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Bolton Wanderers v Birmingham City : League One match betting preview, prediction and odds

Tue 4th Mar, 19:45 BST, Macron Stadium, Horwich

the Macron Stadium crowd welcome Birmingham City's supporters on Tuesday evening, as Steven Gerrard's Bolton Wanderers take on Chris Davies's troops in the League One. The odds you see on the page are delivered straight from the UK's leading bookmakers, while predictions are algorithmically generated from statistics over a 20-game period. Particular attention is given to League One match data, including head-to-head performance. Explore it all using the tabs below.


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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Bolton
34%
--
Draw
25%
--
Birmingham
41%
--
Draw 1-1
11%
--
Birmingham 2-1
9%
--
Birmingham 1-0
8%
--
Bolton 2-1
8%
--
Bolton 1-0
7%
--
Birmingham 2-0
6%
--
Draw 2-2
6%
--
Draw 0-0
5%
--
Bolton 2-0
5%
--
Birmingham 3-1
5%
--
Bolton 3-1
4%
--
Birmingham 3-0
3%
--
Birmingham 3-2
3%
--
Bolton 3-2
3%
--
Bolton 3-0
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
44%
--
Home 1st Goal
47%
--
Away 1st Goal
50%
--
No 1st Goal
3%
--
BTTS - Yes
59%
--
BTTS - No
41%
--
BTTS - Home Win
18%
--
BTTS - Draw
19%
--
BTTS - Away Win
21%
--
Home/draw
59%
--
Away/draw
66%
--
Home/away
75%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
21%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
33%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
67%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
17%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
83%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
--
Home DNB
52%
--
Away DNB
58%
--
Bolton win to nil
16%
--
Birmingham win to nil
20%
--
Win / draw / win League One table

Bolton have played 31 matches so far this season and are in 8th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

9 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 5 games, drawn 2 and won 2. Bolton have conceded 16 goals, scored 4, failed to score in 6 matches and kept 3 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Bolton have played 16 games at home, winning 8, drawing 3 and losing 5 fixtures. They have scored 29 goals, conceded 25 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and failed to score 4 times in home league games.

Birmingham lay in 1st place on 69 points in the League One league table having played 29 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 29 games against teams below them in the table, winning 21, drawing 6 and losing 2 games. They have scored 51 goals and kept 14 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Birmingham have conceded 19 goals and have failed to score in 2 matches.

Away league performance

Birmingham have played 14 away games, winning 9, drawing 3 and losing 2 games. They have scored an average of 1.7 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.9 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Bolton
Birmingham
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Birmingham Away2921623269 
Mar 4
l
 
2-0A
-
-
2
Wycombe3118942763 
Apr 18
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 1
w
 
2-3A
3
Wrexham3117771958 
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 1
w
 
3-1A
d
 
1-1A
4
Stockport3216971957 
Mar 15
l
 
5-0A
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1F
5
Huddersfield3116781755 
l
 
0-4A
w
 
0-1F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
6
L Orient31165102053 
Feb 22
w
 
1-2F
Feb 25
w
 
1-2F
7
Charlton3114891050 
l
 
1-2F
l
 
2-0A
w
 
1-0F
l
 
1-0A
8
Bolton Home3115511250 
-
-
w
 
2-0F
Mar 4
9
Reading3114710349 
w
 
5-2F
l
 
1-0A
d
 
1-1A
Feb 22
10
Lincoln32111011343 
w
 
3-0F
Apr 21
Mar 8
w
 
1-3A
11
Barnsley3112712043 
l
 
1-2F
Apr 12
Apr 5
w
 
1-2A
12
Blackpool319148141 
w
 
2-1A
Mar 29
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 12
13
Stevenage3111812-341 
May 3
w
 
1-4F
Mar 11
Mar 22
14
Rotherham3110813-238 
Mar 22
l
 
3-1A
w
 
2-1A
w
 
0-2F
15
Mansfield3111515-638 
w
 
3-1A
l
 
2-1A
Apr 26
d
 
1-1F
16
Wigan309813-335 
l
 
0-2A
Apr 1
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-3F
17
Exeter3010515-1235 
l
 
0-2A
w
 
1-2A
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-2F
18
Bristol R3110516-1635 
Apr 5
Mar 11
w
 
2-0F
Apr 1
19
Northampton318914-1833 
w
 
3-1F
w
 
2-4F
d
 
1-1F
Mar 15
20
Peterborough318716-1131 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 26
w
 
3-2A
Apr 8
21
Burton3261115-1529 
w
 
2-1F
Mar 8
w
 
2-0F
Apr 21
22
Crawley317816-2029 
w
 
4-3A
w
 
0-2F
Apr 18
w
 
0-1F
23
Shrewsbury327619-2127 
d
 
2-2A
w
 
2-3A
Mar 29
l
 
3-2A
24
Cambridge315818-2623 
d
 
2-2A
d
 
1-1F
w
 
4-0F
May 3
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Bolton 8TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
D
3
Lost
7
Birmingham 1ST
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
10
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
8 / 20
Clean sheets
12 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
14
Draw
5
L
1
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Bolton since 1997
Bolton
Birmingham
Goals: Scored
29
20
Games: Scored
13 / 17
14 / 17
Clean sheets
3 / 17
4 / 17
BOL
8
D
5
BIR
4
League games at Birmingham since 1996
Birmingham
Bolton
Goals: Scored
23
14
Games: Scored
14 / 18
11 / 18
Clean sheets
7 / 18
4 / 18
BOL
5
D
3
BIR
10
Goal Statistics

Birmingham City's defensive record is very strong, C. Davies's men having conceded 1 or less in 15 consecutive League One matches. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.4 for Bolton Wanderers makes sense in this context.

Birmingham City have been reliable in attack of late, finding the net in 8 consecutive League One matches. Their PG of 1.5 against Bolton Wanderers on Tuesday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Bolton 8th Birmingham 1st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 60% probability that Bolton will score no more than 1 goal
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 78% probability that Birmingham will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-4
Bolton’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-2
Birmingham’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.8
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
1.6
conceded
1.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
League One - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/281050/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Bolton
PG (predicted goals)
Birmingham
1.4
1.5
Attack rating
BOL
BIR
21%
better
view stats
Games scored22
27
Failed to score9
2
Scored first13
18
Goals scored50
51
Avg. goals scored1.6
1.8
Avg. shots per game9
8
Avg. shots per goal6
5
Conversion rate for18
21
Avg. XG for1.3
1.6
KickOff rating
+21%
Defence rating
BOL
BIR
44%
better
view stats
Games conceded25
15
Clean sheets6
14
Conceded first16
10
Goals conceded48
19
Avg. goals conceded1.5
0.7
Avg. shots/game conceded8
6
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
9
Conversion rate against19%
11%
Avg. XG against1.1
0.8
KickOff rating
+44%

Bolton v Birmingham League One lLine ups will show here when available.

Bolton League One squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
288511
S SchönJ McAteeJ Dacres-CogleyG Thomason
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Schön DEF3014
8
-
J McAtee FWD3082
3
-
A Collins FWD3083
4
-
J Dacres-Cogley DEF295
4
-
G Johnston DEF27
6
-
V Adeboyejo FWD263
2
-
J Matete MID252
6
-
R Santos DEF241
9
-
J Sheehan MID2325
7
-
G Thomason MID2331
11
-
J Osei-Tutu DEF2012
6
-
N Baxter GLK18
3
-
W Forrester DEF15
1
-
E Toal DEF1422
1
-
K. Lolos MID1412
4
-
L Southwood GLK13
2
-
G Jones DEF13
2
-
K Dempsey MID1032
1
-
A Morley MID911
1
-
J Randall MID811
-
A. Murphy DEF41
-
C Forino DEF3
-
C Mendes FWD3
-
K Etete FWD1
-
Birmingham League One squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
271657
C KlarerJ StansfieldA MayC Klarer
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A May FWD28105
3
-
C Klarer DEF271
7
-
A Cochrane DEF261
4
-
S Paik MID252
-
M Leonard MID241
2
-
W Willumsson MID2455
-
L Dykes FWD241
2
-
K Bielik DEF231
5
1
E Laird DEF2313
5
-
T Iwata MID2351
5
-
J Stansfield FWD23162
3
-
K Anderson  FWD2344
5
-
R Allsop GLK22
3
-
B Davies DEF21
1
-
T Gardner-Hickman MID211
4
-
L Harris MID182
2
-
E Hansson FWD131
-
S Wright FWD121
-
B Peacock-Farrell GLK7
-
A Sampsted DEF7
-
L Jutkiewicz FWD7
-
G Hanley DEF4
1
-
K Dowell MID41
1
-
L Buchanan DEF31
-
English League One match betting previews, predictions and odds