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Carlisle United v AFC Wimbledon : League Two match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 15th Mar, 15:00 BST, Brunton Park, Carlisle

AFC Wimbledon pay League Two counterparts Carlisle United a visit on Saturday afternoon, as Johnnie Jackson guides his side into an away clash with Mark Warburton & co. at the Brunton Park. It's our aim to give you everything you need to make a smart bet on this encounter, so we've delved into our expansive database and found the stats that matter the most. Head-to-head and recent form are included, and the KickOff predictions are produced from them. The best odds are there to make sure you get the best return.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top League Two Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

Under 2.5 goals simply means there there will be a maximum of 2 goals scored in total by Carlisle and AFC Wim during the regulation 90 minutes. It's a bet the statistics below and the odds both favour on this occasion, and an outcome that we've seen before when these sides go head-to-head. In the absence of an obvious winner, our best bet prediction for this one is under 2.5.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 45% chance of AFC Wim coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Carlisle
23%
2/1
6%
21/10
3%
Draw
32%
11/5
2%
21/10
3%
AFC Wim
45%
11/8
6%
11/8
3%
AFC Wim 1-0
19%
5/1
8%
5/1
Draw 0-0
17%
6/1
7%
11/2
Draw 1-1
13%
11/25/1
Carlisle 1-0
11%
6/1
13%
6/1
AFC Wim 2-0
10%
9/1
5%
8/1
AFC Wim 2-1
7%
9/1
5%
8/1
Carlisle 2-1
4%
11/110/1
10%
Carlisle 2-0
4%
12/1
13%
11/1
AFC Wim 3-0
4%
22/1
10%
16/1
AFC Wim 3-1
3%
22/1
10%
16/1
Draw 2-2
2%
20/1
11%
14/1
AFC Wim 4-0
1%
50/1
24%
33/1
Carlisle 3-1
1%
28/122/1
10%
Carlisle 3-0
1%
33/125/1
AFC Wim 3-2
1%
40/1
21%
28/1
12%
Over 2.5 Goals
26%
8/5
11%
29/20
7%
Under 2.5 Goals
74%
19/40
6%
1/2
3%
Home 1st Goal
37%
11/8
1%
-
Away 1st Goal
50%
5/6
6%
-
No 1st Goal
12%
6/1
7%
-
BTTS - Yes
33%
6/5
10%
11/10
2%
BTTS - No
67%
8/13
6%
13/20
3%
BTTS - Home Win
6%
13/26/1
8%
BTTS - Draw
15%
4/1
5%
18/5
BTTS - Away Win
12%
5/1
9%
9/2
5%
Home/draw
55%
8/15
6%
4/7
Away/draw
77%
4/117/20
Home/away
68%
4/11
2%
7/20
Over 1.5 Goals
53%
1/2
4%
1/2
4%
Under 1.5 Goals
47%
6/4
5%
29/20
6%
Over 3.5 Goals
11%
9/2
22%
18/5
6%
Under 3.5 Goals
89%
1/7
3%
1/6
1%
Over 4.5 Goals
4%
12/1
18%
17/2
6%
Under 4.5 Goals
96%
1/25
1%
1/25
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
1%
25/1
13%
20/1
11%
Under 5.5 Goals
99%
1/1001/300
Over 0.5 Goals
83%
1/10
2%
1/10
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
17%
6/1
7%
11/2
7%
Home DNB
45%
11/10
5%
23/20
Away DNB
68%
4/6
3%
8/13
Carlisle win to nil
16%
10/3
13%
-
AFC Wim win to nil
34%
5/2-
Carlisle / Carlisle
15%
9/24/1
Carlisle / AFC Wim
3%
33/1
17%
22/1
Carlisle / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Draw / Carlisle
12%
11/2
7%
11/2
Draw / AFC Wim
15%
9/2
10%
17/4
Draw / Draw
20%
3/1
8%
3/1
5%
AFC Wim / Carlisle
3%
33/125/1
AFC Wim / AFC Wim
21%
3/1
7%
14/5
3%
AFC Wim / Draw
6%
14/112/1
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Win / draw / win League Two table

Carlisle have played 35 matches so far this season and are in 24th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

35 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 20 games, drawn 9 and won 6. Carlisle have conceded 51 goals, scored 25, failed to score in 16 matches and kept 9 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Carlisle have played 17 games at home, winning 2, drawing 6 and losing 9 fixtures. They have scored 12 goals, conceded 24 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and failed to score 8 times in home league games.

AFC Wim lay in 5th place on 60 points in the League Two league table having played 36 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 30 games against teams below them in the table, winning 14, drawing 8 and losing 8 games. They have scored 43 goals and kept 14 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. AFC Wim have conceded 23 goals and have failed to score in 9 matches.

Away league performance

AFC Wim have played 17 away games, winning 5, drawing 6 and losing 6 games. They have scored an average of 0.9 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.8 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Carlisle
AFC Wim
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Walsall3620882468 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
3-1A
l
 
0-1A
Mar 29
2
Bradford3619981866 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-1A
w
 
1-0F
d
 
0-00-0
3
Doncaster36188101062 
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 29
w
 
1-0F
Apr 12
4
Notts C36171091861 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-0F
l
 
1-0A
5
AFC Wim Away36179102260 
Mar 15
l
 
4-0A
-
-
6
Port Vale3515137758 
Apr 18
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 26
l
 
3-2A
7
Crewe3614148756 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
3-2F
w
 
3-0F
d
 
1-1A
8
Grimsby3617514-256 
l
 
2-3F
l
 
2-1F
l
 
0-1A
May 3
9
Colchester3613167955 
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
4-2A
d
 
1-1F
10
Bromley36131211351 
Mar 22
d
 
1-1A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-0A
11
Salford36131112250 
May 3
w
 
0-1F
w
 
1-0F
l
 
1-0A
12
Fleetwood36121311649 
l
 
2-3A
w
 
1-2F
w
 
1-0F
d
 
0-00-0
13
Cheltenham36131013-349 
l
 
0-1A
Apr 26
l
 
1-2A
w
 
0-1F
14
Chesterfield35139131348 
l
 
0-2A
Apr 1
Apr 18
l
 
1-0A
15
Swindon36111312046 
l
 
1-5A
w
 
0-2F
d
 
1-1A
Apr 1
16
Barrow3512716-343 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
Mar 22
w
 
1-3F
17
Newport3612717-1643 
Apr 5
l
 
1-0A
d
 
2-2F
w
 
1-2F
18
MK Dons3512617-442 
Mar 25
l
 
3-0A
w
 
3-0F
d
 
0-00-0
19
Gillingham3511816-841 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
4-1A
w
 
1-0F
Apr 21
20
Harrogate3611718-1640 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-0A
Apr 5
w
 
0-3F
21
Accrington3610917-1039 
w
 
2-1F
Apr 21
d
 
2-2A
d
 
0-00-0
22
Tranmere3671217-2833 
l
 
1-2F
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-2F
23
Morecambe368523-2329 
l
 
0-1A
Apr 12
w
 
3-0F
l
 
1-0A
24
Carlisle Home356920-2627 
-
-
w
 
4-0F
Mar 15
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
3
Carlisle have drawn 3 consecutive home league games
5
Carlisle have not won in 5 consecutive home league games
6
AFC Wim have not won in 6 consecutive away league games
Carlisle 24TH
20 league games
Home
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
14
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
W
2
Draw
6
Lost
12
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Carlisle1 - 1Walsall
Carlisle0 - 0Gillingham
Carlisle0 - 0Colchester
Carlisle1 - 5Swindon
Carlisle0 - 1Bradford
Carlisle2 - 1Accrington
Carlisle0 - 1Morecambe
Carlisle0 - 2Chesterfield
Carlisle1 - 1Crewe
Carlisle0 - 0Doncaster
Carlisle0 - 1Cheltenham
Carlisle1 - 1Harrogate
Carlisle0 - 2Notts C
Carlisle2 - 3Grimsby
Carlisle2 - 3Fleetwood
Carlisle1 - 2Tranmere
Carlisle1 - 0Barrow
Carlisle1 - 3Wycombe
Carlisle0 - 1Blackpool
Carlisle1 - 3Lincoln
Goals: Scored
12
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
9 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
11 / 20
W
3
Draw
7
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ACarlisle0 - 1Harrogate
HCarlisle1 - 1Walsall
ACarlisle1 - 0Barrow
HCarlisle0 - 0Gillingham
HCarlisle0 - 0Colchester
ACarlisle0 - 1Newport
ACarlisle1 - 2Grimsby
HCarlisle1 - 5Swindon
ACarlisle0 - 1Notts C
ACarlisle2 - 1Fleetwood
HCarlisle0 - 1Bradford
ACarlisle0 - 1Tranmere
ACarlisle2 - 3Crewe
HCarlisle2 - 1Accrington
HCarlisle0 - 1Morecambe
ACarlisle0 - 0Port Vale
HCarlisle0 - 2Chesterfield
HCarlisle1 - 1Crewe
HCarlisle0 - 0Doncaster
ACarlisle1 - 1Bromley
AFC Wim 5TH
20 league games
Away
6
Overall
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Morecambe1 - 0AFC Wim
Colchester1 - 1AFC Wim
Fleetwood0 - 0AFC Wim
Accrington0 - 0AFC Wim
Crewe1 - 1AFC Wim
MK Dons0 - 0AFC Wim
Newport1 - 2AFC Wim
Chesterfield1 - 0AFC Wim
Harrogate0 - 3AFC Wim
Tranmere0 - 2AFC Wim
Barrow1 - 3AFC Wim
Port Vale3 - 2AFC Wim
Notts C1 - 0AFC Wim
Salford1 - 0AFC Wim
Bradford0 - 0AFC Wim
Cheltenham0 - 1AFC Wim
Bromley2 - 0AFC Wim
Tranmere3 - 2AFC Wim
Swindon3 - 2AFC Wim
Stockport1 - 0AFC Wim
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
11
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
9
Draw
7
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HAFC Wim1 - 2Cheltenham
HAFC Wim2 - 0Notts C
AAFC Wim0 - 1Morecambe
HAFC Wim0 - 1Bromley
AAFC Wim1 - 1Colchester
AAFC Wim0 - 0Fleetwood
HAFC Wim1 - 0Salford
HAFC Wim3 - 0Crewe
AAFC Wim0 - 0Accrington
HAFC Wim1 - 0Bradford
AAFC Wim1 - 1Crewe
AAFC Wim0 - 0MK Dons
HAFC Wim2 - 0Tranmere
AAFC Wim2 - 1Newport
HAFC Wim1 - 0Gillingham
HAFC Wim1 - 1Swindon
AAFC Wim0 - 1Chesterfield
HAFC Wim1 - 0Doncaster
AAFC Wim3 - 0Harrogate
HAFC Wim2 - 2Newport
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Carlisle since 2014
Carlisle
AFC Wim
Goals: Scored
7
6
Games: Scored
3 / 3
3 / 3
Clean sheets
0 / 3
0 / 3
CUT
1
D
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Carlisle
Carlisle2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw4 - 4Draw
League games at AFC Wim since 2015
AFC Wim
Carlisle
Goals: Scored
6
3
Games: Scored
3 / 4
1 / 4
Clean sheets
3 / 4
1 / 4
CUT
1
D
1
AFW
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT AFC Wim
AFC Wim4 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
AFC Wim1 - 0
1 - 3Carlisle
Goal Statistics

A truly awful PG of just 0.7 should cause concerns for Carlisle United fans, as should a 9 League Two games run in which they have failed to score more than 1 goal.

Goals have been difficult to come by for AFC Wimbledon of late. It has been 5 League Two matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.1 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Saturday afternoon against Carlisle United.

Carlisle 24th AFC Wim 5th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
0.7
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
51%
1
34%
2
12%
3
4+
There is a 51% probability that Carlisle will fail to score
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 70% probability that AFC Wim will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-42
Carlisle have scored 42% fewer goals at home than predicted
-18
AFC Wim have scored 18% fewer goals when away than predicted
0.7
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
1.6
conceded
1.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
League Two - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/281628/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Carlisle
PG (predicted goals)
AFC Wim
0.7
1.1
Attack rating
CUT
AFW
30%
better
view stats
Games scored19
23
Failed to score16
12
Scored first11
18
Goals scored25
46
Avg. goals scored0.7
1.3
Avg. shots per game8
8
Avg. shots per goal11
6
Conversion rate for9
15
Avg. XG for1.3
1.3
KickOff rating
+30%
Defence rating
CUT
AFW
40%
better
view stats
Games conceded26
17
Clean sheets9
18
Conceded first19
13
Goals conceded51
23
Avg. goals conceded1.5
0.6
Avg. shots/game conceded9
6
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
10
Conversion rate against16%
10%
Avg. XG against1.3
0.9
KickOff rating
+40%

Carlisle v AFC Wim League Two lLine ups will show here when available.

Carlisle League Two squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
304310
S LavelleS LavelleC HarperJ Jones
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Lavelle DEF3241
9
-
C Harper DEF273
6
-
G Breeze GLK21
5
-
T Thomas DEF21
2
-
B Barclay DEF1911
5
-
J Vela MID19
6
-
K Harris FWD1921
2
-
A Hayden DEF1811
6
-
J Jones FWD18
9
1
A Davies DEF1511
6
-
H Lewis GLK14
-
J Ellis DEF141
4
-
C Guy MID13
1
-
C Wyke FWD132
2
-
E Embleton MID122
3
-
C Whelan MID12
2
-
W Patching MID10
2
-
C Scott FWD1011
-
J Hugill FWD91
2
-
S Wearne MID8
-
C McArthur DEF7
4
-
E Robson MID7
2
-
G Kelly FWD7
2
-
J Williams DEF61
1
-
D McGeouch MID61
1
-
J. Bevan FWD6
-
S Fusire MID5
1
-
M Dennis FWD51
1
-
F. O'Donoghue MID2
-
P Dummett DEF1
-
A. Dudik FWD1
-
AFC Wim League Two squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3616710
O GoodmanM StevensJ TilleyJ Lewis
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
O Goodman GLK36
3
-
J Neufville MID3643
4
-
M Stevens FWD36163
2
-
A Smith MID3532
7
-
I Ogundere DEF33
3
-
J Tilley FWD3247
5
-
J Kelly FWD3224
6
-
R Johnson DEF311
4
-
O Bugiel FWD3032
8
-
J Lewis DEF261
10
-
J Pigott FWD2421
1
-
J Reeves MID2124
2
-
J Furlong DEF20
2
-
C Maycock MID1922
1
-
R Harbottle DEF181
6
-
M Hippolyte MID162
2
-
A Sasu FWD16
-
J Ball MID1411
4
-
M Browne FWD1321
3
-
S Hutchinson MID12
4
-
H Biler DEF6
-
J O'Toole DEF611
3
-
O. Foyo FWD2
-
H. Sidwell MID1
-