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Burton Albion v Birmingham City : League One match betting preview, prediction and odds

Mon 21st Apr, 15:00 BST, Pirelli Stadium, Burton upon Trent

the Pirelli Stadium masses welcome Birmingham City's fans on Monday afternoon, as Lee Bowyer's Burton Albion face Chris Davies's troops in the League One. The predictions for all the markets are calculated using the past 20 games for each team (home, away and overall) with extra weighting given to top teams. All the statistics and infographics are designed specifically for the betting market in question. Head-to-head stats between the team are also given if there are are enough previous meetings. Odds are provided directly from from leading bookmakers.

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top League One Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither Burton or Birmingham are in a rich vein of form that would have us feeling confident enough to tip a match winner, so we're going with over 1.5 goals. The statistics tell us that both have form in this market, both individually and when going head-to-head. We're predicting there's a 76% chance of two goals or more.

An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 47% chance of Birmingham coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Burton 30%	7/2 22%	-
Draw 25%	16/5 7%	-
Birmingham 44%	13/20 10%	-
Draw 1-1 12%	7/1 6%	-
Birmingham 1-0 10%	13/2 7%	-
Birmingham 2-1 9%	15/2	-
Burton 1-0 8%	12/1 13%	-
Birmingham 2-0 8%	7/1 14%	-
Burton 2-1 7%	14/1 12%	-
Draw 0-0 7%	12/1	-
Draw 2-2 6%	16/1 11%	-
Burton 2-0 5%	22/1 21%	-
Birmingham 3-1 5%	12/1 8%	-
Birmingham 3-0 4%	11/1 9%	-
Burton 3-1 3%	40/1	-
Birmingham 3-2 3%	22/1 12%	-
Burton 3-2 2%	40/1	-
Burton 3-0 2%	50/1 24%	-
Over 2.5 Goals 51%	3/4	-
Under 2.5 Goals 49%	21/20	-
Home 1st Goal 45%	2/1 12%	-
Away 1st Goal 51%	4/9 6%	-
No 1st Goal 4%	12/1	-
BTTS - Yes 55%	4/5 8%	-
BTTS - No 45%	19/20 8%	-
BTTS - Home Win 15%	15/2 23%	-
BTTS - Draw 19%	9/2 8%	-
BTTS - Away Win 21%	5/2 3%	-
Home/draw 56%	6/5 12%	-
Away/draw 70%	2/11 4%	-
Home/away 75%	2/9 3%	-
Over 1.5 Goals 76%	1/4	-
Under 1.5 Goals 24%	11/4	-
Over 3.5 Goals 29%	2/1	-
Under 3.5 Goals 71%	4/11	-
Over 4.5 Goals 14%	9/2	-
Under 4.5 Goals 86%	1/7	-
Over 5.5 Goals 6%	12/1	-
Under 5.5 Goals 94%	1/25	-
Over 0.5 Goals 93%	1/25	-
Under 0.5 Goals 7%	12/1	-
Home DNB 48%	5/2 19%	-
Away DNB 62%	2/7 8%	-
Burton win to nil 15%	8/1 10%	-
Birmingham win to nil 23%	7/4 10%	-
Burton / Burton 10%	15/2 23%	-
Burton / Birmingham 4%	20/1	-
Burton / Draw 5%	16/1	-
Draw / Burton 8%	9/1 17%	-
Draw / Birmingham 19%	7/2 4%	-
Draw / Draw 14%	5/1	-
Birmingham / Burton 2%	33/1 17%	-
Birmingham / Birmingham 32%	8/5 13%	-
Birmingham / Draw 6%	14/1	-

Win / draw / win League One table

Burton have played 41 matches so far this season and are in 20th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

34 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 16 games, drawn 10 and won 8. Burton have conceded 51 goals, scored 37, failed to score in 12 matches and kept 8 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Burton have played 20 games at home, winning 5, drawing 5 and losing 10 fixtures. They have scored 26 goals, conceded 30 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and failed to score 6 times in home league games.

Birmingham lay in 1st place on 95 points in the League One league table having played 40 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 40 games against teams below them in the table, winning 29, drawing 8 and losing 3 games. They have scored 73 goals and kept 18 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Birmingham have conceded 29 goals and have failed to score in 3 matches.

Away league performance

Birmingham have played 19 away games, winning 11, drawing 5 and losing 3 games. They have scored an average of 1.6 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.9 goals per away game.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Burton Birmingham
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Birmingham Away	40	29	8	3	44	95	Apr 21	l 2-0A	-	-
2	Wrexham	42	24	10	8	27	82	l 0-1A	l 3-0A	w 3-1A	d 1-1A
3	Wycombe	42	23	12	7	30	81	l 2-3A	l 2-0A	w 1-0F	w 2-3A
4	Stockport	42	22	11	9	26	77	l 0-3A	l 2-1A	w 2-0F	d 1-1F
5	Charlton	42	22	10	10	20	76	l 0-1A	May 3	w 1-0F	l 1-0A
6	Reading	42	19	12	11	8	69	w 3-2F	l 3-1A	d 1-1A	d 0-00-0
7	L Orient	42	20	6	16	18	66	w 2-1A	d 0-00-0	w 2-0F	w 1-2F
8	Bolton	42	20	6	16	1	66	l 1-2A	l 2-1A	w 2-0F	l 3-1F
9	Huddersfield	42	19	7	16	10	64	w 3-0F	d 1-1F	w 1-0F	w 0-1F
10	Blackpool	41	15	15	11	10	60	d 1-1F	l 3-0A	d 0-00-0	Apr 30
11	Barnsley	42	16	9	17	-4	57	l 1-2A	d 0-00-0	w 6-2F	w 1-2A
12	Lincoln	42	14	13	15	8	55	l 2-3F	w 0-1F	w 1-0F	w 1-3A
13	Rotherham	42	15	9	18	-5	54	w 4-2A	d 2-2F	w 2-1A	w 0-2F
14	Stevenage	41	14	10	17	-6	52	d 0-00-0	w 0-1F	w 2-1F	Apr 24
15	Exeter	42	14	10	18	-13	52	l 1-2F	Apr 18	w 1-0F	w 0-2F
16	Peterborough	41	13	9	19	-10	48	d 2-2F	w 0-1F	w 3-2A	w 1-2F
17	Wigan	41	11	14	16	-4	47	Apr 29	w 1-2A	w 2-1F	w 0-3F
18	Mansfield	41	13	8	20	-10	47	d 1-1F	d 3-3A	Apr 27	d 1-1F
19	Northampton	42	11	14	17	-17	47	l 0-1A	d 0-00-0	d 1-1F	d 1-1A
20	Burton Home	41	10	12	19	-15	42	-	-	w 2-0F	Apr 21
21	Bristol R	42	12	6	24	-26	42	l 1-3F	l 3-1A	w 2-0F	w 1-2F
22	Crawley	42	9	9	24	-32	36	d 0-00-0	d 1-1F	Apr 18	w 0-1F
23	Cambridge	42	8	11	23	-26	35	Apr 26	l 1-0A	w 4-0F	May 3
24	Shrewsbury	42	7	9	26	-34	30	w 2-0F	w 0-2F	w 4-1F	l 3-2A

	Promotion
	Promotion Play Off
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Burton	3 - 0	Huddersfield
Burton	2 - 1	L Orient
Burton	1 - 2	Bolton
Burton	1 - 1	Mansfield
Burton	1 - 1	Blackpool
Burton	3 - 2	Reading
Burton	4 - 2	Rotherham
Burton	0 - 1	Northampton
Burton	2 - 2	Peterborough
Burton	1 - 2	Exeter
Burton	0 - 1	Wrexham
Burton	0 - 1	Charlton
Burton	0 - 3	Stockport
Burton	2 - 0	Shrewsbury
Burton	0 - 0	Crawley
Burton	2 - 3	Wycombe
Burton	1 - 3	Bristol R
Burton	1 - 2	Barnsley
Burton	0 - 0	Stevenage
Burton	2 - 3	Lincoln

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Burton	3 - 0	Huddersfield
A	Burton	0 - 3	Wrexham
H	Burton	2 - 1	L Orient
A	Burton	1 - 2	Stockport
A	Burton	2 - 0	Shrewsbury
H	Burton	1 - 2	Bolton
A	Burton	0 - 2	Wycombe
H	Burton	1 - 1	Mansfield
A	Burton	1 - 0	Lincoln
A	Burton	1 - 0	Stevenage
A	Burton	1 - 3	Bristol R
H	Burton	1 - 1	Blackpool
A	Burton	0 - 0	Barnsley
H	Burton	3 - 2	Reading
H	Burton	4 - 2	Rotherham
A	Burton	2 - 1	Wigan
A	Burton	1 - 1	Crawley
H	Burton	0 - 1	Northampton
H	Burton	2 - 2	Peterborough
A	Burton	1 - 1	Huddersfield

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

Draw

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Peterborough	1 - 2	Birmingham
Bristol R	1 - 2	Birmingham
Northampton	1 - 1	Birmingham
Bolton	3 - 1	Birmingham
Reading	0 - 0	Birmingham
Huddersfield	0 - 1	Birmingham
Wrexham	1 - 1	Birmingham
Wigan	0 - 3	Birmingham
Stockport	1 - 1	Birmingham
Crawley	0 - 1	Birmingham
Barnsley	1 - 2	Birmingham
Exeter	0 - 2	Birmingham
Shrewsbury	3 - 2	Birmingham
Mansfield	1 - 1	Birmingham
Lincoln	1 - 3	Birmingham
Charlton	1 - 0	Birmingham
Rotherham	0 - 2	Birmingham
L Orient	1 - 2	Birmingham
Wycombe	2 - 3	Birmingham
Huddersfield	1 - 1	Birmingham

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

10 / 20

Clean sheets

10 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Birmingham	2 - 1	Peterborough
H	Birmingham	6 - 2	Barnsley
A	Birmingham	2 - 1	Bristol R
H	Birmingham	4 - 1	Shrewsbury
A	Birmingham	1 - 1	Northampton
H	Birmingham	2 - 1	Stevenage
H	Birmingham	1 - 0	Lincoln
A	Birmingham	1 - 3	Bolton
H	Birmingham	1 - 0	Wycombe
H	Birmingham	2 - 0	L Orient
A	Birmingham	0 - 0	Reading
H	Birmingham	1 - 0	Charlton
H	Birmingham	4 - 0	Cambridge
H	Birmingham	2 - 1	Rotherham
A	Birmingham	1 - 0	Huddersfield
A	Birmingham	1 - 1	Wrexham
H	Birmingham	1 - 0	Exeter
A	Birmingham	3 - 0	Wigan
A	Birmingham	1 - 1	Stockport
H	Birmingham	0 - 0	Blackpool

Goal Statistics

Birmingham City have been consistent in attack of late, scoring in 10 consecutive League One games. Their PG of 1.6 against Burton Albion on Monday suggests that run is likely to continue.

	Burton 20th	Birmingham 1st
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.2 goals	1.5 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 30% 1 36% 2 22% 3 9% 4+ There is a 66% probability that Burton will score no more than 1 goal	0 22% 1 33% 2 25% 3 13% 4+ There is a 78% probability that Birmingham will score 1 or more goals

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	=0 Burton’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	-2 Birmingham’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.3 average goals scored	1.6 average goals scored
	1.5 conceded	1.0 conceded

Attack defence ratings
League One - 2024/2025 season

BAL

BIR

35%

better

view stats

Games scored	27		37
Failed to score	14		3
Scored first	16		27
Goals scored	44		73
Avg. goals scored	1.1		1.8
Avg. shots per game	7		9
Avg. shots per goal	6		5
Conversion rate for	16		20
Avg. XG for	0.9		1.6
KickOff rating		+35%

BAL

BIR

33%

better

view stats

Games conceded	30		22
Clean sheets	11		18
Conceded first	20		11
Goals conceded	59		29
Avg. goals conceded	1.4		0.7
Avg. shots/game conceded	10		6
Avg. shots/goal conceded	7		8
Conversion rate against	15%		13%
Avg. XG against	1.5		0.8
KickOff rating		+33%

Burton v Birmingham League One lLine ups will show here when available.

Burton League One squad statistics 2024/2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
38	8	4	11
R Sweeney	R Burrell	O Dodgson	T Vancooten

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
R Sweeney DEF	38	2	2	3 -
M Crocombe GLK	37			8 -
U Godwin-Malife DEF	36	1	2	4 -
T Kalinauskas FWD	36	1	3	4 -
J Armer DEF	33		1	6 -
K Chauke MID	33	1		3 -
T Vancooten DEF	30	1		8 3
C Webster MID	30	5		5 2
M Bennett FWD	28	1		6 -
R Burrell FWD	25	8	2	-
D Willis DEF	20		1	3 -
O Dodgson DEF	16	1	4	8 -
J McKiernan MID	15	1	1	5 -
N. Akoto DEF	14			1 -
J Sraha DEF	12			3 -
C Gilligan MID	12		1	3 -
K Lofthouse DEF	11			3 -
J Bödvarsson FWD	10	4	1	-
J. Larsson FWD	7	1		-
A Forde MID	6			-
J Jones MID	4			1 -
F Tavares FWD	4	1		-
H Isted GLK	3			-
G Bajrami DEF	1			1 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
8	16	4	16
R Burrell	R Burrell	O Dodgson	U Godwin-Malife

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
R Burrell FWD	8	16	2	7
C Webster MID	5	12		7
J Bödvarsson FWD	4	4	1	5
R Sweeney DEF	2	10	2	6
F Tavares FWD	1	3
J. Larsson FWD	1	3		1
O Dodgson DEF	1	2	4	5
J McKiernan MID	1	7	1	4
M Bennett FWD	1	8		4
T Vancooten DEF	1			5
K Chauke MID	1	4		3
T Kalinauskas FWD	1	14	3	10
U Godwin-Malife DEF	1	4	2	16
D Willis DEF			1	8
M Crocombe GLK				2
N. Akoto DEF		2		4
J Sraha DEF		3		2
C Gilligan MID			1	2
K Lofthouse DEF				2
J Armer DEF		2	1	10
A Forde MID		1
J Jones MID				1
H Isted GLK				1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1527	70	311
R Sweeney	K Chauke	R Sweeney

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
R Sweeney DEF	1527	55	311
M Crocombe GLK	1464	4	14
J Armer DEF	1127	54	131
T Vancooten DEF	1063	42	149
U Godwin-Malife DEF	935	33	168
K Chauke MID	740	70	142
C Webster MID	739	55	114
T Kalinauskas FWD	533	42	131
D Willis DEF	443	20	34
O Dodgson DEF	439	21	55
M Bennett FWD	295	13	117
J McKiernan MID	263	21	87
R Burrell FWD	249	13	90
C Gilligan MID	234	21	36
J Sraha DEF	229	29	52
N. Akoto DEF	227	21	67
K Lofthouse DEF	173	20	72
J Bödvarsson FWD	125	5	41
H Isted GLK	110		3
A Forde MID	104	1	5
J Jones MID	68	5	8
J. Larsson FWD	41	6	14
F Tavares FWD	6		1
G Bajrami DEF	5

Birmingham League One squad statistics 2024/2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
37	18	8	10
C Klarer	J Stansfield	A May	C Klarer

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
A May FWD	38	14	8	3 -
C Klarer DEF	37		3	10 -
A Cochrane DEF	36		2	5 -
S Paik MID	34	1	2	1 -
W Willumsson MID	34	5	5	-
T Iwata MID	33	5	1	6 -
R Allsop GLK	31		1	5 -
B Davies DEF	31	1		2 -
K Bielik DEF	30	1		5 1
J Stansfield FWD	30	18	2	6 -
K Anderson FWD	30	6	4	5 -
E Laird DEF	29	3	3	5 -
M Leonard MID	28		2	2 -
T Gardner-Hickman MID	26	2	1	6 -
L Dykes FWD	25	1		2 -
L Harris MID	22	3	1	3 -
E Hansson FWD	20	1	2	-
A Sampsted DEF	15			-
K Dowell MID	14	4	2	1 -
S Wright FWD	13	1		-
L Jutkiewicz FWD	12	1		-
B Peacock-Farrell GLK	9			-
G Hanley DEF	9			1 -
L Buchanan DEF	3	1		-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
18	34	8	26
J Stansfield	J Stansfield	A May	W Willumsson

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
J Stansfield FWD	18	34	2	8
A May FWD	14	28	8	14
K Anderson FWD	6	9	4	19
W Willumsson MID	5	16	5	26
T Iwata MID	5	13	1	18
K Dowell MID	4	11	2	6
L Harris MID	3	6	1	2
E Laird DEF	3	6	3	12
T Gardner-Hickman MID	2	6	1	3
L Jutkiewicz FWD	1	3		1
S Wright FWD	1	2		7
E Hansson FWD	1	9	2	4
L Dykes FWD	1	9		11
L Buchanan DEF	1	1
K Bielik DEF	1	5		5
B Davies DEF	1	1		3
S Paik MID	1	9	2	17
C Klarer DEF		2	3	6
A Sampsted DEF				2
R Allsop GLK			1	2
A Cochrane DEF		1	2	20
M Leonard MID		2	2	15

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
2788	62	264
C Klarer	C Klarer	C Klarer

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
C Klarer DEF	2788	62	264
B Davies DEF	2308	34	193
A Cochrane DEF	2282	53	174
T Iwata MID	1882	44	102
S Paik MID	1882	46	163
K Bielik DEF	1772	35	176
R Allsop GLK	1314		19
W Willumsson MID	1145	45	134
E Laird DEF	982	41	199
M Leonard MID	852	36	69
K Anderson FWD	756	36	143
T Gardner-Hickman MID	753	31	90
A May FWD	516	12	53
K Dowell MID	469	23	48
J Stansfield FWD	371	40	85
B Peacock-Farrell GLK	342		10
E Hansson FWD	329	16	27
L Dykes FWD	277	11	108
L Harris MID	237	20	40
A Sampsted DEF	219	13	30
S Wright FWD	171	3	22
L Buchanan DEF	73	3	8
L Jutkiewicz FWD	62	3	27
G Hanley DEF	45	1	6

English League One match betting previews, predictions and odds

Stevenage v Blackpool

Fri 18th Apr, 15:00

Shrewsbury v Wigan

Fri 18th Apr, 15:00

Rotherham v Mansfield

Fri 18th Apr, 15:00

Reading v Lincoln

Fri 18th Apr, 15:00

Peterborough v Stockport

Fri 18th Apr, 15:00

L Orient v Barnsley

Fri 18th Apr, 15:00

Huddersfield v Cambridge

Fri 18th Apr, 15:00

Charlton v Northampton

Northampton v Shrewsbury

Mon 21st Apr, 15:00

Stockport v Huddersfield

Bristol R v Stevenage

Mon 21st Apr, 15:00

Blackpool v Wrexham

Mon 21st Apr, 15:00

Barnsley v Peterborough

Mon 21st Apr, 15:00

Stevenage v Birmingham

Peterborough v Bolton

Sat 26th Apr, 15:00

Exeter v Huddersfield

Sat 26th Apr, 15:00

Crawley v Northampton

Sat 26th Apr, 15:00

Burton v Cambridge

Sat 26th Apr, 15:00

Barnsley v Shrewsbury

Sat 26th Apr, 15:00

Wrexham v Charlton

Sat 26th Apr, 17:30

Stevenage v Rotherham

Sun 27th Apr, 14:00

Birmingham v Mansfield

Sun 27th Apr, 15:00

Burton v Wigan

Tue 29th Apr, 19:45

Blackpool v Birmingham

Wed 30th Apr, 19:45

Mansfield v Peterborough

Wed 30th Apr, 19:45

Burton Albion v Birmingham City : League One match betting preview, prediction and odds

Burton have played 41 matches so far this season and are in 20th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

Home league performance

Birmingham lay in 1st place on 95 points in the League One league table having played 40 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

Away league performance

Burton v Birmingham League One lLine ups will show here when available.

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