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Carlisle United v Swindon Town : League Two match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 1st Feb, 15:00 BST, Brunton Park, Carlisle

Swindon Town are on the road on Saturday afternoon, as manager Ian Evatt takes his team to visit Carlisle United and Mike Mcelwee at the Brunton Park in the League Two. Form, head-to-head statistics, predictions and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers are all shown below. It's our job to give you all the information you need to place a smart, well-informed bet. We've backed under 3.5 goals, but why not use the stats to find the perfect bet for you?


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top League Two Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

There is 74% chance of Carlisle and Swindon no more than 3 goals combined during this League Two fixture according to our predictive algorithm and, without a strong favourite in the win draw win market, we think that's a great tip here. Calculations are made based on 20-game form, historical head-to-head (H2H) statistics and the view of the betting market, and you can back it at 1.33.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Carlisle are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 38% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.50.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Carlisle
38%
2.50
19%
2.50
Draw
27%
3.30
3%
3.30
Swindon
35%
2.75
19%
2.80
Draw 1-1
13%
6.506.00
Carlisle 1-0
11%
8.007.50
Swindon 1-0
10%
8.50
23%
8.00
Draw 0-0
8%
9.50
14%
8.00
Carlisle 2-1
8%
10.00
11%
8.50
Swindon 2-1
8%
11.00
8%
9.50
Carlisle 2-0
7%
12.00
20%
10.00
Swindon 2-0
6%
13.00
24%
12.00
Draw 2-2
5%
15.00
15%
12.00
Carlisle 3-1
3%
21.00
24%
17.00
Swindon 3-1
3%
23.00
12%
17.00
Carlisle 3-0
3%
23.00
21%
19.00
Swindon 3-0
2%
29.00
15%
21.00
Carlisle 3-2
2%
29.00
12%
23.00
Swindon 3-2
2%
34.0023.00
Over 2.5 Goals
45%
2.05
5%
2.00
Under 2.5 Goals
55%
1.75
5%
1.75
Home 1st Goal
48%
1.83
10%
-
Away 1st Goal
47%
2.20
8%
-
No 1st Goal
5%
9.50
14%
-
BTTS - Yes
51%
1.80
4%
1.80
BTTS - No
49%
1.91
5%
1.91
BTTS - Home Win
17%
5.50
27%
4.80
BTTS - Draw
19%
4.50
4%
4.33
BTTS - Away Win
15%
5.50
15%
5.25
Home/draw
65%
1.40
8%
1.40
Away/draw
62%
1.50
12%
1.53
Home/away
73%
1.33
2%
1.33
Over 1.5 Goals
71%
1.33
3%
1.33
Under 1.5 Goals
29%
3.25
7%
3.10
Over 3.5 Goals
24%
3.75
15%
3.40
Under 3.5 Goals
76%
1.25
6%
1.29
Over 4.5 Goals
11%
8.00
23%
6.50
Under 4.5 Goals
89%
1.08
3%
1.09
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
17.00
13%
13.00
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1.02
1%
1.02
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1.06
1%
1.06
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
9.50
14%
8.00
Home DNB
57%
1.80
18%
1.75
Away DNB
54%
1.91
20%
1.95
Carlisle win to nil
21%
4.00
7%
-
Swindon win to nil
20%
4.50
25%
-
Carlisle / Carlisle
20%
4.33
24%
3.90
Carlisle / Swindon
3%
29.0023.00
Carlisle / Draw
6%
15.00
15%
12.00
Draw / Carlisle
14%
6.00
9%
5.50
Draw / Swindon
13%
6.50
13%
6.00
Draw / Draw
17%
5.00
9%
4.60
Swindon / Carlisle
3%
29.00
26%
21.00
Swindon / Swindon
18%
4.50
18%
4.40
Swindon / Draw
6%
15.0012.00
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Win / draw / win League Two table

Carlisle have played 27 matches so far this season and are in 23rd position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

26 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 15 games, drawn 6 and won 5. Carlisle have conceded 40 goals, scored 21, failed to score in 11 matches and kept 6 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Carlisle have played 13 games at home, winning 2, drawing 3 and losing 8 fixtures. They have scored 10 goals, conceded 18 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 6 times in home league games.

Swindon lay in 16th place on 34 points in the League Two league table having played 29 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 11 games against teams below them in the table, winning 4, drawing 5 and losing 2 games. They have scored 18 goals and kept 3 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Swindon have conceded 12 goals and have failed to score in 2 matches.

Away league performance

Swindon have played 15 away games, winning 2, drawing 7 and losing 6 games. They have scored an average of 1 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.6 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Carlisle
Swindon
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Walsall2718452458 
Mar 4
l
 
3-1A
l
 
0-4A
Mar 1
2
Doncaster281477949 
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 29
l
 
1-2A
Mar 8
3
Notts C2713861647 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
1-0A
l
 
1-2F
l
 
2-0A
4
Bradford2713861147 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-1A
Apr 12
l
 
1-0A
5
Crewe28121151147 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
3-2F
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
0-00-0
6
AFC Wim2613671845 
Mar 15
l
 
4-0A
Apr 1
d
 
1-1F
7
Port Vale271296545 
Apr 18
d
 
0-00-0
Feb 8
l
 
2-1A
8
Salford271278743 
May 3
w
 
0-1F
Mar 4
l
 
2-1A
9
Chesterfield2710981239 
l
 
0-2A
Apr 1
Feb 22
d
 
1-1A
10
Grimsby2812313-739 
l
 
2-3F
Feb 8
w
 
3-1F
Apr 18
11
MK Dons2711511338 
-
l
 
3-0A
May 3
l
 
3-1F
12
Fleetwood26998436 
l
 
2-3A
w
 
1-2F
w
 
3-1F
Apr 5
13
Bromley278118135 
Mar 22
d
 
1-1A
Apr 21
d
 
1-1A
14
Cheltenham279810-335 
l
 
0-1A
Apr 26
Mar 15
w
 
2-3F
15
Colchester277137234 
Feb 15
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
3-2F
l
 
4-0A
16
Swindon Away2981011-534 
Feb 1
w
 
0-2F
-
-
17
Gillingham269512-332 
Feb 22
l
 
4-1A
d
 
1-1A
Apr 26
18
Barrow278712-431 
w
 
1-0F
Mar 1
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1A
19
Accrington267811-1029 
w
 
2-1F
Apr 21
Mar 22
d
 
2-2F
20
Harrogate298516-1629 
d
 
1-1A
Mar 8
d
 
0-00-0
Feb 15
21
Newport267613-1227 
Apr 5
Feb 11
w
 
4-0F
w
 
1-2A
22
Tranmere276813-2326 
l
 
1-2F
l
 
1-0A
w
 
3-1A
d
 
1-1A
23
Carlisle Home275616-2021 
-
-
l
 
0-2A
Feb 1
24
Morecambe275517-2020 
l
 
0-1A
Apr 12
l
 
2-3A
Mar 29
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
3
Swindon have won 3 consecutive league games
Carlisle 23RD
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
37
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
2
D
4
Lost
14
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Carlisle0 - 1Bradford
Carlisle2 - 1Accrington
Carlisle0 - 1Morecambe
Carlisle0 - 2Chesterfield
Carlisle1 - 1Crewe
Carlisle0 - 0Doncaster
Carlisle0 - 1Cheltenham
Carlisle1 - 1Harrogate
Carlisle0 - 2Notts C
Carlisle2 - 3Grimsby
Carlisle2 - 3Fleetwood
Carlisle1 - 2Tranmere
Carlisle1 - 0Barrow
Carlisle1 - 3Wycombe
Carlisle0 - 1Blackpool
Carlisle1 - 3Lincoln
Carlisle2 - 2Stevenage
Carlisle2 - 3Barnsley
Carlisle1 - 3Reading
Carlisle0 - 4Cambridge
Goals: Scored
13
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
9 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
11 / 20
W
3
Draw
6
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ACarlisle0 - 1Notts C
ACarlisle2 - 1Fleetwood
HCarlisle0 - 1Bradford
ACarlisle0 - 1Tranmere
ACarlisle2 - 3Crewe
HCarlisle2 - 1Accrington
HCarlisle0 - 1Morecambe
ACarlisle0 - 0Port Vale
HCarlisle0 - 2Chesterfield
HCarlisle1 - 1Crewe
HCarlisle0 - 0Doncaster
ACarlisle1 - 1Bromley
ACarlisle1 - 0Salford
HCarlisle0 - 1Cheltenham
ACarlisle1 - 3Walsall
HCarlisle1 - 1Harrogate
ACarlisle0 - 4AFC Wim
ACarlisle0 - 0Colchester
HCarlisle0 - 2Notts C
HCarlisle2 - 3Grimsby
Swindon 16TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
3
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
W
3
Draw
7
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Newport1 - 2Swindon
Notts C2 - 0Swindon
Bromley1 - 1Swindon
AFC Wim1 - 1Swindon
Bradford1 - 0Swindon
Colchester4 - 0Swindon
Accrington2 - 2Swindon
MK Dons3 - 1Swindon
Salford2 - 1Swindon
Cheltenham2 - 3Swindon
Tranmere1 - 1Swindon
Port Vale2 - 1Swindon
Barrow1 - 1Swindon
Crewe0 - 0Swindon
Chesterfield1 - 1Swindon
Grimsby2 - 0Swindon
Walsall2 - 1Swindon
Barrow0 - 2Swindon
Sutton3 - 1Swindon
Mansfield3 - 2Swindon
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HSwindon3 - 1Tranmere
ASwindon2 - 1Newport
HSwindon2 - 0Barrow
HSwindon0 - 0Crewe
ASwindon0 - 2Notts C
HSwindon3 - 2Colchester
ASwindon1 - 1Bromley
ASwindon1 - 1AFC Wim
HSwindon3 - 1Grimsby
ASwindon0 - 1Bradford
HSwindon3 - 1Fleetwood
ASwindon0 - 4Colchester
HSwindon2 - 3Morecambe
ASwindon2 - 2Accrington
ASwindon1 - 3MK Dons
HSwindon1 - 1Gillingham
ASwindon1 - 2Salford
HSwindon1 - 2Doncaster
ASwindon3 - 2Cheltenham
HSwindon0 - 0Harrogate
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Carlisle since 2007
Carlisle
Swindon
Goals: Scored
12
12
Games: Scored
8 / 11
8 / 11
Clean sheets
3 / 11
3 / 11
CUT
3
D
5
SWI
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Carlisle
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 3Swindon
Draw1 - 1Draw
Carlisle2 - 1
1 - 2Swindon
Carlisle1 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 1Swindon
Draw1 - 1Draw
Carlisle3 - 0
League games at Swindon since 2008
Swindon
Carlisle
Goals: Scored
17
17
Games: Scored
8 / 12
9 / 12
Clean sheets
3 / 12
4 / 12
CUT
5
D
3
SWI
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Swindon
0 - 2Carlisle
1 - 2Carlisle
1 - 2Carlisle
Swindon3 - 2
0 - 4Carlisle
Draw0 - 0Draw
Swindon3 - 1
Swindon4 - 0
0 - 1Carlisle
Swindon2 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
Goal Statistics
Carlisle 23rd Swindon 16th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 64% probability that Carlisle will score no more than 1 goal
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 66% probability that Swindon will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-31
Carlisle have scored 31% fewer goals at home than predicted
-10
Swindon’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
0.9
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
1.9
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
League Two - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/281543/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Carlisle
PG (predicted goals)
Swindon
1.3
1.2
Attack rating
CUT
SWI
27%
better
view stats
Games scored14
19
Failed to score11
8
Scored first8
10
Goals scored19
33
Avg. goals scored0.8
1.2
Avg. shots per game8
8
Avg. shots per goal11
7
Conversion rate for9
14
Avg. XG for1.2
1.1
KickOff rating
+27%
Defence rating
6%
better
CUT
SWI
view stats
Games conceded19
22
Clean sheets6
5
Conceded first14
14
Goals conceded39
41
Avg. goals conceded1.6
1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded8
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
5
Conversion rate against19%
20%
Avg. XG against1.2
1.2
KickOff rating
+6%

Carlisle v Swindon League Two lLine ups will show here when available.

Carlisle League Two squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
22338
S LavelleS LavelleC HarperJ Jones
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Lavelle DEF2431
7
-
C Harper DEF223
6
-
B Barclay DEF1811
5
-
J Vela MID16
5
-
A Hayden DEF151
4
-
J Jones FWD15
8
-
H Lewis GLK14
-
G Breeze GLK13
5
-
T Thomas DEF13
1
-
C Wyke FWD132
2
-
J Ellis DEF121
3
-
A Davies DEF1111
3
-
K Harris FWD1121
1
-
C Guy MID9
1
-
D McGeouch MID61
1
-
G Kelly FWD6
2
-
E Embleton MID4
1
-
C Whelan MID4
-
E Robson MID4
1
-
C McArthur DEF3
2
-
J Robinson DEF3
1
-
W Patching MID3
1
-
S Fusire MID3
1
-
J Hugill FWD3
1
-
C Scott FWD31
-
J Williams DEF2
-
F. O'Donoghue MID2
-
P Dummett DEF1
-
S Wearne MID1
-
A. Dudik FWD1
-
Swindon League Two squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2812310
W WrightH SmithG CoxO Clarke
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
W Wright DEF2932
6
-
T Sobowale DEF272
3
-
G Kilkenny MID2611
5
-
A Drinan FWD262
-
J Cotterill MID2512
4
-
K Tshimanga  FWD2341
-
P Glatzel FWD2321
1
-
H Smith FWD22121
6
1
G Cox DEF2123
6
-
N Ofoborh MID2111
3
-
D Butterworth FWD2021
2
-
O Clarke MID1922
10
-
J Bycroft GLK18
-
R Delaney DEF1611
4
-
M Freckleton DEF141
1
-
J. McGregor MID1311
3
-
D Barden GLK12
3
-
G Hall DEF12
1
1
J Cain MID10
1
-
B Kirkman DEF8
-
H Minturn DEF81
-
T Nichols FWD4
-
B. Ameen FWD3
-
J. Westley FWD21
-