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Stoke City v Cardiff City : FA Cup match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 8th Feb, 15:00 BST, bet365 Stadium, Stoke

The FA Cup is the focus for both Stoke City and Cardiff City on Saturday afternoon, as bosses Mark Warburton and Metin Diyadin face one another at the bet365 Stadium. Stats power the algorithmic predictions below for 17 individual betting markets, and switching between them will display bespoke analysis, including head to head (H2H), form and much more besides. Odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers are also provided. Click on the tabs below to see it all.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The stats suggest there isn't an obvious winner in this fixture, but good reason to think Stoke and Cardiff will find the net twice at least between them. We've seen goals when they've gone head-to-head in the past, and neither Mark Warburton or Metin Diyadin has suffered the frustration of many 0-0s lately either. The bookies predict over 1.5 goals too, with top odds of 1.29 equating to about a 77% probability.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Stoke are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 47% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.10.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Stoke 47%	11/10 10%	11/10 10%
Draw 25%	9/4 4%	5/2 5%
Cardiff 29%	5/2 13%	12/5 11%
Draw 1-1 12%	11/2	11/2
Stoke 1-0 10%	7/1	6/1
Stoke 2-1 9%	8/1 6%	7/1 7%
Stoke 2-0 8%	9/1 11%	8/1 6%
Cardiff 1-0 7%	10/1 15%	8/1 10%
Cardiff 2-1 7%	11/1 20%	9/1 9%
Draw 0-0 6%	9/1 9%	15/2 11%
Draw 2-2 6%	12/1	11/1
Stoke 3-1 5%	16/1 13%	12/1 8%
Cardiff 2-0 4%	18/1 10%	14/1
Stoke 3-0 4%	18/1 27%	14/1 15%
Stoke 3-2 3%	25/1 13%	18/1
Cardiff 3-1 3%	28/1 15%	20/1 9%
Cardiff 3-2 2%	33/1 17%	25/1
Stoke 4-1 2%	33/1 17%	25/1 13%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%	1/1 5%	10/11 4%
Under 2.5 Goals 48%	4/5 6%	5/6 4%
Home 1st Goal 51%	4/6 9%	-
Away 1st Goal 45%	7/5 8%	-
No 1st Goal 4%	9/1 9%	-
BTTS - Yes 55%	3/4	4/5 3%
BTTS - No 45%	1/1	19/20 3%
BTTS - Home Win 22%	10/3 15%	3/1 8%
BTTS - Draw 19%	10/3 4%	17/5 4%
BTTS - Away Win 14%	6/1 13%	5/1 8%
Home/draw 71%	2/7 6%	3/10 4%
Away/draw 54%	7/10 7%	7/10 8%
Home/away 75%	1/3 2%	3/10 1%
Over 1.5 Goals 76%	2/7 3%	3/10 1%
Under 1.5 Goals 24%	5/2 7%	9/4 7%
Over 3.5 Goals 30%	12/5 13%	11/5 7%
Under 3.5 Goals 70%	3/10 4%	3/10 4%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%	6/1 17%	5/1 9%
Under 4.5 Goals 85%	1/10 2%	1/9 1%
Over 5.5 Goals 6%	14/1 15%	11/1 9%
Under 5.5 Goals 94%	1/33 1%	1/40 1%
Over 0.5 Goals 94%	1/20	1/20 1%
Under 0.5 Goals 6%	10/1	8/1 5%
Home DNB 64%	1/2 10%	1/2 7%
Away DNB 46%	6/4 17%	7/5 13%
Stoke win to nil 24%	11/4 10%	-
Cardiff win to nil 14%	5/1 25%	-
Stoke / Stoke 24%	12/5 13%	9/4 12%
Stoke / Cardiff 3%	28/1 15%	25/1
Stoke / Draw 6%	12/1	11/1 8%
Draw / Stoke 15%	9/2 10%	4/1 9%
Draw / Cardiff 11%	13/2 17%	6/1 13%
Draw / Draw 16%	4/1 9%	19/5 9%
Cardiff / Stoke 4%	22/1 10%	18/1
Cardiff / Cardiff 14%	5/1 14%	17/4 13%
Cardiff / Draw 6%	14/1	11/1 8%

Win / draw / win form

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Stoke	2 - 1	Hull
H	Stoke	0 - 0	Oxford Utd
A	Stoke	1 - 3	Portsmouth
A	Stoke	1 - 1	West Brom
A	Stoke	1 - 1	Sunderland
H	Stoke	0 - 0	Plymouth
A	Stoke	0 - 0	Burnley
H	Stoke	1 - 0	Sunderland
H	Stoke	0 - 2	Leeds
A	Stoke	0 - 2	Sheff Wed
H	Stoke	2 - 2	Cardiff
A	Stoke	1 - 2	Luton
A	Stoke	1 - 2	Sunderland
H	Stoke	0 - 2	Burnley
H	Stoke	0 - 0	Preston
A	Stoke	1 - 1	QPR
H	Stoke	1 - 1	Millwall
A	Stoke	2 - 0	Blackburn
H	Stoke	2 - 1	Derby
A	Stoke	2 - 3	Southampton

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Cardiff	0 - 7	Leeds
H	Cardiff	2 - 1	Derby
A	Cardiff	2 - 2	Millwall
H	Cardiff	3 - 0	Swansea
H	Cardiff	1 - 1	Watford
A	Cardiff	1 - 0	Sheff Utd
A	Cardiff	1 - 1	M'Boro
H	Cardiff	1 - 1	Coventry
A	Cardiff	2 - 1	Watford
A	Cardiff	2 - 3	Oxford Utd
H	Cardiff	0 - 2	Sheff Utd
A	Cardiff	2 - 2	Stoke
H	Cardiff	0 - 2	Preston
A	Cardiff	2 - 2	Coventry
H	Cardiff	0 - 2	QPR
A	Cardiff	1 - 1	Sheff Wed
H	Cardiff	1 - 3	Blackburn
A	Cardiff	0 - 1	Luton
H	Cardiff	2 - 1	Norwich
A	Cardiff	0 - 0	West Brom

Goal Statistics

	Stoke	Cardiff
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.6 goals	1.2 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 21% 1 33% 2 26% 3 14% 4+ 8% There is a 79% probability that Stoke will score 1 or more goals	0 30% 1 36% 2 22% 3 9% 4+ There is a 66% probability that Cardiff will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away games
20 home / away games	1.5 average goals scored	1.1 average goals scored
	1.1 conceded	2.1 conceded

Attack defence ratings past 20 games

better

STK

CAR

view stats

Games scored	0		0
Failed to score	0		0
Scored first	0		0
Goals scored	0		0
Avg. goals scored	0		0
Avg. shots per game	0		0
Avg. shots per goal	0		0
Conversion rate for	0		0
Avg. XG for	0		0
KickOff rating		0%

better

STK

CAR

view stats

Games conceded	0		0
Clean sheets	0		0
Conceded first	0		0
Goals conceded	0		0
Avg. goals conceded	0		0
Avg. shots/game conceded	0		0
Avg. shots/goal conceded	0		0
Conversion rate against	0%		0%
Avg. XG against	0		0
KickOff rating		0%

The line-ups for the FA Cup match between Stoke v Cardiff will show here when available.

Stoke FA Cup squad statistics 2024

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
1	0	0	1
V Johansson			J Tchamadeu

Players	Appserances	cards
V Johansson GLK	1	-
J Tchamadeu DEF	1	1 -
A Phillips DEF	1	-
B Wilmot DEF	1	-
E Stevens DEF	1	-
A Moran MID	1	1 -
W Burger MID	1	1 -
T Seko MID	1	-
L Baker MID	1	1 -
S. Sidibe MID	1	-
J. Bae MID	1	-
L. Koumas FWD	1	-
E Tezgel FWD	1	-
L Gooch FWD	1	-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
0	1	0	4
	L. Koumas		A Moran

Players	shots on	big chances
A Moran MID		4
W Burger MID		1
T Seko MID		2
L Baker MID		1
S. Sidibe MID		1
J. Bae MID		1
L. Koumas FWD	1
E Tezgel FWD	1
L Gooch FWD	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
91	6	10
B Wilmot	A Moran	A Moran

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
B Wilmot DEF	91	1	2
A Phillips DEF	90	4	7
L Baker MID	69		4
V Johansson GLK	60
A Moran MID	56	6	10
J Tchamadeu DEF	38	1	3
W Burger MID	36	5	10
T Seko MID	35	2	4
L Gooch FWD	30	1	3
J. Bae MID	24	1	3
E Stevens DEF	21	3	4
S. Sidibe MID	12	1	3
L. Koumas FWD	12	1	4
E Tezgel FWD	6	1	1

Cardiff FA Cup squad statistics 2024

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
1	1	0	0
E Horvath	C. Ashford

Players	Appserances	goals	cards
E Horvath GLK	1		-
J Daland DEF	1		-
W Fish DEF	1		-
J Bagan DEF	1		-
P Ng DEF	1		-
R. Kpakio DEF	1		-
A Rinomhota MID	1		-
A Robertson MID	1		-
C. Ashford MID	1	1	-
J Ralls MID	1		-
R Colwill MID	1		-
L Pearce FWD	1		-
O Tanner FWD	1		-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
1	3	0	2
C. Ashford	C. Ashford		R Colwill

Players	goals	shots on	big chances
C. Ashford MID	1	3
P Ng DEF			1
A Robertson MID			1
J Ralls MID			1
R Colwill MID			2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
37	6	7
J Bagan	O Tanner	J Ralls

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
J Bagan DEF	37	2	3
P Ng DEF	34	2	5
J Ralls MID	33	4	7
J Daland DEF	28	2	6
E Horvath GLK	27		1
W Fish DEF	27	1	2
O Tanner FWD	24	6	7
R Colwill MID	23		2
C. Ashford MID	11	2	4
R. Kpakio DEF	10		1
A Robertson MID	10		1
L Pearce FWD	10	1	4
A Rinomhota MID	2	1	2

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Stoke City v Cardiff City : FA Cup match betting preview, prediction and odds

The line-ups for the FA Cup match between Stoke v Cardiff will show here when available.

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