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Birmingham City v Lincoln City : FA Cup match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 11th Jan, 12:00 BST, St. Andrew's Stadium, Birmingham

Michael Skubala pays counterpart Chris Davies a visit on Saturday lunch time in the FA Cup, as their Lincoln City and Birmingham City teams face each other at the St. Andrew's Stadium. We want to see our users winning on this match, so every statistics you could realistically need to make a smart selection is laid out below. Go between 17 betting markets or take our top tip. We've got predictions, head-to-head analysis and the best odds for every one.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We do not expect to see a a bore-draw or a slim 1-0 win here, and instead are predicting over 1.5 goals. That means that Birmingham and Lincoln will score at least two between them during the standard 90 mins. This is based on each side's recent form stats, as well as past records of their head-to-head clashes. We give it a probability of 81%. The bookmakers have it at 1.29.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Birmingham are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 59% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.65.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Birmingham 53%	-	17/20 12%
Draw 24%	-	12/5 19%
Lincoln 23%	-	17/5 8%
Draw 1-1 11%	-	11/2 13%
Birmingham 1-0 10%	-	19/4 23%
Birmingham 2-1 10%	-	7/1 7%
Birmingham 2-0 9%	-	13/2 6%
Lincoln 1-0 6%	-	17/2 27%
Lincoln 2-1 6%	-	11/1 8%
Draw 0-0 6%	-	13/2 38%
Birmingham 3-1 6%	-	12/1 18%
Birmingham 3-0 5%	-	12/1 18%
Draw 2-2 5%	-	14/1 25%
Lincoln 2-0 3%	-	16/1 11%
Birmingham 3-2 3%	-	22/1 35%
Birmingham 4-1 2%	-	25/1 53%
Birmingham 4-0 2%	-	22/1 35%
Lincoln 3-1 2%	-	28/1 12%
Over 2.5 Goals 54%	-	11/10 30%
Under 2.5 Goals 46%	-	13/20 25%
Home 1st Goal 54%	-	-
Away 1st Goal 43%	-	-
No 1st Goal 3%	-	-
BTTS - Yes 54%	-	1/1 18%
BTTS - No 46%	-	3/4 17%
BTTS - Home Win 25%	-	16/5 35%
BTTS - Draw 18%	-	19/5
BTTS - Away Win 12%	-	7/1 7%
Home/draw 77%	-	1/5 2%
Away/draw 47%	-	10/11 13%
Home/away 76%	-	3/10 7%
Over 1.5 Goals 77%	-	4/11 13%
Under 1.5 Goals 23%	-	15/8 31%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%	-	11/4 50%
Under 3.5 Goals 69%	-	1/4 16%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%	-	13/2 70%
Under 4.5 Goals 84%	-	1/14 9%
Over 5.5 Goals 7%	-	14/1 88%
Under 5.5 Goals 93%	-	1/80 5%
Over 0.5 Goals 94%	-	1/14 5%
Under 0.5 Goals 6%	-	13/2 38%
Home DNB 70%	-	1/3 6%
Away DNB 40%	-	2/1 14%
Birmingham win to nil 28%	-	-
Lincoln win to nil 12%	-	-
Birmingham / Birmingham 27%	-	15/8 18%
Birmingham / Lincoln 3%	-	28/1
Birmingham / Draw 6%	-	12/1
Draw / Birmingham 17%	-	7/2 2%
Draw / Lincoln 9%	-	15/2 11%
Draw / Draw 17%	-	7/2 25%
Lincoln / Birmingham 4%	-	20/1 24%
Lincoln / Lincoln 12%	-	11/2 7%
Lincoln / Draw 6%	-	12/1

Win / draw / win form

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

9 / 20

Clean sheets

11 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Birmingham	3 - 0	Wigan
A	Birmingham	1 - 1	Stockport
H	Birmingham	0 - 0	Blackpool
H	Birmingham	2 - 0	Burton
A	Birmingham	1 - 0	Crawley
H	Birmingham	2 - 0	Bristol R
A	Birmingham	2 - 1	Barnsley
H	Birmingham	2 - 0	Stockport
A	Birmingham	2 - 1	Blackpool
A	Birmingham	2 - 0	Exeter
A	Birmingham	2 - 3	Shrewsbury
H	Birmingham	1 - 1	Northampton
A	Birmingham	1 - 0	Sutton
A	Birmingham	1 - 1	Mansfield
H	Birmingham	2 - 0	Bolton
A	Birmingham	3 - 1	Lincoln
A	Birmingham	0 - 1	Charlton
H	Birmingham	1 - 0	Huddersfield
H	Birmingham	3 - 2	Peterborough
A	Birmingham	2 - 0	Rotherham

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Lincoln	0 - 0	Stevenage
H	Lincoln	0 - 1	Rotherham
A	Lincoln	0 - 3	Bolton
A	Lincoln	0 - 1	Shrewsbury
H	Lincoln	2 - 0	Reading
A	Lincoln	2 - 2	Huddersfield
H	Lincoln	0 - 0	Charlton
A	Lincoln	1 - 2	Rotherham
A	Lincoln	4 - 3	Crawley
A	Lincoln	0 - 1	Wrexham
H	Lincoln	2 - 3	Wycombe
A	Lincoln	0 - 0	Exeter
A	Lincoln	1 - 1	Bristol R
A	Lincoln	4 - 0	Chesham Utd
H	Lincoln	2 - 1	Northampton
H	Lincoln	2 - 1	Stockport
A	Lincoln	0 - 3	Crawley
H	Lincoln	1 - 3	Birmingham
H	Lincoln	2 - 1	L Orient
A	Lincoln	1 - 1	Blackpool

Goal Statistics

Birmingham City's defensive record is very strong, C. Davies's men having conceded 1 or less in 9 consecutive FA Cup games. An average PG rating of 1.0 for Lincoln City makes sense in this context.

	Birmingham	Lincoln
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.7 goals	1.1 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 17% 1 30% 2 27% 3 15% 4+ 10% There is a 83% probability that Birmingham will score 1 or more goals	0 34% 1 37% 2 20% 3 4+ There is a 71% probability that Lincoln will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away games
20 home / away games	1.5 average goals scored	1.6 average goals scored
	0.8 conceded	1.2 conceded

Attack defence ratings past 20 games

34%

better

BIR

LIN

view stats

Games scored	18		12
Failed to score	2		8
Scored first	14		6
Goals scored	33		24
Avg. goals scored	1.7		1.2
Avg. shots per game	8		9
Avg. shots per goal	5		7
Conversion rate for	20		14
Avg. XG for	1.6		1.1
KickOff rating		+34%

45%

better

BIR

LIN

view stats

Games conceded	9		15
Clean sheets	11		5
Conceded first	5		11
Goals conceded	12		27
Avg. goals conceded	0.6		1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded	6		7
Avg. shots/goal conceded	10		5
Conversion rate against	11%		20%
Avg. XG against	0.8		1
KickOff rating		+45%

The line-ups for the FA Cup match between Birmingham v Lincoln will show here when available.

Birmingham FA Cup squad statistics 2024

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
2	1	1	1
L Harris	L Jutkiewicz	S Paik	M Leonard

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
C Klarer GLK	1			-
L Jutkiewicz GLK	2	1		-
S Wright GLK				-
M Leonard GLK	1			1 -
L Dykes GLK	1	1		1 -
T Gardner-Hickman GLK	1			-
A Cochrane GLK	1			1 -
A Sampsted GLK	1			-
L Harris GLK	2			1 -
A Yokoyama GLK	2			-
B Peacock-Farrell GLK	1			-
Subs
E Laird GLK	2			1 -
A May GLK	2			-
S Paik GLK	2		1	-
A Chang GLK				-
W Willumsson GLK	1	1		-
R Allsop GLK	1			1 -
T Iwata GLK	1			-
B Davies GLK	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
1	1	1	0
L Jutkiewicz	L Harris	S Paik

Players	goals	shots on	Assists
L Jutkiewicz GLK	1
L Dykes GLK	1
L Harris GLK		1
Subs
W Willumsson GLK	1	1
S Paik GLK			1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
145	3	8
B Davies	C Klarer	C Klarer

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
C Klarer GLK	92	3	8
A Cochrane GLK	85		2
L Harris GLK	27	1	2
A Yokoyama GLK	10	2	2
A Sampsted GLK	8	1	1
L Jutkiewicz GLK	7		2
Subs
B Davies GLK	145	2	5
T Iwata GLK	91		2
S Paik GLK	80	1	4
W Willumsson GLK	42	3	5
R Allsop GLK	35
E Laird GLK	27		2
A May GLK	7

Lincoln FA Cup squad statistics 2024

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
2	2	1	1
P O'Connor	J Makama	J Moylan	G Wickens

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
C McGrandles GLK	1	1		-
P O'Connor GLK	2	1		-
D Jefferies GLK	2			-
S Roughan GLK	2			-
J Makama GLK	2	2		-
J Moylan GLK	2	2	1	-
Z Jeacock GLK				-
T Darikwa GLK	2		1	-
L Montsma GLK	1			-
E Erhahon GLK	1			-
B Cadamarteri GLK	2			-
Subs
D Duffy GLK				-
F Draper GLK	2		1	-
Z. Okoro GLK	1			-
G Wickens GLK	2			1 -
A Jackson GLK	1			-
R Hackett GLK	2			-
T Bayliss GLK				-
E Hamilton GLK	2			-
E Ring GLK	2	1	1	-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
2	2	1	1
J Makama	J Makama	J Moylan	S Roughan

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
J Makama GLK	2	2
J Moylan GLK	2	2	1
C McGrandles GLK	1	1
P O'Connor GLK	1
S Roughan GLK				1
T Darikwa GLK			1
B Cadamarteri GLK		1		1
Subs
E Ring GLK	1	1	1
F Draper GLK			1	1
Z. Okoro GLK		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
49	4	16
P O'Connor	E Ring	P O'Connor

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
P O'Connor GLK	49	1	16
S Roughan GLK	49	2	6
T Darikwa GLK	40	1	7
C McGrandles GLK	28	3	5
J Moylan GLK	19	1	3
J Makama GLK	11		2
B Cadamarteri GLK	6		2
D Jefferies GLK	5	1	1
Subs
E Ring GLK	27	4	6
G Wickens GLK	19
R Hackett GLK	16
F Draper GLK	11	1	6
E Hamilton GLK	6
Z. Okoro GLK	2

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Birmingham City v Lincoln City : FA Cup match betting preview, prediction and odds

The line-ups for the FA Cup match between Birmingham v Lincoln will show here when available.

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