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Northampton Town v Birmingham City : League One match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 15th Mar, 15:00 BST, Sixfields Stadium, Northampton

Northampton Town and their boss Omar Lepri will be hoping for victory against Chris Davies and his Birmingham City side on Saturday afternoon, as the pair go head to head at the Sixfields Stadium in the League One. League One statistics are the backbone of the predictions you'll find below, with head-to-head history included too. You can view it all, with infographics and odds from leading bookmakers available for every betting markets using the tabs.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top League One Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

There is 78% chance of Northampton and Birmingham 3 goals or less combined during this League One game according to our predictive algorithm and, in the absense of a strong favourite in the WDW market, we think that's where the smart money should go. Our calculations are made based on recent form, historical head-to-head (H2H) stats and the view of the betting market, and you can go with it at a best price of 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 53% chance of Birmingham coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Northampton
21%
17/4
19%
5/1
20%
Draw
26%
11/4
6%
3/1
5%
Birmingham
53%
11/20
8%
4/7
6%
Birmingham 1-0
14%
5/1
9%
9/2
10%
Draw 1-1
12%
13/2
12%
6/1
7%
Birmingham 2-0
11%
11/2
8%
11/2
13%
Birmingham 2-1
9%
15/2
6%
13/2
6%
Draw 0-0
9%
8/1
6%
7/1
Northampton 1-0
8%
11/1
8%
10/1
8%
Birmingham 3-0
6%
10/1
16%
17/2
12%
Northampton 2-1
5%
18/1
10%
14/1
21%
Birmingham 3-1
5%
14/111/1
Draw 2-2
4%
20/1
19%
16/1
11%
Northampton 2-0
3%
28/1
15%
20/1
19%
Birmingham 4-0
2%
22/1
21%
16/1
13%
Birmingham 3-2
2%
33/122/1
12%
Birmingham 4-1
2%
28/120/1
Northampton 3-1
1%
50/133/1
26%
Over 2.5 Goals
43%
43/40
1%
21/20
2%
Under 2.5 Goals
57%
8/11
2%
8/11
4%
Home 1st Goal
40%
5/2
13%
-
Away 1st Goal
55%
2/5
5%
-
No 1st Goal
6%
8/1
6%
-
BTTS - Yes
46%
11/10
12%
23/20
10%
BTTS - No
54%
4/6
9%
13/20
6%
BTTS - Home Win
9%
11/1
29%
10/1
15%
BTTS - Draw
17%
5/1
8%
9/2
8%
BTTS - Away Win
20%
3/114/5
3%
Home/draw
47%
5/4
10%
11/8
9%
Away/draw
79%
1/7
4%
1/8
3%
Home/away
74%
2/9
2%
1/4
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
69%
1/3
2%
7/20
1%
Under 1.5 Goals
31%
9/4
8%
2/1
3%
Over 3.5 Goals
22%
11/413/5
3%
Under 3.5 Goals
78%
1/41/4
Over 4.5 Goals
10%
7/1
11%
6/1
Under 4.5 Goals
90%
1/12
1%
1/12
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
16/1
11%
12/1
13%
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/401/66
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
1/141/16
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
8/1
6%
15/2
6%
Home DNB
39%
3/1
27%
16/5
20%
Away DNB
71%
2/9
7%
2/11
4%
Northampton win to nil
12%
8/1
10%
-
Birmingham win to nil
33%
11/8
13%
-
Northampton / Northampton
9%
9/1
23%
15/2
23%
Northampton / Birmingham
4%
22/1
12%
18/1
10%
Northampton / Draw
5%
16/1
19%
14/1
12%
Draw / Northampton
7%
10/1
15%
10/1
8%
Draw / Birmingham
20%
3/1
7%
3/1
5%
Draw / Draw
15%
9/217/4
Birmingham / Northampton
2%
40/1
20%
33/1
17%
Birmingham / Birmingham
33%
6/4
11%
11/8
8%
Birmingham / Draw
5%
14/1
12%
14/1
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Win / draw / win League One table

Northampton have played 36 matches so far this season and are in 19th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

30 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 15 games, drawn 8 and won 7. Northampton have conceded 51 goals, scored 29, failed to score in 10 matches and kept 5 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Northampton have played 17 games at home, winning 6, drawing 4 and losing 7 fixtures. They have scored 18 goals, conceded 24 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and failed to score 7 times in home league games.

Birmingham lay in 1st place on 82 points in the League One league table having played 35 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 35 games against teams below them in the table, winning 25, drawing 7 and losing 3 games. They have scored 58 goals and kept 18 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Birmingham have conceded 23 goals and have failed to score in 3 matches.

Away league performance

Birmingham have played 16 away games, winning 9, drawing 4 and losing 3 games. They have scored an average of 1.6 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.9 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Northampton
Birmingham
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Birmingham Away3525733582 
Mar 15
d
 
1-1A
-
-
2
Wycombe35191152868 
l
 
1-2F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-0F
w
 
2-3A
3
Wrexham3620882068 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
4-1A
w
 
3-1A
d
 
1-1A
4
Charlton3618991663 
l
 
0-5A
Apr 18
w
 
1-0F
l
 
1-0A
5
Stockport36171181862 
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1A
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1F
6
Bolton3618612560 
l
 
2-4A
l
 
3-1A
w
 
2-0F
l
 
3-1F
7
Huddersfield36177121458 
w
 
3-2F
w
 
1-3F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
8
Reading36161010658 
Apr 12
l
 
4-1A
d
 
1-1A
d
 
0-00-0
9
L Orient36165151453 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2F
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-2F
10
Barnsley3615714-152 
l
 
1-2A
d
 
2-2A
Apr 5
w
 
1-2A
11
Blackpool3612159651 
Mar 22
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
0-00-0
-
12
Stevenage3613914-348 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-0A
w
 
2-1F
Mar 22
13
Lincoln36121014346 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-1F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-3A
14
Rotherham3512815-244 
Apr 1
l
 
3-0A
w
 
2-1A
w
 
0-2F
15
Wigan35111014-243 
May 3
l
 
2-1A
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-3F
16
Exeter3512716-1143 
w
 
2-1A
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-2F
17
Bristol R3612618-1642 
w
 
2-1A
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-0F
Apr 1
18
Mansfield3611817-941 
l
 
0-2A
w
 
0-1F
Apr 26
d
 
1-1F
19
Northampton H36101115-1741 
-
-
d
 
1-1F
Mar 15
20
Peterborough3510916-839 
w
 
2-1F
Apr 5
w
 
3-2A
Apr 8
21
Burton3671217-1733 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-1F
w
 
2-0F
Apr 21
22
Crawley367920-2830 
w
 
3-0F
Apr 26
Apr 18
w
 
0-1F
23
Cambridge367821-2529 
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 29
w
 
4-0F
May 3
24
Shrewsbury367722-2628 
Apr 21
d
 
1-1A
Mar 29
l
 
3-2A
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Northampton 19TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Northampton1 - 1Stockport
Northampton1 - 2Barnsley
Northampton2 - 1Bristol R
Northampton0 - 2Wrexham
Northampton3 - 2Huddersfield
Northampton0 - 1Lincoln
Northampton0 - 0Stevenage
Northampton0 - 5Charlton
Northampton2 - 1Peterborough
Northampton0 - 0Cambridge
Northampton3 - 0Crawley
Northampton1 - 0L Orient
Northampton2 - 4Bolton
Northampton0 - 2Mansfield
Northampton1 - 2Wycombe
Northampton0 - 0Burton
Northampton2 - 1Exeter
Northampton1 - 2Exeter
Northampton2 - 0Carlisle
Northampton2 - 0Port Vale
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ANorthampton2 - 1L Orient
HNorthampton1 - 1Stockport
ANorthampton1 - 1Exeter
HNorthampton1 - 2Barnsley
HNorthampton2 - 1Bristol R
HNorthampton0 - 2Wrexham
ANorthampton1 - 0Mansfield
HNorthampton3 - 2Huddersfield
ANorthampton1 - 3Bolton
ANorthampton0 - 0Wycombe
HNorthampton0 - 1Lincoln
ANorthampton1 - 0Burton
HNorthampton0 - 0Stevenage
ANorthampton1 - 1Shrewsbury
ANorthampton1 - 4Reading
HNorthampton0 - 5Charlton
ANorthampton0 - 3Rotherham
HNorthampton2 - 1Peterborough
ANorthampton0 - 2Stevenage
ANorthampton1 - 2Wigan
Birmingham 1ST
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Bolton3 - 1Birmingham
Reading0 - 0Birmingham
Huddersfield0 - 1Birmingham
Wrexham1 - 1Birmingham
Wigan0 - 3Birmingham
Stockport1 - 1Birmingham
Crawley0 - 1Birmingham
Barnsley1 - 2Birmingham
Exeter0 - 2Birmingham
Shrewsbury3 - 2Birmingham
Mansfield1 - 1Birmingham
Lincoln1 - 3Birmingham
Charlton1 - 0Birmingham
Rotherham0 - 2Birmingham
L Orient1 - 2Birmingham
Wycombe2 - 3Birmingham
Huddersfield1 - 1Birmingham
Rotherham0 - 0Birmingham
Leicester2 - 1Birmingham
QPR2 - 1Birmingham
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
8
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
6 / 20
Clean sheets
14 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
15
D
4
L
1
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HBirmingham2 - 1Stevenage
HBirmingham1 - 0Lincoln
ABirmingham1 - 3Bolton
HBirmingham1 - 0Wycombe
HBirmingham2 - 0L Orient
ABirmingham0 - 0Reading
HBirmingham1 - 0Charlton
HBirmingham4 - 0Cambridge
HBirmingham2 - 1Rotherham
ABirmingham1 - 0Huddersfield
ABirmingham1 - 1Wrexham
HBirmingham1 - 0Exeter
ABirmingham3 - 0Wigan
ABirmingham1 - 1Stockport
HBirmingham0 - 0Blackpool
HBirmingham2 - 0Burton
ABirmingham1 - 0Crawley
HBirmingham2 - 0Bristol R
ABirmingham2 - 1Barnsley
HBirmingham2 - 0Stockport
Goal Statistics

Birmingham City have been consistent in attack of late, finding the net in 5 consecutive League One games. Their PG of 1.5 against Northampton Town on Saturday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Northampton 19th Birmingham 1st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
0.9
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
42%
1
36%
2
16%
3
4+
There is a 78% probability of Northampton scoring 1 goal or less
0
21%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 79% probability that Birmingham will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-7
Northampton’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-5
Birmingham’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.2
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
League One - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/281080/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Northampton
PG (predicted goals)
Birmingham
0.9
1.5
Attack rating
NHT
BIR
36%
better
view stats
Games scored24
31
Failed to score12
3
Scored first12
22
Goals scored36
56
Avg. goals scored1
1.6
Avg. shots per game7
9
Avg. shots per goal7
5
Conversion rate for15
19
Avg. XG for0.8
1.6
KickOff rating
+36%
Defence rating
NHT
BIR
43%
better
view stats
Games conceded27
16
Clean sheets9
18
Conceded first19
10
Goals conceded53
22
Avg. goals conceded1.5
0.6
Avg. shots/game conceded10
5
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
9
Conversion rate against15%
12%
Avg. XG against1.5
0.8
KickOff rating
+43%

Northampton v Birmingham League One lLine ups will show here when available.

Northampton League One squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
35959
M PinnockC McGeehan M PinnockC McGeehan 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Pinnock FWD3625
4
-
A Odimayo DEF32
3
1
S Hoskins FWD3141
5
-
C McGeehan  MID3093
9
-
T Fosu FWD2833
2
-
A McGowan DEF271
2
-
W Hondermarck MID26
2
-
J Guthrie DEF2412
4
-
S. Chouchane MID222
3
-
J Baldwin DEF211
3
-
L Burge GLK20
-
T Eaves FWD2041
4
1
N Guinness-Walker DEF1911
1
-
T Roberts FWD1912
3
1
N Tzanev GLK17
-
T Eyoma DEF16
2
-
L McCarron DEF161
-
J Willis DEF15
-
T Magloire DEF141
-
M Dyche DEF111
1
-
J Sowerby MID10
1
-
T Taylor MID1012
5
-
L Shaw MID82
2
-
B. Perry MID7
2
-
C Morton FWD711
-
J Wilson FWD7
-
L Mbete DEF6
2
-
D Costelloe FWD62
2
-
A Koiki DEF4
-
P Brough DEF3
1
-
Birmingham League One squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
331669
C KlarerJ StansfieldA MayC Klarer
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A May FWD34106
3
-
C Klarer DEF332
9
-
A Cochrane DEF321
5
-
S Paik MID3112
1
-
W Willumsson MID3055
-
K Bielik DEF291
5
1
T Iwata MID2951
6
-
R Allsop GLK271
5
-
B Davies DEF27
1
-
E Laird DEF2623
5
-
T Gardner-Hickman MID2621
6
-
J Stansfield FWD26162
5
-
K Anderson  FWD2644
5
-
M Leonard MID251
2
-
L Dykes FWD251
2
-
L Harris MID202
2
-
E Hansson FWD1811
-
S Wright FWD131
-
A Sampsted DEF11
-
K Dowell MID103
1
-
L Jutkiewicz FWD10
-
B Peacock-Farrell GLK9
-
G Hanley DEF7
1
-
L Buchanan DEF31
-