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Carlisle United v MK Dons : League Two match betting preview, prediction and odds

Tue 25th Mar, 19:45 BST, Brunton Park, Carlisle

Scott Parker is aiming for a crucial away win in the League Two on Tuesday evening, as he takes his MK Dons side to the Brunton Park to visit Carlisle United and Mark Warburton. The odds you see on the page are delivered straight from the UK's leading bookmakers, while predictions are calculated from statistics over a 20-game period. We focus especially on League Two match data, including head-to-head performance. Hit the tabs below to explore.


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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We're ruling out a bore-draw or a slim 1-0 win here, and instead are tipping over 1.5 goals. That means that Carlisle and MK Dons will score a minimum of a couple of between them during the standard 90 mins. It's a prediction based on the recent form of the respective sides, as well as past records of their head-to-head clashes. We give it a probability of 79%. Bookmakers have it at 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Carlisle are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 39% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.75.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Carlisle
39%
31/20
18%
7/4
8%
Draw
26%
5/25/2
3%
MK Dons
36%
31/20
19%
29/20
9%
Draw 1-1
12%
6/1
8%
5/1
8%
Carlisle 1-0
9%
8/1
10%
15/2
MK Dons 1-0
9%
8/1
6%
7/1
7%
Carlisle 2-1
8%
9/1
9%
8/1
5%
MK Dons 2-1
8%
9/1
11%
15/2
6%
Draw 0-0
7%
10/18/1
5%
Carlisle 2-0
6%
12/1
24%
11/1
8%
MK Dons 2-0
6%
12/1
18%
10/1
16%
Draw 2-2
6%
14/1
15%
10/1
8%
Carlisle 3-1
4%
20/1
9%
16/1
MK Dons 3-1
4%
20/1
24%
14/1
15%
Carlisle 3-0
3%
25/1
24%
18/1
10%
Carlisle 3-2
3%
28/120/1
MK Dons 3-0
3%
25/1
24%
16/1
13%
MK Dons 3-2
3%
28/1
12%
18/1
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
17/2017/20
1%
Under 2.5 Goals
49%
19/2017/20
3%
Home 1st Goal
49%
20/21
15%
-
Away 1st Goal
47%
20/21
13%
-
No 1st Goal
4%
10/1-
BTTS - Yes
55%
8/117/10
2%
BTTS - No
45%
1/121/20
BTTS - Home Win
19%
4/1
17%
19/5
9%
BTTS - Draw
19%
7/210/3
2%
BTTS - Away Win
17%
4/1
15%
7/2
7%
Home/draw
64%
1/2
10%
8/15
7%
Away/draw
61%
1/2
10%
4/9
6%
Home/away
74%
2/73/10
1%
Over 1.5 Goals
76%
2/7
3%
2/7
Under 1.5 Goals
24%
5/2
7%
12/5
3%
Over 3.5 Goals
29%
9/421/10
3%
Under 3.5 Goals
71%
1/31/3
Over 4.5 Goals
14%
11/219/4
Under 4.5 Goals
86%
1/91/9
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
12/110/1
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1/251/33
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/201/20
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
10/117/2
Home DNB
57%
5/6
17%
19/20
9%
Away DNB
54%
5/6
13%
3/4
8%
Carlisle win to nil
20%
7/2
18%
-
MK Dons win to nil
18%
7/2
20%
-
Carlisle / Carlisle
19%
10/3
13%
10/3
6%
Carlisle / MK Dons
3%
25/1
13%
20/1
11%
Carlisle / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Draw / Carlisle
13%
5/1
14%
5/1
8%
Draw / MK Dons
14%
5/1
9%
19/4
10%
Draw / Draw
15%
9/24/1
5%
MK Dons / Carlisle
3%
25/1
10%
20/1
9%
MK Dons / MK Dons
20%
10/3
20%
14/5
9%
MK Dons / Draw
6%
14/1
15%
11/1
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win League Two table

Carlisle have played 35 matches so far this season and are in 24th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

35 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 20 games, drawn 9 and won 6. Carlisle have conceded 51 goals, scored 25, failed to score in 16 matches and kept 9 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Carlisle have played 17 games at home, winning 2, drawing 6 and losing 9 fixtures. They have scored 12 goals, conceded 24 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and failed to score 8 times in home league games.

MK Dons lay in 18th place on 42 points in the League Two league table having played 35 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 10 games against teams below them in the table, winning 6, drawing 2 and losing 2 games. They have scored 19 goals and kept 1 clean sheet against lower placed opposition. MK Dons have conceded 10 goals and have failed to score in 2 matches.

Away league performance

MK Dons have played 16 away games, winning 4, drawing 2 and losing 10 games. They have scored an average of 1.4 goals per away game and conceded an average 2 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Carlisle
MK Dons
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Walsall3620882468 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
3-1A
w
 
1-0F
l
 
4-2F
2
Bradford3619981866 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-1A
l
 
1-2A
l
 
2-0A
3
Doncaster36188101062 
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 29
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-1A
4
Notts C36171091861 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-2A
Apr 2
5
AFC Wim36179102260 
Mar 15
l
 
4-0A
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
3-0A
6
Port Vale3515137758 
Apr 18
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
0-1A
Mar 15
7
Crewe3614148756 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
3-2F
d
 
1-1F
Apr 21
8
Grimsby3617514-256 
l
 
2-3F
l
 
2-1F
Apr 26
w
 
1-3A
9
Colchester3613167955 
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-0A
10
Bromley36131211351 
Mar 22
d
 
1-1A
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1F
11
Salford36131112250 
May 3
w
 
0-1F
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
12
Fleetwood36121311649 
l
 
2-3A
w
 
1-2F
Mar 29
l
 
2-1A
13
Cheltenham36131013-349 
l
 
0-1A
Apr 26
w
 
3-2A
Mar 22
14
Chesterfield35139131348 
l
 
0-2A
Apr 1
w
 
3-0F
w
 
1-2F
15
Swindon36111312046 
l
 
1-5A
w
 
0-2F
w
 
3-1A
May 3
16
Barrow3512716-343 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
Apr 5
l
 
2-1F
17
Newport3612717-1643 
Apr 5
l
 
1-0A
Apr 18
l
 
6-3A
18
MK Dons Away3512617-442 
Mar 25
l
 
3-0A
-
-
19
Gillingham3511816-841 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
4-1A
l
 
0-1A
Apr 12
20
Harrogate3611718-1640 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-5F
21
Accrington3610917-1039 
w
 
2-1F
Apr 21
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-0A
22
Tranmere3671217-2833 
l
 
1-2F
l
 
1-0A
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1F
23
Morecambe368523-2329 
l
 
0-1A
Apr 12
w
 
2-1A
w
 
1-3F
24
Carlisle Home356920-2627 
-
-
w
 
3-0F
Mar 25
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Carlisle 24TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
14
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
W
2
Draw
6
Lost
12
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Carlisle1 - 1Walsall
Carlisle0 - 0Gillingham
Carlisle0 - 0Colchester
Carlisle1 - 5Swindon
Carlisle0 - 1Bradford
Carlisle2 - 1Accrington
Carlisle0 - 1Morecambe
Carlisle0 - 2Chesterfield
Carlisle1 - 1Crewe
Carlisle0 - 0Doncaster
Carlisle0 - 1Cheltenham
Carlisle1 - 1Harrogate
Carlisle0 - 2Notts C
Carlisle2 - 3Grimsby
Carlisle2 - 3Fleetwood
Carlisle1 - 2Tranmere
Carlisle1 - 0Barrow
Carlisle1 - 3Wycombe
Carlisle0 - 1Blackpool
Carlisle1 - 3Lincoln
Goals: Scored
12
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
9 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
11 / 20
W
3
Draw
7
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ACarlisle0 - 1Harrogate
HCarlisle1 - 1Walsall
ACarlisle1 - 0Barrow
HCarlisle0 - 0Gillingham
HCarlisle0 - 0Colchester
ACarlisle0 - 1Newport
ACarlisle1 - 2Grimsby
HCarlisle1 - 5Swindon
ACarlisle0 - 1Notts C
ACarlisle2 - 1Fleetwood
HCarlisle0 - 1Bradford
ACarlisle0 - 1Tranmere
ACarlisle2 - 3Crewe
HCarlisle2 - 1Accrington
HCarlisle0 - 1Morecambe
ACarlisle0 - 0Port Vale
HCarlisle0 - 2Chesterfield
HCarlisle1 - 1Crewe
HCarlisle0 - 0Doncaster
ACarlisle1 - 1Bromley
MK Dons 18TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
41
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
D
3
Lost
11
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Accrington2 - 0MK Dons
Bradford2 - 0MK Dons
Tranmere1 - 1MK Dons
Barrow2 - 1MK Dons
Doncaster2 - 1MK Dons
Fleetwood2 - 1MK Dons
Walsall4 - 2MK Dons
Chesterfield1 - 2MK Dons
Newport6 - 3MK Dons
Grimsby1 - 3MK Dons
Morecambe1 - 3MK Dons
Harrogate1 - 5MK Dons
Bromley1 - 1MK Dons
AFC Wim3 - 0MK Dons
Salford1 - 0MK Dons
Colchester2 - 0MK Dons
Crawley3 - 0MK Dons
Harrogate3 - 5MK Dons
Forest Green0 - 2MK Dons
Notts C3 - 3MK Dons
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
5
D
3
Lost
12
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HMK Dons2 - 1Morecambe
AMK Dons0 - 2Accrington
HMK Dons0 - 1Colchester
AMK Dons0 - 2Bradford
AMK Dons1 - 1Tranmere
AMK Dons1 - 2Barrow
HMK Dons0 - 1Bromley
AMK Dons1 - 2Doncaster
HMK Dons2 - 1Harrogate
HMK Dons0 - 0AFC Wim
AMK Dons1 - 2Fleetwood
AMK Dons2 - 4Walsall
HMK Dons0 - 1Salford
AMK Dons2 - 1Chesterfield
HMK Dons1 - 1Crewe
HMK Dons0 - 2Notts C
AMK Dons3 - 6Newport
HMK Dons0 - 1Gillingham
HMK Dons3 - 0Chesterfield
HMK Dons3 - 2Cheltenham
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
MK Dons have beaten Carlisle in 3 consecutive league meetings
League games at Carlisle since 2009
Carlisle
MK Dons
Goals: Scored
19
10
Games: Scored
7 / 7
5 / 7
Clean sheets
2 / 7
0 / 7
CUT
4
D
1
MKD
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Carlisle
2 - 3MK Dons
Carlisle3 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 3MK Dons
Carlisle4 - 1
Carlisle5 - 0
Carlisle3 - 2
League games at MK Dons since 2008
MK Dons
Carlisle
Goals: Scored
17
10
Games: Scored
7 / 8
5 / 8
Clean sheets
3 / 8
1 / 8
CUT
3
MKD
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT MK Dons
MK Dons3 - 0
MK Dons2 - 0
0 - 1Carlisle
MK Dons2 - 0
1 - 2Carlisle
MK Dons3 - 2
3 - 4Carlisle
MK Dons3 - 1
Goal Statistics

Goals have been an issue for Carlisle United of late. It has been 9 League Two matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.4 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Tuesday evening against MK Dons.

Carlisle 24th MK Dons 18th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 60% probability that Carlisle will score no more than 1 goal
0
26%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 61% probability that MK Dons will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-42
Carlisle have scored 42% fewer goals at home than predicted
+13
MK Dons have scored 13% more goals when away than predicted
0.7
average goals scored
1.7
average goals scored
1.6
conceded
2.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
League Two - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/281496/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Carlisle
PG (predicted goals)
MK Dons
1.4
1.3
Attack rating
CUT
MKD
29%
better
view stats
Games scored19
23
Failed to score16
12
Scored first11
15
Goals scored25
46
Avg. goals scored0.7
1.3
Avg. shots per game8
8
Avg. shots per goal11
6
Conversion rate for9
16
Avg. XG for1.3
1.1
KickOff rating
+29%
Defence rating
7%
better
CUT
MKD
view stats
Games conceded26
31
Clean sheets9
4
Conceded first19
19
Goals conceded51
50
Avg. goals conceded1.5
1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded9
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
7
Conversion rate against16%
15%
Avg. XG against1.3
1.3
KickOff rating
+7%

Carlisle v MK Dons League Two lLine ups will show here when available.

Carlisle League Two squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
304310
S LavelleS LavelleC HarperJ Jones
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Lavelle DEF3241
9
-
C Harper DEF273
6
-
G Breeze GLK21
5
-
T Thomas DEF21
2
-
B Barclay DEF1911
5
-
J Vela MID19
6
-
K Harris FWD1921
2
-
A Hayden DEF1811
6
-
J Jones FWD18
9
1
A Davies DEF1511
6
-
H Lewis GLK14
-
J Ellis DEF141
4
-
C Guy MID13
1
-
C Wyke FWD132
2
-
E Embleton MID122
3
-
C Whelan MID12
2
-
W Patching MID10
2
-
C Scott FWD1011
-
J Hugill FWD91
2
-
S Wearne MID8
-
C McArthur DEF7
4
-
E Robson MID7
2
-
G Kelly FWD7
2
-
J Williams DEF61
1
-
D McGeouch MID61
1
-
J. Bevan FWD6
-
S Fusire MID5
1
-
M Dennis FWD51
1
-
F. O'Donoghue MID2
-
P Dummett DEF1
-
A. Dudik FWD1
-
MK Dons League Two squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
351088
A GilbeyA GilbeyA NemaneA Gilbey
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Gilbey MID35101
8
-
A Nemane MID328
7
-
L Offord DEF313
8
-
L Kelly MID2913
1
-
J Tomlinson MID2942
3
-
J White MID2661
8
-
S Hogan FWD2561
2
-
C Lemonheigh-Evans MID232
5
-
C Hendry FWD2332
5
1
N Lawrence DEF21
2
-
L Maguire  DEF1911
4
-
K Thompson-Sommers MID142
1
-
D Crowley MID123
1
-
S Sherring DEF10
4
-
J Williams MID101
4
-
T O'Reilly MID81
1
-
C Trueman GLK7
1
-
C. Waller DEF7
1
-
D Orsi FWD72
1
-
T Patterson DEF6
3
-
D Lewington DEF4
1
-
C MacGillivray GLK3
-
J Sanders DEF3
1
-
N Thompson DEF2
1
-