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Northampton Town v Barnsley : League One match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 11th Jan, 15:00 BST, Sixfields Stadium, Northampton

Barnsley, led by manager Darrell Clarke, visit Jon Brady and his Northampton Town side at the Sixfields Stadium on Saturday afternoon in the League One. The odds you see on the page are delivered straight from top bookmakers, while predictions are algorithmically generated from stats over a 20-game period. Particular attention is given to League One match data, including head-to-head performance. Explore it all using the tabs below.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top League One Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We don't think there's a clear favourite to claim victory here, but what is clear is that the odds suggest it'll have no more than 3 goals. Our statistical analysis draws the same conclusion. Northampton and Barnsley have delivered a host of under 3.5 goal games lately, and key performance stats point towards those records being extended. We're confidently predicting under 3.5 goals on Saturday afternoon, and the bookmakers have it priced at 1.36.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Northampton 1-1 Barnsley is the most probable final scoreline in this match, according to our predictive algorithm. Our calculations suggest there’s a 12% chance of this being the case.

There is rarely an outstanding favourite in the correct score market, however. Goals can be scored at any time, and even the most prolific team can have an off day. We’ve listed out the 15 most likely scorelines below, along with odds from the best bookmakers. As you can see, there’s not a lot between them.

Explore the winning strategies and tips from expert correct score tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Northampton
25%
5.00
19%
4.80
7%
Draw
25%
3.753.80
Barnsley
49%
1.65
8%
1.70
3%
Draw 1-1
12%
7.50
7%
7.00
Barnsley 1-0
12%
7.50
6%
7.00
Barnsley 2-1
9%
8.507.50
Barnsley 2-0
9%
8.00
11%
7.50
6%
Northampton 1-0
8%
15.00
15%
11.00
Draw 0-0
7%
12.009.50
5%
Northampton 2-1
6%
17.00
31%
13.00
8%
Barnsley 3-1
5%
13.00
13%
11.00
Draw 2-2
5%
15.0013.00
Barnsley 3-0
5%
13.00
13%
11.00
8%
Northampton 2-0
4%
26.00
24%
19.00
Barnsley 3-2
3%
23.0019.00
Northampton 3-1
2%
41.00
21%
26.00
Barnsley 4-1
2%
26.00
10%
19.00
10%
Barnsley 4-0
2%
23.00
21%
19.00
10%
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
1.801.80
3%
Under 2.5 Goals
52%
2.001.95
Home 1st Goal
43%
3.00
9%
-
Away 1st Goal
52%
1.44
6%
-
No 1st Goal
5%
12.00-
BTTS - Yes
51%
1.80
3%
1.80
3%
BTTS - No
49%
1.95
3%
1.95
3%
BTTS - Home Win
12%
9.00
20%
8.00
7%
BTTS - Draw
18%
5.00
5%
4.80
BTTS - Away Win
21%
3.40
6%
3.40
Home/draw
51%
2.20
13%
2.10
2%
Away/draw
75%
1.17
4%
1.18
2%
Home/away
75%
1.251.25
Over 1.5 Goals
73%
1.251.25
Under 1.5 Goals
27%
3.753.60
Over 3.5 Goals
26%
3.002.90
1%
Under 3.5 Goals
74%
1.361.36
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
6.005.25
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
1.121.13
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
13.0010.00
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1.041.04
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1.041.04
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
13.00
8%
10.00
Home DNB
43%
3.75
15%
3.40
6%
Away DNB
67%
1.25
6%
1.29
1%
Northampton win to nil
14%
9.00
13%
-
Barnsley win to nil
28%
2.75
15%
-
Northampton / Northampton
11%
8.00
14%
7.00
Northampton / Barnsley
4%
21.0017.00
Northampton / Draw
6%
15.0013.00
Draw / Northampton
8%
10.00
11%
9.00
Draw / Barnsley
18%
4.50
5%
4.40
Draw / Draw
14%
6.00
9%
5.25
Barnsley / Northampton
3%
34.0029.00
Barnsley / Barnsley
31%
2.60
10%
2.60
4%
Barnsley / Draw
6%
15.0013.00
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Correct score League One table
Won
Draw
Lost
Northampton
Barnsley
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Birmingham2316522453 
Mar 15
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-2F
Apr 5
2
Wycombe2515642351 
l
 
1-2F
Jan 25
d
 
2-2A
Jan 28
3
Wrexham2515641951 
Feb 15
l
 
4-1A
w
 
2-1F
l
 
1-0A
4
Huddersfield2414551847 
Feb 1
w
 
1-3F
Feb 15
l
 
2-0A
5
Barnsley Away251267642 
Jan 11
d
 
2-2A
-
-
6
Reading241257641 
Apr 12
l
 
4-1A
d
 
2-2F
May 3
7
Stockport2510871038 
Mar 4
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1F
Feb 8
8
L Orient2411491037 
w
 
1-0F
Mar 8
l
 
0-4A
Apr 18
9
Mansfield231148537 
l
 
0-2A
Feb 8
l
 
1-2A
Mar 15
10
Bolton231148137 
l
 
2-4A
Jan 28
Apr 12
w
 
1-2A
11
Charlton23977634 
l
 
0-5A
Apr 18
d
 
2-2F
Mar 4
12
Lincoln25889-232 
Jan 18
l
 
2-1F
Mar 1
w
 
1-2F
13
Stevenage23878-231 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-0A
Jan 25
l
 
3-0A
14
Exeter249411-331 
w
 
2-1A
Mar 1
Apr 1
w
 
1-2A
15
Blackpool24798-330 
Mar 22
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 8
w
 
1-2F
16
Rotherham23779-228 
Apr 1
l
 
3-0A
w
 
2-0F
Feb 22
17
Wigan237610-227 
May 3
l
 
2-1A
l
 
0-1A
Mar 29
18
Northampton H256811-1526 
-
-
d
 
2-2F
Jan 11
19
Peterborough247413-525 
w
 
2-1F
Apr 5
Apr 21
w
 
1-3F
20
Bristol R247413-1625 
Feb 22
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-1F
Jan 18
21
Crawley235513-1920 
w
 
3-0F
Apr 26
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-3F
22
Shrewsbury244515-2017 
Apr 21
d
 
1-1A
Apr 26
w
 
0-2F
23
Cambridge244515-2117 
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 29
Mar 22
d
 
1-1A
24
Burton242814-1814 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-1F
Feb 1
w
 
1-2F
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Correct score form
6
Northampton have not scored more than 1 goal for 6 consecutive league games
7
Barnsley have not conceded more than 1 goal for 7 consecutive away league games
Northampton 18TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
6
2-0
2-0
4-2
5-0
-2
or more
1-0
2-1
2-1
-1
goal
0-0
0-0
0-0
1-1
1-1
x
1-0
1-0
2-1
2-1
+1
goal
2-0
2-0
3-0
3-1
+2
or more
2-0
2-0
3-0
4-1
4-1
4-2
5-0
-2
or more
2-1
2-1
-1
goal
0-0
0-0
0-0
1-1
1-1
1-1
x
1-0
1-0
2-1
+1
goal
3-0
3-1
+2
or more
Barnsley 5TH
20 league games
Away
7
Overall
2-0
3-0
-2
or more
1-0
2-1
2-1
3-2
3-2
-1
goal
1-1
x
2-1
2-1
2-1
2-1
2-1
3-2
3-2
+1
goal
2-0
3-0
3-1
3-1
4-2
+2
or more
2-0
3-0
4-0
-2
or more
1-0
1-0
2-1
-1
goal
1-1
1-1
2-2
2-2
2-2
x
2-1
2-1
2-1
2-1
2-1
+1
goal
2-0
2-0
3-0
3-1
+2
or more
bet365
bet365
Goal Statistics

Goals have been an issue for Northampton Town of late. It has been 6 League One games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.0 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Saturday afternoon against Barnsley.

Northampton 18th Barnsley 5th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.0
goals
1.6
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 73% probability that Northampton will score no more than 1 goal
0
21%
1
33%
2
26%
3
13%
4+
There is a 79% probability that Barnsley will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-13
Northampton have scored 13% fewer goals at home than predicted
+27
Barnsley have scored 27% more goals when away than predicted
1.1
average goals scored
1.9
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
League One - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/280947/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/CS
Northampton
PG (predicted goals)
Barnsley
1
1.6
Attack rating
NHT
BAR
26%
better
view stats
Games scored16
20
Failed to score9
5
Scored first7
15
Goals scored24
39
Avg. goals scored1
1.6
Avg. shots per game7
10
Avg. shots per goal7
7
Conversion rate for15
15
Avg. XG for0.8
1.2
KickOff rating
+26%
Defence rating
1%
better
NHT
BAR
view stats
Games conceded18
21
Clean sheets7
4
Conceded first14
10
Goals conceded39
33
Avg. goals conceded1.6
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded10
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
6
Conversion rate against15%
17%
Avg. XG against1.6
1.2
KickOff rating
+1%

Northampton v Barnsley League One lLine ups will show here when available.

Northampton League One squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
24747
M PinnockC McGeehan M PinnockC McGeehan 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Pinnock FWD2524
3
-
J Guthrie DEF2412
4
-
A Odimayo DEF22
3
1
C McGeehan  MID2271
7
-
S. Chouchane MID202
3
-
S Hoskins FWD2021
5
-
W Hondermarck MID19
2
-
L Burge GLK17
-
A McGowan DEF171
1
-
T Fosu FWD1733
1
-
L McCarron DEF161
-
J Baldwin DEF161
3
-
T Roberts MID162
3
1
T Eaves FWD153
2
1
B Fox MID12
3
-
J Sowerby MID10
1
-
N Tzanev GLK9
-
J Willis DEF8
-
T Magloire DEF71
-
C Morton FWD711
-
L Mbete DEF6
2
-
P Brough DEF3
1
-
J Wilson FWD3
-
A Koiki DEF2
-
H Lintott DEF1
-
M Dibley-Dias MID1
-
Barnsley League One squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
25968
M GevigneyD Keillor-DunnC O'KeeffeL Connell
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Gevigney DEF25
3
-
L Connell MID2324
8
-
C O'Keeffe DEF226
6
-
D Keillor-Dunn MID219
1
-
M Roberts DEF203
2
-
G. Gent DEF19
2
-
D Pines DEF192
5
-
J Earl DEF191
5
-
J Russell MID1941
3
-
A Phillips MID1974
2
1
S Humphrys FWD1941
1
-
S Cosgrove FWD1812
3
-
B Cotter DEF162
2
-
K Lofthouse DEF15
2
-
M Watters FWD1542
-
B Killip GLK141
1
-
M Craig MID14
-
G Slonina GLK11
-
K Nwakali MID91
1
-
F Jaló FWD91
3
-
C McCarthy DEF7
4
-
A Marsh FWD7
-
J Benson MID6
1
-
C Hourihane MID2
-