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Carlisle United v MK Dons : League Two match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 11th Jan, 15:00 BST, Brunton Park, Carlisle

Paul Simpson welcomes Mike Williamson to the Brunton Park on Saturday afternoon, as their Carlisle United and MK Dons troops do battle in the League Two. All statistics, including an in-depth look at the form of both sides and head-to-head records, will update as you browse each of the betting markets using the tabs below. The best odds and, of course, our algorithmic predictions will too.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top League Two Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We're ruling out a bore-draw or a slim 1-0 win here, and instead are tipping over 1.5 goals. That means that Carlisle and MK Dons will score a minimum of a couple of between them during the standard 90 mins. It's a prediction based on the recent form of the respective sides, as well as past records of their head-to-head clashes. We give it a probability of 79%. Bookmakers have it at 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 43% chance of MK Dons coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Carlisle
33%
2.55
18%
2.75
8%
Draw
24%
3.503.50
3%
MK Dons
43%
2.55
19%
2.45
9%
Draw 1-1
11%
7.00
8%
6.00
8%
MK Dons 2-1
9%
10.00
11%
8.50
6%
MK Dons 1-0
8%
9.00
6%
8.00
7%
Carlisle 2-1
8%
10.00
9%
9.00
5%
Carlisle 1-0
7%
9.00
10%
8.50
MK Dons 2-0
7%
13.00
18%
11.00
16%
Draw 2-2
6%
15.00
15%
11.00
8%
Draw 0-0
5%
11.009.00
5%
Carlisle 2-0
5%
13.00
24%
12.00
8%
MK Dons 3-1
5%
21.00
24%
15.00
15%
MK Dons 3-0
4%
26.00
24%
17.00
13%
Carlisle 3-1
3%
21.00
9%
17.00
MK Dons 3-2
3%
29.00
12%
19.00
Carlisle 3-2
3%
29.0021.00
Carlisle 3-0
2%
26.00
24%
19.00
10%
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
1.851.85
1%
Under 2.5 Goals
43%
1.951.85
3%
Home 1st Goal
47%
1.95
15%
-
Away 1st Goal
50%
1.95
13%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
11.00-
BTTS - Yes
59%
1.731.70
2%
BTTS - No
41%
2.002.05
BTTS - Home Win
18%
5.00
17%
4.80
9%
BTTS - Draw
19%
4.504.33
2%
BTTS - Away Win
23%
5.00
15%
4.50
7%
Home/draw
57%
1.50
10%
1.53
7%
Away/draw
67%
1.50
10%
1.44
6%
Home/away
76%
1.291.30
1%
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
1.29
3%
1.29
Under 1.5 Goals
21%
3.50
7%
3.40
3%
Over 3.5 Goals
34%
3.253.10
3%
Under 3.5 Goals
66%
1.331.33
Over 4.5 Goals
18%
6.505.75
Under 4.5 Goals
82%
1.111.11
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
13.0011.00
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1.041.03
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1.051.05
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
11.009.50
Home DNB
50%
1.83
17%
1.95
9%
Away DNB
60%
1.83
13%
1.75
8%
Carlisle win to nil
15%
4.50
18%
-
MK Dons win to nil
20%
4.50
20%
-
Carlisle / Carlisle
19%
4.33
13%
4.33
6%
Carlisle / MK Dons
3%
26.00
13%
21.00
11%
Carlisle / Draw
6%
15.0012.00
Draw / Carlisle
13%
6.00
14%
6.00
8%
Draw / MK Dons
14%
6.00
9%
5.75
10%
Draw / Draw
15%
5.505.00
5%
MK Dons / Carlisle
3%
26.00
10%
21.00
9%
MK Dons / MK Dons
20%
4.33
20%
3.80
9%
MK Dons / Draw
6%
15.00
15%
12.00
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Win / draw / win League Two table

Carlisle have played 24 matches so far this season and are in 24th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

24 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 14 games, drawn 6 and won 4. Carlisle have conceded 38 goals, scored 19, failed to score in 10 matches and kept 6 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Carlisle have played 12 games at home, winning 2, drawing 3 and losing 7 fixtures. They have scored 10 goals, conceded 17 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 5 times in home league games.

MK Dons lay in 11th place on 34 points in the League Two league table having played 23 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 11 games against teams below them in the table, winning 6, drawing 2 and losing 3 games. They have scored 24 goals and kept 1 clean sheet against lower placed opposition. MK Dons have conceded 17 goals and have failed to score in 2 matches.

Away league performance

MK Dons have played 9 away games, winning 4, drawing 1 and losing 4 games. They have scored an average of 1.9 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.9 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Carlisle
MK Dons
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Walsall2316432352 
Mar 4
l
 
3-1A
w
 
1-0F
Jan 18
2
Crewe2411941142 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
3-2F
d
 
1-1F
Apr 21
3
Salford2412661042 
May 3
w
 
0-1F
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
4
Port Vale251186441 
Apr 18
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
0-1A
Mar 15
5
AFC Wim2312471640 
Mar 15
l
 
4-0A
Jan 25
l
 
3-0A
6
Notts C2411761240 
l
 
0-2A
Jan 28
l
 
0-2A
Apr 1
7
Doncaster251177540 
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 29
d
 
1-1F
Feb 1
8
Bradford241086638 
Jan 18
l
 
2-1A
l
 
1-2A
Feb 22
9
Grimsby2512112-437 
l
 
2-3F
Feb 8
Apr 26
w
 
1-3A
10
Chesterfield24978934 
l
 
0-2A
Apr 1
w
 
3-0F
w
 
1-2F
11
MK Dons Away231049534 
Jan 11
l
 
3-0A
-
-
12
Bromley248106534 
Mar 22
d
 
1-1A
Feb 8
d
 
1-1F
13
Cheltenham24879-231 
l
 
0-1A
Apr 26
w
 
3-2A
Mar 22
14
Gillingham239311-230 
Feb 22
l
 
4-1A
l
 
0-1A
Apr 12
15
Barrow247710-328 
w
 
1-0F
Mar 1
Apr 5
Feb 11
16
Fleetwood22697027 
l
 
2-3A
Jan 25
Mar 29
Jan 21
17
Colchester245127027 
Feb 15
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 1
l
 
2-0A
18
Newport237511-1026 
Apr 5
Feb 11
Apr 18
l
 
6-3A
19
Accrington236710-825 
w
 
2-1F
Apr 21
w
 
2-1F
Mar 4
20
Tranmere236710-1525 
l
 
1-2F
l
 
1-0A
d
 
1-1F
Feb 15
21
Harrogate257414-1625 
d
 
1-1A
Mar 8
Jan 28
w
 
1-5F
22
Swindon255911-1024 
Feb 1
w
 
0-2F
w
 
3-1A
May 3
23
Morecambe245514-1720 
l
 
0-1A
Apr 12
Mar 8
w
 
1-3F
24
Carlisle Home244614-1918 
-
-
w
 
3-0F
Jan 11
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Carlisle 24TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
37
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
2
D
4
Lost
14
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Carlisle2 - 1Accrington
Carlisle0 - 1Morecambe
Carlisle0 - 2Chesterfield
Carlisle1 - 1Crewe
Carlisle0 - 0Doncaster
Carlisle0 - 1Cheltenham
Carlisle1 - 1Harrogate
Carlisle0 - 2Notts C
Carlisle2 - 3Grimsby
Carlisle2 - 3Fleetwood
Carlisle1 - 2Tranmere
Carlisle1 - 0Barrow
Carlisle1 - 3Wycombe
Carlisle0 - 1Blackpool
Carlisle1 - 3Lincoln
Carlisle2 - 2Stevenage
Carlisle2 - 3Barnsley
Carlisle1 - 3Reading
Carlisle0 - 4Cambridge
Carlisle0 - 1Portsmouth
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
W
3
Draw
6
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ACarlisle0 - 1Tranmere
ACarlisle2 - 3Crewe
HCarlisle2 - 1Accrington
HCarlisle0 - 1Morecambe
ACarlisle0 - 0Port Vale
HCarlisle0 - 2Chesterfield
HCarlisle1 - 1Crewe
HCarlisle0 - 0Doncaster
ACarlisle1 - 1Bromley
ACarlisle1 - 0Salford
HCarlisle0 - 1Cheltenham
ACarlisle1 - 3Walsall
HCarlisle1 - 1Harrogate
ACarlisle0 - 4AFC Wim
ACarlisle0 - 0Colchester
HCarlisle0 - 2Notts C
HCarlisle2 - 3Grimsby
ACarlisle2 - 0Swindon
HCarlisle2 - 3Fleetwood
ACarlisle1 - 2Bradford
MK Dons 11TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
40
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
8
D
2
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Chesterfield1 - 2MK Dons
Newport6 - 3MK Dons
Grimsby1 - 3MK Dons
Morecambe1 - 3MK Dons
Harrogate1 - 5MK Dons
Bromley1 - 1MK Dons
AFC Wim3 - 0MK Dons
Salford1 - 0MK Dons
Colchester2 - 0MK Dons
Crawley3 - 0MK Dons
Harrogate3 - 5MK Dons
Forest Green0 - 2MK Dons
Notts C3 - 3MK Dons
Stockport5 - 0MK Dons
Grimsby1 - 0MK Dons
Mansfield1 - 2MK Dons
AFC Wim1 - 0MK Dons
Swindon1 - 2MK Dons
Bradford4 - 0MK Dons
Barrow1 - 0MK Dons
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HMK Dons0 - 1Salford
AMK Dons2 - 1Chesterfield
HMK Dons1 - 1Crewe
HMK Dons0 - 2Notts C
AMK Dons3 - 6Newport
HMK Dons0 - 1Gillingham
HMK Dons3 - 0Chesterfield
HMK Dons3 - 2Cheltenham
HMK Dons3 - 1Swindon
AMK Dons3 - 1Grimsby
HMK Dons2 - 1Accrington
AMK Dons3 - 1Morecambe
HMK Dons0 - 1Port Vale
HMK Dons1 - 1Tranmere
AMK Dons5 - 1Harrogate
AMK Dons1 - 1Bromley
HMK Dons1 - 1Doncaster
AMK Dons0 - 3AFC Wim
HMK Dons1 - 0Walsall
AMK Dons0 - 1Salford
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
MK Dons have beaten Carlisle in 3 consecutive league meetings
League games at Carlisle since 2009
Carlisle
MK Dons
Goals: Scored
19
10
Games: Scored
7 / 7
5 / 7
Clean sheets
2 / 7
0 / 7
CUT
4
D
1
MKD
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Carlisle
2 - 3MK Dons
Carlisle3 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 3MK Dons
Carlisle4 - 1
Carlisle5 - 0
Carlisle3 - 2
League games at MK Dons since 2008
MK Dons
Carlisle
Goals: Scored
17
10
Games: Scored
7 / 8
5 / 8
Clean sheets
3 / 8
1 / 8
CUT
3
MKD
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT MK Dons
MK Dons3 - 0
MK Dons2 - 0
0 - 1Carlisle
MK Dons2 - 0
1 - 2Carlisle
MK Dons3 - 2
3 - 4Carlisle
MK Dons3 - 1
Goal Statistics
Carlisle 24th MK Dons 11th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.6
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 61% probability that Carlisle will score no more than 1 goal
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
8%
There is a 80% probability that MK Dons will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-31
Carlisle have scored 31% fewer goals at home than predicted
+10
MK Dons’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
0.9
average goals scored
1.6
average goals scored
1.9
conceded
2.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
League Two - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/281496/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Carlisle
PG (predicted goals)
MK Dons
1.4
1.6
Attack rating
CUT
MKD
31%
better
view stats
Games scored14
16
Failed to score10
7
Scored first8
11
Goals scored19
36
Avg. goals scored0.8
1.6
Avg. shots per game8
9
Avg. shots per goal11
6
Conversion rate for9
17
Avg. XG for1.2
1.3
KickOff rating
+31%
Defence rating
CUT
MKD
1%
better
view stats
Games conceded18
20
Clean sheets6
3
Conceded first13
12
Goals conceded38
31
Avg. goals conceded1.6
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded8
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
7
Conversion rate against19%
15%
Avg. XG against1.2
1.1
KickOff rating
+1%

Carlisle v MK Dons League Two lLine ups will show here when available.

Carlisle League Two squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
21337
J MellishL ArmstrongC HarperJ Mellish
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Mellish DEF2322
6
1
D Sadi FWD2221
4
-
S Lavelle DEF2121
5
-
H Neal MID211
7
-
C Harper DEF203
4
-
L Armstrong FWD2031
-
B Barclay DEF1711
5
-
H Biggins MID172
2
-
J Vela MID16
5
-
H Lewis GLK14
-
A Hayden DEF141
4
-
D Adu-Adjei FWD1421
2
-
C Wyke FWD132
2
-
J Jones FWD12
6
-
A Davies DEF1111
3
-
T Thomas DEF11
1
-
J Ellis DEF111
2
-
G Breeze GLK10
2
-
C Guy MID9
1
-
B Williams DEF8
-
T Charters MID6
1
-
D McGeouch MID61
1
-
G Kelly FWD6
2
-
J Robinson DEF3
1
-
E Robson MID3
1
-
A. Dudik FWD1
-
MK Dons League Two squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
23975
T McGillA GilbeyA NemaneL Offord
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
T McGill GLK23
-
L Offord DEF232
5
-
A Nemane MID237
5
-
A Gilbey MID239
5
-
L Kelly MID2013
1
-
J Tomlinson MID2042
1
-
L Maguire  DEF1811
3
-
J White MID1751
2
-
E Harrison FWD1721
2
1
C Lemonheigh-Evans MID152
2
-
T Carroll MID142
-
C Hendry FWD1431
2
-
M Williams MID131
1
-
S Wearne MID11
2
-
N Lawrence DEF10
-
T Leigh MID1014
1
-
J Tucker DEF9
1
-
S Sherring DEF8
2
-
K Thompson-Sommers MID71
1
-
S Finch FWD61
-
C Tripp MID5
1
-
D Lewington DEF4
1
-
J Pritchard  MID41
-
B Ilunga MID3
-
M Dennis FWD2
-