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Exeter City v Birmingham City : League One match betting preview, prediction and odds

Tue 26th Nov, 19:45 BST, St James Park, Exeter

the St James Park plays host on Tuesday evening, as Gary Caldwell's Exeter City are visited by Chris Davies's Birmingham City in the League One. Our aim is to give you all the tools you need to make a smart, well-informed bet on this tie, so we've searched our extensive database and pulled out the statistics that are most significant. Head to head (H2H) and recent form are included, and it all goes into our algorithmic predictions. Odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers are there to get you maximum bang for your buck.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top League One Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Exeter
35%
--
Draw
29%
--
Birmingham
37%
--
Draw 1-1
13%
--
Birmingham 1-0
12%
--
Exeter 1-0
11%
--
Draw 0-0
10%
--
Birmingham 2-1
8%
--
Exeter 2-1
7%
--
Birmingham 2-0
7%
--
Exeter 2-0
6%
--
Draw 2-2
4%
--
Birmingham 3-1
3%
--
Exeter 3-1
3%
--
Birmingham 3-0
3%
--
Exeter 3-0
2%
--
Birmingham 3-2
2%
--
Exeter 3-2
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
40%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
60%
--
Home 1st Goal
46%
--
Away 1st Goal
47%
--
No 1st Goal
7%
--
BTTS - Yes
46%
--
BTTS - No
54%
--
BTTS - Home Win
14%
--
BTTS - Draw
18%
--
BTTS - Away Win
14%
--
Home/draw
63%
--
Away/draw
65%
--
Home/away
71%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
66%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
34%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
20%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
80%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
8%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
92%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
90%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
10%
--
Home DNB
55%
--
Away DNB
57%
--
Exeter win to nil
21%
--
Birmingham win to nil
22%
--
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Win / draw / win League One table

Exeter have played 13 matches so far this season and are in 11th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

3 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 2 games, drawn zero and won 1. Exeter have conceded 4 goals, scored 3, failed to score in 1 match and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

Exeter have played 6 games at home, winning 4, drawing 0 and losing 2 fixtures. They have scored 7 goals, conceded 4 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and scored in every home league game.

Birmingham lay in 2nd place on 30 points in the League One league table having played 13 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 12 games against teams below them in the table, winning 8, drawing 3 and losing 1 game. They have scored 21 goals and kept 3 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Birmingham have conceded 10 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Birmingham have played 6 away games, winning 4, drawing 1 and losing 1 game. They have scored an average of 1.8 goals per away game and conceded an average 1 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Exeter
Birmingham
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
Wycombe1410221632 
Dec 3
Jan 1
Mar 1
w
 
2-3A
Birmingham 139311230 
Nov 26
Jan 18
-
-
Wrexham148421228 
Mar 29
Nov 23
w
 
3-1A
Jan 23
Barnsley14743525 
Dec 14
Apr 1
Apr 5
Dec 7
Lincoln14743425 
Nov 16
Mar 22
Mar 8
w
 
1-3A
Stockport15663824 
Apr 5
Dec 7
Dec 4
Jan 1
Mansfield13733524 
Jan 14
May 3
Apr 26
d
 
1-1F
Huddersfield14725723 
Apr 26
l
 
2-0A
w
 
1-0F
Jan 28
Reading14725123 
l
 
1-2A
Mar 4
d
 
1-1A
Feb 22
Bolton14725-223 
Jan 4
w
 
0-2F
w
 
2-0F
Mar 4
Exeter 13715422 
-
-
Jan 18
Nov 26
Peterborough15636421 
l
 
1-2F
Jan 11
w
 
3-2A
Feb 8
Charlton14545019 
w
 
1-0F
Feb 22
Feb 15
l
 
1-0A
Stevenage15537-518 
w
 
2-0F
Feb 1
-
Mar 22
Rotherham15456-417 
w
 
1-0F
Mar 15
Feb 1
w
 
0-2F
Bristol R14527-517 
Dec 26
Apr 12
Dec 14
Apr 1
Northampton14446-316 
Mar 1
l
 
2-1F
d
 
1-1F
Mar 15
Blackpool14446-716 
Jan 25
l
 
2-1A
Dec 29
Apr 12
Wigan14356014 
Feb 8
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
2-1F
Jan 4
L Orient14428-414 
Jan 28
w
 
0-1F
Jan 11
w
 
1-2F
Crawley15339-1312 
Dec 29
Apr 21
Apr 18
Dec 23
Cambridge13319-1110 
w
 
1-0F
Feb 15
-
May 3
Burton14158-108 
Apr 18
Dec 21
Dec 26
Apr 21
Shrewsbury152211-148 
Mar 8
w
 
0-2F
Mar 29
Nov 23
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Exeter 11TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Exeter1 - 0Charlton
Exeter1 - 2Reading
Exeter1 - 0Cambridge
Exeter2 - 0Stevenage
Exeter1 - 2Peterborough
Exeter1 - 0Rotherham
Exeter1 - 2Oxford Utd
Exeter1 - 0Stevenage
Exeter1 - 1Charlton
Exeter1 - 0Burton
Exeter2 - 2Bolton
Exeter1 - 1Fleetwood
Exeter0 - 3Derby
Exeter2 - 1Peterborough
Exeter0 - 1Bristol R
Exeter0 - 0Cambridge
Exeter2 - 1Carlisle
Exeter0 - 0Portsmouth
Exeter1 - 0Wycombe
Exeter0 - 1Port Vale
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
11
D
3
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HExeter1 - 0Charlton
AExeter0 - 2Huddersfield
HExeter1 - 2Reading
AExeter2 - 0Shrewsbury
HExeter1 - 0Cambridge
AExeter1 - 0L Orient
AExeter0 - 0Wigan
HExeter2 - 0Stevenage
AExeter1 - 2Blackpool
AExeter2 - 0Bolton
HExeter1 - 2Peterborough
AExeter1 - 2Northampton
HExeter1 - 0Rotherham
HExeter1 - 2Oxford Utd
AExeter2 - 1Northampton
AExeter4 - 2Port Vale
AExeter2 - 2L Orient
HExeter1 - 0Stevenage
AExeter2 - 1Cheltenham
HExeter1 - 1Charlton
Birmingham 2ND
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Mansfield1 - 1Birmingham
Lincoln1 - 3Birmingham
Charlton1 - 0Birmingham
Rotherham0 - 2Birmingham
L Orient1 - 2Birmingham
Wycombe2 - 3Birmingham
Huddersfield1 - 1Birmingham
Rotherham0 - 0Birmingham
Leicester2 - 1Birmingham
QPR2 - 1Birmingham
Millwall1 - 0Birmingham
Hull1 - 1Birmingham
Ipswich3 - 1Birmingham
Sheff Wed2 - 0Birmingham
West Brom1 - 0Birmingham
Stoke1 - 2Birmingham
Leeds3 - 0Birmingham
Plymouth3 - 3Birmingham
Cardiff0 - 1Birmingham
Coventry2 - 0Birmingham
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
12
Draw
5
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HBirmingham1 - 1Northampton
ABirmingham1 - 1Mansfield
HBirmingham2 - 0Bolton
ABirmingham3 - 1Lincoln
ABirmingham0 - 1Charlton
HBirmingham1 - 0Huddersfield
HBirmingham3 - 2Peterborough
ABirmingham2 - 0Rotherham
HBirmingham3 - 1Wrexham
HBirmingham2 - 1Wigan
ABirmingham2 - 1L Orient
ABirmingham3 - 2Wycombe
HBirmingham1 - 1Reading
HBirmingham1 - 0Norwich
ABirmingham1 - 1Huddersfield
ABirmingham0 - 0Rotherham
HBirmingham3 - 0Coventry
HBirmingham0 - 1Cardiff
ABirmingham1 - 2Leicester
HBirmingham1 - 0Preston
bet365
bet365
Goal Statistics

Birmingham City's defensive record is to be admired, C. Davies's men having conceded 1 or less in 6 consecutive League One outings. An average PG rating of 1.1 for Exeter City makes sense in this context.

Exeter 11th Birmingham 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.1
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 70% probability that Exeter will score no more than 1 goal
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 67% probability that Birmingham will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-25
Exeter have scored 25% fewer goals at home than predicted
-11
Birmingham have scored 11% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.0
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
League One - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/280693/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Exeter
PG (predicted goals)
Birmingham
1.1
1.2
Attack rating
EXE
BIR
22%
better
view stats
Games scored11
12
Failed to score2
1
Scored first9
7
Goals scored14
24
Avg. goals scored1.1
1.8
Avg. shots per game8
9
Avg. shots per goal7
5
Conversion rate for14
21
Avg. XG for1.2
1.6
KickOff rating
+22%
Defence rating
35%
better
EXE
BIR
view stats
Games conceded5
10
Clean sheets8
3
Conceded first3
6
Goals conceded10
12
Avg. goals conceded0.8
0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded9
6
Avg. shots/goal conceded12
6
Conversion rate against8%
16%
Avg. XG against1.3
0.8
KickOff rating
+35%

Exeter v Birmingham League One lLine ups will show here when available.

Exeter League One squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
13324
J WhitworthK DoyleJ MagennisI Niskanen
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Whitworth GLK13
1
-
J McMillan DEF13
2
-
P Sweeney DEF13
3
-
I Niskanen MID1311
4
-
J Magennis FWD1312
-
M Alli FWD1311
-
T Crama DEF122
2
-
K Doyle MID123
-
E Francis MID1221
1
-
J Aitchison MID121
1
-
J Yfeko DEF111
3
-
R Woods MID111
4
-
S Cox FWD9
-
B Purrington DEF7
-
R Cole MID611
2
-
A. Richards FWD51
1
-
J Bird FWD4
-
J Fitzwater DEF2
-
C Watts MID21
1
P Borges MID1
1
-
V Harper MID1
-
Birmingham League One squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
13544
A CochraneA MayW WillumssonC Klarer
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Cochrane DEF131
3
-
W Willumsson MID1344
-
S Paik MID131
-
A May FWD1353
1
-
C Klarer DEF121
4
-
K Anderson  FWD1131
3
-
E Hansson FWD111
-
T Gardner-Hickman MID10
2
-
M Leonard MID10
1
-
L Dykes FWD10
1
-
K Bielik DEF91
2
-
T Iwata MID931
3
-
E Laird DEF8
1
-
J Stansfield FWD851
1
-
B Peacock-Farrell GLK7
-
A Sampsted DEF7
-
A Yokoyama FWD71
-
R Allsop GLK6
2
-
B Davies DEF6
-
L Harris MID61
-
S Wright FWD51
-
L Jutkiewicz FWD3
-
D Sanderson DEF2
-
B Khela MID2
-