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Southampton v Liverpool : League Cup match betting preview, prediction and odds

Wed 18th Dec, 20:00 BST, St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton

Arne Slot pays counterpart Russell Martin a visit on Wednesday night in the League Cup, as their Liverpool and Southampton sides go head to head at the St. Mary's Stadium. The aim of this preview is, quite simply, to help you make the smartest bet possible. To this end, stats for seventeen major betting market have been laid out below, with head-to-head records and statistically significant form streaks highlighted. Odds are included as well.


Best Tip: Liverpool to win

Absolutely no club, players or staff in the League Cup wants to lose in front of their own supporters, but the stats below suggest that is set to be Southampton's fate as they go head-to-head with Liverpool at St. Mary's Stadium on Wednesday night. The UK's top bookmakers agree, making an away win the most likely outcome at odds of 1.33, and so does our predictive algorithm. Our algorithm suggests the away win in the win / draw / win market has a 73% probability, making it a clear bet of the day here.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 73% chance of Liverpool coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Southampton
12%
7/1
7%
7/1
33%
Draw
15%
19/4
5%
5/1
14%
Liverpool
73%
3/10
2%
3/10
Liverpool 2-0
9%
15/213/2
Liverpool 2-1
9%
8/17/1
Liverpool 3-0
8%
9/115/2
Liverpool 3-1
8%
9/18/1
Liverpool 1-0
7%
10/18/1
6%
Draw 1-1
7%
11/1
9%
9/1
11%
Liverpool 4-0
5%
14/111/1
9%
Liverpool 4-1
5%
14/111/1
Draw 2-2
4%
18/1
12%
14/1
Liverpool 3-2
4%
18/1
10%
14/1
12%
Southampton 2-1
3%
20/116/1
26%
Liverpool 5-0
3%
25/118/1
12%
Liverpool 5-1
3%
25/118/1
Liverpool 4-2
3%
28/120/1
Draw 0-0
3%
22/1
10%
18/1
46%
Over 2.5 Goals
71%
2/54/11
6%
Under 2.5 Goals
29%
15/815/8
7%
Home 1st Goal
39%
11/4-
Away 1st Goal
59%
1/4-
No 1st Goal
1%
22/1
10%
-
BTTS - Yes
58%
4/67/10
2%
BTTS - No
42%
11/1021/20
3%
BTTS - Home Win
7%
10/110/1
27%
BTTS - Draw
13%
11/211/2
8%
BTTS - Away Win
38%
6/429/20
Home/draw
27%
12/5
5%
12/5
3%
Away/draw
88%
1/12
2%
1/12
4%
Home/away
85%
1/71/8
4%
Over 1.5 Goals
88%
1/91/9
2%
Under 1.5 Goals
12%
11/219/4
10%
Over 3.5 Goals
50%
10/11
5%
19/20
3%
Under 3.5 Goals
50%
4/5
4%
3/4
Over 4.5 Goals
30%
9/421/10
Under 4.5 Goals
70%
1/31/3
Over 5.5 Goals
16%
5/117/4
Under 5.5 Goals
84%
1/82/15
Over 0.5 Goals
97%
1/801/200
2%
Under 0.5 Goals
3%
22/1
10%
16/1
31%
Home DNB
22%
5/15/1
29%
Away DNB
84%
1/81/10
4%
Southampton win to nil
4%
16/1-
Liverpool win to nil
35%
13/8-
Southampton / Southampton
6%
14/110/1
35%
Southampton / Liverpool
5%
16/114/1
12%
Southampton / Draw
5%
18/116/1
Draw / Southampton
5%
18/1
12%
14/1
12%
Draw / Liverpool
20%
3/1
8%
16/5
8%
Draw / Draw
9%
8/1
6%
15/2
21%
Liverpool / Southampton
2%
40/133/1
17%
Liverpool / Liverpool
43%
10/115/6
Liverpool / Draw
5%
16/116/1
13%
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Win / draw / win form
Southampton
20 games
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
38
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
5
D
3
Lost
12
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ASouthampton0 - 1A Villa
HSouthampton1 - 5Chelsea
ASouthampton1 - 1Brighton
HSouthampton2 - 3Liverpool
ASouthampton0 - 2Wolves
HSouthampton1 - 0Everton
HSouthampton3 - 2Stoke
ASouthampton0 - 1Man City
HSouthampton2 - 3Leicester
ASouthampton1 - 3Arsenal
ASouthampton1 - 3Bournemouth
HSouthampton1 - 1Ipswich
ASouthampton1 - 1Everton
HSouthampton0 - 3Man Utd
ASouthampton1 - 3Brentford
ASouthampton5 - 3Cardiff
HSouthampton0 - 1Nottm Forest
ASouthampton0 - 1Newcastle
ASouthampton1 - 0Leeds
HSouthampton3 - 1West Brom
Liverpool
20 games
Goals: Scored
46
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
17
D
2
L
1
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ALiverpool1 - 0Girona
ALiverpool3 - 3Newcastle
HLiverpool2 - 0Man City
HLiverpool2 - 0Real Madrid
ALiverpool3 - 2Southampton
HLiverpool2 - 0A Villa
HLiverpool4 - 0Leverkusen
HLiverpool2 - 1Brighton
ALiverpool3 - 2Brighton
ALiverpool2 - 2Arsenal
ALiverpool1 - 0RB Leipzig
HLiverpool2 - 1Chelsea
ALiverpool1 - 0C Palace
HLiverpool2 - 0Bologna
ALiverpool2 - 1Wolves
HLiverpool5 - 1West Ham
HLiverpool3 - 0Bournemouth
ALiverpool3 - 1Milan
HLiverpool0 - 1Nottm Forest
ALiverpool3 - 0Man Utd
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bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
Games at Southampton since 1999
Southampton
Liverpool
Goals: Scored
4
7
Games: Scored
3 / 3
2 / 3
Clean sheets
1 / 3
0 / 3
SOU
2
LIV
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Southampton
Southampton1 - 0
1 - 6Liverpool
Southampton2 - 1
Games at Liverpool since 2002
Liverpool
Southampton
Goals: Scored
6
2
Games: Scored
2 / 3
2 / 3
Clean sheets
1 / 3
1 / 3
SOU
1
LIV
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Liverpool
Liverpool3 - 0
0 - 1Southampton
Liverpool3 - 1
Goal Statistics

Liverpool's defensive record is to be admired, Arne Slot's men having conceded 1 or less in 7 consecutive League Cup games. An average PG rating of 1.0 for Southampton makes sense in this context.

Liverpool's forwards have been superb of late, finding the net twice or more in 7 consecutive League Cup matches. A PG of 2.7 suggests that run should continue on Wednesday night.

Southampton Liverpool
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.0
goals
2.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
37%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 74% probability of Southampton scoring 1 goal or less
1
19%
2
25%
3
22%
4
15%
5+
20%
There is a 81% probability that Liverpool will score 2 or more goals in this match
 
20 home / away games
20 home / away games
2.0
average goals scored
2.2
average goals scored
1.7
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
League Cup - 2024/2024 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/288584/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Southampton
PG (predicted goals)
Liverpool
1
2.7
Attack rating
SOU
LIV
39%
better
view stats
Games scored14
19
Failed to score6
1
Scored first8
14
Goals scored24
46
Avg. goals scored1.2
2.3
Avg. shots per game7
12
Avg. shots per goal6
5
Conversion rate for17
19
Avg. XG for1.2
2.1
KickOff rating
+39%
Defence rating
SOU
LIV
50%
better
view stats
Games conceded18
10
Clean sheets2
10
Conceded first12
6
Goals conceded38
15
Avg. goals conceded1.9
0.8
Avg. shots/game conceded12
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
11
Conversion rate against16%
9%
Avg. XG against2
1
KickOff rating
+50%

The line-ups for the League Cup match between Southampton v Liverpool will show here when available.

Southampton League Cup squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3221
J BreeJ BreeM FernandesJ Bree
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Bree DEF32
1
-
L Ugochukwu MID3
-
M Fernandes MID312
-
T Harwood-Bellis DEF22
-
N Wood DEF2
1
-
C Taylor DEF22
-
A Lallana MID2
-
J Aribo MID2
-
A Armstrong FWD21
1
-
T Obling FWD22
1
-
C Archer FWD22
-
S. Amo-Ameyaw FWD21
-
B Díaz FWD2
-
R Fraser FWD2
-
M Cornet FWD2
1
-
A McCarthy GLK1
-
A Ramsdale GLK1
-
J Lumley GLK1
-
A Bella-Kotchap DEF1
-
R Edwards DEF1
-
J Bednarek DEF1
-
Y Sugawara DEF1
-
F Downes MID1
-
P Onuachu FWD1
-
S Edozie FWD1
-
R Stewart FWD1
-
K Sulemana FWD11
-
Liverpool League Cup squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2411
C BradleyC GakpoC JonesJ Quansah
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C Bradley DEF2
-
J Quansah DEF2
1
-
J Gomez DEF2
-
A Robertson DEF2
-
C Jones MID21
-
A Allister MID2
-
W Endo MID2
1
-
D Núñez FWD21
-
C Gakpo FWD24
-
M Salah FWD21
-
C Kelleher GLK1
-
V Jaroš GLK1
-
K Tsimikas DEF1
-
I Konaté DEF1
1
-
D Szoboszlai MID1
-
F Chiesa FWD11
-
D Jota  FWD12
-
L Díaz  FWD11
-