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Swansea City v Luton Town : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 29th Dec, 15:00 BST, Liberty Stadium, Swansea

We’ve Championship action to enjoy on Sunday afternoon, as Luke Williams and his Swansea City side host Rob Edwards’s Luton Town at the Liberty Stadium. You'll find statistics supporting our top of below, but be sure to take a look at the 16 other betting markets we cover too. We aim to give you as full a picture as possible, with Championship performances and head-to-heads included, so that you can make a smart bet. Finally, be sure to get the best odds from leading bookmakers.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We do not expect to see a a bore-draw or a narrow 1-0 win here, and instead we're predicting over 1.5 goals. That means that Swansea and Luton will score at least two between them during the standard 90 mins. It's a tip based on form stats for each side, as well as past records of their head-to-head clashes. We give it a probability of 75%. Bookmakers have it available at 1.36.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Swansea are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 54% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.25.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Swansea
54%
6/5
8%
5/4
5%
Draw
24%
5/2
3%
12/5
3%
Luton
22%
21/10
8%
21/10
3%
Draw 1-1
11%
11/25/1
Swansea 1-0
11%
13/26/1
8%
Swansea 2-1
10%
8/1
5%
15/2
Swansea 2-0
10%
9/1
9%
17/2
Luton 1-0
6%
17/2
12%
7/1
7%
Draw 0-0
6%
9/1
11%
15/2
13%
Swansea 3-1
6%
18/1
10%
14/1
Luton 2-1
6%
10/19/1
Swansea 3-0
6%
20/1
9%
16/1
Draw 2-2
5%
14/111/1
8%
Luton 2-0
3%
14/1
15%
12/1
8%
Swansea 3-2
3%
28/1
15%
20/1
9%
Swansea 4-1
3%
40/128/1
15%
Swansea 4-0
2%
40/1
20%
28/1
15%
Luton 3-1
2%
25/118/1
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
1/1
5%
1/1
5%
Under 2.5 Goals
47%
4/5
4%
3/4
5%
Home 1st Goal
54%
8/11
4%
-
Away 1st Goal
42%
13/10
2%
-
No 1st Goal
4%
9/1
11%
-
BTTS - Yes
53%
4/5
2%
5/6
4%
BTTS - No
47%
10/11
4%
10/11
4%
BTTS - Home Win
25%
7/2
10%
17/5
8%
BTTS - Draw
17%
15/417/5
BTTS - Away Win
11%
5/119/4
Home/draw
78%
4/11
3%
7/20
1%
Away/draw
46%
4/6
9%
8/13
3%
Home/away
77%
2/7
1%
3/10
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
77%
1/3
2%
1/3
2%
Under 1.5 Goals
23%
12/5
6%
21/10
7%
Over 3.5 Goals
30%
5/2
13%
12/5
8%
Under 3.5 Goals
70%
3/10
4%
2/7
3%
Over 4.5 Goals
15%
6/1
13%
11/2
13%
Under 4.5 Goals
85%
1/10
2%
1/11
2%
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
14/1
12%
12/1
13%
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1/33
1%
1/66
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/16
1%
1/16
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
9/1
11%
15/2
13%
Home DNB
71%
4/7
9%
3/5
3%
Away DNB
39%
5/4
13%
6/5
5%
Swansea win to nil
30%
11/4-
Luton win to nil
11%
9/2
22%
-
Swansea / Swansea
23%
13/5
10%
5/2
5%
Swansea / Luton
3%
28/122/1
Swansea / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Draw / Swansea
15%
9/217/4
Draw / Luton
12%
6/1
8%
11/2
Draw / Draw
16%
4/1
5%
19/5
7%
Luton / Swansea
3%
25/1
10%
20/1
Luton / Luton
16%
9/2
10%
19/5
Luton / Draw
6%
14/111/1
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Win / draw / win Championship table

Swansea have played 23 matches so far this season and lay in 10th place in the Championship league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 14 games against teams below in the table, having won 7, drawn 5 and lost 2 matches. They have kept 4 clean sheets and have failed to score in 2 fixtures. Swansea have outscored their opponents by 27 goals to 25 goals.

Home League Performance

Swansea have played 11 games at home winning 4, drawing 4 and losing 3 games. They have scored 17 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and conceded 12 goals at home.

Luton are in 18th position in the Championship on 25 points having played 23 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

9 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 24 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 7 goals in total and failed to score in 6 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

17 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 11 games, drawn 2 and won 4. Luton have conceded 33 goals, scored 18, failed to score in 5 fixtures and have kept 2 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Swansea
Luton
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Leeds2314632848 
l
 
3-4F
Mar 29
Apr 5
l
 
3-0A
2
Sheff Utd2315531948 
Jan 21
l
 
1-0A
Feb 15
l
 
2-0A
3
Burnley2313822147 
Mar 15
l
 
1-0A
l
 
1-4A
Mar 8
4
Sunderland2312831644 
l
 
2-3F
Apr 12
l
 
1-2A
Feb 12
5
Blackburn221156738 
Feb 22
l
 
1-0A
Apr 12
l
 
2-0A
6
Watford221147337 
w
 
1-0F
Mar 12
w
 
3-0F
Feb 23
7
M'Boro2310671036 
Mar 8
l
 
1-0A
Mar 15
l
 
5-1A
8
West Brom238114935 
Jan 4
l
 
1-0A
d
 
1-1A
May 3
9
Sheff Wed23968-233 
Feb 12
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
2-1A
Feb 1
10
Swansea Home23869330 
-
-
d
 
1-1F
Dec 29
11
Bristol C23797-130 
d
 
1-1F
Feb 9
Apr 21
l
 
1-0A
12
Norwich23788429 
w
 
1-0F
Jan 25
Jan 1
l
 
4-2F
13
Millwall22778228 
l
 
0-1A
Apr 26
Jan 25
w
 
0-1F
14
Derby237610027 
Apr 5
w
 
1-2F
w
 
2-1A
Apr 18
15
Coventry237610-227 
Feb 1
w
 
1-2F
Apr 26
l
 
3-2F
16
Preston235117-626 
w
 
3-0F
Mar 1
Jan 18
l
 
1-0A
17
QPR235108-825 
w
 
3-0F
Apr 21
l
 
1-2F
Jan 6
18
Luton Away237412-1425 
Dec 29
d
 
1-1A
-
-
19
Stoke235711-922 
d
 
0-00-0
Feb 15
w
 
2-1A
Apr 8
20
Oxford Utd225611-1521 
May 3
w
 
1-2F
d
 
2-2F
Jan 21
21
Portsmouth21489-1120 
d
 
2-2A
Jan 1
Mar 1
d
 
0-00-0
22
Hull234712-1119 
Apr 18
l
 
2-1A
w
 
1-0F
Mar 29
23
Cardiff224612-1618 
d
 
1-1F
Jan 18
w
 
1-0F
Mar 11
24
Plymouth224612-2718 
Apr 9
w
 
1-2F
Feb 8
l
 
3-1A
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
8
Luton have lost 8 consecutive away league games
8
Luton have not won in 8 consecutive away league games
Swansea 10TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Swansea3 - 0QPR
Swansea2 - 3Sunderland
Swansea2 - 2Portsmouth
Swansea3 - 4Leeds
Swansea1 - 0Watford
Swansea0 - 1Millwall
Swansea0 - 0Stoke
Swansea1 - 1Bristol C
Swansea1 - 0Norwich
Swansea1 - 1Cardiff
Swansea3 - 0Preston
Swansea0 - 1Millwall
Swansea1 - 0Rotherham
Swansea3 - 0Stoke
Swansea0 - 1QPR
Swansea2 - 0Cardiff
Swansea2 - 1Blackburn
Swansea1 - 2Ipswich
Swansea0 - 4Leeds
Swansea0 - 1Plymouth
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HSwansea3 - 0QPR
ASwansea1 - 2Hull
HSwansea2 - 3Sunderland
ASwansea2 - 1Plymouth
ASwansea1 - 1Luton
HSwansea2 - 2Portsmouth
ASwansea2 - 1Derby
HSwansea3 - 4Leeds
ASwansea0 - 1Burnley
HSwansea1 - 0Watford
ASwansea2 - 1Oxford Utd
HSwansea0 - 1Millwall
ASwansea0 - 0Sheff Wed
ASwansea0 - 1Blackburn
HSwansea0 - 0Stoke
ASwansea0 - 1Sheff Utd
HSwansea1 - 1Bristol C
ASwansea2 - 1Coventry
HSwansea1 - 0Norwich
ASwansea0 - 1West Brom
Luton 18TH
20 league games
Away
8
Overall
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
51
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
1
D
3
Lost
16
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Bristol C1 - 0Luton
Blackburn2 - 0Luton
Norwich4 - 2Luton
Leeds3 - 0Luton
M'Boro5 - 1Luton
Coventry3 - 2Luton
Sheff Utd2 - 0Luton
Plymouth3 - 1Luton
Millwall0 - 1Luton
Preston1 - 0Luton
Portsmouth0 - 0Luton
West Ham3 - 1Luton
Wolves2 - 1Luton
Man City5 - 1Luton
Arsenal2 - 0Luton
Spurs2 - 1Luton
Bournemouth4 - 3Luton
C Palace1 - 1Luton
Liverpool4 - 1Luton
Newcastle4 - 4Luton
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
7
D
3
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ALuton0 - 1Bristol C
HLuton2 - 1Derby
ALuton0 - 2Blackburn
HLuton2 - 1Stoke
HLuton1 - 1Swansea
ALuton2 - 4Norwich
ALuton0 - 3Leeds
HLuton1 - 0Hull
ALuton1 - 5M'Boro
HLuton1 - 0Cardiff
HLuton1 - 1West Brom
ALuton2 - 3Coventry
HLuton1 - 2Sunderland
HLuton3 - 0Watford
ALuton0 - 2Sheff Utd
HLuton2 - 2Oxford Utd
ALuton1 - 3Plymouth
HLuton2 - 1Sheff Wed
ALuton1 - 0Millwall
HLuton1 - 2QPR
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
Luton have not lost to Swansea in 5 consecutive league meetings
League games at Swansea since 2008
Swansea
Luton
Goals: Scored
3
4
Games: Scored
2 / 5
3 / 5
Clean sheets
2 / 5
3 / 5
SWA
2
LUT
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Swansea
0 - 2Luton
0 - 1Luton
Swansea2 - 0
0 - 1Luton
Swansea1 - 0
League games at Luton since 2008
Luton
Swansea
Goals: Scored
6
9
Games: Scored
4 / 6
5 / 6
Clean sheets
1 / 6
2 / 6
SWA
3
D
2
LUT
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Luton
Draw1 - 1Draw
Luton1 - 0
Draw3 - 3Draw
0 - 1Swansea
0 - 1Swansea
1 - 3Swansea
Goal Statistics

Swansea City have been reliable in attack of late, scoring in 7 consecutive Championship outings. Their PG of 1.8 against Luton Town on Sunday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Swansea 10th Luton 18th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.8
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
10%
There is a 83% probability that Swansea will score 1 or more goals
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 73% probability that Luton will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-9
Swansea’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-15
Luton have scored 15% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.3
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
2.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/280375/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Swansea
PG (predicted goals)
Luton
1.8
1
Attack rating
0%
better
SWA
LUT
view stats
Games scored15
17
Failed to score8
6
Scored first12
9
Goals scored27
25
Avg. goals scored1.2
1.1
Avg. shots per game8
8
Avg. shots per goal7
7
Conversion rate for15
14
Avg. XG for1.4
1.3
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
23%
better
SWA
LUT
view stats
Games conceded17
18
Clean sheets6
5
Conceded first9
13
Goals conceded24
39
Avg. goals conceded1
1.7
Avg. shots/game conceded9
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
6
Conversion rate against12%
18%
Avg. XG against1.5
1.4
KickOff rating
+23%

Swansea v Luton Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Swansea Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
23855
L VigourouxL CullenRonaldM Peart-Harris
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Vigouroux GLK23
-
J Key DEF231
3
-
B Cabango DEF2311
4
-
H Darling DEF2322
2
-
M Grimes MID2321
2
-
Ronald FWD2315
2
-
J Tymon DEF223
4
-
Z Vipotnik FWD214
1
-
M Peart-Harris MID2013
5
-
L Cullen FWD2081
4
-
G Franco MID1911
4
-
F Bianchini FWD172
1
-
A Abdulai DEF151
1
-
J Eom  FWD151
1
-
J Allen MID14
1
-
J Fulton MID121
2
-
O Cooper MID1211
-
K Naughton DEF11
1
-
N Tjoe-A-On DEF1
-
Luton Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
22646
T KaminskiC MorrisT KraußJ Clark
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
E Adebayo FWD235
1
-
T Kaminski GLK221
2
1
M McGuinness DEF2112
2
-
J Clark MID2132
6
-
T Chong MID202
4
-
C Morris FWD2061
4
-
T Krauß MID1814
-
T Mengi DEF151
2
-
J Brown FWD1531
1
-
T Holmes DEF1311
2
1
A Doughty MID134
5
-
D Hashioka DEF12
3
-
J Taylor FWD12
-
S Baptiste MID11
2
-
M Nakamba MID11
1
-
C Woodrow FWD11
1
-
A Bell DEF10
1
-
L Walsh  MID101
2
Z Nelson MID10
1
-
R Burke DEF9
4
-
R Walters DEF8
2
-
P Mpanzu MID811
1
-
J Johnson DEF5
-
M Andersen DEF3
1
-
J Shea  GLK2
-
A Townsend  MID1
-