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Southampton v Swansea City : FA Cup match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 12th Jan, 16:30 BST, St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton

Swansea City pay FA Cup counterparts Southampton a visit on Sunday afternoon, as Luke Williams guides his team into an away clash with Russell Martin & co. at the St. Mary's Stadium. For every FA Cup match preview, KickOff dives into the stats for multiple markets. Key stats, including head-to-head results, are then brought forward alongside odds.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We've made over 1.5 goals our tip on this fixture, meaning that the teams will score a minimum of 2 goals between them during 90 minutes. Both Southampton and Swansea's current form stats suggest goals are to be expected, while their head-to-head (H2H) record also supports the bet. The bookies make it the most likely outcome in this market too, available at 1.22.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Southampton are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 55% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.80.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Southampton 55%	8/11 15%	4/5
Draw 23%	3/1 11%	29/10 4%
Swansea 23%	16/5 30%	16/5
Draw 1-1 11%	13/2 12%	6/1 8%
Southampton 2-1 10%	15/2	13/2
Southampton 1-0 10%	7/1 14%	13/2 7%
Southampton 2-0 9%	8/1 29%	15/2 6%
Southampton 3-1 6%	12/1	10/1 8%
Swansea 2-1 6%	12/1 24%	11/1
Swansea 1-0 6%	12/1 13%	10/1
Draw 2-2 5%	14/1 21%	11/1
Southampton 3-0 5%	12/1 30%	11/1
Draw 0-0 5%	12/1 8%	10/1 10%
Southampton 3-2 3%	22/1 12%	16/1 11%
Swansea 2-0 3%	22/1 21%	16/1
Southampton 4-1 3%	25/1 13%	20/1
Southampton 4-0 3%	25/1 24%	20/1
Swansea 3-1 2%	33/1 17%	22/1
Over 2.5 Goals 57%	8/11 4%	8/11 1%
Under 2.5 Goals 43%	11/10 5%	21/20 5%
Home 1st Goal 54%	1/2 10%	-
Away 1st Goal 43%	7/4 21%	-
No 1st Goal 3%	12/1 8%	-
BTTS - Yes 56%	7/10 13%	7/10 3%
BTTS - No 44%	21/20 14%	21/20 3%
BTTS - Home Win 27%	12/5 3%	12/5 3%
BTTS - Draw 18%	4/1 17%	18/5
BTTS - Away Win 12%	13/2 32%	11/2 7%
Home/draw 77%	2/9 9%	2/9
Away/draw 45%	21/20 18%	1/1 3%
Home/away 77%	2/9 3%	1/4
Over 1.5 Goals 79%	2/9 2%	2/9 2%
Under 1.5 Goals 21%	3/1 7%	14/5 6%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%	7/4 8%	7/4 5%
Under 3.5 Goals 66%	2/5 3%	2/5 3%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%	9/2 8%	4/1 5%
Under 4.5 Goals 82%	1/7 2%	2/13 2%
Over 5.5 Goals 8%	10/1 15%	17/2 5%
Under 5.5 Goals 92%	1/20 1%	1/20 1%
Over 0.5 Goals 95%	1/25	1/33 1%
Under 0.5 Goals 5%	12/1 8%	10/1 10%
Home DNB 70%	1/3 11%	1/3 1%
Away DNB 39%	9/4 25%	2/1
Southampton win to nil 28%	9/4 30%	-
Swansea win to nil 11%	7/1 20%	-
Southampton / Southampton 29%	7/4 20%	17/10 2%
Southampton / Swansea 3%	33/1 17%	25/1
Southampton / Draw 6%	12/1 13%	12/1
Draw / Southampton 17%	15/4 10%	18/5
Draw / Swansea 9%	17/2 27%	15/2
Draw / Draw 14%	5/1	9/2 5%
Swansea / Southampton 4%	20/1	16/1
Swansea / Swansea 12%	13/2 32%	5/1 8%
Swansea / Draw 6%	14/1 12%	12/1

Win / draw / win form

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

18 / 20

Clean sheets

2 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Southampton	0 - 5	Brentford
A	Southampton	1 - 2	C Palace
H	Southampton	0 - 1	West Ham
A	Southampton	0 - 0	Fulham
H	Southampton	1 - 2	Liverpool
H	Southampton	0 - 5	Spurs
A	Southampton	0 - 1	A Villa
H	Southampton	1 - 5	Chelsea
A	Southampton	1 - 1	Brighton
H	Southampton	2 - 3	Liverpool
A	Southampton	0 - 2	Wolves
H	Southampton	1 - 0	Everton
H	Southampton	3 - 2	Stoke
A	Southampton	0 - 1	Man City
H	Southampton	2 - 3	Leicester
A	Southampton	1 - 3	Arsenal
A	Southampton	1 - 3	Bournemouth
H	Southampton	1 - 1	Ipswich
A	Southampton	1 - 1	Everton
H	Southampton	0 - 3	Man Utd

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Swansea	1 - 1	West Brom
A	Swansea	0 - 4	Portsmouth
H	Swansea	2 - 1	Luton
H	Swansea	3 - 0	QPR
A	Swansea	1 - 2	Hull
H	Swansea	2 - 3	Sunderland
A	Swansea	2 - 1	Plymouth
A	Swansea	1 - 1	Luton
H	Swansea	2 - 2	Portsmouth
A	Swansea	2 - 1	Derby
H	Swansea	3 - 4	Leeds
A	Swansea	0 - 1	Burnley
H	Swansea	1 - 0	Watford
A	Swansea	2 - 1	Oxford Utd
H	Swansea	0 - 1	Millwall
A	Swansea	0 - 0	Sheff Wed
A	Swansea	0 - 1	Blackburn
H	Swansea	0 - 0	Stoke
A	Swansea	0 - 1	Sheff Utd
H	Swansea	1 - 1	Bristol C

Goal Statistics

	Southampton	Swansea
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.8 goals	1.1 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 16% 1 29% 2 27% 3 17% 4+ 12% There is a 84% probability that Southampton will score 1 or more goals	0 33% 1 37% 2 20% 3 4+ There is a 70% probability that Swansea will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away games
20 home / away games	1.4 average goals scored	1.0 average goals scored
	2.1 conceded	1.2 conceded

Attack defence ratings past 20 games

SOU

SWA

16%

better

view stats

Games scored	12		13
Failed to score	8		7
Scored first	6		8
Goals scored	16		23
Avg. goals scored	0.8		1.2
Avg. shots per game	6		9
Avg. shots per goal	8		8
Conversion rate for	13		13
Avg. XG for	1.1		1.5
KickOff rating		+16%

SOU

SWA

24%

better

view stats

Games conceded	18		16
Clean sheets	2		4
Conceded first	13		10
Goals conceded	44		26
Avg. goals conceded	2.2		1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded	13		8
Avg. shots/goal conceded	6		6
Conversion rate against	17%		16%
Avg. XG against	2.3		1.4
KickOff rating		+24%

The line-ups for the FA Cup match between Southampton v Swansea will show here when available.

Southampton FA Cup squad statistics 2024

Overall

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards

NO DATA AVAILABLE

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances

NO DATA AVAILABLE

Swansea FA Cup squad statistics 2024

Overall

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards

NO DATA AVAILABLE

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances

NO DATA AVAILABLE

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Southampton v Swansea City : FA Cup match betting preview, prediction and odds

The line-ups for the FA Cup match between Southampton v Swansea will show here when available.

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