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Exeter City v Burton Albion : League One match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 18th Apr, 13:00 BST, St James Park, Exeter

Exeter City and their boss Gary Caldwell will be hoping for victory against Lee Bowyer and his Burton Albion side on Friday afternoon, as the pair go head to head at the St James Park in the League One. We've got odds for the 17 biggest betting markets plus predictions, stats and head-to-head data for both teams. All can be selected using the tabs below.


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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We're ruling out a bore-draw or a sneaky 1-0 win here, and instead are tipping over 1.5 goals. That means that Exeter and Burton will score at least a couple of between them during 90 minutes. It's a tip based on the recent form of the respective sides, as well as past records of their head-to-head clashes. We give it a probability of 76%. The bookies have it at 1.33.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 40% chance of Burton coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Exeter
35%
6/4
16%
-
Draw
26%
11/5
2%
-
Burton
40%
9/5
18%
-
Draw 1-1
12%
5/1-
Burton 1-0
9%
15/2
11%
-
Burton 2-1
9%
10/1
8%
-
Exeter 1-0
9%
7/1
14%
-
Exeter 2-1
8%
9/1
11%
-
Burton 2-0
7%
12/1
24%
-
Draw 0-0
7%
8/1
6%
-
Draw 2-2
6%
14/1-
Exeter 2-0
6%
11/1
20%
-
Burton 3-1
4%
22/1
21%
-
Exeter 3-1
3%
20/1
11%
-
Burton 3-0
3%
28/1
29%
-
Burton 3-2
3%
33/1
17%
-
Exeter 3-2
2%
28/1-
Exeter 3-0
2%
22/1
21%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
43/40
1%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
49%
8/11
2%
-
Home 1st Goal
47%
5/6
10%
-
Away 1st Goal
49%
6/5
12%
-
No 1st Goal
4%
8/1
6%
-
BTTS - Yes
55%
4/5
6%
-
BTTS - No
45%
19/20
2%
-
BTTS - Home Win
17%
9/2
16%
-
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/3
4%
-
BTTS - Away Win
19%
5/1
14%
-
Home/draw
60%
2/5
8%
-
Away/draw
65%
1/2
10%
-
Home/away
74%
4/11
2%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
76%
1/3-
Under 1.5 Goals
24%
9/4-
Over 3.5 Goals
29%
11/4-
Under 3.5 Goals
71%
1/4-
Over 4.5 Goals
14%
7/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
86%
1/12-
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
16/1
11%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1/40-
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/16
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
9/1
18%
-
Home DNB
53%
8/11
15%
-
Away DNB
58%
1/1
20%
-
Exeter win to nil
18%
3/1
14%
-
Burton win to nil
21%
7/2
18%
-
Exeter / Exeter
21%
3/1
14%
-
Exeter / Burton
3%
28/1
15%
-
Exeter / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Exeter
14%
5/1
20%
-
Draw / Burton
13%
11/2
7%
-
Draw / Draw
18%
15/4-
Burton / Exeter
3%
28/1
12%
-
Burton / Burton
18%
15/4
14%
-
Burton / Draw
6%
14/1-
Win / draw / win League One table

Exeter have played 42 matches so far this season and lay in 15th place in the League One league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 15 games against teams below in the table, having won 8, drawn 5 and lost 2 matches. They have kept 6 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. Exeter have outscored their opponents by 45 goals to 44 goals.

Home League Performance

Exeter have played 21 games at home winning 7, drawing 5 and losing 9 games. They have scored 27 goals, kept 7 clean sheets and conceded 32 goals at home.

Burton are in 20th position in the League One on 42 points having played 41 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

9 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 29 goals and kept 7 clean sheets. They have scored 18 goals in total and failed to score in 8 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

34 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 16 games, drawn 10 and won 8. Burton have conceded 51 goals, scored 37, failed to score in 12 fixtures and have kept 8 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Exeter
Burton
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Birmingham4029834495 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
1-0A
Apr 21
l
 
2-0A
2
Wrexham42241082782 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
3-0A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-0A
3
Wycombe42231273081 
d
 
2-2F
l
 
2-1A
l
 
2-3A
l
 
2-0A
4
Stockport42221192677 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-0A
l
 
0-3A
l
 
2-1A
5
Charlton422210102076 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
3-0A
l
 
0-1A
May 3
6
Reading42191211869 
l
 
1-2A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
3-2F
l
 
3-1A
7
L Orient42206161866 
l
 
2-6A
w
 
0-1F
w
 
2-1A
d
 
0-00-0
8
Bolton4220616166 
l
 
1-2F
w
 
0-2F
l
 
1-2A
l
 
2-1A
9
Huddersfield42197161064 
Apr 26
l
 
2-0A
w
 
3-0F
d
 
1-1F
10
Blackpool411515111060 
l
 
1-3A
l
 
2-1A
d
 
1-1F
l
 
3-0A
11
Barnsley4216917-457 
l
 
1-2F
w
 
1-2F
l
 
1-2A
d
 
0-00-0
12
Lincoln42141315855 
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-3F
w
 
0-1F
13
Rotherham4215918-554 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1A
w
 
4-2A
d
 
2-2F
14
Stevenage41141017-652 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
4-1F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-1F
15
Exeter Home42141018-1352 
-
-
l
 
1-2F
Apr 18
16
Peterborough4113919-1048 
l
 
1-2F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2F
w
 
0-1F
17
Wigan41111416-447 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 29
w
 
1-2A
18
Mansfield4113820-1047 
w
 
2-0F
May 3
d
 
1-1F
d
 
3-3A
19
Northampton42111417-1747 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-1F
l
 
0-1A
d
 
0-00-0
20
Burton Away41101219-1542 
Apr 18
w
 
1-2A
-
-
21
Bristol R4212624-2642 
w
 
3-1A
w
 
1-2F
l
 
1-3F
l
 
3-1A
22
Crawley429924-3236 
d
 
4-4A
Apr 21
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1F
23
Cambridge4281123-2635 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
Apr 26
l
 
1-0A
24
Shrewsbury427926-3430 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-2F
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-2F
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Exeter 15TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
Burton 20TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
15
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Exeter have beaten Burton in 3 consecutive league meetings
League games at Exeter since 2012
Exeter
Burton
Goals: Scored
5
4
Games: Scored
3 / 5
3 / 5
Clean sheets
2 / 5
2 / 5
EXE
2
D
1
BAL
2
League games at Burton since 2013
Burton
Exeter
Goals: Scored
8
6
Games: Scored
5 / 6
4 / 6
Clean sheets
2 / 6
1 / 6
EXE
2
D
1
BAL
3
Goal Statistics
Exeter 15th Burton 20th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 62% probability that Exeter will score no more than 1 goal
0
24%
1
34%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 76% probability that Burton will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-5
Exeter’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-26
Burton have scored 26% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.3
average goals scored
0.8
average goals scored
1.6
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
League One - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/281148/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Exeter
PG (predicted goals)
Burton
1.3
1.4
Attack rating
4%
better
EXE
BAL
view stats
Games scored30
27
Failed to score12
14
Scored first18
16
Goals scored45
44
Avg. goals scored1.1
1.1
Avg. shots per game6
7
Avg. shots per goal6
6
Conversion rate for17
16
Avg. XG for1
0.9
KickOff rating
+4%
Defence rating
6%
better
EXE
BAL
view stats
Games conceded28
30
Clean sheets14
11
Conceded first20
20
Goals conceded58
59
Avg. goals conceded1.4
1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded9
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
7
Conversion rate against15%
15%
Avg. XG against1.5
1.5
KickOff rating
+6%

Exeter v Burton League One lLine ups will show here when available.

Exeter League One squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
406513
J WhitworthJ MagennisE FrancisR Woods
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Whitworth GLK401
3
-
J Magennis FWD3962
4
-
J McMillan MID3711
4
1
E Francis MID3725
3
-
I Niskanen MID3411
10
-
R Woods MID3121
12
1
J Aitchison MID282
4
-
C Watts MID2621
11
1
D Mitchell MID2341
1
-
B Purrington DEF211
3
-
V Harper DEF1811
5
-
P Sweeney DEF18
4
-
S Cox FWD181
-
P Jones FWD17
1
-
R Cole MID1611
4
-
T. Yogane FWD131
-
A Hartridge DEF1212
1
-
J Yfeko DEF121
3
-
J Fitzwater DEF121
-
J Colwill MID12
1
-
A MacDonald DEF111
3
-
R Trevitt MID111
1
-
J. Richards MID1111
2
-
E Turns DEF8
1
-
K McDonald MID7
4
-
C Diabaté DEF4
1
-
A Oluwabori FWD1
-
Burton League One squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
388411
R SweeneyR BurrellO DodgsonT Vancooten
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Sweeney DEF3822
3
-
M Crocombe GLK37
8
-
U Godwin-Malife DEF3612
4
-
T Kalinauskas FWD3613
4
-
J Armer DEF331
6
-
K Chauke MID331
3
-
T Vancooten DEF301
8
3
C Webster MID305
5
2
M Bennett FWD281
6
-
R Burrell FWD2582
-
D Willis DEF201
3
-
O Dodgson DEF1614
8
-
J McKiernan MID1511
5
-
N. Akoto DEF14
1
-
J Sraha DEF12
3
-
C Gilligan MID121
3
-
K Lofthouse DEF11
3
-
J Bödvarsson FWD1041
-
J. Larsson FWD71
-
A Forde MID6
-
J Jones MID4
1
-
F Tavares FWD41
-
H Isted GLK3
-
G Bajrami DEF1
1
-
English League One match betting previews, predictions and odds