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Stevenage v Burton Albion : League One match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 11th Jan, 15:00 BST, Lamex Stadium, Stevenage

Stevenage and their manager Alex Revell will be aiming to beat Mark Robinson and his Burton Albion side on Saturday afternoon, as the pair meet at the Lamex Stadium in the League One. We've got bespoke stats for all of the main betting markets, from both teams to score to double chance, including form and historical head-to-head data. Predictions are produced from these, and the odds come straight from the UK's biggest bookmakers.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top League One Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

We are expecting a relatively tight affair here and, as such, are predicting under 2.5 goals. For those unfamiliar with that term, this simply means that 2 goals or fewer will be scored in total as Stevenage and Burton go head-to-head. Tight defences and clear heads will be required to deliver us a winner, but we have reason to trust both sides to deliver precisely that. The stats and the odds below point in this direction too.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Stevenage are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 49% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.70.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Stevenage
50%
8/13
3%
13/20
1%
Draw
27%
29/10
5%
27/10
1%
Burton
23%
4/1
9%
9/2
5%
Stevenage 1-0
15%
9/217/4
5%
Draw 1-1
13%
13/2
6%
6/1
Draw 0-0
11%
8/113/2
6%
Stevenage 2-0
10%
11/211/2
Burton 1-0
9%
10/1
8%
9/1
Stevenage 2-1
9%
8/1
6%
7/1
Burton 2-1
5%
16/114/1
Stevenage 3-0
5%
11/1
9%
9/1
Stevenage 3-1
4%
14/112/1
Burton 2-0
4%
25/120/1
11%
Draw 2-2
4%
20/116/1
Stevenage 3-2
2%
33/125/1
13%
Stevenage 4-0
2%
25/1
13%
18/1
Burton 3-1
1%
40/1
20%
33/1
Stevenage 4-1
1%
33/1
17%
22/1
Over 2.5 Goals
38%
5/4
7%
6/5
5%
Under 2.5 Goals
62%
8/13
5%
8/13
3%
Home 1st Goal
53%
4/9
3%
-
Away 1st Goal
40%
12/5
3%
-
No 1st Goal
7%
15/2
6%
-
BTTS - Yes
43%
6/56/5
5%
BTTS - No
57%
8/133/5
4%
BTTS - Home Win
17%
10/3
8%
16/5
5%
BTTS - Draw
17%
5/117/4
BTTS - Away Win
9%
10/1
8%
10/1
10%
Home/draw
77%
1/6
3%
1/7
1%
Away/draw
50%
5/4
2%
6/5
Home/away
73%
1/4
2%
2/7
3%
Over 1.5 Goals
65%
2/5
3%
2/5
3%
Under 1.5 Goals
35%
7/4
8%
7/4
5%
Over 3.5 Goals
19%
10/3
15%
3/1
7%
Under 3.5 Goals
81%
1/5
4%
2/9
2%
Over 4.5 Goals
8%
9/1
25%
7/1
7%
Under 4.5 Goals
92%
1/16
2%
1/16
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
20/1
11%
16/1
13%
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1/66
1%
1/80
Over 0.5 Goals
89%
1/141/14
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
11%
8/113/2
6%
Home DNB
69%
1/4
2%
2/9
Away DNB
42%
11/4
6%
29/10
4%
Stevenage win to nil
32%
11/8-
Burton win to nil
14%
7/1-
Stevenage / Stevenage
31%
8/5
4%
6/4
Stevenage / Burton
2%
40/133/1
Stevenage / Draw
5%
14/114/1
Draw / Stevenage
20%
3/13/1
5%
Draw / Burton
8%
10/19/1
5%
Draw / Draw
16%
4/1
9%
19/5
Burton / Stevenage
4%
22/120/1
11%
Burton / Burton
9%
17/2
5%
15/2
6%
Burton / Draw
5%
16/114/1
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Win / draw / win League One table

Stevenage have played 23 matches so far this season and lay in 13th place in the League One league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 11 games against teams below in the table, having won 3, drawn 4 and lost 4 matches. They have kept 7 clean sheets and have failed to score in 7 fixtures. They have been outscored by their opponents by 20 goals to 18 goals.

Home League Performance

Stevenage have played 13 games at home winning 7, drawing 2 and losing 4 games. They have scored 15 goals, kept 7 clean sheets and conceded 12 goals at home.

Burton are in 24th position in the League One on 14 points having played 24 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

5 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 17 goals and kept 3 clean sheets. They have scored 9 goals in total and failed to score in 5 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

24 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 14 games, drawn 8 and won 2. Burton have conceded 38 goals, scored 20, failed to score in 11 fixtures and have kept 6 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Stevenage
Burton
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Birmingham2316522453 
Mar 22
Mar 11
Apr 21
l
 
2-0A
2
Wycombe2515642351 
l
 
0-3A
Apr 12
l
 
2-3A
Mar 4
3
Wrexham2515641951 
w
 
1-0F
Jan 28
l
 
0-1A
Apr 5
4
Huddersfield2414551847 
Mar 1
l
 
2-1A
Apr 12
d
 
1-1F
5
Barnsley251267642 
w
 
3-0F
Jan 25
l
 
1-2A
Feb 1
6
Reading241257641 
d
 
1-1F
Mar 15
Jan 28
l
 
3-1A
7
Stockport2510871038 
w
 
2-1F
Apr 1
l
 
0-3A
Mar 29
8
L Orient2411491037 
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 29
Apr 1
d
 
0-00-0
9
Mansfield231148537 
Mar 8
w
 
0-1F
Mar 1
d
 
3-3A
10
Bolton231148137 
l
 
1-4A
May 3
Mar 8
l
 
2-1A
11
Charlton23977634 
w
 
1-0F
Feb 8
l
 
0-1A
May 3
12
Lincoln25889-232 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-3F
Feb 22
13
Stevenage Home23878-231 
-
-
d
 
0-00-0
Jan 11
14
Exeter249411-331 
Feb 1
l
 
2-0A
l
 
1-2F
Apr 18
15
Blackpool24798-330 
Apr 18
d
 
0-00-0
Feb 6
l
 
3-0A
16
Rotherham23779-228 
Apr 26
l
 
2-0A
Jan 25
d
 
2-2F
17
Wigan237610-227 
Jan 18
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 22
-
18
Northampton256811-1526 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
0-1A
d
 
0-00-0
19
Peterborough247413-525 
Feb 15
l
 
2-1A
d
 
2-2F
w
 
0-1F
20
Bristol R247413-1625 
w
 
3-0F
Apr 21
l
 
1-3F
Feb 15
21
Crawley235513-1920 
Apr 5
Feb 11
d
 
0-00-0
Jan 18
22
Shrewsbury244515-2017 
w
 
1-0F
Feb 22
w
 
2-0F
Mar 15
23
Cambridge244515-2117 
l
 
0-2A
Mar 4
Apr 26
l
 
1-0A
24
Burton Away242814-1814 
Jan 11
d
 
0-00-0
-
-
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
7
Burton have not won in 7 consecutive league games
3
Stevenage have kept a clean sheet for 3 consecutive league games
Stevenage 13TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
3
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
10
D
4
Lost
6
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Stevenage3 - 0Bristol R
Stevenage0 - 3Wycombe
Stevenage2 - 1Stockport
Stevenage2 - 0Northampton
Stevenage0 - 0L Orient
Stevenage1 - 1Reading
Stevenage1 - 4Bolton
Stevenage0 - 2Cambridge
Stevenage1 - 0Wrexham
Stevenage1 - 0Charlton
Stevenage3 - 0Barnsley
Stevenage0 - 1Lincoln
Stevenage1 - 0Shrewsbury
Stevenage2 - 1Cheltenham
Stevenage1 - 2Burton
Stevenage2 - 1Barnsley
Stevenage0 - 0Bolton
Stevenage0 - 1L Orient
Stevenage0 - 0Fleetwood
Stevenage1 - 0Cambridge
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AStevenage0 - 0Lincoln
AStevenage0 - 0Northampton
HStevenage3 - 0Bristol R
HStevenage0 - 3Wycombe
AStevenage0 - 0Blackpool
HStevenage2 - 1Stockport
HStevenage2 - 0Northampton
HStevenage0 - 0L Orient
HStevenage1 - 1Reading
HStevenage1 - 4Bolton
AStevenage0 - 2Rotherham
HStevenage0 - 2Cambridge
AStevenage1 - 0Mansfield
AStevenage1 - 2Peterborough
HStevenage1 - 0Wrexham
HStevenage1 - 0Charlton
AStevenage0 - 0Wigan
AStevenage0 - 2Exeter
HStevenage3 - 0Barnsley
HStevenage0 - 1Lincoln
Burton 24TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
7
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
W
4
Draw
8
Lost
8
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Huddersfield1 - 1Burton
Birmingham2 - 0Burton
L Orient0 - 0Burton
Peterborough0 - 1Burton
Cambridge1 - 0Burton
Bolton2 - 1Burton
Reading3 - 1Burton
Blackpool3 - 0Burton
Rotherham2 - 2Burton
Northampton0 - 0Burton
Mansfield3 - 3Burton
Fleetwood3 - 0Burton
Stevenage1 - 2Burton
Wigan1 - 1Burton
Exeter1 - 0Burton
Portsmouth2 - 1Burton
Cheltenham0 - 0Burton
L Orient1 - 2Burton
Bristol R1 - 2Burton
Cambridge0 - 0Burton
Goals: Scored
15
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
W
2
Draw
5
Lost
13
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HBurton0 - 1Northampton
HBurton2 - 2Peterborough
ABurton1 - 1Huddersfield
ABurton0 - 2Birmingham
HBurton1 - 2Exeter
ABurton0 - 0L Orient
HBurton0 - 1Wrexham
ABurton1 - 0Peterborough
HBurton0 - 1Charlton
HBurton0 - 3Stockport
HBurton2 - 0Shrewsbury
HBurton0 - 0Crawley
ABurton0 - 1Cambridge
HBurton2 - 3Wycombe
ABurton1 - 2Bolton
HBurton1 - 3Bristol R
ABurton1 - 3Reading
ABurton0 - 3Blackpool
HBurton1 - 2Barnsley
ABurton2 - 2Rotherham
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Stevenage since 2010
Stevenage
Burton
Goals: Scored
4
3
Games: Scored
3 / 3
2 / 3
Clean sheets
1 / 3
0 / 3
STV
2
BAL
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Stevenage
1 - 2Burton
Stevenage1 - 0
Stevenage2 - 1
League games at Burton since 2011
Burton
Stevenage
Goals: Scored
2
5
Games: Scored
2 / 4
3 / 4
Clean sheets
1 / 4
2 / 4
STV
2
D
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Burton
Draw0 - 0Draw
1 - 2Stevenage
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 2Stevenage
Goal Statistics

With a PG of just 0.8, Burton Albion look set to struggle here. Add in the fact that Stevenage haven't conceded a goal in 3 consecutive League One games, and it could be a long afternoon for Mark Robinson's men.

Stevenage 13th Burton 24th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 60% probability that Stevenage will score no more than 1 goal
0
43%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4+
There is a 79% probability of Burton scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-22
Stevenage have scored 22% fewer goals at home than predicted
-14
Burton have scored 14% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.1
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
League One - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/280952/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Stevenage
PG (predicted goals)
Burton
1.4
0.8
Attack rating
STV
BAL
4%
better
view stats
Games scored12
13
Failed to score11
11
Scored first9
8
Goals scored18
20
Avg. goals scored0.8
0.8
Avg. shots per game7
7
Avg. shots per goal9
8
Conversion rate for12
13
Avg. XG for0.9
0.7
KickOff rating
+4%
Defence rating
34%
better
STV
BAL
view stats
Games conceded10
18
Clean sheets13
6
Conceded first8
12
Goals conceded20
38
Avg. goals conceded0.9
1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded6
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
6
Conversion rate against15%
16%
Avg. XG against0.9
1.5
KickOff rating
+34%

Stevenage v Burton League One lLine ups will show here when available.

Stevenage League One squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
22438
C PiergianniD KempJ ReidL Thompson
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
H White MID2312
4
-
C Piergianni DEF221
5
-
D Kemp MID224
3
-
D Phillips MID21
5
-
J Roberts MID2021
7
-
E List FWD204
1
-
M. Cooper GLK19
-
L James-Wildin DEF191
2
-
D Butler DEF19
5
-
L Thompson MID1922
8
-
T Simpson FWD19
1
-
J Reid FWD1933
-
N Freeman MID172
-
N Thompson DEF14
2
-
J Young FWD121
-
E King MID111
1
-
L Freestone DEF101
4
-
K Smith DEF9
2
-
D Sweeney DEF5
1
-
C Goode DEF4
-
A Pressley FWD4
1
-
T Ashby-Hammond GLK3
-
K. Aboh FWD3
1
-
L Appéré FWD3
-
Burton League One squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
23637
R SweeneyD OrsiE WattT Vancooten
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Sweeney DEF23
2
-
E Watt MID2313
5
-
B Whitfield MID2313
1
-
T Kalinauskas FWD2313
2
-
D Orsi FWD2363
2
-
M Crocombe GLK21
3
-
T Vancooten DEF20
5
2
U Godwin-Malife DEF2011
2
-
K Chauke MID191
1
-
D Willis DEF171
2
-
J Armer DEF17
3
-
M Bennett FWD171
4
-
N. Akoto DEF14
1
-
C Webster MID142
4
1
J Cooper-Love FWD142
1
-
C Gilligan MID121
3
-
B Bodin FWD114
1
-
R Burrell FWD1011
-
J Sraha DEF9
2
-
A Bannon MID9
1
-
R Donovan FWD6
-
H Isted GLK3
-
G Bajrami DEF1
1
-
R. Stutter FWD1
-