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Carlisle United v Accrington Stanley : League Two match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 29th Dec, 12:30 BST, Brunton Park, Carlisle

Accrington Stanley are on the road on Sunday lunch time, as manager John Doolan takes his side to visit Carlisle United and Paul Simpson at the Brunton Park in the League Two. Analysing both clubs' last 20 League Two matches, as well as trends within the competition and the betting market, to generate our percentage predictions. All the stats, including head to heads (H2H), are shown below, alongside odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top League Two Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We predict there's very little chance of a bore-draw or a sneaky 1-0 win here, and instead are tipping over 1.5 goals. That means that Carlisle and Accrington will score at least 2 between them during 90 mins. It's a prediction based on each side's recent form stats, as well as their historic head-to-heads. We give it a probability of 79%. Bookmakers have it at 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Carlisle are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 41% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.20.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Carlisle
41%
2.152.20
Draw
25%
3.503.70
Accrington
35%
3.003.10
Draw 1-1
11%
7.006.50
Carlisle 2-1
9%
9.008.00
Carlisle 1-0
8%
9.008.00
Accrington 2-1
8%
11.009.50
Accrington 1-0
7%
11.009.50
Carlisle 2-0
6%
11.0010.00
Draw 2-2
6%
13.0011.00
Draw 0-0
5%
12.0010.00
Accrington 2-0
5%
17.0013.00
Carlisle 3-1
4%
17.0013.00
Accrington 3-1
4%
23.0017.00
Carlisle 3-0
3%
21.0015.00
Carlisle 3-2
3%
23.0019.00
Accrington 3-2
3%
29.0021.00
Accrington 3-0
2%
34.0023.00
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
1.801.75
Under 2.5 Goals
44%
2.002.00
Home 1st Goal
49%
1.67-
Away 1st Goal
47%
2.25-
No 1st Goal
3%
12.00-
BTTS - Yes
59%
1.671.67
BTTS - No
41%
2.102.10
BTTS - Home Win
21%
4.333.90
BTTS - Draw
19%
4.504.40
BTTS - Away Win
19%
5.505.25
Home/draw
65%
1.361.36
Away/draw
59%
1.671.67
Home/away
75%
1.291.29
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
1.251.25
Under 1.5 Goals
21%
3.753.70
Over 3.5 Goals
34%
3.002.88
Under 3.5 Goals
66%
1.361.36
Over 4.5 Goals
17%
6.005.25
Under 4.5 Goals
83%
1.121.14
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
13.0010.00
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1.041.04
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1.041.04
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
12.0010.00
Home DNB
58%
1.621.60
Away DNB
52%
2.202.20
Carlisle win to nil
19%
4.00-
Accrington win to nil
16%
6.00-
Carlisle / Carlisle
23%
3.603.40
Carlisle / Accrington
3%
29.0023.00
Carlisle / Draw
6%
13.0012.00
Draw / Carlisle
15%
5.505.25
Draw / Accrington
12%
7.006.50
Draw / Draw
15%
5.505.25
Accrington / Carlisle
4%
23.0019.00
Accrington / Accrington
16%
5.004.80
Accrington / Draw
6%
15.0012.00
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Win / draw / win League Two table

Carlisle have played 20 matches so far this season and are in 23rd position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

20 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 11 games, drawn 6 and won 3. Carlisle have conceded 32 goals, scored 15, failed to score in 8 matches and kept 6 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Carlisle have played 10 games at home, winning 1, drawing 3 and losing 6 fixtures. They have scored 8 goals, conceded 15 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 4 times in home league games.

Accrington lay in 22nd place on 19 points in the League Two league table having played 20 matches. Accrington have won all their 1 games against teams below them in the table and kept zero clean sheets in those games.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 1 game against teams below them in the table, winning 1, drawing 0 and losing 0 games. They have scored 2 goals and kept 0 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Accrington have conceded 1 goal and scored in every game.

Away league performance

Accrington have played 10 away games, winning 2, drawing 2 and losing 6 games. They have scored an average of 1.4 goals per away game and conceded an average 2.2 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Carlisle
Accrington
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Walsall2013431843 
Mar 4
l
 
3-1A
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 26
2
Port Vale211074737 
Apr 18
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
2-2F
Feb 1
3
Doncaster211065736 
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 29
Feb 22
l
 
4-1A
4
Crewe20983835 
d
 
1-1F
Jan 1
l
 
0-1A
Jan 25
5
Chesterfield219751334 
l
 
0-2A
Apr 1
May 3
w
 
0-3F
6
AFC Wim2010371433 
Mar 15
l
 
4-0A
Feb 8
d
 
2-2F
7
Notts C20875731 
l
 
0-2A
Jan 28
Jan 18
l
 
2-0A
8
Grimsby2110110-531 
l
 
2-3F
Feb 8
Jan 1
l
 
5-2A
9
MK Dons19937730 
Jan 11
l
 
3-0A
Mar 4
l
 
2-1A
10
Gillingham20938430 
Feb 22
l
 
4-1A
Mar 15
w
 
1-2A
11
Salford20866330 
May 3
w
 
0-1F
l
 
0-2A
Apr 18
12
Bradford20776228 
Jan 18
l
 
2-1A
Mar 29
Feb 11
13
Bromley20695227 
Mar 22
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-2A
Apr 5
14
Cheltenham21768-127 
l
 
0-1A
Apr 26
Jan 28
l
 
2-1F
15
Barrow20758226 
w
 
1-0F
Mar 1
w
 
1-0F
Mar 8
16
Newport20758-426 
Apr 5
Feb 11
-
l
 
3-1A
17
Colchester204115123 
Feb 15
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1F
Jan 4
18
Fleetwood19586-123 
l
 
2-3A
Jan 25
Apr 1
d
 
1-1F
19
Tranmere20569-1421 
l
 
1-2F
Jan 4
Apr 12
Dec 26
20
Harrogate216312-1521 
d
 
1-1A
Mar 8
d
 
3-3A
Mar 1
21
Swindon214710-919 
Feb 1
w
 
0-2F
d
 
2-2A
Mar 22
22
Accrington Away20479-1019 
Dec 29
Apr 21
-
-
23
Carlisle Home203611-1715 
-
-
Apr 21
Dec 29
24
Morecambe213513-1914 
Dec 26
Apr 12
w
 
2-1F
Feb 15
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Carlisle 23RD
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
42
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
1
D
4
Lost
15
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Carlisle0 - 2Chesterfield
Carlisle1 - 1Crewe
Carlisle0 - 0Doncaster
Carlisle0 - 1Cheltenham
Carlisle1 - 1Harrogate
Carlisle0 - 2Notts C
Carlisle2 - 3Grimsby
Carlisle2 - 3Fleetwood
Carlisle1 - 2Tranmere
Carlisle1 - 0Barrow
Carlisle1 - 3Wycombe
Carlisle0 - 1Blackpool
Carlisle1 - 3Lincoln
Carlisle2 - 2Stevenage
Carlisle2 - 3Barnsley
Carlisle1 - 3Reading
Carlisle0 - 4Cambridge
Carlisle0 - 1Portsmouth
Carlisle1 - 4Bolton
Carlisle1 - 3Oxford Utd
Goals: Scored
15
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
3
Draw
6
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ACarlisle0 - 0Port Vale
HCarlisle0 - 2Chesterfield
HCarlisle1 - 1Crewe
HCarlisle0 - 0Doncaster
ACarlisle1 - 1Bromley
ACarlisle1 - 0Salford
HCarlisle0 - 1Cheltenham
ACarlisle1 - 3Walsall
HCarlisle1 - 1Harrogate
ACarlisle0 - 4AFC Wim
ACarlisle0 - 0Colchester
HCarlisle0 - 2Notts C
HCarlisle2 - 3Grimsby
ACarlisle2 - 0Swindon
HCarlisle2 - 3Fleetwood
ACarlisle1 - 2Bradford
HCarlisle1 - 2Tranmere
ACarlisle0 - 3MK Dons
HCarlisle1 - 0Barrow
ACarlisle1 - 4Gillingham
Accrington 22ND
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
46
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
W
4
D
3
Lost
13
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Fleetwood1 - 1Accrington
Grimsby5 - 2Accrington
AFC Wim2 - 2Accrington
Chesterfield0 - 3Accrington
MK Dons2 - 1Accrington
Gillingham1 - 2Accrington
Cheltenham2 - 1Accrington
Notts C2 - 0Accrington
Newport3 - 1Accrington
Doncaster4 - 1Accrington
Stockport4 - 2Accrington
Mansfield2 - 1Accrington
Doncaster4 - 0Accrington
Newport1 - 3Accrington
Sutton3 - 1Accrington
Swindon1 - 2Accrington
Wrexham4 - 0Accrington
Walsall2 - 1Accrington
Colchester1 - 1Accrington
MK Dons2 - 1Accrington
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
36
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
W
4
Draw
7
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HAccrington0 - 2Salford
AAccrington1 - 1Fleetwood
HAccrington1 - 2Bromley
AAccrington2 - 5Grimsby
AAccrington2 - 2AFC Wim
HAccrington2 - 2Swindon
AAccrington3 - 0Chesterfield
HAccrington0 - 0Walsall
AAccrington1 - 2MK Dons
HAccrington1 - 0Barrow
AAccrington2 - 1Gillingham
HAccrington2 - 1Morecambe
AAccrington1 - 2Cheltenham
HAccrington2 - 2Port Vale
HAccrington0 - 1Crewe
AAccrington0 - 2Notts C
HAccrington1 - 1Colchester
AAccrington1 - 3Newport
HAccrington3 - 3Harrogate
AAccrington1 - 4Doncaster
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Carlisle since 2014
Carlisle
Accrington
Goals: Scored
7
2
Games: Scored
4 / 4
2 / 4
Clean sheets
2 / 4
0 / 4
CUT
3
D
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Carlisle
Carlisle3 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Carlisle2 - 0
Carlisle1 - 0
League games at Accrington since 2015
Accrington
Carlisle
Goals: Scored
8
3
Games: Scored
4 / 4
3 / 4
Clean sheets
1 / 4
0 / 4
D
2
ASY
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Accrington
Accrington3 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Accrington3 - 1
Goal Statistics

Carlisle United's fans will be hoping for goals on Sunday lunch time, not least because Accrington Stanley have conceded in each of their last 6 League Two matches. A PG of 1.5 for Paul Simpson's side suggests that run should continue.

Carlisle 23rd Accrington 22nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 78% probability that Carlisle will score 1 or more goals
0
25%
1
34%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 59% probability that Accrington will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-28
Carlisle have scored 28% fewer goals at home than predicted
+12
Accrington have scored 12% more goals when away than predicted
0.9
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
2.1
conceded
2.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
League Two - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/281460/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Carlisle
PG (predicted goals)
Accrington
1.5
1.4
Attack rating
CUT
ASY
33%
better
view stats
Games scored12
16
Failed to score8
4
Scored first6
8
Goals scored15
26
Avg. goals scored0.8
1.3
Avg. shots per game8
9
Avg. shots per goal11
7
Conversion rate for9
15
Avg. XG for1.2
1.1
KickOff rating
+33%
Defence rating
17%
better
CUT
ASY
view stats
Games conceded14
17
Clean sheets6
3
Conceded first11
11
Goals conceded32
36
Avg. goals conceded1.6
1.8
Avg. shots/game conceded8
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
4
Conversion rate against20%
24%
Avg. XG against1.1
1.1
KickOff rating
+17%

Carlisle v Accrington League Two lLine ups will show here when available.

Carlisle League Two squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
17236
J MellishJ MellishC HarperJ Mellish
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Mellish DEF1921
6
-
S Lavelle DEF1821
4
-
D Sadi FWD1821
3
-
H Neal MID171
6
-
C Harper DEF163
3
-
J Vela MID16
5
-
L Armstrong FWD162
-
H Lewis GLK14
-
B Barclay DEF1411
5
-
H Biggins MID131
1
-
C Wyke FWD132
2
-
A Davies DEF1111
3
-
T Thomas DEF11
1
-
A Hayden DEF111
3
-
D Adu-Adjei FWD1021
1
-
C Guy MID9
1
-
J Jones FWD9
5
-
B Williams DEF8
-
J Ellis DEF8
1
-
G Breeze GLK6
-
D McGeouch MID61
1
-
G Kelly FWD6
2
-
T Charters MID5
1
-
J Robinson DEF3
1
-
E Robson MID3
1
-
Accrington League Two squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
20537
F RawsonD CostelloeD LoveD Love
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
F Rawson DEF201
4
1
D Love DEF1913
7
-
Z Awe DEF181
5
-
T Walton MID1723
6
-
D Costelloe FWD1751
3
-
C O'Brien DEF162
5
-
B Woods MID1523
5
-
N Khumbeni MID151
3
-
S Whalley FWD1533
2
-
J Knowles FWD1521
1
-
L Coyle MID141
4
-
B Crellin GLK13
-
S Conneely MID131
1
-
J Woods FWD133
1
-
S Aljofree DEF122
2
-
J Batty DEF91
3
-
A. Henderson MID911
1
-
K Mooney FWD82
-
M Kelly GLK7
1
-
A Hunter FWD6
4
-
S Quirk MID5
1
-
D Martin MID1
-
L. Trickett FWD1
-
A. Popoola FWD1
-
English League Two match betting previews, predictions and odds
MK Dons v Notts C
Thu 26th Dec, 15:00
Salford v Barrow
Thu 26th Dec, 15:00
Bromley v Newport
Thu 26th Dec, 15:00
Fleetwood v Chesterfield
Thu 26th Dec, 15:00
AFC Wim v Swindon
Thu 26th Dec, 15:00
Colchester v Gillingham
Thu 26th Dec, 15:00
Cheltenham v Crewe
Thu 26th Dec, 15:00
Carlisle v Morecambe
Thu 26th Dec, 15:00
Walsall v Doncaster
Thu 26th Dec, 15:00
Grimsby v Harrogate
Thu 26th Dec, 15:00
Bradford v Port Vale
Thu 26th Dec, 15:00
Tranmere v Accrington
Thu 26th Dec, 15:00
Bromley v Swindon
Sun 29th Dec, 12:30
Carlisle v Accrington
Sun 29th Dec, 12:30
Fleetwood v Harrogate
Sun 29th Dec, 15:00
Colchester v Doncaster
Sun 29th Dec, 15:00
Cheltenham v Notts C
Sun 29th Dec, 15:00
Salford v Morecambe
Sun 29th Dec, 15:00
Walsall v Newport
Sun 29th Dec, 15:00
Grimsby v Port Vale
Sun 29th Dec, 15:00
Bradford v Chesterfield
Sun 29th Dec, 15:00
Tranmere v Barrow
Sun 29th Dec, 15:00
MK Dons v Crewe
Sun 29th Dec, 15:00
AFC Wim v Gillingham
Mon 30th Dec, 20:00
Harrogate v Salford
Wed 1st Jan, 15:00
Barrow v Bradford
Wed 1st Jan, 15:00
Accrington v Grimsby
Wed 1st Jan, 15:00
Doncaster v Fleetwood
Wed 1st Jan, 15:00
Morecambe v Tranmere
Wed 1st Jan, 15:00
Chesterfield v MK Dons
Wed 1st Jan, 15:00
Notts C v Walsall
Wed 1st Jan, 15:00
Crewe v Carlisle
Wed 1st Jan, 15:00
Port Vale v Cheltenham
Wed 1st Jan, 15:00
Swindon v Colchester
Wed 1st Jan, 15:00
Gillingham v Bromley
Thu 2nd Jan, 19:45
Newport v AFC Wim
Thu 2nd Jan, 19:45
Cheltenham v Walsall
Sat 4th Jan, 12:30
Notts C v Swindon
Sat 4th Jan, 12:30
Bradford v Grimsby
Sat 4th Jan, 13:00
Tranmere v Carlisle
Sat 4th Jan, 15:00
MK Dons v Salford
Sat 4th Jan, 15:00
Colchester v Accrington
Sat 4th Jan, 15:00
Doncaster v Port Vale
Sat 4th Jan, 15:00
Barrow v Harrogate
Sat 4th Jan, 15:00
Crewe v Bromley
Sun 5th Jan, 15:00
Chesterfield v Gillingham
Sun 5th Jan, 15:00
Newport v Morecambe
Sun 5th Jan, 15:00
Fleetwood v AFC Wim
Sun 5th Jan, 15:00