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Southampton v Burnley : FA Cup match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 8th Feb, 15:00 BST, St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton

Ivan Juric and Scott Parker meet in the FA Cup on Saturday afternoon, as Southampton face Burnley at the St. Mary's Stadium. Our goal is for you to win betting on this match, so every stats you could realistically need to make a sound selection is shown below. Flip between seventeen betting markets or take our top tip. We have predictions, head-to-head analysis and the best odds for it all.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

It's our view that there's not a clear favourite to claim victory here, but does appear clear is that the odds suggest it'll have 3 goals or less. Our statistical analysis draws the same conclusion. Southampton and Burnley have served up plenty of under 3.5 goal games of late, and key performance stats point towards those records being extended. We feel confident predicting under 3.5 goals on Saturday afternoon, and the bookies have it priced at 1.29.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Southampton are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 57% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.73.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Southampton 57%	13/20 21%	8/11 16%
Draw 24%	5/2 9%	13/5 3%
Burnley 19%	19/4 60%	4/1 43%
Southampton 1-0 13%	11/2 19%	5/1 14%
Draw 1-1 11%	11/2 8%	11/2
Southampton 2-0 11%	13/2 25%	6/1 22%
Southampton 2-1 10%	15/2 6%	13/2 6%
Draw 0-0 7%	8/1 10%	7/1 6%
Burnley 1-0 7%	12/1 8%	10/1 22%
Southampton 3-0 6%	11/1 37%	10/1 27%
Southampton 3-1 6%	14/1 12%	11/1 8%
Burnley 2-1 5%	16/1 31%	12/1 18%
Draw 2-2 4%	16/1 31%	14/1 25%
Burnley 2-0 3%	25/1 37%	18/1 27%
Southampton 4-0 3%	25/1 37%	18/1 27%
Southampton 3-2 2%	28/1 12%	20/1
Southampton 4-1 2%	28/1 15%	20/1 19%
Burnley 3-1 1%	40/1 41%	28/1 38%
Over 2.5 Goals 48%	1/1 5%	1/1 5%
Under 2.5 Goals 52%	4/5 6%	3/4 3%
Home 1st Goal 55%	4/9 11%	-
Away 1st Goal 40%	11/5 28%	-
No 1st Goal 5%	8/1 10%	-
BTTS - Yes 48%	19/20 11%	19/20 8%
BTTS - No 52%	4/5 10%	4/5 6%
BTTS - Home Win 23%	3/1 8%	11/4 6%
BTTS - Draw 16%	15/4 10%	19/5 7%
BTTS - Away Win 9%	10/1 57%	8/1 38%
Home/draw 81%	1/7 12%	1/6 9%
Away/draw 43%	6/5 29%	11/10 20%
Home/away 76%	2/7 5%	2/7 1%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%	3/10 1%	1/3 2%
Under 1.5 Goals 27%	12/5 3%	21/10 5%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%	5/2 8%	12/5 5%
Under 3.5 Goals 74%	2/7 3%	2/7 1%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%	6/1 8%	11/2 8%
Under 4.5 Goals 88%	1/10 1%	1/11 1%
Over 5.5 Goals 5%	14/1	12/1 8%
Under 5.5 Goals 95%	1/33	1/40
Over 0.5 Goals 93%	1/14 1%	1/18
Under 0.5 Goals 7%	8/1 10%	7/1 6%
Home DNB 74%	2/9 15%	1/4 16%
Away DNB 36%	3/1 53%	13/5 44%
Southampton win to nil 34%	13/8 25%	-
Burnley win to nil 11%	8/1 38%	-
Southampton / Southampton 31%	13/8 23%	8/5 19%
Southampton / Burnley 2%	40/1 21%	33/1 31%
Southampton / Draw 6%	14/1 15%	12/1 8%
Draw / Southampton 19%	10/3 13%	10/3 13%
Draw / Burnley 8%	9/1 25%	17/2 27%
Draw / Draw 16%	9/2 10%	19/5
Burnley / Southampton 4%	22/1	18/1
Burnley / Burnley 10%	8/1 50%	13/2 36%
Burnley / Draw 5%	16/1 13%	12/1

Win / draw / win form

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Southampton	2 - 1	Ipswich
H	Southampton	1 - 3	Newcastle
A	Southampton	2 - 3	Nottm Forest
A	Southampton	1 - 3	Man Utd
H	Southampton	3 - 0	Swansea
H	Southampton	0 - 5	Brentford
A	Southampton	1 - 2	C Palace
H	Southampton	0 - 1	West Ham
A	Southampton	0 - 0	Fulham
H	Southampton	1 - 2	Liverpool
H	Southampton	0 - 5	Spurs
A	Southampton	0 - 1	A Villa
H	Southampton	1 - 5	Chelsea
A	Southampton	1 - 1	Brighton
H	Southampton	2 - 3	Liverpool
A	Southampton	0 - 2	Wolves
H	Southampton	1 - 0	Everton
H	Southampton	3 - 2	Stoke
A	Southampton	0 - 1	Man City
H	Southampton	2 - 3	Leicester

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

11 / 20

Conceded

5 / 20

Clean sheets

15 / 20

Failed to score

9 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Burnley	0 - 0	Portsmouth
H	Burnley	0 - 0	Leeds
A	Burnley	5 - 0	Plymouth
H	Burnley	0 - 0	Sunderland
A	Burnley	1 - 1	Reading
A	Burnley	1 - 0	Blackburn
H	Burnley	0 - 0	Stoke
A	Burnley	0 - 0	M'Boro
A	Burnley	2 - 0	Sheff Utd
H	Burnley	2 - 1	Watford
A	Burnley	2 - 1	Norwich
H	Burnley	0 - 0	Derby
H	Burnley	1 - 1	M'Boro
A	Burnley	2 - 0	Stoke
H	Burnley	2 - 0	Coventry
A	Burnley	1 - 0	Bristol C
H	Burnley	1 - 0	Swansea
A	Burnley	0 - 0	West Brom
A	Burnley	0 - 1	Millwall
H	Burnley	0 - 0	QPR

Goal Statistics

	Southampton	Burnley
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.7 goals	0.9 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 18% 1 31% 2 26% 3 15% 4+ 9% There is a 82% probability that Southampton will score 1 or more goals	0 41% 1 37% 2 16% 3 4+ There is a 78% probability of Burnley scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away games
20 home / away games	1.4 average goals scored	1.2 average goals scored
	2.0 conceded	0.6 conceded

Attack defence ratings past 20 games

better

SOU

BRN

view stats

Games scored	0		0
Failed to score	0		0
Scored first	0		0
Goals scored	0		0
Avg. goals scored	0		0
Avg. shots per game	0		0
Avg. shots per goal	0		0
Conversion rate for	0		0
Avg. XG for	0		0
KickOff rating		0%

better

SOU

BRN

view stats

Games conceded	0		0
Clean sheets	0		0
Conceded first	0		0
Goals conceded	0		0
Avg. goals conceded	0		0
Avg. shots/game conceded	0		0
Avg. shots/goal conceded	0		0
Conversion rate against	0%		0%
Avg. XG against	0		0
KickOff rating		0%

The line-ups for the FA Cup match between Southampton v Burnley will show here when available.

Southampton FA Cup squad statistics 2024

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
1	2	1	1
A Ramsdale	T Obling	L Ugochukwu	R Manning

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
A Ramsdale GLK	1			-
T Harwood-Bellis DEF	1			-
N Wood DEF	1			-
J Bree DEF	1			-
J Bednarek DEF	1			-
R Manning DEF	1			1 -
K Walker-Peters DEF	1			-
W Smallbone MID	1			-
L Ugochukwu MID	1		1	-
A Lallana MID	1			-
M Fernandes MID	1			-
J Aribo MID	1			-
C Archer FWD	1			-
T Obling FWD	1	2		-
K Sulemana FWD	1	1	1	-
A Armstrong FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
2	2	1	3
T Obling	T Obling	L Ugochukwu	M Fernandes

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
T Obling FWD	2	2
K Sulemana FWD	1	2	1	1
T Harwood-Bellis DEF				1
J Bree DEF				2
J Bednarek DEF		1
R Manning DEF				2
K Walker-Peters DEF		1
L Ugochukwu MID			1	1
M Fernandes MID				3
J Aribo MID				1
C Archer FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
66	3	6
T Harwood-Bellis	L Ugochukwu	L Ugochukwu

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
T Harwood-Bellis DEF	66	2	4
J Bree DEF	54		1
K Walker-Peters DEF	44
J Aribo MID	42	1	5
M Fernandes MID	38	1	6
A Ramsdale GLK	37
L Ugochukwu MID	35	3	6
J Bednarek DEF	32	1	4
R Manning DEF	31	1	3
K Sulemana FWD	20	1	6
W Smallbone MID	14
N Wood DEF	11		1
C Archer FWD	11	2	2
T Obling FWD	9	1	1
A Armstrong FWD	7		1
A Lallana MID	6

Burnley FA Cup squad statistics 2024

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
1	2	0	0
V Hladky	Z Flemming

Players	Appserances	goals	cards
V Hladky GLK	1		-
L Pires DEF	1		-
B Humphreys DEF	1		-
J Worrall DEF	1		-
O Sonne DEF	1		-
J Egan DEF	1		-
T McDermott MID	1		-
Z Flemming MID	1	2	-
J Laurent MID	1		-
M Trésor FWD	1		-
A Barnes FWD	1		-
L Foster FWD	1	1	-
L Koleosho FWD	1		-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
2	0	0	0
Z Flemming

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
Z Flemming MID	2
L Foster FWD	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
0	0	0

Players	passes	tackles	duels won

English FA Cup match betting previews, predictions and odds

Everton v Bournemouth

Sat 8th Feb, 15:00

Southampton v Burnley

Sat 8th Feb, 15:00

Stoke v Cardiff

Sat 8th Feb, 15:00

Birmingham v Newcastle

Exeter v Nottm Forest

Tue 11th Feb, 20:00

Southampton v Burnley : FA Cup match betting preview, prediction and odds

The line-ups for the FA Cup match between Southampton v Burnley will show here when available.

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