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Manchester City v Plymouth Argyle : FA Cup match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 1st Mar, 17:45 BST, Etihad Stadium, Manchester

Pep Guardiola's Manchester City side are on home soil in the FA Cup on Saturday evening, as Leonid Kuchuk's Plymouth Argyle visit the Etihad Stadium. Our predictions are based on in-depth statistical analysis of both teams' performance, across 17 of the main betting markets. The data and the odds change with each market, and head to head (H2H) statistics are included across them all.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Man City 65%	-	-
Draw 19%	-	-
Plymouth 16%	-	-
Man City 2-0 10%	-	-
Man City 2-1 10%	-	-
Man City 1-0 9%	-	-
Draw 1-1 9%	-	-
Man City 3-1 7%	-	-
Man City 3-0 7%	-	-
Draw 2-2 5%	-	-
Plymouth 2-1 4%	-	-
Man City 4-1 4%	-	-
Man City 4-0 4%	-	-
Draw 0-0 4%	-	-
Plymouth 1-0 4%	-	-
Man City 3-2 4%	-	-
Man City 4-2 2%	-	-
Plymouth 2-0 2%	-	-
Over 2.5 Goals 63%	-	-
Under 2.5 Goals 37%	-	-
Home 1st Goal 57%	-	-
Away 1st Goal 41%	-	-
No 1st Goal 2%	-	-
BTTS - Yes 56%	-	-
BTTS - No 44%	-	-
BTTS - Home Win 32%	-	-
BTTS - Draw 15%	-	-
BTTS - Away Win 9%	-	-
Home/draw 84%	-	-
Away/draw 35%	-	-
Home/away 81%	-	-
Over 1.5 Goals 83%	-	-
Under 1.5 Goals 17%	-	-
Over 3.5 Goals 40%	-	-
Under 3.5 Goals 60%	-	-
Over 4.5 Goals 22%	-	-
Under 4.5 Goals 78%	-	-
Over 5.5 Goals 11%	-	-
Under 5.5 Goals 89%	-	-
Over 0.5 Goals 96%	-	-
Under 0.5 Goals 4%	-	-
Home DNB 78%	-	-
Away DNB 29%	-	-
Man City win to nil 33%	-	-
Plymouth win to nil 7%	-	-

Win / draw / win form

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Man City	2 - 3	Real Madrid
A	Man City	2 - 1	L Orient
A	Man City	1 - 5	Arsenal
H	Man City	3 - 1	Brugge
H	Man City	3 - 1	Chelsea
A	Man City	2 - 4	PSG
A	Man City	6 - 0	Ipswich
A	Man City	2 - 2	Brentford
H	Man City	8 - 0	Salford
H	Man City	4 - 1	West Ham
A	Man City	2 - 0	Leicester
H	Man City	1 - 1	Everton
A	Man City	1 - 2	A Villa
H	Man City	1 - 2	Man Utd
A	Man City	0 - 2	Juventus
A	Man City	2 - 2	C Palace
H	Man City	3 - 0	Nottm Forest
A	Man City	0 - 2	Liverpool
H	Man City	3 - 3	Feyenoord
H	Man City	0 - 4	Spurs

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Plymouth	5 - 1	Millwall
H	Plymouth	1 - 0	Liverpool
H	Plymouth	2 - 1	West Brom
A	Plymouth	2 - 2	Sunderland
H	Plymouth	0 - 5	Burnley
H	Plymouth	0 - 1	QPR
H	Plymouth	1 - 1	Oxford Utd
A	Plymouth	1 - 0	Brentford
A	Plymouth	0 - 0	Stoke
H	Plymouth	2 - 2	Bristol C
A	Plymouth	0 - 2	Oxford Utd
A	Plymouth	0 - 4	Coventry
H	Plymouth	3 - 3	M'Boro
A	Plymouth	0 - 2	Sheff Utd
H	Plymouth	1 - 2	Swansea
A	Plymouth	0 - 4	Bristol C
A	Plymouth	1 - 6	Norwich
H	Plymouth	2 - 2	Watford
A	Plymouth	1 - 1	Derby
H	Plymouth	1 - 0	Portsmouth

Goal Statistics

Manchester City's forwards have been in fine form of late, scoring 2 goals or more in 3 consecutive FA Cup outings. A PG of 2.2 suggests that run should continue on Saturday evening.

	Man City	Plymouth
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	2.2 goals	1.0 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 11% 1 24% 2 27% 3 20% 4+ 19% There is a 65% probability that Man City will score 2 or more goals in this match	0 37% 1 37% 2 18% 3 4+ There is a 74% probability of Plymouth scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away games
20 home / away games	2.6 average goals scored	0.4 average goals scored
	1.3 conceded	2.2 conceded

Attack defence ratings past 20 games

34%

better

MCI

PLY

view stats

Games scored	17		13
Failed to score	3		7
Scored first	11		6
Goals scored	46		23
Avg. goals scored	2.3		1.2
Avg. shots per game	11		6
Avg. shots per goal	5		5
Conversion rate for	21		18
Avg. XG for	2		0.9
KickOff rating		+34%

better

MCI

PLY

view stats

Games conceded	16		16
Clean sheets	4		4
Conceded first	9		13
Goals conceded	36		39
Avg. goals conceded	1.8		2
Avg. shots/game conceded	10		10
Avg. shots/goal conceded	6		5
Conversion rate against	18%		20%
Avg. XG against	1.6		1.6
KickOff rating		+9%

The line-ups for the FA Cup match between Man City v Plymouth will show here when available.

Man City FA Cup squad statistics 2024

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
2	3	3	1
J McAtee	J McAtee	J Grealish	J McAtee

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
J McAtee MID	2	3		1 -
I Gündogan MID	2			-
S Sávio FWD	2			-
P Foden FWD	2		1	-
J Grealish FWD	2	1	3	-
Ederson GLK	1			-
S Ortega GLK	1			-
J. Simpson-Pusey DEF	1			-
V. de Oliveira Nunes dos Reis DEF	1			-
A. Khusanov DEF	1	1		-
J Stones DEF	1			-
R Lewis DEF	1		1	-
R Dias DEF	1			-
N Aké DEF	1			-
M Akanji DEF	1			-
M Kovacic MID	1			-
K Bruyne MID	1	1		-
M Nunes MID	1		1	-
B Silva MID	1			-
N González MID	1			-
O Marmoush FWD	1			-
J Doku FWD	1	2	2	-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
3	4	3	5
J McAtee	J McAtee	J Grealish	J Grealish

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
J McAtee MID	3	4		1
J Doku FWD	2	2	2	1
J Grealish FWD	1	1	3	5
A. Khusanov DEF	1	1
K Bruyne MID	1	1
S Sávio FWD				3
O Marmoush FWD		3
B Silva MID		2
M Nunes MID			1	1
R Dias DEF		1
N Aké DEF				1
P Foden FWD			1	1
I Gündogan MID		2		1
J. Simpson-Pusey DEF		1
R Lewis DEF			1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
145	4	11
I Gündogan	S Sávio	J Grealish

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
I Gündogan MID	145	3	9
J Grealish FWD	79	2	11
J McAtee MID	63	1	4
J. Simpson-Pusey DEF	59	1	2
R Lewis DEF	58	4	5
R Dias DEF	57
M Nunes MID	53	1	3
J Stones DEF	48		1
A. Khusanov DEF	48		1
Ederson GLK	44
S Sávio FWD	43	4	10
B Silva MID	39		1
V. de Oliveira Nunes dos Reis DEF	38	1	2
M Akanji DEF	38		1
P Foden FWD	35
N Aké DEF	26
M Kovacic MID	21		1
S Ortega GLK	20		1
J Doku FWD	19		2
N González MID	12
O Marmoush FWD	12	2	6
K Bruyne MID	7	2	3

Plymouth FA Cup squad statistics 2024

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
2	1	1	2
C Hazard	R Hardie	M Sorinola	M Taloverov

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
C Hazard GLK	2			1 -
J Pleguezuelo DEF	2			-
T Puchacz DEF	2			-
M Sorinola DEF	2		1	1 -
V Pálsson DEF	2			-
A Randell MID	2			-
C Wright MID	2			-
D Gyabi MID	2			-
M Bundu FWD	2			1 -
M Taloverov DEF	1			2 -
N Katic DEF	1			-
N Ogbeta DEF	1			-
B Galloway DEF	1			-
B Mumba DEF	1			-
M Boateng MID	1			-
C Roberts MID	1			-
M Baidoo MID	1			-
R Hardie FWD	1	1		-
M Tijani FWD	1			-
M Obafemi FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
1	2	1	2
R Hardie	R Hardie	M Sorinola	M Sorinola

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
R Hardie FWD	1	2
B Mumba DEF				1
C Wright MID		1		1
A Randell MID				1
M Sorinola DEF			1	2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
51	8	13
C Hazard	J Pleguezuelo	J Pleguezuelo

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
C Hazard GLK	51		2
A Randell MID	43	1	5
C Wright MID	42	4	13
J Pleguezuelo DEF	32	8	13
B Mumba DEF	29	4	9
M Sorinola DEF	28	5	11
V Pálsson DEF	28	1	3
M Bundu FWD	25	1	6
C Roberts MID	20	4	4
B Galloway DEF	18	4	6
M Taloverov DEF	18	1	6
D Gyabi MID	15	4	7
N Katic DEF	13	1	5
T Puchacz DEF	12	2	3
R Hardie FWD	9	2	3
M Baidoo MID	9	1	3
M Boateng MID	7	1	1
M Tijani FWD	7	1	2
M Obafemi FWD	5

English FA Cup match betting previews, predictions and odds

Manchester City v Plymouth Argyle : FA Cup match betting preview, prediction and odds

The line-ups for the FA Cup match between Man City v Plymouth will show here when available.

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