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Rotherham United v Birmingham City : League One match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 21st Sep, 15:00 BST, AESSEAL New York Stadium, Rotherham

Rotherham United are in League One action on Saturday afternoon, as Steve Evans looks to get one over on Chris Davies and his Birmingham City side at the AESSEAL New York Stadium. All the odds are provided directly from the bookmaker, while predictions are algorithmically generated from statistics over a 20-game period. We focus especially on League One match data, including head to head (H2H) performance. Click the tabs below to explore it all.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We make over 1.5 goals our best tip on this one, meaning that the sides will score a minimum of 2 goals between them during the standard 90 mins. Both Rotherham and Birmingham's latest form stats suggest things will go that way, while their head-to-head (H2H) record adds further weight to the argument. The bookies make it the most probable outcome in this market too, available at 1.25.

An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 45% chance of Birmingham coming away with a win.

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Rotherham 30%	12/5	23/10 3%
Draw 25%	23/10 3%	5/2 3%
Birmingham 45%	11/10	23/20 2%
Draw 1-1 12%	11/2	11/2
Birmingham 1-0 10%	15/2	13/2
Birmingham 2-1 9%	8/1	7/1
Birmingham 2-0 7%	10/1	17/2
Rotherham 1-0 7%	10/1 8%	17/2
Rotherham 2-1 7%	11/1	9/1
Draw 0-0 6%	10/1 8%	17/2 5%
Draw 2-2 6%	12/1	11/1 9%
Birmingham 3-1 5%	16/1	12/1
Rotherham 2-0 5%	16/1 11%	14/1
Birmingham 3-0 4%	18/1	14/1
Birmingham 3-2 3%	25/1 13%	18/1
Rotherham 3-1 3%	25/1	18/1
Rotherham 3-2 2%	33/1	22/1
Birmingham 4-1 2%	33/1	25/1 13%
Over 2.5 Goals 53%	17/20 3%	4/5 3%
Under 2.5 Goals 47%	19/20 3%	10/11 2%
Home 1st Goal 45%	11/8	-
Away 1st Goal 51%	4/6	-
No 1st Goal 4%	10/1 8%	-
BTTS - Yes 56%	7/10 2%	7/10 2%
BTTS - No 44%	21/20 2%	21/20 2%
BTTS - Home Win 15%	11/2 8%	9/2
BTTS - Draw 19%	10/3	10/3
BTTS - Away Win 22%	10/3 8%	29/10 3%
Home/draw 55%	7/10	7/10 2%
Away/draw 70%	3/10	1/3 2%
Home/away 75%	1/3 2%	2/7
Over 1.5 Goals 77%	1/4	1/4
Under 1.5 Goals 23%	11/4	5/2 3%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%	2/1	2/1 4%
Under 3.5 Goals 69%	4/11	7/20 1%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%	5/1	9/2 5%
Under 4.5 Goals 85%	1/8	1/8 2%
Over 5.5 Goals 7%	12/1	10/1 10%
Under 5.5 Goals 93%	1/25	1/25
Over 0.5 Goals 94%	1/20 1%	1/25
Under 0.5 Goals 6%	10/1 8%	17/2 5%
Home DNB 47%	11/8 5%	13/10 4%
Away DNB 63%	8/15 2%	8/15 2%
Rotherham win to nil 15%	5/1 8%	-
Birmingham win to nil 23%	11/4	-
Rotherham / Rotherham 15%	9/2	4/1 5%
Rotherham / Birmingham 4%	22/1	18/1
Rotherham / Draw 6%	14/1	11/1
Draw / Rotherham 11%	13/2	6/1
Draw / Birmingham 15%	9/2	4/1
Draw / Draw 15%	9/2	4/1
Birmingham / Rotherham 3%	28/1	22/1
Birmingham / Birmingham 24%	5/2 3%	23/10 2%
Birmingham / Draw 6%	12/1	11/1

Win / draw / win League One table

Rotherham

Won

Draw

Lost

Scores

Birmingham

HOME	AWAY	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY
Oct 19	Mar 8	Wrexham	6	4	1	1	7	13	w 3-1A	Jan 25
Sep 21	Feb 1	Birmingham Away	5	4	1	0	5	13	-	-
Jan 18	d 1-1F	Charlton	6	4	1	1	3	13	Feb 15	Oct 5
w 2-1A	Jan 4	Huddersfield	5	4	0	1	7	12	Oct 1	Jan 28
Dec 29	Apr 12	Stockport	5	3	2	0	7	11	Dec 3	Jan 1
Dec 3	Jan 1	Lincoln	5	3	1	1	4	10	Mar 8	Oct 19
Feb 22	Nov 11	Barnsley	6	3	1	2	1	10	Apr 5	Dec 7
Apr 18	Dec 21	Mansfield	5	2	2	1	-1	8	Apr 26	Oct 26
Oct 26	Apr 26	Stevenage	5	2	1	2	2	7	Nov 16	Mar 22
Jan 11	l 2-0A	Wycombe	5	2	1	2	1	7	Mar 1	w 2-3A
May 3	Oct 12	Peterborough	5	2	1	2	0	7	Sep 28	Feb 8
Oct 5	Feb 15	Reading	5	2	1	2	0	7	d 1-1A	Feb 22
Mar 29	Nov 23	Crawley	5	2	1	2	-2	7	Apr 18	Dec 23
d 0-00-0	Mar 1	Bristol R	6	2	1	3	-4	7	Dec 14	Apr 1
Dec 26	Apr 21	Wigan	5	2	0	3	1	6	w 2-1F	Jan 4
Mar 15	l 1-0A	Exeter	5	2	0	3	0	6	Jan 18	-
-	-	Rotherham Home	6	1	3	2	-2	6	Feb 1	Sep 21
Dec 14	Apr 1	Northampton	5	1	2	2	-1	5	Nov 9	Mar 15
Apr 5	Dec 7	Blackpool	5	1	2	2	-3	5	Dec 29	Apr 12
d 2-2A	Jan 25	Burton	5	0	4	1	-1	4	Dec 26	Apr 21
Nov 16	Mar 22	Bolton	5	1	1	3	-7	4	Oct 22	Mar 4
Mar 4	Oct 22	L Orient	5	1	0	4	-5	3	Jan 11	w 1-2F
Feb 8	Sep 28	Shrewsbury	6	1	0	5	-6	3	Mar 29	Nov 23
Jan 28	Oct 1	Cambridge	5	0	1	4	-6	1	Oct 12	May 3

Win / draw / win form

Birmingham have won 4 consecutive league games

Rotherham have not lost in 5 consecutive home league games

Birmingham have not lost in 9 consecutive league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

11 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

9 / 20

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Rotherham	2 - 2	Burton
Rotherham	2 - 1	Huddersfield
Rotherham	0 - 0	Bristol R
Rotherham	5 - 2	Cardiff
Rotherham	0 - 0	Birmingham
Rotherham	0 - 1	Plymouth
Rotherham	2 - 1	Millwall
Rotherham	0 - 0	Huddersfield
Rotherham	0 - 1	Sheff Wed
Rotherham	0 - 1	Watford
Rotherham	1 - 2	Hull
Rotherham	0 - 2	Southampton
Rotherham	0 - 1	Stoke
Rotherham	1 - 1	Sunderland
Rotherham	1 - 0	M'Boro
Rotherham	0 - 2	West Brom
Rotherham	1 - 2	Swansea
Rotherham	1 - 1	Leeds
Rotherham	2 - 2	Ipswich
Rotherham	1 - 1	QPR

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

7 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

13 / 20

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Rotherham	2 - 2	Burton
A	Rotherham	1 - 1	Charlton
H	Rotherham	2 - 1	Huddersfield
A	Rotherham	0 - 2	Wycombe
H	Rotherham	0 - 0	Bristol R
A	Rotherham	0 - 1	Exeter
H	Rotherham	5 - 2	Cardiff
A	Rotherham	0 - 2	Bristol C
H	Rotherham	0 - 0	Birmingham
A	Rotherham	0 - 1	Swansea
A	Rotherham	0 - 2	West Brom
H	Rotherham	0 - 1	Plymouth
H	Rotherham	2 - 1	Millwall
A	Rotherham	0 - 3	Preston
H	Rotherham	0 - 0	Huddersfield
A	Rotherham	0 - 5	Norwich
A	Rotherham	0 - 5	Coventry
H	Rotherham	0 - 1	Sheff Wed
A	Rotherham	1 - 2	QPR
A	Rotherham	3 - 4	Ipswich

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

18 / 20

Clean sheets

2 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
L Orient	1 - 2	Birmingham
Wycombe	2 - 3	Birmingham
Huddersfield	1 - 1	Birmingham
Rotherham	0 - 0	Birmingham
Leicester	2 - 1	Birmingham
QPR	2 - 1	Birmingham
Millwall	1 - 0	Birmingham
Hull	1 - 1	Birmingham
Ipswich	3 - 1	Birmingham
Sheff Wed	2 - 0	Birmingham
West Brom	1 - 0	Birmingham
Stoke	1 - 2	Birmingham
Leeds	3 - 0	Birmingham
Plymouth	3 - 3	Birmingham
Cardiff	0 - 1	Birmingham
Coventry	2 - 0	Birmingham
Blackburn	4 - 2	Birmingham
Sunderland	3 - 1	Birmingham
Southampton	3 - 1	Birmingham
M'Boro	1 - 0	Birmingham

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Birmingham	3 - 1	Wrexham
H	Birmingham	2 - 1	Wigan
A	Birmingham	2 - 1	L Orient
A	Birmingham	3 - 2	Wycombe
H	Birmingham	1 - 1	Reading
H	Birmingham	1 - 0	Norwich
A	Birmingham	1 - 1	Huddersfield
A	Birmingham	0 - 0	Rotherham
H	Birmingham	3 - 0	Coventry
H	Birmingham	0 - 1	Cardiff
A	Birmingham	1 - 2	Leicester
H	Birmingham	1 - 0	Preston
A	Birmingham	1 - 2	QPR
H	Birmingham	0 - 1	Watford
H	Birmingham	0 - 1	M'Boro
A	Birmingham	0 - 1	Millwall
A	Birmingham	1 - 1	Hull
H	Birmingham	3 - 4	Southampton
A	Birmingham	1 - 3	Ipswich
H	Birmingham	2 - 1	Sunderland

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Birmingham have kept a clean sheet in 3 consecutive league meetings with Rotherham

Rotherham

Birmingham

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

4 / 8

5 / 8

Clean sheets

3 / 8

4 / 8

RTH

BIR

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Rotherham
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Rotherham	2 - 0
	0 - 1	Birmingham
	1 - 3	Birmingham
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	0 - 1	Birmingham
Draw	2 - 2	Draw

Birmingham

Rotherham

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

6 / 8

Clean sheets

2 / 8

RTH

BIR

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Birmingham
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Birmingham	2 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Birmingham	3 - 1
Birmingham	4 - 2
	0 - 2	Rotherham
Birmingham	2 - 1
Draw	2 - 2	Draw

Goal Statistics

Birmingham City have been reliable in front of goal of late, finding the net in 7 consecutive League One outings. Their PG of 1.6 against Rotherham United on Saturday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

	Rotherham 17th	Birmingham 2nd
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.2 goals	1.6 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 29% 1 36% 2 22% 3 9% 4+ There is a 65% probability that Rotherham will score no more than 1 goal	0 21% 1 33% 2 26% 3 13% 4+ There is a 79% probability that Birmingham will score 1 or more goals

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-22 Rotherham have scored 22% fewer goals at home than predicted	-12 Birmingham have scored 12% fewer goals when away than predicted
	1.0 average goals scored	1.0 average goals scored
	1.2 conceded	1.8 conceded

Attack defence ratings
League One - 2024/2025 season

RTH

BIR

52%

better

view stats

Games scored	3		5
Failed to score	3		0
Scored first	1		2
Goals scored	5		11
Avg. goals scored	0.8		2.2
Avg. shots per game	12		9
Avg. shots per goal	15		4
Conversion rate for	7		26
Avg. XG for	1.6		1.3
KickOff rating		+52%

12%

better

RTH

BIR

view stats

Games conceded	5		5
Clean sheets	1		0
Conceded first	4		3
Goals conceded	7		6
Avg. goals conceded	1.2		1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded	8		6
Avg. shots/goal conceded	7		5
Conversion rate against	15%		19%
Avg. XG against	1.2		0.8
KickOff rating		+12%

Rotherham v Birmingham League One lLine ups will show here when available.

Rotherham League One squad statistics 2024/2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
6	2	1	2
D Phillips	J Clarke-Harris	J Powell	J McCart

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
D Phillips GLK	6			-
C Humphreys DEF	6	1		-
J McCart DEF	6			2 -
H Odoffin MID	6			1 -
J Powell MID	6		1	-
S Nombe FWD	6			-
J Hugill FWD	6			-
R James DEF	5			-
M Wilks FWD	5	1		2 -
J Clarke-Harris FWD	5	2	1	1 -
C Tiéhi MID	4		1	1 -
L Kelly MID	4	1		-
S McWilliams MID	4			-
D Osong FWD	4			-
J Rafferty DEF	3			-
A MacDonald MID	3			1 -
J Hungbo FWD	3			-
J Holmes MID	2			-
C Bramall DEF	1			-
S Raggett DEF	1			1 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
2	7	1	4
J Clarke-Harris	S Nombe	J Powell	S Nombe

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
J Clarke-Harris FWD	2	5	1	2
M Wilks FWD	1	6		2
L Kelly MID	1	1		1
C Humphreys DEF	1	3
D Phillips GLK				1
J Hungbo FWD		1		1
J Rafferty DEF				1
C Tiéhi MID			1
R James DEF				3
J Hugill FWD		1
S Nombe FWD		7		4
J Powell MID		2	1	3
H Odoffin MID		3

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
210	19	57
D Phillips	H Odoffin	H Odoffin

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
D Phillips GLK	210		4
J McCart DEF	201	8	47
C Humphreys DEF	198	5	29
R James DEF	183	9	24
L Kelly MID	162	5	22
H Odoffin MID	150	19	57
J Powell MID	147	6	26
C Tiéhi MID	114	7	16
J Rafferty DEF	104	3	9
J Clarke-Harris FWD	83	2	45
M Wilks FWD	58	4	24
J Hugill FWD	48	1	32
S Nombe FWD	44	10	36
A MacDonald MID	36	2	5
S McWilliams MID	36	6	11
S Raggett DEF	35		5
J Hungbo FWD	35		1
C Bramall DEF	18		2
D Osong FWD	12		6
J Holmes MID	5

Birmingham League One squad statistics 2024/2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
5	4	1	2
B Peacock-Farrell	A May	A Cochrane	C Klarer

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
B Peacock-Farrell GLK	5			-
A Cochrane DEF	5		1	1 -
K Bielik DEF	5			1 -
M Leonard MID	5			-
W Willumsson MID	5	1	1	-
S Paik MID	5		1	-
E Hansson FWD	5			-
A May FWD	5	4	1	1 -
C Klarer DEF	4		1	2 -
E Laird DEF	4			1 -
L Harris MID	4	1		-
K Anderson FWD	4	1		1 -
A Sampsted DEF	3			-
T Gardner-Hickman MID	3			1 -
A Yokoyama FWD	3		1	-
L Jutkiewicz FWD	3			-
B Khela MID	2			-
L Dykes FWD	2			-
B Davies DEF	1			-
D Sanderson DEF	1			-
T Iwata MID	1	1		-
S Wright FWD	1	1		-
J Stansfield FWD	1	2		-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
4	8	1	3
A May	A May	A Cochrane	S Paik

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
A May FWD	4	8	1	3
J Stansfield FWD	2	3
S Wright FWD	1	1
T Iwata MID	1	1
L Harris MID	1	2
K Anderson FWD	1	1
W Willumsson MID	1	5	1	2
E Hansson FWD		5		1
A Yokoyama FWD		1	1	1
S Paik MID		1	1	3
A Cochrane DEF			1	1
C Klarer DEF			1	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
479	8	48
K Bielik	K Bielik	K Bielik

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
K Bielik DEF	479	8	48
C Klarer DEF	384	3	18
A Cochrane DEF	378	6	21
S Paik MID	330	7	18
M Leonard MID	240	7	16
B Peacock-Farrell GLK	232		6
E Laird DEF	190	4	36
W Willumsson MID	141	5	14
E Hansson FWD	124	1	4
A May FWD	113	1	11
T Gardner-Hickman MID	95	2	10
K Anderson FWD	86	4	15
L Harris MID	73	5	8
D Sanderson DEF	68		4
T Iwata MID	62		1
A Sampsted DEF	30	1	5
A Yokoyama FWD	26	1	2
L Dykes FWD	15	2	12
J Stansfield FWD	11	1	1
L Jutkiewicz FWD	10		4
S Wright FWD	10
B Khela MID	7		3
B Davies DEF	1

English League One match betting previews, predictions and odds

Mansfield v Shrewsbury

Sat 21st Sep, 15:00

Rotherham v Birmingham

Peterborough v Bristol R

Sat 21st Sep, 15:00

Stockport v L Orient

Sat 21st Sep, 15:00

Huddersfield v Northampton

Sat 21st Sep, 15:00

Wigan v Stevenage

Tue 24th Sep, 19:45

L Orient v Peterborough

Tue 24th Sep, 19:45

Huddersfield v Blackpool

Tue 24th Sep, 19:45

Crawley v Bolton

Sat 28th Sep, 12:30

Reading v Huddersfield

Shrewsbury v Rotherham

Sat 28th Sep, 15:00

Northampton v Mansfield

Birmingham v Peterborough

Sat 28th Sep, 15:00

Barnsley v Stockport

Sat 28th Sep, 19:45

Shrewsbury v Stockport

Cambridge v Rotherham

Tue 1st Oct, 19:45

Birmingham v Huddersfield

Rotherham United v Birmingham City : League One match betting preview, prediction and odds

Rotherham v Birmingham League One lLine ups will show here when available.

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