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Carlisle United v Newport County : League Two match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 5th Apr, 15:00 BST, Brunton Park, Carlisle

Home advantage makes a difference in the League Two, and Mark Warburton’s Carlisle United will have the blessing of it on Saturday afternoon. Nélson Marques Jardim’s Newport County are their visitors to the Brunton Park. We want you to make a smart bet on this match, so we've searched our expansive database and pulled out the stats that will help you do exactly that. Head to head (H2H) and recent form are included, and the KickOff predictions are produced from them. The best odds are there to get you maximum bang for your buck.

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top League Two Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The KickOff predictive algorithm suggests there is a 74% probability of Carlisle and Newport scoring a minimum of 2 goals in this League Two clash. Recent form stats and head-to-head (H2H) records are central to that calculation , and it seems the bookmakers are predicting the same. This over 1.5 goals tip is available with best odds of 1.33.

There’s absolutely nothing to pick between these sides, and our predictive algorithm gives Carlisle and Newport an equal chance of claiming victory. The home win and the away win are both at 50% probability.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Carlisle 50%	7/10 3%	-
Draw 25%	3/1 9%	-
Newport 26%	16/5 4%	-
Draw 1-1 12%	13/2 14%	-
Carlisle 1-0 10%	6/1 8%	-
Carlisle 2-1 10%	15/2	-
Carlisle 2-0 9%	7/1	-
Newport 1-0 7%	11/1 9%	-
Newport 2-1 6%	12/1 13%	-
Draw 0-0 6%	11/1 26%	-
Draw 2-2 5%	16/1	-
Carlisle 3-1 5%	12/1 13%	-
Carlisle 3-0 5%	12/1	-
Newport 2-0 4%	20/1	-
Carlisle 3-2 3%	25/1 10%	-
Newport 3-1 2%	33/1 17%	-
Carlisle 4-1 2%	28/1	-
Newport 3-2 2%	40/1	-
Over 2.5 Goals 52%	17/20 8%	-
Under 2.5 Goals 48%	19/20 8%	-
Home 1st Goal 52%	1/2 4%	-
Away 1st Goal 44%	15/8	-
No 1st Goal 4%	11/1 26%	-
BTTS - Yes 54%	5/6 4%	-
BTTS - No 46%	5/6 2%	-
BTTS - Home Win 23%	11/4 6%	-
BTTS - Draw 18%	9/2 10%	-
BTTS - Away Win 13%	7/1 11%	-
Home/draw 74%	2/9 2%	-
Away/draw 50%	11/10 5%	-
Home/away 75%	2/9 2%	-
Over 1.5 Goals 76%	2/7 6%	-
Under 1.5 Goals 24%	5/2 15%	-
Over 3.5 Goals 30%	9/4 7%	-
Under 3.5 Goals 70%	1/3 3%	-
Over 4.5 Goals 14%	11/2 14%	-
Under 4.5 Goals 86%	1/9 2%	-
Over 5.5 Goals 6%	14/1 24%	-
Under 5.5 Goals 94%	1/33 2%	-
Over 0.5 Goals 94%	1/25 2%	-
Under 0.5 Goals 6%	12/1 37%	-
Home DNB 67%	1/3 2%	-
Away DNB 43%	9/4 4%	-
Carlisle win to nil 26%	7/4	-
Newport win to nil 13%	7/1 14%	-
Carlisle / Carlisle 30%	7/4	-
Carlisle / Newport 2%	33/1 17%	-
Carlisle / Draw 6%	14/1	-
Draw / Carlisle 18%	7/2	-
Draw / Newport 9%	17/2	-
Draw / Draw 15%	9/2	-
Newport / Carlisle 4%	20/1 9%	-
Newport / Newport 10%	7/1	-
Newport / Draw 6%	14/1 12%	-

Win / draw / win League Two table

Carlisle have played 40 matches so far this season and are in 24th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

40 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 23 games, drawn 10 and won 7. Carlisle have conceded 61 goals, scored 31, failed to score in 17 matches and kept 9 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Carlisle have played 20 games at home, winning 3, drawing 7 and losing 10 fixtures. They have scored 17 goals, conceded 29 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and failed to score 8 times in home league games.

Newport lay in 17th place on 47 points in the League Two league table having played 40 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 11 games against teams below them in the table, winning 8, drawing 0 and losing 3 games. They have scored 22 goals and kept 4 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Newport have conceded 14 goals and have failed to score in 2 matches.

Away league performance

Newport have played 20 away games, winning 3, drawing 4 and losing 13 games. They have scored an average of 0.9 goals per away game and conceded an average 2 goals per away game.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Carlisle Newport
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Walsall	40	20	12	8	24	72	d 1-1A	l 3-1A	Apr 21	l 2-0A
2	Bradford	40	20	10	10	18	70	l 0-1A	l 2-1A	d 0-00-0	l 3-1A
3	Port Vale	40	19	13	8	13	70	Apr 18	d 0-00-0	l 1-4A	l 3-2F
4	Notts C	40	19	11	10	22	68	l 0-2A	l 1-0A	l 0-2A	d 0-00-0
5	Doncaster	39	19	10	10	13	67	d 0-00-0	l 3-0A	w 3-1A	l 3-0A
6	AFC Wim	40	18	11	11	22	65	l 1-2A	l 4-0A	l 1-2A	d 2-2A
7	Grimsby	40	19	5	16	-3	62	l 2-3F	l 2-1F	d 0-00-0	l 1-0A
8	Crewe	40	15	16	9	8	61	d 1-1F	l 3-2F	w 2-1F	w 0-3F
9	Colchester	40	14	17	9	8	59	d 0-00-0	d 0-00-0	Apr 12	d 0-00-0
10	Chesterfield	39	16	10	13	16	58	l 0-2A	l 2-1A	l 0-3A	l 2-1F
11	Salford	39	15	12	12	4	57	May 3	w 0-1F	w 3-1F	d 1-1F
12	Fleetwood	40	14	14	12	8	56	l 2-3A	w 1-2F	d 0-00-0	Apr 26
13	Bromley	40	13	14	13	1	53	w 2-1F	d 1-1A	d 1-1F	l 5-2A
14	Swindon	40	12	15	13	0	51	l 1-5A	w 0-2F	l 1-2F	l 4-0A
15	Cheltenham	40	13	11	16	-8	50	l 0-1A	Apr 26	l 0-3A	l 3-2A
16	Barrow	40	13	10	17	-3	49	w 1-0F	w 0-1F	w 1-0F	l 2-0A
17	Newport Away	40	13	8	19	-16	47	Apr 5	l 1-0A	-	-
18	MK Dons	40	13	7	20	-11	46	d 2-2A	l 3-0A	w 6-3F	Apr 18
19	Gillingham	39	11	12	16	-8	45	d 0-00-0	l 4-1A	w 3-1F	w 0-2F
20	Harrogate	40	12	9	19	-18	45	d 1-1A	l 1-0A	w 3-0F	l 1-0A
21	Accrington	40	10	12	18	-13	42	w 2-1F	Apr 21	w 3-1F	l 5-0A
22	Tranmere	40	9	13	18	-26	40	l 1-2F	l 1-0A	May 3	l 2-1A
23	Morecambe	40	10	6	24	-21	36	l 0-1A	Apr 12	w 2-1F	w 0-1F
24	Carlisle Home	40	7	10	23	-30	31	-	-	w 1-0F	Apr 5

	Promotion
	Promotion Play Off
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Newport have lost 4 consecutive away league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Carlisle	2 - 2	MK Dons
Carlisle	2 - 1	Bromley
Carlisle	1 - 2	AFC Wim
Carlisle	1 - 1	Walsall
Carlisle	0 - 0	Gillingham
Carlisle	0 - 0	Colchester
Carlisle	1 - 5	Swindon
Carlisle	0 - 1	Bradford
Carlisle	2 - 1	Accrington
Carlisle	0 - 1	Morecambe
Carlisle	0 - 2	Chesterfield
Carlisle	1 - 1	Crewe
Carlisle	0 - 0	Doncaster
Carlisle	0 - 1	Cheltenham
Carlisle	1 - 1	Harrogate
Carlisle	0 - 2	Notts C
Carlisle	2 - 3	Grimsby
Carlisle	2 - 3	Fleetwood
Carlisle	1 - 2	Tranmere
Carlisle	1 - 0	Barrow

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

11 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

9 / 20

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Carlisle	1 - 2	Chesterfield
A	Carlisle	0 - 3	Doncaster
H	Carlisle	2 - 2	MK Dons
H	Carlisle	2 - 1	Bromley
H	Carlisle	1 - 2	AFC Wim
A	Carlisle	0 - 1	Harrogate
H	Carlisle	1 - 1	Walsall
A	Carlisle	1 - 0	Barrow
H	Carlisle	0 - 0	Gillingham
H	Carlisle	0 - 0	Colchester
A	Carlisle	0 - 1	Newport
A	Carlisle	1 - 2	Grimsby
H	Carlisle	1 - 5	Swindon
A	Carlisle	0 - 1	Notts C
A	Carlisle	2 - 1	Fleetwood
H	Carlisle	0 - 1	Bradford
A	Carlisle	0 - 1	Tranmere
A	Carlisle	2 - 3	Crewe
H	Carlisle	2 - 1	Accrington
H	Carlisle	0 - 1	Morecambe

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

11 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

9 / 20

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Grimsby	1 - 0	Newport
Accrington	5 - 0	Newport
Chesterfield	2 - 1	Newport
Doncaster	3 - 0	Newport
Crewe	0 - 3	Newport
Salford	1 - 1	Newport
Port Vale	3 - 2	Newport
Walsall	2 - 0	Newport
Bromley	5 - 2	Newport
Colchester	0 - 0	Newport
AFC Wim	2 - 2	Newport
Notts C	0 - 0	Newport
Tranmere	2 - 1	Newport
Gillingham	0 - 2	Newport
Harrogate	1 - 0	Newport
Bradford	3 - 1	Newport
Barrow	2 - 0	Newport
Swindon	4 - 0	Newport
Morecambe	0 - 1	Newport
Cheltenham	3 - 2	Newport

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Newport	1 - 1	Bromley
H	Newport	0 - 2	Notts C
A	Newport	0 - 1	Grimsby
H	Newport	3 - 0	Harrogate
A	Newport	0 - 5	Accrington
A	Newport	1 - 2	Chesterfield
H	Newport	3 - 1	Gillingham
A	Newport	0 - 3	Doncaster
H	Newport	0 - 3	Cheltenham
H	Newport	0 - 0	Bradford
H	Newport	1 - 0	Carlisle
A	Newport	3 - 0	Crewe
H	Newport	2 - 1	Morecambe
H	Newport	1 - 0	Barrow
A	Newport	1 - 1	Salford
H	Newport	1 - 2	Swindon
A	Newport	2 - 3	Port Vale
H	Newport	1 - 2	AFC Wim
A	Newport	0 - 2	Walsall
A	Newport	2 - 5	Bromley

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Carlisle

Newport

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

8 / 9

7 / 9

Clean sheets

2 / 9

1 / 9

CUT

NEW

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Carlisle
Carlisle	2 - 0
	1 - 2	Newport
Carlisle	3 - 2
Carlisle	2 - 0
Carlisle	3 - 2
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Carlisle	2 - 1
	0 - 1	Newport
	2 - 3	Newport

Newport

Carlisle

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

9 / 10

4 / 10

Clean sheets

6 / 10

1 / 10

NEW

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Newport
Newport	1 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Newport	1 - 0
Newport	2 - 0
Draw	3 - 3	Draw
Newport	2 - 0
Newport	1 - 0
Newport	2 - 1

Goal Statistics

	Carlisle 24th	Newport 17th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.6 goals	1.1 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 20% 1 32% 2 26% 3 14% 4+ 8% There is a 80% probability that Carlisle will score 1 or more goals	0 33% 1 37% 2 20% 3 4+ There is a 70% probability that Newport will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-31 Carlisle have scored 31% fewer goals at home than predicted	-7 Newport’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	0.9 average goals scored	0.9 average goals scored
	1.5 conceded	2.0 conceded

Attack defence ratings
League Two - 2024/2025 season

CUT

NEW

24%

better

view stats

Games scored	23		25
Failed to score	17		15
Scored first	12		17
Goals scored	31		49
Avg. goals scored	0.8		1.2
Avg. shots per game	8		6
Avg. shots per goal	11		5
Conversion rate for	9		19
Avg. XG for	1.3		1.1
KickOff rating		+24%

CUT

NEW

better

view stats

Games conceded	31		29
Clean sheets	9		11
Conceded first	23		18
Goals conceded	61		65
Avg. goals conceded	1.5		1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded	9		12
Avg. shots/goal conceded	6		7
Conversion rate against	16%		14%
Avg. XG against	1.3		1.8
KickOff rating		+6%

Carlisle v Newport League Two lLine ups will show here when available.

Carlisle League Two squad statistics 2024/2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
35	4	3	10
S Lavelle	S Lavelle	C Harper	S Lavelle

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
S Lavelle DEF	37	4	1	10 -
C Harper DEF	31		3	7 -
G Breeze GLK	26			5 -
T Thomas DEF	26			3 -
J Vela MID	24			8 -
K Harris FWD	24	3	2	2 -
J Jones FWD	21			9 1
A Davies DEF	20	1	2	7 -
B Barclay DEF	20	1	1	5 -
A Hayden DEF	18	1	1	6 -
C Whelan MID	17	1		2 -
C Guy MID	17			1 -
J Ellis DEF	15	1		4 -
E Embleton MID	15		2	3 1
H Lewis GLK	14			-
C Wyke FWD	13	2		2 -
S Wearne MID	12	1	1	-
G Kelly FWD	12			2 -
J. Bevan FWD	11			1 -
J Hugill FWD	11	2		3 -
C Scott FWD	11	1	1	-
W Patching MID	10			2 -
C McArthur DEF	9			4 -
M Dennis FWD	9	3	1	1 -
S Fusire MID	8			1 -
E Robson MID	7			2 -
J Williams DEF	6		1	1 -
D McGeouch MID	6		1	1 -
F. O'Donoghue MID	2			-
P Dummett DEF	1			-
A. Dudik FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
4	14	3	20
S Lavelle	J Hugill	C Harper	C Harper

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
S Lavelle DEF	4	7	1	5
K Harris FWD	3	13	2	14
M Dennis FWD	3	8	1	1
J Hugill FWD	2	14		4
C Wyke FWD	2	3		6
A Davies DEF	1	3	2	10
B Barclay DEF	1	6	1	5
A Hayden DEF	1	4	1	3
C Whelan MID	1	4		7
J Ellis DEF	1	1		4
S Wearne MID	1	5	1
C Scott FWD	1	2	1	2
J Vela MID		3		2
C McArthur DEF				2
D McGeouch MID			1	1
J Williams DEF			1	1
E Robson MID		1		1
S Fusire MID				1
W Patching MID				2
T Thomas DEF		3		6
J Jones FWD		7		8
G Kelly FWD		2
C Harper DEF		5	3	20
E Embleton MID		4	2	13
C Guy MID		1		5
A. Dudik FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1673	61	252
S Lavelle	S Lavelle	S Lavelle

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
S Lavelle DEF	1673	61	252
T Thomas DEF	1159	42	233
C Harper DEF	1151	36	85
C Whelan MID	771	28	54
G Breeze GLK	767	2	25
A Hayden DEF	757	20	91
A Davies DEF	654	42	101
B Barclay DEF	641	26	88
J Jones FWD	535	24	81
H Lewis GLK	485		5
C Guy MID	477	16	45
K Harris FWD	475	34	122
J Vela MID	385	29	76
E Embleton MID	354	7	23
C McArthur DEF	353	12	35
W Patching MID	303	10	25
S Wearne MID	205	11	34
J Ellis DEF	204	15	31
C Wyke FWD	198	9	74
J Williams DEF	175	14	33
D McGeouch MID	160	5	8
C Scott FWD	123	3	33
S Fusire MID	106	9	15
J. Bevan FWD	101	14	27
J Hugill FWD	94	10	36
E Robson MID	85	4	9
M Dennis FWD	75	6	34
G Kelly FWD	41	3	26
A. Dudik FWD	3
F. O'Donoghue MID	2

Newport League Two squad statistics 2024/2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
37	7	8	8
N Townsend	B Kamwa	A Driscoll-Glennon	A Driscoll-Glennon

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
N Townsend GLK	37			2 -
B Kamwa FWD	37	7	5	5 -
M Baker DEF	35	4		3 -
A Driscoll-Glennon DEF	34		8	8 -
C Antwi MID	34	1	2	7 -
C Baker-Richardson FWD	32	5	1	5 1
S McLoughlin MID	31	2	2	2 -
K Evans MID	30	1	2	5 -
C Evans DEF	29	4	2	8 -
M Spellman FWD	27	2		2 -
C Brennan DEF	24			2 1
K Jameson DEF	22			4 3
K. Whitmore MID	22	2		3 -
K Hudlin FWD	22	6	1	4 -
J Clarke DEF	20	1	1	2 -
J. Thomas DEF	17	1	1	1 -
D Ajiboye FWD	16	2	1	1 -
A Wildig MID	15	4		4 -
N Mawene MID	14			1 -
O. Greaves MID	14	2	1	-
J Martin FWD	13			-
G. Bony FWD	6			-
K Pattern MID	4			-
J Carney GLK	3			-
J. Warner DEF	3			1 -
T Davies DEF	3			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
7	23	8	20
B Kamwa	B Kamwa	A Driscoll-Glennon	A Driscoll-Glennon

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
B Kamwa FWD	7	23	5	14
K Hudlin FWD	6	14	1	10
C Baker-Richardson FWD	5	7	1	6
C Evans DEF	4	5	2	4
M Baker DEF	4	4		6
A Wildig MID	4	7		8
D Ajiboye FWD	2	7	1	5
K. Whitmore MID	2	4		5
M Spellman FWD	2	9		6
O. Greaves MID	2	3	1	3
S McLoughlin MID	2	5	2	11
K Evans MID	1	7	2	15
J Clarke DEF	1	1	1	2
J. Thomas DEF	1	3	1	1
C Antwi MID	1	5	2	3
N Townsend GLK				1
J Martin FWD		2
N Mawene MID		1		1
K Jameson DEF		1		3
C Brennan DEF		2		3
A Driscoll-Glennon DEF		2	8	20

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1440	53	182
M Baker	S McLoughlin	C Baker-Richardson

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
M Baker DEF	1440	51	177
S McLoughlin MID	1321	53	177
N Townsend GLK	1320	1	38
A Driscoll-Glennon DEF	1155	51	117
C Brennan DEF	995	44	108
C Evans DEF	836	53	153
C Antwi MID	781	43	111
K Evans MID	710	35	79
J Clarke DEF	601	12	119
B Kamwa FWD	599	25	120
J. Thomas DEF	464	27	90
K Jameson DEF	461	12	56
A Wildig MID	427	24	43
C Baker-Richardson FWD	384	13	182
K Hudlin FWD	320	14	133
K. Whitmore MID	290	28	88
M Spellman FWD	195	26	73
J Martin FWD	192	6	20
N Mawene MID	179	15	34
D Ajiboye FWD	173	12	64
O. Greaves MID	133	6	27
J Carney GLK	89		3
T Davies DEF	71	5	16
J. Warner DEF	65	3	10
G. Bony FWD	38	3	15
K Pattern MID	28	1	5

English League Two match betting previews, predictions and odds

Walsall v Port Vale

Sat 5th Apr, 12:30

Cheltenham v Doncaster

Sat 5th Apr, 12:30

Tranmere v Chesterfield

Chesterfield v Gillingham

Chesterfield v Fleetwood

Sat 12th Apr, 15:00

Barrow v Walsall

Sat 12th Apr, 15:00

Accrington v Tranmere

Carlisle United v Newport County : League Two match betting preview, prediction and odds

Carlisle have played 40 matches so far this season and are in 24th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

Home league performance

Newport lay in 17th place on 47 points in the League Two league table having played 40 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

Away league performance

Carlisle v Newport League Two lLine ups will show here when available.

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