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Watford v Plymouth Argyle : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 29th Mar, 12:30 BST, Vicarage Road, Watford

Saturday lunch time sees Tom Cleverley’s Watford and Leonid Kuchuk’s Plymouth Argyle go up against one another in a Championship clash at the Vicarage Road. We have custom-designed stats for every major market, from team to score first to full time result, including form and historical head-to-head data. Predictions are generated from these, and the odds come straight from leading bookmakers.

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We're suggesting there's minimal chance that this fixture will serve up more than 3 goals at most, and the odds and stats point in the same direction as KO's predictive algorithm on this one. Watford and Plymouth have seldom served up thrillers of late, whether that be in the Championship individually or in their head-to-head duals. So, in the absence of a strong favourite win or double chance market, we're going for under 3.5 goals. That's available at a best price of 1.30.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Watford are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 52% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.67.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Watford 52%	4/6 3%	-
Draw 25%	14/5 1%	-
Plymouth 23%	15/4 6%	-
Watford 1-0 12%	11/2 7%	-
Draw 1-1 12%	13/2 7%	-
Watford 2-0 10%	13/2 6%	-
Watford 2-1 10%	15/2	-
Draw 0-0 8%	9/1 9%	-
Plymouth 1-0 7%	11/1 8%	-
Plymouth 2-1 6%	14/1	-
Watford 3-0 5%	12/1	-
Watford 3-1 5%	14/1 15%	-
Draw 2-2 5%	16/1 13%	-
Plymouth 2-0 4%	22/1	-
Watford 3-2 2%	28/1 12%	-
Watford 4-0 2%	25/1 10%	-
Watford 4-1 2%	28/1	-
Plymouth 3-1 2%	40/1 21%	-
Over 2.5 Goals 48%	1/1 5%	-
Under 2.5 Goals 52%	4/5 6%	-
Home 1st Goal 54%	4/9 4%	-
Away 1st Goal 42%	21/10 8%	-
No 1st Goal 5%	9/1 9%	-
BTTS - Yes 50%	10/11 6%	-
BTTS - No 50%	4/5 6%	-
BTTS - Home Win 22%	11/4	-
BTTS - Draw 17%	9/2 10%	-
BTTS - Away Win 10%	17/2 12%	-
Home/draw 77%	2/11	-
Away/draw 48%	23/20 5%	-
Home/away 75%	1/4	-
Over 1.5 Goals 73%	3/10 1%	-
Under 1.5 Goals 27%	5/2 7%	-
Over 3.5 Goals 26%	5/2 9%	-
Under 3.5 Goals 74%	3/10 4%	-
Over 4.5 Goals 12%	11/2 8%	-
Under 4.5 Goals 88%	1/9 1%	-
Over 5.5 Goals 5%	14/1 15%	-
Under 5.5 Goals 95%	1/33 1%	-
Over 0.5 Goals 92%	1/16 1%	-
Under 0.5 Goals 8%	9/1 9%	-
Home DNB 70%	2/7 1%	-
Away DNB 40%	5/2 3%	-
Watford win to nil 30%	13/8 13%	-
Plymouth win to nil 12%	7/1	-
Watford / Watford 32%	13/8 5%	-
Watford / Plymouth 2%	40/1 21%	-
Watford / Draw 6%	14/1	-
Draw / Watford 19%	10/3 4%	-
Draw / Plymouth 8%	9/1 5%	-
Draw / Draw 15%	9/2	-
Plymouth / Watford 4%	22/1 10%	-
Plymouth / Plymouth 10%	15/2 13%	-
Plymouth / Draw 5%	16/1 13%	-

Win / draw / win Championship table

Watford have played 38 matches so far this season and lay in 10th place in the Championship league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 24 games against teams below in the table, having won 9, drawn 5 and lost 10 matches. They have kept 7 clean sheets and have failed to score in 7 fixtures. Watford have outscored their opponents by 47 goals to 40 goals.

Home League Performance

Watford have played 19 games at home winning 11, drawing 2 and losing 6 games. They have scored 24 goals, kept 7 clean sheets and conceded 19 goals at home.

Plymouth are in 24th position in the Championship on 33 points having played 38 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

13 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 43 goals and kept 1 clean sheet. They have scored 8 goals in total and failed to score in 13 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

38 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 19 games, drawn 12 and won 7. Plymouth have conceded 77 goals, scored 40, failed to score in 17 fixtures and have kept 2 clean sheets.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Watford Plymouth
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Leeds	38	23	11	4	51	80	l 0-4A	l 2-1A	May 3	l 3-0A
2	Sheff Utd	38	25	7	6	25	80	l 1-2A	l 1-0A	Apr 12	l 2-0A
3	Burnley	38	21	15	2	41	78	Apr 18	l 2-1A	l 0-5A	l 1-0A
4	Sunderland	38	19	12	7	18	69	w 2-1F	d 2-2A	w 3-2A	d 2-2F
5	Coventry	38	17	8	13	7	59	d 1-1A	l 2-1A	Apr 21	l 4-0A
6	West Brom	38	13	18	7	14	57	w 2-1F	Apr 12	w 2-1A	l 1-0A
7	Bristol C	38	14	15	9	8	57	w 1-0F	Apr 5	d 2-2A	l 4-0A
8	M'Boro	38	15	9	14	9	54	w 2-1A	w 0-1F	d 3-3F	Apr 18
9	Blackburn	38	15	7	16	2	52	w 1-0F	Apr 26	w 2-1F	l 2-0A
10	Watford Home	38	15	7	16	-4	52	-	-	d 2-2A	Mar 29
11	Millwall	38	13	12	13	-2	51	l 1-2F	w 2-3F	w 5-1F	l 1-0A
12	Sheff Wed	38	14	9	15	-6	51	May 3	w 2-6F	l 0-3A	l 4-0A
13	Norwich	38	12	13	13	6	49	l 0-1A	l 4-1A	Apr 5	l 6-1A
14	Preston	38	10	17	11	-5	47	l 1-2A	l 3-0A	d 3-3A	Apr 26
15	QPR	38	11	12	15	-6	45	d 0-00-0	l 3-1A	l 0-1A	d 1-1A
16	Swansea	38	12	8	18	-11	44	w 1-0F	l 1-0A	l 1-2A	Apr 9
17	Portsmouth	38	11	9	18	-15	42	w 2-1A	Apr 21	w 1-0F	w 1-2F
18	Oxford Utd	38	10	12	16	-16	42	w 1-0F	l 1-0A	d 1-1A	l 2-0A
19	Hull	38	10	11	17	-8	41	Apr 8	d 1-1A	d 1-1F	l 2-0A
20	Stoke	38	9	12	17	-14	39	w 3-0F	d 0-00-0	l 0-1A	d 0-00-0
21	Cardiff	38	9	12	17	-20	39	l 1-2A	d 1-1A	d 1-1A	l 5-0A
22	Derby	38	10	8	20	-11	38	w 2-1A	w 0-2F	l 2-3A	d 1-1A
23	Luton	38	9	8	21	-26	35	w 2-0F	l 3-0A	w 3-1F	d 1-1A
24	Plymouth Away	38	7	12	19	-37	33	Mar 29	d 2-2F	-	-

	Promotion
	Promotion Play Off
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Watford	1 - 0	Swansea
Watford	1 - 2	Millwall
Watford	2 - 0	Luton
Watford	0 - 4	Leeds
Watford	0 - 1	Norwich
Watford	1 - 2	Preston
Watford	1 - 2	Sheff Utd
Watford	1 - 2	Cardiff
Watford	2 - 1	Portsmouth
Watford	2 - 1	West Brom
Watford	0 - 0	QPR
Watford	1 - 0	Bristol C
Watford	1 - 0	Oxford Utd
Watford	1 - 0	Blackburn
Watford	2 - 1	M'Boro
Watford	2 - 1	Sunderland
Watford	1 - 1	Coventry
Watford	2 - 1	Derby
Watford	3 - 0	Stoke
Watford	1 - 0	Sunderland

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Watford	0 - 1	Oxford Utd
H	Watford	1 - 0	Swansea
H	Watford	1 - 2	Millwall
A	Watford	0 - 0	Stoke
H	Watford	2 - 0	Luton
A	Watford	1 - 0	M'Boro
H	Watford	0 - 4	Leeds
A	Watford	2 - 2	Sunderland
H	Watford	0 - 1	Norwich
A	Watford	1 - 2	Coventry
H	Watford	1 - 2	Preston
A	Watford	2 - 0	Derby
A	Watford	1 - 1	Cardiff
H	Watford	1 - 2	Sheff Utd
A	Watford	1 - 3	QPR
H	Watford	1 - 2	Cardiff
H	Watford	2 - 1	Portsmouth
A	Watford	1 - 2	Burnley
H	Watford	2 - 1	West Brom
A	Watford	1 - 1	Hull

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

6 / 20

Conceded

19 / 20

Clean sheets

1 / 20

Failed to score

14 / 20

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Portsmouth	1 - 2	Plymouth
Hull	2 - 0	Plymouth
Luton	1 - 1	Plymouth
Blackburn	2 - 0	Plymouth
Sunderland	2 - 2	Plymouth
Stoke	0 - 0	Plymouth
Oxford Utd	2 - 0	Plymouth
Coventry	4 - 0	Plymouth
Sheff Utd	2 - 0	Plymouth
Bristol C	4 - 0	Plymouth
Norwich	6 - 1	Plymouth
Derby	1 - 1	Plymouth
Leeds	3 - 0	Plymouth
Millwall	1 - 0	Plymouth
Cardiff	5 - 0	Plymouth
Burnley	1 - 0	Plymouth
West Brom	1 - 0	Plymouth
QPR	1 - 1	Plymouth
Sheff Wed	4 - 0	Plymouth
Millwall	1 - 0	Plymouth

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

11 / 20

Conceded

19 / 20

Clean sheets

1 / 20

Failed to score

9 / 20

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Plymouth	2 - 3	Derby
A	Plymouth	2 - 1	Portsmouth
H	Plymouth	0 - 3	Sheff Wed
A	Plymouth	0 - 2	Hull
H	Plymouth	1 - 1	Cardiff
A	Plymouth	1 - 1	Luton
A	Plymouth	0 - 2	Blackburn
H	Plymouth	5 - 1	Millwall
H	Plymouth	2 - 1	West Brom
A	Plymouth	2 - 2	Sunderland
H	Plymouth	0 - 5	Burnley
H	Plymouth	0 - 1	QPR
H	Plymouth	1 - 1	Oxford Utd
A	Plymouth	0 - 0	Stoke
H	Plymouth	2 - 2	Bristol C
A	Plymouth	0 - 2	Oxford Utd
A	Plymouth	0 - 4	Coventry
H	Plymouth	3 - 3	M'Boro
A	Plymouth	0 - 2	Sheff Utd
H	Plymouth	1 - 2	Swansea

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Watford have drawn with Plymouth in 3 consecutive league meetings

Watford have not lost to Plymouth in 5 consecutive league meetings

Watford

Plymouth

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

4 / 6

Clean sheets

2 / 6

WAT

PLY

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Watford
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Watford	1 - 0
	1 - 2	Plymouth
	0 - 1	Plymouth
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Watford	3 - 1

Plymouth

Watford

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

6 / 7

Clean sheets

1 / 7

WAT

PLY

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Plymouth
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Draw	3 - 3	Draw
	0 - 1	Watford
Plymouth	2 - 1
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	3 - 3	Draw
Plymouth	1 - 0

Goal Statistics

Watford's fans will be hoping for goals on Saturday lunch time, not least because Plymouth Argyle have conceded in each of their last 13 Championship matches. A PG of 1.6 for T. Cleverley's side suggests that run should continue.

	Watford 10th	Plymouth 24th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.6 goals	1.0 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 20% 1 32% 2 26% 3 14% 4+ 8% There is a 80% probability that Watford will score 1 or more goals	0 38% 1 37% 2 18% 3 4+ There is a 75% probability of Plymouth scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-12 Watford have scored 12% fewer goals at home than predicted	-52 Plymouth have scored 52% fewer goals when away than predicted
	1.3 average goals scored	0.4 average goals scored
	1.0 conceded	2.2 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2024/2025 season

21%

better

WAT

PLY

view stats

Games scored	29		21
Failed to score	9		17
Scored first	14		8
Goals scored	47		40
Avg. goals scored	1.2		1.1
Avg. shots per game	8		7
Avg. shots per goal	7		7
Conversion rate for	15		15
Avg. XG for	1.3		0.9
KickOff rating		+21%

33%

better

WAT

PLY

view stats

Games conceded	28		36
Clean sheets	10		2
Conceded first	22		29
Goals conceded	51		77
Avg. goals conceded	1.3		2
Avg. shots/game conceded	9		11
Avg. shots/goal conceded	7		5
Conversion rate against	14%		19%
Avg. XG against	1.4		1.8
KickOff rating		+33%

Watford v Plymouth Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Watford Championship squad statistics 2024/2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
36	10	6	9
G Chakvetadze	V Bayo	G Chakvetadze	F Carvallo

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
M Pollock DEF	37	1	4	6 -
G Chakvetadze MID	37	2	6	7 -
E Kayembe MID	37	8	1	6 -
Y Larouci DEF	36		2	1 -
M Sissoko MID	34	3	1	4 -
V Bayo FWD	34	10		4 1
R Andrews DEF	32	3	2	3 -
F Carvallo DEF	27			9 -
T Ince FWD	27	1	1	-
I Louza MID	25	2	1	8 -
R Vata FWD	25	3	3	-
K Baah FWD	25	4	3	5 2
D Bachmann GLK	22			1 -
J Ngakia DEF	21	1		6 -
T Dele-Bashiru MID	21	4		-
J Morris DEF	16			2 -
J Abankwah DEF	12			2 1
M. Doumbia FWD	12			1 -
J Bond GLK	9			-
E Selvik GLK	8			2 -
A Ogbonna DEF	6			-
K Keben DEF	4			-
P Dwomoh MID	4			-
C Wiley DEF	2			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
10	24	6	38
V Bayo	G Chakvetadze	G Chakvetadze	G Chakvetadze

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
V Bayo FWD	10	22		9
E Kayembe MID	8	12	1	10
K Baah FWD	4	10	3	9
T Dele-Bashiru MID	4	7		3
M Sissoko MID	3	8	1	9
R Andrews DEF	3	9	2	10
R Vata FWD	3	8	3	8
G Chakvetadze MID	2	24	6	38
I Louza MID	2	12	1	17
M Pollock DEF	1	6	4	9
J Ngakia DEF	1	3		5
T Ince FWD	1	4	1	8
P Dwomoh MID				1
M. Doumbia FWD		2		1
J Abankwah DEF		1		3
J Morris DEF				2
F Carvallo DEF		3		4
Y Larouci DEF		3	2	22

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
2265	76	233
M Pollock	J Ngakia	M Pollock

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
M Pollock DEF	2265	40	233
I Louza MID	1491	39	97
G Chakvetadze MID	1283	40	160
E Kayembe MID	1059	31	98
F Carvallo DEF	1046	28	106
M Sissoko MID	917	41	113
T Dele-Bashiru MID	903	18	74
Y Larouci DEF	890	30	99
R Andrews DEF	697	33	84
J Morris DEF	653	22	33
J Abankwah DEF	598	15	58
D Bachmann GLK	587		14
J Ngakia DEF	505	76	110
V Bayo FWD	346	16	100
T Ince FWD	332	12	36
E Selvik GLK	301		3
J Bond GLK	238		5
A Ogbonna DEF	225	6	14
K Baah FWD	213	17	89
R Vata FWD	188	18	51
P Dwomoh MID	86	5	14
K Keben DEF	86	4	8
M. Doumbia FWD	80	4	35
C Wiley DEF	11	1	3

Plymouth Championship squad statistics 2024/2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
31	6	4	10
A Randell	R Hardie	M Bundu	D Gyabi

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
D Gyabi MID	36	1	2	10 -
B Mumba DEF	35		1	3 -
A Randell MID	31	1	1	6 -
R Hardie FWD	29	6	3	-
M Bundu FWD	29	6	4	3 -
K. Szűcs DEF	28		1	7 -
R Hajj MID	28	3		1 -
C Wright MID	27			1
M Obafemi FWD	25	2		-
J Houghton MID	24			2 -
D Grimshaw GLK	21		1	2 -
M Sorinola DEF	21		1	9 1
V Pálsson DEF	18		1	1 -
C Hazard GLK	17			2 -
J Pleguezuelo DEF	17	1		3 -
N Ogbeta DEF	16	1	1	1 -
F Issaka FWD	15	1		1
B Galloway DEF	13			-
T Puchacz DEF	12		1	1 -
J Edwards DEF	12	1		4 -
M Taloverov DEF	9	1		3 -
N Katic DEF	9	1		2 -
M Baidoo MID	8			-
M Tijani FWD	7	1	1	1 -
M Boateng MID	4			-
C Roberts MID	4			2 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
6	13	4	20
R Hardie	R Hardie	M Bundu	A Randell

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
R Hardie FWD	6	13	3	12
M Bundu FWD	6	13	4	13
R Hajj MID	3	11		15
M Obafemi FWD	2	5		6
D Gyabi MID	1	8	2	18
F Issaka FWD	1	2		1
A Randell MID	1	6	1	20
M Tijani FWD	1	2	1	2
N Katic DEF	1	2
M Taloverov DEF	1	1
J Edwards DEF	1	4		1
J Pleguezuelo DEF	1	1		4
N Ogbeta DEF	1	1	1	1
M Baidoo MID		1		3
T Puchacz DEF			1	10
B Galloway DEF				5
B Mumba DEF		3	1	14
V Pálsson DEF		1	1	1
M Sorinola DEF		1	1	7
D Grimshaw GLK			1
J Houghton MID		2		1
C Wright MID		2		7
K. Szűcs DEF		2	1	4

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1379	71	181
A Randell	B Mumba	D Gyabi

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
A Randell MID	1379	51	138
K. Szűcs DEF	1216	34	91
B Mumba DEF	1075	71	156
D Grimshaw GLK	976		4
D Gyabi MID	795	64	181
J Pleguezuelo DEF	623	40	88
C Hazard GLK	566		9
R Hajj MID	519	32	76
V Pálsson DEF	500	26	72
J Edwards DEF	456	30	62
M Sorinola DEF	431	38	93
B Galloway DEF	412	32	66
M Bundu FWD	408	19	94
J Houghton MID	349	26	72
T Puchacz DEF	324	14	33
C Wright MID	299	23	76
M Taloverov DEF	295	25	53
N Katic DEF	271	17	82
N Ogbeta DEF	187	18	33
M Obafemi FWD	166	7	21
R Hardie FWD	159	8	45
M Baidoo MID	95	4	14
F Issaka FWD	89	7	23
M Boateng MID	86	4	12
M Tijani FWD	40	1	7
C Roberts MID	35	7	15

English Championship match betting previews, predictions and odds

Portsmouth v Blackburn

Sat 29th Mar, 15:00

Stoke v QPR

Sat 29th Mar, 15:00

Sunderland v Millwall

Sat 29th Mar, 15:00

M'Boro v Oxford Utd

Sat 29th Mar, 15:00

Watford v Plymouth Argyle : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Watford have played 38 matches so far this season and lay in 10th place in the Championship league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

Home League Performance

Plymouth are in 24th position in the Championship on 33 points having played 38 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

Performance against teams above them in the league

Watford v Plymouth Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

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