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Burton Albion v Barnsley : League One match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 21st Sep, 15:00 BST, Pirelli Stadium, Burton upon Trent

Darrell Clarke pays counterpart Mark Robinson a visit on Saturday afternoon in the League One, as their Barnsley and Burton Albion charges go head to head at the Pirelli Stadium. We've got bespoke stats for the biggest betting markets, from from under 0.5 goals to over 5.5, including form and historical head-to-head data. Predictions are calculated from these, and the odds come directly from leading bookmakers.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We do not expect to see a a bore-draw or a narrow 1-0 win here, and instead we're predicting over 1.5 goals. That means that Burton and Barnsley will score at least a couple of between them during the standard 90 mins. It's a tip based on form stats for each side, as well as their historic head-to-heads. We give it a probability of 81%. The bookies have it priced at 1.20.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 51% chance of Barnsley coming away with a win.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Burton
27%
29/10
22%
11/4
Draw
23%
13/5
6%
11/4
Barnsley
50%
10/11
13%
10/11
Draw 1-1
11%
6/1
8%
6/1
Barnsley 2-1
10%
15/2
6%
13/2
Barnsley 1-0
8%
8/1
6%
7/1
Barnsley 2-0
8%
9/1
9%
17/2
Burton 2-1
7%
12/1
8%
10/1
Draw 2-2
6%
11/1
8%
10/1
Burton 1-0
6%
14/1
36%
10/1
Barnsley 3-1
6%
14/1
12%
11/1
Draw 0-0
5%
12/1
18%
10/1
Barnsley 3-0
5%
16/1
19%
12/1
Burton 2-0
4%
20/1
24%
16/1
Barnsley 3-2
4%
20/1
9%
16/1
Burton 3-1
3%
28/1
26%
20/1
Barnsley 4-1
3%
28/1
29%
20/1
Burton 3-2
3%
28/122/1
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
4/6
10%
13/20
Under 2.5 Goals
41%
23/20
10%
23/20
Home 1st Goal
45%
6/4
9%
-
Away 1st Goal
53%
4/7
9%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
12/1
18%
-
BTTS - Yes
60%
8/13
3%
8/13
BTTS - No
40%
6/5
5%
6/5
BTTS - Home Win
15%
11/2
8%
19/4
BTTS - Draw
18%
10/317/5
BTTS - Away Win
26%
5/2
19%
23/10
Home/draw
50%
5/6
10%
17/20
Away/draw
73%
1/4
8%
1/4
Home/away
77%
2/7
1%
1/4
Over 1.5 Goals
81%
1/5
4%
1/5
Under 1.5 Goals
19%
10/3
15%
3/1
Over 3.5 Goals
37%
13/8
13%
8/5
Under 3.5 Goals
63%
4/9
6%
4/9
Over 4.5 Goals
19%
4/1
17%
7/2
Under 4.5 Goals
81%
1/6
4%
2/11
Over 5.5 Goals
9%
9/1
23%
15/2
Under 5.5 Goals
91%
1/16
2%
1/18
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/25
1%
1/33
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
12/1
18%
10/1
Home DNB
43%
7/4
22%
17/10
Away DNB
66%
2/5
11%
2/5
Burton win to nil
12%
7/1
33%
-
Barnsley win to nil
24%
11/4
6%
-
Burton / Burton
14%
5/1
20%
19/4
Burton / Barnsley
4%
20/1
9%
16/1
Burton / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Draw / Burton
10%
15/2
21%
7/1
Draw / Barnsley
16%
4/1
9%
19/5
Draw / Draw
14%
5/1
9%
9/2
Barnsley / Burton
3%
28/122/1
Barnsley / Barnsley
27%
2/1
17%
19/10
Barnsley / Draw
6%
12/111/1
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Win / draw / win League One table
Burton
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Barnsley
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
Dec 7
Apr 5
 Wrexham6411713 
Jan 1
Dec 3
Apr 21
Dec 26
 Birmingham5410513 
Dec 7
Apr 5
Oct 12
May 3
 Charlton6411313 
Oct 22
Mar 4
Apr 12
Dec 29
 Huddersfield5401712 
Feb 15
Oct 5
Nov 23
Mar 29
 Stockport5320711 
Sep 28
Feb 8
l
 
2-3F
Feb 22
 Lincoln5311410 
Mar 1
w
 
1-2F
Sep 21
Feb 1
 Barnsley Away6312110 
-
-
Mar 1
d
 
3-3A
 Mansfield5221-18 
l
 
1-2A
Mar 15
d
 
0-00-0
Jan 11
 Stevenage521227 
Jan 25
l
 
3-0A
Oct 22
Mar 4
 Wycombe521217 
Oct 1
Jan 28
Jan 1
Dec 3
 Peterborough521207 
Apr 21
Dec 29
Jan 28
Oct 1
 Reading521207 
Oct 12
May 3
-
Jan 18
 Crawley5212-27 
Jan 4
w
 
0-3F
Oct 5
Feb 15
 Bristol R6213-47 
w
 
2-1F
Jan 18
Mar 22
Nov 16
 Wigan520316 
Nov 23
Mar 29
Dec 21
Apr 18
 Exeter520306 
Apr 1
Dec 14
Jan 25
d
 
2-2F
 Rotherham6132-26 
Nov 11
Feb 22
Jan 4
d
 
0-00-0
 Northampton5122-15 
d
 
2-2F
Jan 11
Feb 8
Sep 28
 Blackpool5122-35 
Mar 8
Oct 19
-
-
 Burton Home5041-14 
Feb 1
Sep 21
Mar 8
Oct 19
 Bolton5113-74 
Apr 12
Dec 26
Apr 1
Dec 14
 L Orient5104-53 
Dec 21
Apr 18
Nov 9
Mar 15
 Shrewsbury6105-63 
Apr 26
Oct 26
Apr 26
Oct 26
 Cambridge5014-61 
Mar 22
Nov 16
Win / draw / win form
4
Burton have drawn 4 consecutive league games
6
Burton have not won in 6 consecutive league games
Burton 20TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
4
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
6
D
3
Lost
11
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Burton0 - 0Stevenage
Burton2 - 3Lincoln
Burton3 - 2Reading
Burton1 - 2Cheltenham
Burton0 - 4Oxford Utd
Burton1 - 3Barnsley
Burton0 - 1Port Vale
Burton1 - 3Peterborough
Burton0 - 1Carlisle
Burton0 - 2Northampton
Burton0 - 1Lincoln
Burton2 - 0Charlton
Burton1 - 1Wycombe
Burton1 - 0Shrewsbury
Burton1 - 0Blackpool
Burton1 - 2Stevenage
Burton0 - 2Portsmouth
Burton0 - 0L Orient
Burton4 - 1Bristol R
Burton2 - 1Cambridge
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
W
3
Draw
6
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABurton2 - 2Rotherham
ABurton0 - 0Northampton
HBurton0 - 0Stevenage
ABurton3 - 3Mansfield
HBurton2 - 3Lincoln
ABurton0 - 3Fleetwood
HBurton3 - 2Reading
HBurton1 - 2Cheltenham
ABurton2 - 1Stevenage
HBurton0 - 4Oxford Utd
HBurton1 - 3Barnsley
ABurton1 - 1Wigan
HBurton0 - 1Port Vale
ABurton0 - 1Exeter
ABurton1 - 2Portsmouth
HBurton1 - 3Peterborough
ABurton0 - 0Cheltenham
HBurton0 - 1Carlisle
HBurton0 - 2Northampton
ABurton2 - 1L Orient
Barnsley 7TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
10
D
4
Lost
6
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Stevenage3 - 0Barnsley
Crawley0 - 3Barnsley
Lincoln1 - 2Barnsley
Bolton2 - 3Barnsley
Blackpool3 - 2Barnsley
Portsmouth3 - 2Barnsley
Stevenage2 - 1Barnsley
Charlton2 - 1Barnsley
Burton1 - 3Barnsley
Carlisle2 - 3Barnsley
Wycombe2 - 4Barnsley
Fleetwood1 - 2Barnsley
Shrewsbury1 - 1Barnsley
Bolton1 - 1Barnsley
Oxford Utd0 - 1Barnsley
Peterborough2 - 2Barnsley
Port Vale2 - 3Barnsley
Reading1 - 3Barnsley
Lincoln2 - 2Barnsley
Derby3 - 0Barnsley
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
39
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABarnsley0 - 3Stevenage
HBarnsley2 - 1Bristol R
ABarnsley3 - 0Crawley
HBarnsley2 - 2Northampton
ABarnsley2 - 1Lincoln
HBarnsley1 - 2Mansfield
ABarnsley3 - 2Bolton
HBarnsley1 - 3Bolton
HBarnsley1 - 1Northampton
ABarnsley2 - 3Blackpool
ABarnsley2 - 3Portsmouth
HBarnsley2 - 2Reading
ABarnsley1 - 2Stevenage
ABarnsley1 - 2Charlton
ABarnsley3 - 1Burton
HBarnsley0 - 2Cambridge
HBarnsley0 - 0Cheltenham
ABarnsley3 - 2Carlisle
HBarnsley1 - 5Lincoln
HBarnsley2 - 2Bolton
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Burton since 2016
Burton
Barnsley
Goals: Scored
8
9
Games: Scored
4 / 6
4 / 6
Clean sheets
2 / 6
2 / 6
BAL
2
D
2
BAR
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Burton
1 - 3Barnsley
Burton2 - 1
Burton3 - 1
2 - 4Barnsley
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
League games at Barnsley since 2015
Barnsley
Burton
Goals: Scored
7
3
Games: Scored
5 / 6
2 / 6
Clean sheets
4 / 6
1 / 6
BAL
1
D
2
BAR
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Barnsley
Barnsley2 - 0
Barnsley2 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
1 - 2Burton
Draw1 - 1Draw
Barnsley1 - 0
Goal Statistics
Burton 20th Barnsley 7th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
28%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 64% probability that Burton will score no more than 1 goal
0
16%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
11%
There is a 84% probability that Barnsley will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-18
Burton have scored 18% fewer goals at home than predicted
+33
Barnsley have scored 33% more goals when away than predicted
1.0
average goals scored
2.0
average goals scored
1.5
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
League One - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/280714/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Burton
PG (predicted goals)
Barnsley
1.3
1.8
Attack rating
BAL
BAR
26%
better
view stats
Games scored3
5
Failed to score2
1
Scored first2
4
Goals scored7
10
Avg. goals scored1.4
1.7
Avg. shots per game8
10
Avg. shots per goal6
6
Conversion rate for18
17
Avg. XG for1
1.2
KickOff rating
+26%
Defence rating
20%
better
BAL
BAR
view stats
Games conceded3
5
Clean sheets2
1
Conceded first1
2
Goals conceded8
9
Avg. goals conceded1.6
1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded9
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
5
Conversion rate against19%
21%
Avg. XG against1.5
1.4
KickOff rating
+20%

Burton v Barnsley League One lLine ups will show here when available.

Burton League One squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5322
U Godwin-MalifeB BodinD OrsiT Vancooten
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Armer DEF5
1
-
U Godwin-Malife DEF51
1
-
D Willis DEF5
-
T Vancooten DEF5
2
-
N. Akoto DEF5
-
E Watt MID5
2
-
B Whitfield MID511
-
K Chauke MID5
-
T Kalinauskas FWD51
-
D Orsi FWD512
1
-
M Crocombe GLK4
-
R Sweeney DEF4
-
J Cooper-Love FWD41
-
B Bodin FWD43
-
C Gilligan MID31
1
-
M Bennett FWD2
-
H Isted GLK1
-
G Bajrami DEF1
1
-
R Burrell FWD1
-
R Donovan FWD1
-
Barnsley League One squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
6423
J EarlA PhillipsB CotterJ Earl
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Earl DEF6
3
-
M Gevigney DEF6
1
-
M Roberts DEF61
1
-
B Cotter DEF62
-
L Connell MID612
2
-
A Phillips MID64
-
G Slonina GLK5
-
K Lofthouse DEF5
1
-
D Pines DEF51
1
-
M Craig MID5
-
M Watters FWD511
-
S Cosgrove FWD511
1
-
A Marsh FWD5
-
C O'Keeffe DEF41
2
-
G. Gent DEF3
-
J Russell MID3
1
-
J Benson MID2
-
D Keillor-Dunn MID21
-
C Hourihane MID2
-
B Killip GLK1
-
S Humphrys FWD1
-
F Jaló FWD1
-
English League One match betting previews, predictions and odds
Lincoln v Wigan
Sat 21st Sep, 12:30
Exeter v Stevenage
Sat 21st Sep, 12:30
Bolton v Reading
Sat 21st Sep, 15:00
Burton v Barnsley
Sat 21st Sep, 15:00
Mansfield v Shrewsbury
Sat 21st Sep, 15:00
Rotherham v Birmingham
Sat 21st Sep, 15:00
Wrexham v Crawley
Sat 21st Sep, 15:00
Wycombe v Cambridge
Sat 21st Sep, 15:00
Charlton v Blackpool
Sat 21st Sep, 15:00
Peterborough v Bristol R
Sat 21st Sep, 15:00
Stockport v L Orient
Sat 21st Sep, 15:00
Huddersfield v Northampton
Sat 21st Sep, 15:00
Wigan v Stevenage
Tue 24th Sep, 19:45
L Orient v Peterborough
Tue 24th Sep, 19:45
Huddersfield v Blackpool
Tue 24th Sep, 19:45
Crawley v Bolton
Sat 28th Sep, 12:30
Reading v Huddersfield
Sat 28th Sep, 12:30
Stevenage v Charlton
Sat 28th Sep, 15:00
Wigan v Exeter
Sat 28th Sep, 15:00
Blackpool v Burton
Sat 28th Sep, 15:00
Shrewsbury v Rotherham
Sat 28th Sep, 15:00
Northampton v Mansfield
Sat 28th Sep, 15:00
L Orient v Wrexham
Sat 28th Sep, 15:00
Bristol R v Wycombe
Sat 28th Sep, 15:00
Cambridge v Lincoln
Sat 28th Sep, 15:00
Birmingham v Peterborough
Sat 28th Sep, 15:00
Barnsley v Stockport
Sat 28th Sep, 19:45
Shrewsbury v Stockport
Tue 1st Oct, 19:45
Blackpool v Lincoln
Tue 1st Oct, 19:45
Wigan v Peterborough
Tue 1st Oct, 19:45
Stevenage v Wrexham
Tue 1st Oct, 19:45
Northampton v Bolton
Tue 1st Oct, 19:45
L Orient v Exeter
Tue 1st Oct, 19:45
Bristol R v Charlton
Tue 1st Oct, 19:45
Cambridge v Rotherham
Tue 1st Oct, 19:45
Birmingham v Huddersfield
Tue 1st Oct, 19:45
Barnsley v Wycombe
Tue 1st Oct, 19:45
Crawley v Mansfield
Tue 1st Oct, 19:45
Reading v Burton
Tue 1st Oct, 20:00