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Barrow v Carlisle United : League Two match betting preview, prediction and odds

Holker Street, Barrow-in-Furness

Andrew Pierce's Barrow side are on home soil in the League Two on Thursday night, as Mark Warburton's Carlisle United visit the Holker Street. Our predictions are based on extensive statistical analysis of each side, across 17 of the main betting markets. The data and the odds change with each market, and head-to-head stats are included across the board.

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Barrow's next match is v Morecambe at 15:00 on Saturday 15th March
Carlisle United's next match is v AFC Wim at 15:00 on Saturday 15th March
The last English League Two meeting between Barrow and Carlisle was on Thursday 27th February 2025
English League Two
February 27th 2025
Barrow 0
1 Carlisle
 
19' M. Dennis
 
BRW
CUT
Shots On
5
2
Shots Off
6
6
Corners
4
1
Possession
52%
48%
Fouls
18
11
Yellow/red cards
2/0
2/0
 
BarrowCarlisle
 
P. Farman
K. Cameron
N. Canavan
B. Jackson
S. Foley
R. Gotts
M. Williams
K. Spence (E. Newby 83')
B. Whitfield
E. Acauah (A. Presley 76')
T. Smith
G. Breeze
A. Davies
S. Lavelle
T. Thomas
C. Harper
(W. Patching 77') C. Guy
(J. Vela 77') C. Whelan
(S. Wearne 65') E. Embleton
(J. Bevan 90') football iconM. Dennis
C. Scott
(J. Ellis 89') K. Harris

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top League Two Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

There is 75% chance of Barrow and Carlisle a maximum of 3 goals combined during this League Two game according to our predictive algorithm and, in the absense of a strong favourite in the win draw win market, we think that's a great tip here. Calculations are made based on recent form, historical head-to-head (H2H) stats and the view of the betting market, and you can get it at top odds of 1.36.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Barrow are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 45% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.91.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Barrow
45%
6/5
10%
6/5
15%
Draw
27%
11/5
6%
11/5
9%
Carlisle
28%
9/4
7%
12/5
31%
Draw 1-1
13%
11/25/1
8%
Barrow 1-0
12%
11/25/1
29%
Carlisle 1-0
9%
7/1
16%
13/2
12%
Barrow 2-1
9%
17/2
6%
15/2
Draw 0-0
9%
13/2
17%
6/1
30%
Barrow 2-0
8%
17/2
6%
15/2
29%
Carlisle 2-1
7%
11/1
8%
10/1
29%
Carlisle 2-0
5%
14/1
12%
12/1
8%
Draw 2-2
5%
16/114/1
36%
Barrow 3-1
4%
20/1
24%
14/1
Barrow 3-0
4%
20/1
24%
14/1
21%
Carlisle 3-1
2%
28/122/1
53%
Barrow 3-2
2%
33/1
17%
25/1
37%
Carlisle 3-0
2%
40/125/1
37%
Carlisle 3-2
2%
40/128/1
53%
Over 2.5 Goals
44%
27/20
12%
5/4
29%
Under 2.5 Goals
56%
4/7
8%
4/7
19%
Home 1st Goal
51%
8/11
4%
-
Away 1st Goal
44%
6/4-
No 1st Goal
5%
13/2
17%
-
BTTS - Yes
49%
1/1
5%
1/1
21%
BTTS - No
51%
8/11
4%
8/11
20%
BTTS - Home Win
19%
9/2
16%
19/5
9%
BTTS - Draw
18%
15/47/2
4%
BTTS - Away Win
12%
13/26/1
59%
Home/draw
72%
1/3
3%
3/10
13%
Away/draw
55%
4/6
7%
13/20
10%
Home/away
73%
4/11
5%
1/3
3%
Over 1.5 Goals
70%
2/5
3%
4/9
15%
Under 1.5 Goals
30%
7/4
8%
17/10
27%
Over 3.5 Goals
23%
10/3
15%
16/5
46%
Under 3.5 Goals
77%
1/5
4%
1/5
12%
Over 4.5 Goals
10%
9/1
11%
15/2
62%
Under 4.5 Goals
90%
1/16
1%
1/16
7%
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
20/1
11%
16/1
70%
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/66
1%
1/80
3%
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
1/12
1%
1/12
4%
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
13/2
17%
6/1
30%
Home DNB
64%
4/7
5%
8/15
17%
Away DNB
47%
5/4
10%
11/8
29%
Barrow win to nil
26%
12/5-
Carlisle win to nil
16%
4/1
17%
-
Barrow / Barrow
23%
11/4
10%
12/5
15%
Barrow / Carlisle
3%
33/125/1
24%
Barrow / Draw
6%
14/112/1
8%
Draw / Barrow
16%
4/14/1
17%
Draw / Carlisle
11%
6/1
7%
6/1
17%
Draw / Draw
18%
7/2
5%
16/5
20%
Carlisle / Barrow
3%
28/1
12%
22/1
10%
Carlisle / Carlisle
14%
9/2
8%
17/4
31%
Carlisle / Draw
6%
14/112/1
8%
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win League Two table

Barrow have played 32 matches so far this season and lay in 18th place in the League Two league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 8 games against teams below in the table, having won 2, drawn 1 and lost 5 matches. They have kept 2 clean sheets and have failed to score in 5 fixtures. Barrow have outscored their opponents by 34 goals to 23 goals.

Home League Performance

Barrow have played 16 games at home winning 8, drawing 4 and losing 4 games. They have scored 26 goals, kept 6 clean sheets and conceded 16 goals at home.

Carlisle are in 24th position in the League Two on 23 points having played 32 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

10 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 26 goals and kept 4 clean sheets. They have scored 12 goals in total and failed to score in 7 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

32 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 19 games, drawn 8 and won 5. Carlisle have conceded 49 goals, scored 23, failed to score in 15 fixtures and have kept 8 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Barrow
Carlisle
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Walsall3620882468 
Apr 12
l
 
1-0A
d
 
1-1A
l
 
3-1A
2
Bradford3619981866 
d
 
2-2A
d
 
1-1F
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-1A
3
Doncaster36188101062 
l
 
1-3A
l
 
1-0A
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 29
4
Notts C36171091861 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-2F
l
 
0-2A
l
 
1-0A
5
AFC Wim36179102260 
l
 
1-3A
Mar 22
Mar 15
l
 
4-0A
6
Port Vale3515137758 
w
 
4-0F
Mar 25
Apr 18
d
 
0-00-0
7
Crewe3614148756 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
3-0A
d
 
1-1F
l
 
3-2F
8
Grimsby3617514-256 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
1-2F
l
 
2-3F
l
 
2-1F
9
Colchester3613167955 
d
 
1-1F
May 3
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
0-00-0
10
Bromley36131211351 
Apr 26
d
 
1-1F
Mar 22
d
 
1-1A
11
Salford36131112250 
Apr 1
l
 
3-0A
May 3
w
 
0-1F
12
Fleetwood36121311649 
w
 
2-0F
Apr 18
l
 
2-3A
w
 
1-2F
13
Cheltenham36131013-349 
w
 
2-1A
l
 
3-2F
l
 
0-1A
Apr 26
14
Chesterfield35139131348 
Mar 29
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-2A
Apr 1
15
Swindon36111312046 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-0A
l
 
1-5A
w
 
0-2F
16
Barrow Home3512716-343 
-
-
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
17
Newport3612717-1643 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
1-0A
Apr 5
l
 
1-0A
18
MK Dons3512617-442 
w
 
2-1A
Apr 5
Mar 25
l
 
3-0A
19
Gillingham3511816-841 
w
 
3-0F
l
 
2-0A
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
4-1A
20
Harrogate3611718-1640 
l
 
0-2A
w
 
0-1F
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-0A
21
Accrington3610917-1039 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-1F
Apr 21
22
Tranmere3671217-2833 
Apr 21
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-2F
l
 
1-0A
23
Morecambe368523-2329 
l
 
0-1A
Mar 15
l
 
0-1A
Apr 12
24
Carlisle Away356920-2627 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
-
-
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Barrow 16TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Barrow2 - 1MK Dons
Barrow3 - 0Gillingham
Barrow1 - 3Doncaster
Barrow3 - 0Grimsby
Barrow0 - 2Harrogate
Barrow2 - 2Bradford
Barrow2 - 0Fleetwood
Barrow1 - 3AFC Wim
Barrow1 - 1Colchester
Barrow1 - 1Notts C
Barrow0 - 1Morecambe
Barrow2 - 1Cheltenham
Barrow2 - 0Newport
Barrow1 - 1Swindon
Barrow4 - 0Port Vale
Barrow1 - 0Crewe
Barrow1 - 1Mansfield
Barrow1 - 2Bradford
Barrow0 - 2Swindon
Barrow3 - 1Grimsby
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
4
Draw
6
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABarrow0 - 3Crewe
ABarrow2 - 3Cheltenham
HBarrow2 - 1MK Dons
HBarrow3 - 0Gillingham
ABarrow0 - 1Newport
HBarrow1 - 3Doncaster
HBarrow3 - 0Grimsby
ABarrow0 - 2Swindon
HBarrow0 - 2Harrogate
HBarrow2 - 2Bradford
ABarrow1 - 1Tranmere
ABarrow0 - 3Salford
HBarrow2 - 0Fleetwood
ABarrow0 - 1Walsall
ABarrow1 - 1Bradford
ABarrow0 - 1Chesterfield
HBarrow1 - 3AFC Wim
HBarrow1 - 1Colchester
ABarrow1 - 1Bromley
HBarrow1 - 1Notts C
Carlisle 24TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
5
D
3
Lost
12
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Newport1 - 0Carlisle
Grimsby2 - 1Carlisle
Notts C1 - 0Carlisle
Fleetwood1 - 2Carlisle
Tranmere1 - 0Carlisle
Crewe3 - 2Carlisle
Port Vale0 - 0Carlisle
Bromley1 - 1Carlisle
Salford0 - 1Carlisle
Walsall3 - 1Carlisle
AFC Wim4 - 0Carlisle
Colchester0 - 0Carlisle
Swindon0 - 2Carlisle
Bradford2 - 1Carlisle
MK Dons3 - 0Carlisle
Gillingham4 - 1Carlisle
Derby2 - 0Carlisle
Cheltenham0 - 1Carlisle
Northampton2 - 0Carlisle
Peterborough1 - 3Carlisle
Goals: Scored
12
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
9 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
11 / 20
W
3
Draw
6
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HCarlisle0 - 0Gillingham
HCarlisle0 - 0Colchester
ACarlisle0 - 1Newport
ACarlisle1 - 2Grimsby
HCarlisle1 - 5Swindon
ACarlisle0 - 1Notts C
ACarlisle2 - 1Fleetwood
HCarlisle0 - 1Bradford
ACarlisle0 - 1Tranmere
ACarlisle2 - 3Crewe
HCarlisle2 - 1Accrington
HCarlisle0 - 1Morecambe
ACarlisle0 - 0Port Vale
HCarlisle0 - 2Chesterfield
HCarlisle1 - 1Crewe
HCarlisle0 - 0Doncaster
ACarlisle1 - 1Bromley
ACarlisle1 - 0Salford
HCarlisle0 - 1Cheltenham
ACarlisle1 - 3Walsall
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
4
Carlisle have beaten Barrow in 4 consecutive league meetings
7
Carlisle have not lost to Barrow in 7 consecutive league meetings
League games at Barrow since 2021
Barrow
Carlisle
Goals: Scored
3
5
Games: Scored
2 / 3
3 / 3
Clean sheets
0 / 3
1 / 3
D
1
CUT
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Barrow
0 - 1Carlisle
1 - 2Carlisle
Draw2 - 2Draw
League games at Carlisle since 2020
Carlisle
Barrow
Goals: Scored
7
1
Games: Scored
3 / 4
1 / 4
Clean sheets
3 / 4
1 / 4
D
1
CUT
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Carlisle
Carlisle1 - 0
Carlisle5 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
Carlisle1 - 0
Goal Statistics

Goals have been an issue for Carlisle United of late. It has been 6 League Two games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.0 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Thursday night against Barrow.

Barrow 16th Carlisle 24th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
25%
1
34%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 59% probability that Barrow will score no more than 1 goal
0
35%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 72% probability that Carlisle will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+3
Barrow’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-23
Carlisle have scored 23% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.6
average goals scored
0.8
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
League Two - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/281590/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Barrow
PG (predicted goals)
Carlisle
1.4
1
Attack rating
24%
better
BRW
CUT
view stats
Games scored20
17
Failed to score12
15
Scored first15
10
Goals scored34
23
Avg. goals scored1.1
0.7
Avg. shots per game7
8
Avg. shots per goal7
12
Conversion rate for15
9
Avg. XG for1
1.3
KickOff rating
+24%
Defence rating
1%
better
BRW
CUT
view stats
Games conceded25
24
Clean sheets7
8
Conceded first17
17
Goals conceded39
49
Avg. goals conceded1.2
1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded7
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
6
Conversion rate against18%
18%
Avg. XG against1
1.3
KickOff rating
+1%

Barrow v Carlisle League Two lLine ups will show here when available.

Barrow League Two squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
33597
B JacksonK SpenceB JacksonR Gotts
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
P Farman GLK26
4
1
S Foley DEF2332
2
-
N Canavan DEF251
2
-
K Cameron DEF81
1
-
B Jackson DEF359
3
-
R Gotts MID3023
7
-
M Williams MID101
1
-
B Whitfield MID713
-
K Spence MID2951
5
-
T Smith MID102
1
-
E Acquah FWD285
3
-
Subs
W Stanway GLK9
2
-
S Barnes DEF2
-
I Fletcher MID2
-
E Newby MID3325
5
-
C Mahoney FWD181
1
-
A Pressley FWD1111
-
Carlisle League Two squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
30439
S LavelleS LavelleC HarperS Lavelle
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Breeze GLK21
5
-
A Davies DEF1511
6
-
S Lavelle DEF3241
9
-
T Thomas DEF21
2
-
C Harper DEF273
6
-
C Guy MID13
1
-
C Whelan MID12
2
-
C Scott MID1011
-
E Embleton MID122
3
-
K Harris MID1921
2
-
M Dennis FWD51
1
-
Subs
H Lewis GLK14
-
J Ellis DEF141
4
-
J Vela MID19
6
-
S Wearne MID8
-
W Patching MID10
2
-
J Hugill FWD91
2
-
J. Bevan FWD6
-