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Carlisle	0 - 0	Port Vale
H	Carlisle	0 - 2	Chesterfield
H	Carlisle	1 - 1	Crewe
H	Carlisle	0 - 0	Doncaster
A	Carlisle	1 - 1	Bromley
A	Carlisle	1 - 0	Salford
H	Carlisle	0 - 1	Cheltenham
A	Carlisle	1 - 3	Walsall
H	Carlisle	1 - 1	Harrogate
A	Carlisle	0 - 4	AFC Wim
A	Carlisle	0 - 0	Colchester
H	Carlisle	0 - 2	Notts C
H	Carlisle	2 - 3	Grimsby
A	Carlisle	2 - 0	Swindon
H	Carlisle	2 - 3	Fleetwood
A	Carlisle	1 - 2	Bradford
H	Carlisle	1 - 2	Tranmere
A	Carlisle	0 - 3	MK Dons
H	Carlisle	1 - 0	Barrow
A	Carlisle	1 - 4	Gillingham

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Crewe

Carlisle

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

7 / 10

9 / 10

Clean sheets

1 / 10

3 / 10

CRE

CUT

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Crewe
	0 - 3	Carlisle
Crewe	4 - 1
Crewe	2 - 1
	0 - 5	Carlisle
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Crewe	2 - 1
Crewe	1 - 0
	1 - 2	Carlisle
	0 - 1	Carlisle
Crewe	5 - 1

Carlisle

Crewe

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

7 / 11

6 / 11

Clean sheets

5 / 11

4 / 11

CRE

CUT

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Carlisle
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	2 - 4	Crewe
Carlisle	1 - 0
Carlisle	1 - 0
	0 - 2	Crewe
Carlisle	2 - 1
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Carlisle	4 - 2
Carlisle	1 - 0
	0 - 2	Crewe

Goal Statistics

An absolutely dreadful PG of just 0.9 should cause concerns for Carlisle United fans, as should a 12 League Two games run in which they have failed to score more than 1 goal.

	Crewe 4th	Carlisle 23rd
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.4 goals	0.9 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 24% 1 34% 2 25% 3 12% 4+ There is a 76% probability that Crewe will score 1 or more goals	0 42% 1 36% 2 16% 3 4+ There is a 78% probability of Carlisle scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-31 Crewe have scored 31% fewer goals at home than predicted	-13 Carlisle have scored 13% fewer goals when away than predicted
	1.0 average goals scored	0.9 average goals scored
	1.3 conceded	1.7 conceded

Attack defence ratings
League Two - 2024/2025 season

33%

better

CRE

CUT

view stats

Games scored	16		12
Failed to score	4		8
Scored first	10		6
Goals scored	24		15
Avg. goals scored	1.2		0.8
Avg. shots per game	7		8
Avg. shots per goal	6		11
Conversion rate for	17		9
Avg. XG for	1.2		1.2
KickOff rating		+33%

33%

better

CRE

CUT

view stats

Games conceded	11		14
Clean sheets	9		6
Conceded first	8		11
Goals conceded	16		32
Avg. goals conceded	0.8		1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded	7		8
Avg. shots/goal conceded	9		5
Conversion rate against	11%		20%
Avg. XG against	0.9		1.1
KickOff rating		+33%

Crewe v Carlisle League Two lLine ups will show here when available.

Crewe League Two squad statistics 2024/2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
20	5	5	5
F Marschall	S Tracey	J Lankester	Z Williams

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
F Marschall GLK	20			2 -
Z Williams DEF	20	1	2	5 -
M Conway DEF	20	1	1	1 -
M Demetriou DEF	19	1		3 -
J Tabiner MID	19	2	2	4 -
M Sanders MID	19		1	4 -
S Tracey FWD	19	5		5 -
R Cooney DEF	18	3	4	5 -
M Holicek MID	18		1	2 -
J Connolly DEF	16			2 -
J Lankester MID	15	4	5	4 -
J. Knight-Lebel DEF	14			4 -
K Breckin MID	12			2 -
O Bogle FWD	11	2	1	-
C Thomas MID	10		1	1 -
O Lunt MID	9			-
K Hemmings FWD	8	3		1 -
L Billington DEF	7			1 -
C Long FWD	5	1		1
C Finney DEF	4			-
J Powell MID	4			1 -
C. Agius FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
5	12	5	14
S Tracey	J Lankester	J Lankester	M Conway

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
S Tracey FWD	5	7		8
J Lankester MID	4	12	5	10
K Hemmings FWD	3	6		2
R Cooney DEF	3	6	4	13
J Tabiner MID	2	8	2	13
O Bogle FWD	2	3	1	2
M Conway DEF	1	3	1	14
M Demetriou DEF	1	2		6
C Long FWD	1	1
Z Williams DEF	1	2	2	7
J Powell MID				1
C Finney DEF				1
J. Knight-Lebel DEF		1
O Lunt MID		3		2
C Thomas MID			1	2
K Breckin MID				2
J Connolly DEF		1		2
M Holicek MID		1	1	5
M Sanders MID		4	1	8

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
942	41	188
M Demetriou	M Sanders	M Demetriou

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
M Demetriou DEF	942	28	188
Z Williams DEF	759	19	81
M Sanders MID	724	41	74
F Marschall GLK	627		19
J Connolly DEF	479	15	64
J. Knight-Lebel DEF	471	21	77
R Cooney DEF	468	38	70
J Tabiner MID	410	21	59
M Conway DEF	410	34	147
M Holicek MID	268	26	67
S Tracey FWD	222	16	59
C Thomas MID	212	19	30
J Lankester MID	196	18	66
K Hemmings FWD	128	2	43
L Billington DEF	127	3	9
K Breckin MID	102	7	15
O Bogle FWD	74	4	32
O Lunt MID	44	3	12
J Powell MID	39	1	5
C Finney DEF	23	2	5
C Long FWD	5	1	2
C. Agius FWD	4	1	1

Carlisle League Two squad statistics 2024/2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
17	2	3	6
J Mellish	J Mellish	C Harper	J Mellish

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
J Mellish DEF	19	2	1	6 -
S Lavelle DEF	18	2	1	4 -
D Sadi FWD	18	2	1	3 -
H Neal MID	17	1		6 -
C Harper DEF	16		3	3 -
J Vela MID	16			5 -
L Armstrong FWD	16	2		-
H Lewis GLK	14			-
B Barclay DEF	14	1	1	5 -
H Biggins MID	13		1	1 -
C Wyke FWD	13	2		2 -
A Davies DEF	11	1	1	3 -
T Thomas DEF	11			1 -
A Hayden DEF	11		1	3 -
D Adu-Adjei FWD	10	2	1	1 -
C Guy MID	9			1 -
J Jones FWD	9			5 -
B Williams DEF	8			-
J Ellis DEF	8			1 -
G Breeze GLK	6			-
D McGeouch MID	6		1	1 -
G Kelly FWD	6			2 -
T Charters MID	5			1 -
J Robinson DEF	3			1 -
E Robson MID	3			1 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
2	13	3	18
J Mellish	D Sadi	C Harper	C Harper

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
J Mellish DEF	2	6	1	10
D Sadi FWD	2	13	1	15
L Armstrong FWD	2	7		3
C Wyke FWD	2	3		6
S Lavelle DEF	2	3	1	2
D Adu-Adjei FWD	2	7	1	5
H Neal MID	1	3		3
B Barclay DEF	1	5	1	4
A Davies DEF	1	2	1	8
B Williams DEF		1		2
T Charters MID				1
G Kelly FWD		1
D McGeouch MID			1	1
J Ellis DEF				2
T Thomas DEF				3
J Jones FWD		4		4
C Guy MID				5
A Hayden DEF		2	1	2
H Biggins MID		1	1	7
J Vela MID		3		2
C Harper DEF		3	3	18
E Robson MID		1		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
921	41	104
S Lavelle	H Neal	J Mellish

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
S Lavelle DEF	921	25	102
J Mellish DEF	885	31	104
C Harper DEF	676	16	40
H Neal MID	661	41	85
T Thomas DEF	510	19	75
H Lewis GLK	485		5
B Barclay DEF	476	18	54
A Hayden DEF	460	14	60
H Biggins MID	429	12	58
D Sadi FWD	378	34	73
A Davies DEF	339	16	51
C Guy MID	292	9	25
J Vela MID	266	22	52
J Jones FWD	265	6	35
C Wyke FWD	198	9	74
G Breeze GLK	179	1	6
B Williams DEF	170	8	38
D McGeouch MID	160	5	8
L Armstrong FWD	125	13	61
D Adu-Adjei FWD	118	6	33
T Charters MID	90	2	7
J Ellis DEF	80	7	14
E Robson MID	51	3	7
J Robinson DEF	30	1	4
G Kelly FWD	17		12

English League Two match betting previews, predictions and odds

Fleetwood v Chesterfield

Thu 26th Dec, 15:00

AFC Wim v Swindon

Thu 26th Dec, 15:00

Colchester v Gillingham

Tranmere v Accrington

Thu 26th Dec, 15:00

Bromley v Swindon

Sun 29th Dec, 12:30

Carlisle v Accrington

Sun 29th Dec, 12:30

Fleetwood v Harrogate

Sun 29th Dec, 15:00

Colchester v Doncaster

Bradford v Chesterfield

Doncaster v Fleetwood

Wed 1st Jan, 15:00

Morecambe v Tranmere

Wed 1st Jan, 15:00

Chesterfield v MK Dons

Port Vale v Cheltenham

Colchester v Accrington

Sat 4th Jan, 15:00

Doncaster v Port Vale

Chesterfield v Gillingham

Crewe Alexandra v Carlisle United : League Two match betting preview, prediction and odds

Crewe have played 20 matches so far this season and lay in 4th place in the League Two league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

Home League Performance

Carlisle are in 23rd position in the League Two on 15 points having played 20 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

Performance against teams above them in the league

Crewe v Carlisle League Two lLine ups will show here when available.

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