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Exeter City v Lincoln City : League One match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 16th Nov, 12:30 BST, St James Park, Exeter

It's an away trip for Michael Skubala's Lincoln City side on Saturday lunch time, as they head to the St James Park for a League One showdown with Gary Caldwell's Exeter City. This preview has the best odds for 17 different betting markets, alongside supporting data that updates as you explore. Our predictions are based on the last 20 matches, so all statistics are shown for each side's last 20 too. Home, away and overall performance can be explored, while there's also head to head (H2H) history a little further down the page.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top League One Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

It may be an over exaggeration to say that we expect Gary Caldwell and Michael Skubala to park the bus here, but we're certainly not expecting a glut of goals as Exeter and Lincoln go head-to-head. The statistics belowsuggest there will be under 2.5 goals (i.e. 2 goals of fewer in total), and we think it's likely to go that way too. With best odds of 1.80 available on under 2.5 goals and no obvious match winner in sight, that's the bet we're recommending.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Exeter are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 39% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.55.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Exeter
39%
2.55
2%
2.50
2%
Draw
28%
3.30
3%
3.30
6%
Lincoln
33%
2.702.75
Draw 1-1
13%
6.506.00
Exeter 1-0
12%
8.00
11%
7.50
Lincoln 1-0
11%
8.50
11%
7.50
6%
Draw 0-0
10%
9.50
14%
8.00
6%
Exeter 2-1
8%
10.00
5%
9.00
6%
Exeter 2-0
7%
12.0011.00
10%
Lincoln 2-1
7%
10.009.00
Lincoln 2-0
6%
13.00
13%
11.00
8%
Draw 2-2
4%
15.00
15%
12.00
Exeter 3-1
3%
21.00
11%
17.00
13%
Exeter 3-0
3%
26.00
13%
19.00
Lincoln 3-1
3%
23.00
10%
17.00
Lincoln 3-0
2%
26.00
10%
21.00
Exeter 3-2
2%
29.00
12%
23.00
10%
Lincoln 3-2
2%
34.00
17%
23.00
Over 2.5 Goals
40%
2.05
11%
2.00
3%
Under 2.5 Goals
60%
1.75
10%
1.75
3%
Home 1st Goal
48%
1.83
2%
-
Away 1st Goal
45%
2.10-
No 1st Goal
7%
9.50
14%
-
BTTS - Yes
46%
1.80
6%
1.80
BTTS - No
54%
1.95
5%
1.91
2%
BTTS - Home Win
15%
5.50
16%
4.80
4%
BTTS - Draw
18%
4.50
4%
4.33
2%
BTTS - Away Win
13%
5.505.25
5%
Home/draw
67%
1.441.44
Away/draw
61%
1.501.50
2%
Home/away
72%
1.33
2%
1.33
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
67%
1.33
6%
1.33
2%
Under 1.5 Goals
33%
3.25
13%
3.10
3%
Over 3.5 Goals
20%
3.75
15%
3.40
3%
Under 3.5 Goals
80%
1.25
6%
1.29
1%
Over 4.5 Goals
8%
8.00
33%
6.50
Under 4.5 Goals
92%
1.08
4%
1.09
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
17.00
31%
13.00
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1.02
2%
1.02
Over 0.5 Goals
90%
1.06
1%
1.06
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
10%
9.50
14%
8.00
11%
Home DNB
59%
1.83
6%
1.80
3%
Away DNB
52%
1.83
9%
1.91
2%
Exeter win to nil
24%
4.33-
Lincoln win to nil
20%
4.33
13%
-
Exeter / Exeter
19%
4.33
8%
4.00
3%
Exeter / Lincoln
3%
29.00
12%
23.00
Exeter / Draw
6%
15.00
15%
12.00
Draw / Exeter
14%
6.005.75
5%
Draw / Lincoln
13%
6.00
8%
6.00
Draw / Draw
17%
5.00
9%
4.60
4%
Lincoln / Exeter
3%
29.00
12%
21.00
Lincoln / Lincoln
18%
4.504.33
Lincoln / Draw
6%
15.00
15%
12.00
bet365
Win / draw / win League One table

Exeter have played 13 matches so far this season and are in 11th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

3 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 2 games, drawn zero and won 1. Exeter have conceded 4 goals, scored 3, failed to score in 1 match and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

Exeter have played 6 games at home, winning 4, drawing 0 and losing 2 fixtures. They have scored 7 goals, conceded 4 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and scored in every home league game.

Lincoln lay in 5th place on 25 points in the League One league table having played 14 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 12 games against teams below them in the table, winning 7, drawing 4 and losing 1 game. They have scored 19 goals and kept 3 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Lincoln have conceded 12 goals and have failed to score in 2 matches.

Away league performance

Lincoln have played 7 away games, winning 3, drawing 3 and losing 1 game. They have scored an average of 1.3 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.1 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Exeter
Lincoln
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
Wycombe1410221632 
Dec 3
Jan 1
Nov 23
Mar 29
Birmingham139311230 
Nov 26
Jan 18
l
 
1-3F
Mar 8
Wrexham148421228 
Mar 29
Nov 23
May 3
Nov 26
Barnsley14743525 
Dec 14
Apr 1
l
 
1-2A
Mar 1
Lincoln 14743425 
Nov 16
Mar 22
-
-
Stockport15663824 
Apr 5
Dec 7
w
 
2-1A
Apr 26
Mansfield13733524 
Jan 14
May 3
w
 
4-1F
Jan 11
Huddersfield14725723 
Apr 26
l
 
2-0A
Apr 1
Dec 14
Reading14725123 
l
 
1-2A
Mar 4
Dec 21
Apr 18
Bolton14725-223 
Jan 4
w
 
0-2F
Apr 21
Dec 29
Exeter 13715422 
-
-
Mar 22
Nov 16
Peterborough15636421 
l
 
1-2F
Jan 11
Jan 25
d
 
1-1F
Charlton14545019 
w
 
1-0F
Feb 22
Dec 7
Apr 5
Stevenage15537-518 
w
 
2-0F
Feb 1
Jan 4
w
 
0-1F
Rotherham15456-417 
w
 
1-0F
Mar 15
Jan 1
Dec 3
Bristol R14527-517 
Dec 26
Apr 12
Mar 15
d
 
1-1A
Northampton14446-316 
Mar 1
l
 
2-1F
w
 
2-1A
Jan 18
Blackpool14446-716 
Jan 25
l
 
2-1A
Jan 28
d
 
1-1A
Wigan14356014 
Feb 8
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
0-00-0
Feb 1
L Orient14428-414 
Jan 28
w
 
0-1F
w
 
2-1F
Feb 15
Crawley15339-1312 
Dec 29
Apr 21
Mar 4
l
 
3-0A
Cambridge13319-1110 
w
 
1-0F
Feb 15
Feb 8
w
 
0-2F
Burton14158-108 
Apr 18
Dec 21
Feb 22
w
 
2-3A
Shrewsbury152211-148 
Mar 8
w
 
0-2F
Apr 12
Dec 26
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Exeter 11TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
11
D
3
Lost
6
Lincoln 5TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
10
Draw
7
L
3
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Exeter since 2008
Exeter
Lincoln
Goals: Scored
9
7
Games: Scored
5 / 6
5 / 6
Clean sheets
1 / 6
1 / 6
EXE
4
D
1
LIN
1
League games at Lincoln since 2009
Lincoln
Exeter
Goals: Scored
6
5
Games: Scored
4 / 6
4 / 6
Clean sheets
2 / 6
2 / 6
EXE
1
D
3
LIN
2
Goal Statistics
Exeter 11th Lincoln 5th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 66% probability that Exeter will score no more than 1 goal
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 71% probability that Lincoln will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-25
Exeter have scored 25% fewer goals at home than predicted
+17
Lincoln have scored 17% more goals when away than predicted
1.0
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
League One - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/280826/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Exeter
PG (predicted goals)
Lincoln
1.2
1.1
Attack rating
EXE
LIN
10%
better
view stats
Games scored11
12
Failed to score2
2
Scored first9
6
Goals scored14
21
Avg. goals scored1.1
1.5
Avg. shots per game8
8
Avg. shots per goal7
5
Conversion rate for14
20
Avg. XG for1.2
1.1
KickOff rating
+10%
Defence rating
43%
better
EXE
LIN
view stats
Games conceded5
11
Clean sheets8
3
Conceded first3
7
Goals conceded10
17
Avg. goals conceded0.8
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded9
6
Avg. shots/goal conceded12
5
Conversion rate against8%
19%
Avg. XG against1.3
0.9
KickOff rating
+43%

Exeter v Lincoln League One lLine ups will show here when available.

Exeter League One squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
13324
J WhitworthK DoyleJ MagennisI Niskanen
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Whitworth GLK13
1
-
P Sweeney DEF13
3
-
J McMillan DEF13
2
-
I Niskanen MID1311
4
-
M Alli FWD1311
-
J Magennis FWD1312
-
T Crama DEF122
2
-
K Doyle MID123
-
E Francis MID1221
1
-
J Aitchison MID121
1
-
J Yfeko DEF111
3
-
R Woods MID111
4
-
S Cox FWD9
-
B Purrington DEF7
-
R Cole MID611
2
-
A. Richards FWD51
1
-
J Bird FWD4
-
J Fitzwater DEF2
-
C Watts MID21
1
P Borges MID1
1
-
V Harper MID1
-
Lincoln League One squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
14433
S RoughanB HouseP O'ConnorT Darikwa
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Roughan DEF1412
2
-
T Darikwa DEF1412
3
-
J Moylan MID142
1
-
G Wickens GLK13
1
-
P O'Connor DEF1323
3
-
F Draper FWD132
2
-
E Erhahon  MID12
2
-
B House FWD124
3
-
T Hamer DEF1121
-
D Jefferies MID112
2
-
B Cadamarteri FWD113
1
-
J Makama FWD1111
2
-
C McGrandles MID10
3
-
J McKiernan MID9
-
T Bayliss MID93
-
A Jackson DEF821
3
-
E Ring FWD811
-
E Hamilton MID6
1
-
R Hackett FWD52
-
L Montsma  DEF4
1
-
R Street FWD3
-
Z Jeacock GLK2
-
D Duffy MID2
1
-