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Arsenal v Manchester United : FA Cup match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 12th Jan, 15:00 BST, Emirates Stadium, London

Mikel Arteta's Arsenal side will have home backing in the FA Cup on Sunday afternoon, as Erik ten Hag's Manchester United visit the Emirates Stadium. You'll see stats supporting our top of below, but there are 16 other markets we're covering too. We aim to deliver as full a picture as possible, with FA Cup performances and head to heads (H2Hs) included, so that you can make a smart bet. Finally, be sure to get the best odds from leading bookmakers.


Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The stats suggest there's no obvious winner for this clash, but the evidence does point towards the conclusion that Arsenal and Man Utd will score at least a couple of goals between them. That has been the case when they've gone head-to-head in years gone by, and neither Mikel Arteta or Erik ten Hag has suffered the frustration of many 0-0s recently either. The bookmakers are predicting over 1.5 goals too, with best odds of 1.25 equating to roughly a 77% probability.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Arsenal are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 57% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.73.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Arsenal
57%
8/11
10%
8/11
8%
Draw
23%
5/2
8%
14/5
12%
Man Utd
20%
4/1
13%
18/5
8%
Draw 1-1
11%
6/1
7%
6/1
7%
Arsenal 1-0
11%
13/2
6%
11/2
7%
Arsenal 2-1
10%
15/213/2
Arsenal 2-0
10%
15/213/2
Arsenal 3-1
6%
12/1
8%
10/1
10%
Arsenal 3-0
6%
12/1
8%
10/1
10%
Man Utd 1-0
6%
14/1
12%
10/1
15%
Draw 0-0
6%
10/1
15%
17/2
21%
Man Utd 2-1
5%
14/1
12%
12/1
Draw 2-2
5%
14/112/1
Arsenal 3-2
3%
25/1
13%
18/1
12%
Man Utd 2-0
3%
25/1
10%
18/1
10%
Arsenal 4-1
3%
25/1
13%
18/1
12%
Arsenal 4-0
3%
25/1
24%
18/1
12%
Man Utd 3-1
2%
40/125/1
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
10/11
14%
4/5
9%
Under 2.5 Goals
46%
10/11
13%
10/11
11%
Home 1st Goal
55%
1/2
7%
-
Away 1st Goal
41%
15/8
7%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
10/1
15%
-
BTTS - Yes
53%
4/5
6%
4/5
4%
BTTS - No
47%
19/20
5%
10/11
5%
BTTS - Home Win
26%
13/5
13%
12/5
10%
BTTS - Draw
17%
15/419/5
4%
BTTS - Away Win
10%
8/1
5%
13/2
6%
Home/draw
80%
1/6
3%
2/11
1%
Away/draw
43%
21/20
11%
11/10
9%
Home/away
77%
2/7
3%
1/4
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
78%
1/4
4%
1/4
4%
Under 1.5 Goals
22%
11/4
13%
5/2
13%
Over 3.5 Goals
32%
2/1
15%
19/10
12%
Under 3.5 Goals
68%
4/11
6%
4/11
6%
Over 4.5 Goals
16%
5/1
20%
9/2
20%
Under 4.5 Goals
84%
1/8
4%
2/15
3%
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
12/1
30%
9/1
18%
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1/25
2%
1/25
2%
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/20
1%
1/25
2%
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
10/1
15%
17/2
21%
Home DNB
73%
2/7
6%
2/7
6%
Away DNB
36%
5/2
13%
12/5
9%
Arsenal win to nil
31%
2/1
9%
-
Man Utd win to nil
10%
8/1
18%
-
Arsenal / Arsenal
30%
7/4
15%
8/5
9%
Arsenal / Man Utd
3%
33/1
17%
28/1
Arsenal / Draw
6%
12/1
13%
12/1
Draw / Arsenal
18%
7/217/5
2%
Draw / Man Utd
8%
9/1
9%
8/1
10%
Draw / Draw
15%
9/2
8%
17/4
13%
Man Utd / Arsenal
4%
20/116/1
Man Utd / Man Utd
11%
7/1
11%
6/1
7%
Man Utd / Draw
6%
14/112/1
bet365
Match Predictor Pro
Your ultimate betting assistant
Try it now
Win / draw / win form
Arsenal
20 games
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
11
Draw
5
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HArsenal0 - 2Newcastle
AArsenal1 - 1Brighton
AArsenal3 - 1Brentford
HArsenal1 - 0Ipswich
AArsenal5 - 1C Palace
HArsenal3 - 2C Palace
HArsenal0 - 0Everton
HArsenal3 - 0Monaco
AArsenal1 - 1Fulham
HArsenal2 - 0Man Utd
AArsenal5 - 2West Ham
AArsenal5 - 1S. Lisbon
HArsenal3 - 0Nottm Forest
AArsenal1 - 1Chelsea
AArsenal0 - 1Inter
AArsenal0 - 1Newcastle
AArsenal3 - 0Preston
HArsenal2 - 2Liverpool
HArsenal1 - 0Shakhtar
AArsenal0 - 2Bournemouth
Man Utd
20 games
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AMan Utd2 - 2Liverpool
HMan Utd0 - 2Newcastle
AMan Utd0 - 2Wolves
HMan Utd0 - 3Bournemouth
AMan Utd3 - 4Spurs
AMan Utd2 - 1Man City
AMan Utd2 - 1Plzen
HMan Utd2 - 3Nottm Forest
AMan Utd0 - 2Arsenal
HMan Utd4 - 0Everton
HMan Utd3 - 2Bodø
AMan Utd1 - 1Ipswich
HMan Utd3 - 0Leicester
HMan Utd2 - 0PAOK
HMan Utd1 - 1Chelsea
HMan Utd5 - 2Leicester
AMan Utd1 - 2West Ham
AMan Utd1 - 1Fenerbahce
HMan Utd2 - 1Brentford
AMan Utd0 - 0A Villa
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
Games at Arsenal since 1999
Arsenal
Man Utd
Goals: Scored
3
9
Games: Scored
3 / 5
4 / 5
Clean sheets
1 / 5
2 / 5
D
1
MNU
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Arsenal
1 - 3Man Utd
1 - 3Man Utd
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 1Man Utd
1 - 2Man Utd
Games at Man Utd since 1999
Man Utd
Arsenal
Goals: Scored
9
2
Games: Scored
5 / 6
1 / 6
Clean sheets
5 / 6
1 / 6
ARS
1
D
1
MNU
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Man Utd
1 - 2Arsenal
Man Utd2 - 0
Man Utd1 - 0
Man Utd4 - 0
Man Utd1 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Goal Statistics

Arsenal's fans will be hoping for goals on Sunday afternoon, not least because Manchester United have conceded in each of their last 7 FA Cup matches. A PG of 1.8 for Mikel Arteta's side suggests that run should continue.

Arsenal's defensive record is very strong, Mikel Arteta's men having conceded 1 or less in 7 consecutive FA Cup matches. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.0 for Manchester United makes sense in this context.

Arsenal Man Utd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.8
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
16%
1
29%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
11%
There is a 84% probability that Arsenal will score 1 or more goals
0
37%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 74% probability that Man Utd will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away games
20 home / away games
2.2
average goals scored
1.6
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings past 20 games
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/288946/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Arsenal
PG (predicted goals)
Man Utd
1.8
1
Attack rating
10%
better
ARS
MNU
view stats
Games scored15
15
Failed to score5
5
Scored first12
9
Goals scored39
34
Avg. goals scored2
1.7
Avg. shots per game10
10
Avg. shots per goal5
6
Conversion rate for20
17
Avg. XG for2.1
1.6
KickOff rating
+10%
Defence rating
30%
better
ARS
MNU
view stats
Games conceded13
16
Clean sheets7
4
Conceded first7
10
Goals conceded18
30
Avg. goals conceded0.9
1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded6
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
5
Conversion rate against14%
19%
Avg. XG against0.9
1.4
KickOff rating
+30%

The line-ups for the FA Cup match between Arsenal v Man Utd will show here when available.

Arsenal FA Cup squad statistics 2024
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE
Man Utd FA Cup squad statistics 2024
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE