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Birmingham City v Exeter City : League One match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 18th Jan, 15:00 BST, St. Andrew's Stadium, Birmingham

Exeter City pay League One rivals Birmingham City a visit on Saturday afternoon, as Gary Caldwell leads his men into an away clash with Chris Davies & co. at the St. Andrew's Stadium. The odds you see on the page are provided straight from top bookmakers, while predictions are calculated from stats over a 20-game period. Particular attention is given to League One match data, including head-to-head records. Hit the tabs below to explore.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top League One Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Birmingham to win

We're predicting Birmingham will be victorious come the end of the 90 mins on Saturday in the win / draw / win market. The recent form stats and historical head-to-head (H2H) records below all point in that direction and, as favourites with the bookies, the odds back that up too. Expect jubilant celebrations among the home fans when that final whistle blows at St. Andrew's Stadium.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Birmingham are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 62% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.33.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Birmingham
62%
1/3-
Draw
23%
4/1-
Exeter
15%
8/1-
Birmingham 1-0
15%
13/2-
Birmingham 2-0
13%
11/2-
Draw 1-1
11%
17/2-
Birmingham 2-1
9%
8/1-
Draw 0-0
8%
12/1-
Birmingham 3-0
8%
7/1-
Exeter 1-0
6%
20/1-
Birmingham 3-1
5%
10/1-
Exeter 2-1
4%
22/1-
Birmingham 4-0
3%
12/1-
Draw 2-2
3%
20/1-
Birmingham 4-1
2%
18/1-
Exeter 2-0
2%
40/1-
Birmingham 3-2
2%
28/1-
Birmingham 5-0
1%
25/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
45%
4/6-
Under 2.5 Goals
55%
23/20-
Home 1st Goal
58%
2/9-
Away 1st Goal
36%
7/2-
No 1st Goal
6%
12/1-
BTTS - Yes
42%
21/20-
BTTS - No
58%
7/10-
BTTS - Home Win
22%
11/5-
BTTS - Draw
14%
11/2-
BTTS - Away Win
6%
16/1-
Home/draw
85%
1/14-
Away/draw
38%
9/4-
Home/away
77%
1/6-
Over 1.5 Goals
71%
1/5-
Under 1.5 Goals
29%
10/3-
Over 3.5 Goals
24%
13/8-
Under 3.5 Goals
76%
4/9-
Over 4.5 Goals
11%
4/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
89%
1/6-
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
9/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/16-
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/25-
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
12/1-
Home DNB
78%
1/10-
Away DNB
31%
6/1-
Birmingham win to nil
40%
11/10-
Exeter win to nil
9%
14/1-
Birmingham / Birmingham
43%
20/21-
Birmingham / Exeter
2%
40/1-
Birmingham / Draw
4%
18/1-
Draw / Birmingham
21%
3/1-
Draw / Exeter
5%
16/1-
Draw / Draw
11%
13/2-
Exeter / Birmingham
4%
20/1-
Exeter / Exeter
5%
16/1-
Exeter / Draw
4%
20/1-
bet365
Win / draw / win League One table

Birmingham have played 23 matches so far this season and lay in 1st place in the League One league table. Birmingham are unbeaten at home after 11 games and have kept 6 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 23 games against teams below in the table, having won 16, drawn 5 and lost 2 matches. They have kept 10 clean sheets and have failed to score in 2 fixtures. Birmingham have outscored their opponents by 41 goals to 28 goals.

Home League Performance

Birmingham have played 11 games at home winning 8, drawing 3 and losing 0 games. They have scored 19 goals, kept 6 clean sheets and conceded 6 goals at home.

Exeter are in 15th position in the League One on 31 points having played 24 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

6 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 14 goals and kept 4 clean sheets. They have scored 10 goals in total and failed to score in 4 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

15 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 8 games, drawn 2 and won 5. Exeter have conceded 19 goals, scored 13, failed to score in 5 fixtures and have kept 6 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Birmingham
Exeter
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Birmingham Home2316522453 
-
-
l
 
0-2A
Jan 18
2
Wycombe2515642351 
Mar 1
w
 
2-3A
d
 
2-2F
l
 
2-1A
3
Wrexham2515641951 
w
 
3-1A
Jan 23
Mar 29
l
 
3-0A
4
Huddersfield2414551847 
w
 
1-0F
Jan 28
Apr 26
l
 
2-0A
5
Barnsley251267642 
Apr 5
w
 
1-2A
l
 
1-2F
Apr 1
6
Reading241257641 
d
 
1-1A
Feb 22
l
 
1-2A
Mar 4
7
Stockport2510871038 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1F
Apr 5
l
 
2-0A
8
L Orient2411491037 
Feb 25
w
 
1-2F
Jan 28
w
 
0-1F
9
Mansfield231148537 
Apr 26
d
 
1-1F
Jan 14
May 3
10
Bolton241149-137 
w
 
2-0F
Mar 4
l
 
1-2F
w
 
0-2F
11
Charlton23977634 
Feb 15
l
 
1-0A
w
 
1-0F
Feb 22
12
Lincoln25889-232 
Mar 8
w
 
1-3A
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 22
13
Rotherham24879031 
Feb 1
w
 
0-2F
w
 
1-0F
Mar 15
14
Stevenage23878-231 
Mar 11
Mar 22
w
 
2-0F
Feb 1
15
Exeter Away249411-331 
Jan 18
w
 
0-2F
-
-
16
Blackpool24798-330 
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 12
Jan 25
l
 
2-1A
17
Wigan237610-227 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-3F
Feb 8
d
 
0-00-0
18
Northampton256811-1526 
d
 
1-1F
Mar 15
Mar 1
l
 
2-1F
19
Peterborough247413-525 
w
 
3-2A
Feb 8
l
 
1-2F
Jan 21
20
Bristol R247413-1625 
w
 
2-0F
Apr 1
w
 
3-1A
Apr 12
21
Crawley235513-1920 
Apr 18
w
 
0-1F
d
 
4-4A
Apr 21
22
Shrewsbury244515-2017 
Mar 29
l
 
3-2A
Mar 8
w
 
0-2F
23
Cambridge244515-2117 
Feb 11
May 3
w
 
1-0F
Feb 15
24
Burton242814-1814 
w
 
2-0F
Apr 21
Apr 18
w
 
1-2A
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
13
Birmingham have not lost in 13 consecutive home league games
4
Birmingham have kept a clean sheet for 4 consecutive home league games
Birmingham 1ST
20 league games
Home
13
Overall
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
13
D
3
L
4
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
13
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
14
D
4
L
2
Exeter 14TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
10
D
2
Lost
8
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
D
4
Lost
9
bet365
bet365
Goal Statistics

Birmingham City's fans will be hoping for goals on Saturday afternoon, not least because Exeter City have conceded in each of their last 10 League One matches. A PG of 1.8 for C. Davies's side suggests that run should continue.

Birmingham 1st Exeter 14th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.8
goals
0.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
There is a 83% probability that Birmingham will score 1 or more goals
0
49%
1
35%
2
13%
3
4+
There is a 84% probability of Exeter scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-11
Birmingham have scored 11% fewer goals at home than predicted
+28
Exeter have scored 28% more goals when away than predicted
1.5
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
0.7
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
League One - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/280953/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Birmingham
PG (predicted goals)
Exeter
1.8
0.7
Attack rating
26%
better
BIR
EXE
view stats
Games scored21
18
Failed to score2
6
Scored first14
12
Goals scored41
28
Avg. goals scored1.8
1.2
Avg. shots per game8
7
Avg. shots per goal5
6
Conversion rate for21
16
Avg. XG for1.6
1.1
KickOff rating
+26%
Defence rating
22%
better
BIR
EXE
view stats
Games conceded13
15
Clean sheets10
9
Conceded first8
10
Goals conceded17
31
Avg. goals conceded0.7
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded6
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
7
Conversion rate against12%
14%
Avg. XG against0.8
1.5
KickOff rating
+22%

Birmingham v Exeter League One lLine ups will show here when available.

Birmingham League One squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
221255
S PaikJ StansfieldW WillumssonC Klarer
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Paik MID232
-
A May FWD23104
1
-
W Willumsson MID2255
-
C Klarer DEF211
5
-
A Cochrane DEF201
4
-
M Leonard MID20
1
-
T Iwata MID1951
4
-
K Bielik DEF181
4
1
L Dykes FWD18
1
-
E Laird DEF172
3
-
T Gardner-Hickman MID17
4
-
K Anderson  FWD1734
5
-
J Stansfield FWD17121
2
-
R Allsop GLK16
3
-
L Harris MID161
2
-
B Davies DEF15
1
-
E Hansson FWD131
-
A Yokoyama FWD91
-
B Peacock-Farrell GLK7
-
A Sampsted DEF7
-
S Wright FWD71
-
L Jutkiewicz FWD6
-
L Buchanan DEF31
-
D Sanderson DEF2
-
B Khela MID2
-
Exeter League One squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
245310
J WhitworthM AlliE FrancisR Woods
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Whitworth GLK241
1
-
J McMillan DEF2412
3
-
E Francis MID2323
2
-
I Niskanen MID2311
5
-
J Magennis FWD2332
1
-
T Crama DEF223
4
-
M Alli FWD2152
2
-
J Aitchison MID201
3
-
R Woods MID2021
9
1
K Doyle MID193
1
-
P Sweeney DEF18
4
-
C Watts MID131
4
1
J Yfeko DEF121
3
-
S Cox FWD12
-
B Purrington DEF11
-
J Bird FWD11
1
-
V Harper MID1011
2
-
J Fitzwater DEF91
-
D Mitchell MID921
-
R Cole MID911
2
-
J. Richards MID711
2
-
A. Richards FWD61
1
-
P Jones FWD3
-
P Borges MID1
1
-