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Carlisle United v Morecambe : League Two match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 26th Dec, 15:00 BST, Brunton Park, Carlisle

the Brunton Park is the setting on Thursday afternoon, as Paul Simpson's Carlisle United welcome Derek Adams's Morecambe in the League Two. Below there are predictions for seventeen major betting markets, supporting stats including head to heads (H2Hs), and odds. Access it all via the tabs below.


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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

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Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Carlisle
34%
--
Draw
26%
--
Morecambe
41%
--
Draw 1-1
12%
--
Morecambe 1-0
10%
--
Morecambe 2-1
9%
--
Carlisle 1-0
9%
--
Carlisle 2-1
8%
--
Morecambe 2-0
7%
--
Draw 0-0
7%
--
Draw 2-2
6%
--
Carlisle 2-0
5%
--
Morecambe 3-1
4%
--
Carlisle 3-1
3%
--
Morecambe 3-0
3%
--
Morecambe 3-2
3%
--
Carlisle 3-2
2%
--
Carlisle 3-0
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
49%
--
Home 1st Goal
46%
--
Away 1st Goal
50%
--
No 1st Goal
4%
--
BTTS - Yes
55%
--
BTTS - No
45%
--
BTTS - Home Win
16%
--
BTTS - Draw
19%
--
BTTS - Away Win
19%
--
Home/draw
59%
--
Away/draw
67%
--
Home/away
74%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
75%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
25%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
29%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
71%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
14%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
86%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
--
Home DNB
52%
--
Away DNB
59%
--
Carlisle win to nil
17%
--
Morecambe win to nil
21%
--
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Win / draw / win League Two table

Carlisle have played 18 matches so far this season and are in 24th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

18 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 10 games, drawn 5 and won 3. Carlisle have conceded 30 goals, scored 15, failed to score in 6 matches and kept 5 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Carlisle have played 9 games at home, winning 1, drawing 3 and losing 5 fixtures. They have scored 8 goals, conceded 13 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 3 times in home league games.

 
Won
Draw
Lost
Carlisle
Morecambe
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Walsall1811431537 
Mar 4
l
 
3-1A
Feb 22
l
 
1-0A
2
Port Vale191054735 
Apr 18
Dec 21
l
 
0-1A
Mar 22
3
Doncaster19964633 
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 29
-
l
 
1-0A
4
Crewe18873631 
d
 
1-1F
Jan 1
Jan 18
l
 
1-0A
5
Grimsby191018-131 
l
 
2-3F
Feb 8
l
 
0-3A
Apr 5
6
AFC Wim189361430 
Mar 15
l
 
4-0A
Mar 4
l
 
3-0A
7
MK Dons179351130 
Jan 11
l
 
3-0A
l
 
1-3A
Mar 8
8
Chesterfield197751028 
Dec 14
Apr 1
l
 
2-5A
Apr 26
9
Notts C18774728 
l
 
0-2A
Jan 28
d
 
1-1F
Feb 8
10
Gillingham18828326 
Feb 22
l
 
4-1A
l
 
0-1A
Mar 1
11
Bradford18675425 
Jan 18
l
 
2-1A
d
 
1-1F
Jan 28
12
Salford18666-224 
May 3
w
 
0-1F
Apr 21
Dec 29
13
Barrow18657123 
w
 
1-0F
Mar 1
Mar 15
w
 
0-1F
14
Bromley18585023 
Mar 22
d
 
1-1A
Dec 21
Apr 18
15
Cheltenham19658-323 
l
 
0-1A
Apr 26
Apr 1
Dec 14
16
Fleetwood17575122 
l
 
2-3A
Jan 25
Feb 1
d
 
2-2A
17
Newport18648-722 
Apr 5
-
l
 
0-1A
Jan 5
18
Colchester18495121 
Feb 15
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
3-3F
Jan 25
19
Harrogate196310-1221 
d
 
1-1A
Mar 8
May 3
w
 
1-2F
20
Accrington18468-818 
Dec 29
Apr 21
Feb 15
l
 
2-1A
21
Tranmere18468-1318 
l
 
1-2F
Jan 4
Jan 1
d
 
2-2F
22
Swindon19379-1016 
Feb 1
w
 
0-2F
Mar 29
w
 
2-3F
23
Morecambe Away193511-1514 
Dec 26
Apr 12
-
-
24
Carlisle Home183510-1514 
-
-
Apr 12
Dec 26
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Carlisle 24TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
41
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
2
D
4
Lost
14
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Carlisle1 - 1Crewe
Carlisle0 - 0Doncaster
Carlisle0 - 1Cheltenham
Carlisle1 - 1Harrogate
Carlisle0 - 2Notts C
Carlisle2 - 3Grimsby
Carlisle2 - 3Fleetwood
Carlisle1 - 2Tranmere
Carlisle1 - 0Barrow
Carlisle1 - 3Wycombe
Carlisle0 - 1Blackpool
Carlisle1 - 3Lincoln
Carlisle2 - 2Stevenage
Carlisle2 - 3Barnsley
Carlisle1 - 3Reading
Carlisle0 - 4Cambridge
Carlisle0 - 1Portsmouth
Carlisle1 - 4Bolton
Carlisle1 - 3Oxford Utd
Carlisle2 - 1Port Vale
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
3
Draw
5
Lost
12
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HCarlisle1 - 1Crewe
HCarlisle0 - 0Doncaster
ACarlisle1 - 1Bromley
ACarlisle1 - 0Salford
HCarlisle0 - 1Cheltenham
ACarlisle1 - 3Walsall
HCarlisle1 - 1Harrogate
ACarlisle0 - 4AFC Wim
ACarlisle0 - 0Colchester
HCarlisle0 - 2Notts C
HCarlisle2 - 3Grimsby
ACarlisle2 - 0Swindon
HCarlisle2 - 3Fleetwood
ACarlisle1 - 2Bradford
HCarlisle1 - 2Tranmere
ACarlisle0 - 3MK Dons
HCarlisle1 - 0Barrow
ACarlisle1 - 4Gillingham
ACarlisle0 - 2Derby
HCarlisle1 - 3Wycombe
Morecambe 23RD
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
38
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
D
4
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Tranmere2 - 2Morecambe
Swindon2 - 3Morecambe
Harrogate1 - 2Morecambe
AFC Wim3 - 0Morecambe
Barrow0 - 1Morecambe
Accrington2 - 1Morecambe
Fleetwood2 - 2Morecambe
Crewe1 - 0Morecambe
Doncaster1 - 0Morecambe
Walsall1 - 0Morecambe
Swindon3 - 3Morecambe
Stockport2 - 0Morecambe
Accrington1 - 2Morecambe
Salford3 - 1Morecambe
Newport5 - 3Morecambe
Crewe2 - 3Morecambe
Walsall3 - 0Morecambe
AFC Wim1 - 1Morecambe
Tranmere2 - 3Morecambe
Crawley1 - 2Morecambe
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
37
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
3
Draw
6
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HMorecambe0 - 3Grimsby
AMorecambe2 - 2Tranmere
AMorecambe3 - 2Swindon
HMorecambe0 - 1Port Vale
AMorecambe2 - 1Harrogate
HMorecambe2 - 5Chesterfield
AMorecambe0 - 3AFC Wim
HMorecambe1 - 3MK Dons
AMorecambe1 - 0Barrow
AMorecambe1 - 2Accrington
HMorecambe1 - 1Bradford
HMorecambe1 - 1Notts C
AMorecambe2 - 2Fleetwood
HMorecambe3 - 3Colchester
AMorecambe0 - 1Crewe
HMorecambe0 - 1Newport
AMorecambe0 - 1Doncaster
HMorecambe0 - 1Gillingham
AMorecambe0 - 1Walsall
AMorecambe3 - 3Swindon
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Carlisle since 2015
Carlisle
Morecambe
Goals: Scored
10
11
Games: Scored
6 / 7
7 / 7
Clean sheets
0 / 7
1 / 7
CUT
1
D
4
MOR
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Carlisle
Carlisle3 - 1
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 2Morecambe
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
2 - 3Morecambe
Draw1 - 1Draw
League games at Morecambe since 2014
Morecambe
Carlisle
Goals: Scored
6
11
Games: Scored
4 / 7
7 / 7
Clean sheets
0 / 7
3 / 7
CUT
4
D
2
MOR
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Morecambe
Morecambe3 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 2Carlisle
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 3Carlisle
1 - 2Carlisle
0 - 1Carlisle
Goal Statistics

Goals have been an issue for Carlisle United of late. It has been 10 League Two matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.3 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Thursday afternoon against Morecambe.

Carlisle 24th Morecambe 23rd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 64% probability that Carlisle will score no more than 1 goal
0
24%
1
34%
2
24%
3
12%
4+
There is a 76% probability that Morecambe will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-20
Carlisle have scored 20% fewer goals at home than predicted
+26
Morecambe have scored 26% more goals when away than predicted
1.0
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
2.1
conceded
1.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
League Two - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/281448/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Carlisle
PG (predicted goals)
Morecambe
1.3
1.4
Attack rating
CUT
MOR
7%
better
view stats
Games scored12
11
Failed to score6
8
Scored first6
7
Goals scored15
19
Avg. goals scored0.8
1
Avg. shots per game8
7
Avg. shots per goal10
7
Conversion rate for10
14
Avg. XG for1.2
0.9
KickOff rating
+7%
Defence rating
17%
better
CUT
MOR
view stats
Games conceded13
18
Clean sheets5
1
Conceded first10
12
Goals conceded30
34
Avg. goals conceded1.7
1.8
Avg. shots/game conceded8
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
6
Conversion rate against21%
17%
Avg. XG against1.1
1.6
KickOff rating
+17%

Carlisle v Morecambe League Two lLine ups will show here when available.

Carlisle League Two squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
15235
J MellishJ MellishC HarperJ Mellish
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Mellish DEF1721
5
-
S Lavelle DEF1621
3
-
D Sadi FWD1621
3
-
J Vela MID15
4
-
H Neal MID151
5
-
L Armstrong FWD152
-
H Lewis GLK14
-
C Harper DEF143
2
-
B Barclay DEF1311
5
-
C Wyke FWD132
2
-
A Davies DEF1111
3
-
T Thomas DEF11
1
-
H Biggins MID111
1
-
A Hayden DEF91
2
-
B Williams DEF8
-
C Guy MID8
1
-
D Adu-Adjei FWD821
1
-
J Ellis DEF7
1
-
J Jones FWD7
4
-
T Charters MID5
1
-
D McGeouch MID51
1
-
G Kelly FWD5
1
-
G Breeze GLK4
-
J Robinson DEF3
1
-
E Robson MID3
1
-
Morecambe League Two squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
19644
J StottB TollittA LewisD Tutonda
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Stott DEF192
1
-
B Tollitt MID1962
3
-
D Tutonda DEF18
4
-
L Hendrie DEF183
3
1
A Lewis DEF1814
2
-
R Williams DEF161
2
-
S Moore GLK15
-
H Macadam MID151
1
-
M Dackers FWD151
1
-
J Slew FWD151
2
-
Y Songo'o MID141
4
-
T White MID13
3
-
H Hope FWD132
1
-
P Lewis MID11
2
-
R Millen DEF10
-
K Harrack DEF8
2
1
G Edwards FWD81
2
-
L Angol FWD81
3
-
H Burgoyne GLK5
1
-
C Brown FWD4
1
-
M Taylor DEF3
-
G Ray DEF2
-