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Swansea City v Burnley : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 15th Mar, 15:00 BST, Liberty Stadium, Swansea

Swansea City and their manager Alan Pardew will be aiming to beat Scott Parker and his Burnley side on Saturday afternoon, as the pair meet at the Liberty Stadium in the Championship. Championship stats are the foundation of the predictions you'll find below, with head to head (H2H) history included too. There's so much to explore, with graphics and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers available for every betting markets via the tabs.

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

A tight, highly tactical defensive battle could be in store as Swansea and Burnley go head-to-head, with almost nothing between the sides in defence, making it difficult to predict who will win. The statistics don't provide any conclusive evidence in that regard, but they are pointing strongly towards there being 2 goals or fewer in the match. It's a prediction which is available at best priced odds of 1.50 with the bookmakers, so we're making under 2.5 goals our tip of the day on this occasion.

An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 48% chance of Burnley coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Swansea 24%	3.80	3.75 4%
Draw 28%	3.40	3.25 4%
Burnley 48%	2.00	2.05
Burnley 1-0 15%	5.50	5.25
Draw 1-1 13%	6.50	6.00 8%
Draw 0-0 11%	7.00	6.50
Burnley 2-0 10%	8.00	8.00 7%
Swansea 1-0 9%	8.00	7.50
Burnley 2-1 9%	9.50	8.50
Swansea 2-1 5%	13.00	12.00
Burnley 3-0 5%	17.00	15.00
Swansea 2-0 4%	17.00	15.00 15%
Burnley 3-1 4%	21.00	17.00
Draw 2-2 4%	21.00	17.00
Burnley 3-2 2%	41.00	29.00
Swansea 3-1 2%	41.00	26.00
Burnley 4-0 2%	41.00	29.00
Burnley 4-1 1%	41.00	34.00
Over 2.5 Goals 38%	2.62	2.50
Under 2.5 Goals 62%	1.50	1.50
Home 1st Goal 40%	2.75	-
Away 1st Goal 52%	1.62	-
No 1st Goal 7%	7.00	-
BTTS - Yes 43%	2.20	2.20 2%
BTTS - No 57%	1.62	1.62 1%
BTTS - Home Win 9%	9.50	8.00
BTTS - Draw 17%	5.50	4.80 4%
BTTS - Away Win 17%	5.50	5.00
Home/draw 52%	1.80	1.73 1%
Away/draw 76%	1.25	1.25 3%
Home/away 72%	1.30	1.33 2%
Over 1.5 Goals 65%	1.50	1.50
Under 1.5 Goals 35%	2.62	2.45
Over 3.5 Goals 18%	5.00	4.80
Under 3.5 Goals 82%	1.17	1.17 2%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%	11.00	10.00
Under 4.5 Goals 93%	1.05	1.04
Over 5.5 Goals 3%	23.00	21.00
Under 5.5 Goals 97%	1.01	1.00
Over 0.5 Goals 89%	1.10	1.10 1%
Under 0.5 Goals 11%	7.00	6.50
Home DNB 43%	2.62	2.60 4%
Away DNB 68%	1.44	1.44 3%
Swansea win to nil 15%	5.50	-
Burnley win to nil 31%	2.75	-
Swansea / Swansea 12%	7.00	6.00 4%
Swansea / Burnley 3%	29.00	23.00
Swansea / Draw 5%	17.00	13.00
Draw / Swansea 10%	8.00	7.50 7%
Draw / Burnley 17%	4.75	4.60
Draw / Draw 19%	4.33	4.20 5%
Burnley / Swansea 2%	41.00	29.00
Burnley / Burnley 25%	3.25	3.25
Burnley / Draw 6%	15.00	13.00

Win / draw / win Championship table

Swansea have played 36 matches so far this season and are in 16th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

24 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 12 games, drawn 4 and won 8. Swansea have conceded 26 goals, scored 24, failed to score in 10 matches and kept 9 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Swansea have played 18 games at home, winning 7, drawing 5 and losing 6 fixtures. They have scored 25 goals, conceded 19 goals, kept 7 clean sheets and failed to score 4 times in home league games.

Burnley lay in 3rd place on 75 points in the Championship league table having played 37 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 34 games against teams below them in the table, winning 18, drawing 14 and losing 2 games. They have scored 47 goals and kept 23 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Burnley have conceded 11 goals and have failed to score in 12 matches.

Away league performance

Burnley have played 18 away games, winning 10, drawing 6 and losing 2 games. They have scored an average of 1.3 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.3 goals per away game.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Swansea Burnley
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Sheff Utd	37	24	7	6	24	77	l 1-2F	l 1-0A	Apr 21	w 0-2F
2	Leeds	36	22	10	4	49	76	l 3-4F	Mar 29	d 0-00-0	w 0-1F
3	Burnley Away	37	20	15	2	39	75	Mar 15	l 1-0A	-	-
4	Sunderland	37	19	12	6	21	69	l 2-3F	Apr 12	d 0-00-0	l 1-0A
5	West Brom	37	13	17	7	14	56	d 1-1A	l 1-0A	d 1-1A	d 0-00-0
6	Coventry	37	16	8	13	4	56	l 0-2A	w 1-2F	w 2-0F	Apr 5
7	Bristol C	37	13	15	9	7	54	d 1-1F	w 0-1F	Mar 29	w 0-1F
8	M'Boro	37	15	8	14	9	53	w 1-0F	l 1-0A	d 1-1A	d 0-00-0
9	Blackburn	36	15	7	14	4	52	w 3-0F	l 1-0A	d 1-1F	w 0-1F
10	Sheff Wed	37	14	9	14	-5	51	l 0-1A	d 0-00-0	w 4-0F	w 0-2F
11	Norwich	37	12	13	12	7	49	w 1-0F	l 5-1A	Apr 12	w 1-2A
12	Watford	36	14	7	15	-4	49	w 1-0F	Mar 12	w 2-1F	Apr 18
13	Millwall	36	12	12	12	-1	48	l 0-1A	Apr 26	May 3	l 1-0A
14	QPR	37	11	11	15	-6	44	w 3-0F	Apr 21	d 0-00-0	Apr 26
15	Preston	37	9	17	11	-6	44	w 3-0F	d 0-00-0	d 0-00-0	d 0-00-0
16	Swansea Home	36	12	8	16	-8	44	-	-	w 1-0F	Mar 15
17	Portsmouth	36	11	9	16	-13	42	d 2-2A	l 4-0A	w 2-1A	d 0-00-0
18	Oxford Utd	36	9	12	15	-16	39	May 3	w 1-2F	w 1-0F	d 0-00-0
19	Hull	36	9	10	17	-9	37	Apr 18	l 2-1A	w 2-0F	d 1-1A
20	Stoke	36	8	12	16	-14	36	d 0-00-0	l 3-1F	d 0-00-0	w 0-2F
21	Cardiff	37	8	12	17	-21	36	d 1-1F	l 3-0A	w 5-0F	w 1-2F
22	Derby	37	9	8	20	-12	35	Apr 5	w 1-2F	d 0-00-0	Apr 9
23	Luton	37	9	7	21	-26	34	w 2-1A	d 1-1A	w 4-0F	w 1-4F
24	Plymouth	36	6	12	18	-37	30	Apr 9	w 1-2F	w 1-0F	w 0-5F

	Promotion
	Promotion Play Off
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Burnley have not lost in 24 consecutive league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Swansea	1 - 0	M'Boro
Swansea	3 - 0	Blackburn
Swansea	0 - 1	Sheff Wed
Swansea	0 - 2	Coventry
Swansea	1 - 2	Sheff Utd
Swansea	1 - 1	West Brom
Swansea	2 - 1	Luton
Swansea	3 - 0	QPR
Swansea	2 - 3	Sunderland
Swansea	2 - 2	Portsmouth
Swansea	3 - 4	Leeds
Swansea	1 - 0	Watford
Swansea	0 - 1	Millwall
Swansea	0 - 0	Stoke
Swansea	1 - 1	Bristol C
Swansea	1 - 0	Norwich
Swansea	1 - 1	Cardiff
Swansea	3 - 0	Preston
Swansea	0 - 1	Millwall
Swansea	1 - 0	Rotherham

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Swansea	1 - 0	M'Boro
A	Swansea	0 - 0	Preston
H	Swansea	3 - 0	Blackburn
A	Swansea	1 - 3	Stoke
H	Swansea	0 - 1	Sheff Wed
A	Swansea	1 - 0	Bristol C
H	Swansea	0 - 2	Coventry
A	Swansea	1 - 5	Norwich
H	Swansea	1 - 2	Sheff Utd
A	Swansea	0 - 3	Cardiff
H	Swansea	1 - 1	West Brom
A	Swansea	0 - 4	Portsmouth
H	Swansea	2 - 1	Luton
H	Swansea	3 - 0	QPR
A	Swansea	1 - 2	Hull
H	Swansea	2 - 3	Sunderland
A	Swansea	2 - 1	Plymouth
A	Swansea	1 - 1	Luton
H	Swansea	2 - 2	Portsmouth
A	Swansea	2 - 1	Derby

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

8 / 20

Clean sheets

12 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Draw

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Cardiff	1 - 2	Burnley
Preston	0 - 0	Burnley
Portsmouth	0 - 0	Burnley
Plymouth	0 - 5	Burnley
Blackburn	0 - 1	Burnley
M'Boro	0 - 0	Burnley
Sheff Utd	0 - 2	Burnley
Norwich	1 - 2	Burnley
Stoke	0 - 2	Burnley
Bristol C	0 - 1	Burnley
West Brom	0 - 0	Burnley
Millwall	1 - 0	Burnley
Hull	1 - 1	Burnley
Sheff Wed	0 - 2	Burnley
Oxford Utd	0 - 0	Burnley
Leeds	0 - 1	Burnley
Sunderland	1 - 0	Burnley
Luton	1 - 4	Burnley
Spurs	2 - 1	Burnley
Man Utd	1 - 1	Burnley

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

5 / 20

Clean sheets

15 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Burnley	1 - 1	West Brom
H	Burnley	4 - 0	Luton
A	Burnley	2 - 1	Cardiff
H	Burnley	4 - 0	Sheff Wed
A	Burnley	0 - 0	Preston
H	Burnley	2 - 0	Hull
H	Burnley	1 - 0	Oxford Utd
A	Burnley	0 - 0	Portsmouth
H	Burnley	0 - 0	Leeds
A	Burnley	5 - 0	Plymouth
H	Burnley	0 - 0	Sunderland
A	Burnley	1 - 0	Blackburn
H	Burnley	0 - 0	Stoke
A	Burnley	0 - 0	M'Boro
A	Burnley	2 - 0	Sheff Utd
H	Burnley	2 - 1	Watford
A	Burnley	2 - 1	Norwich
H	Burnley	0 - 0	Derby
H	Burnley	1 - 1	M'Boro
A	Burnley	2 - 0	Stoke

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Burnley have beaten Swansea in 3 consecutive league meetings

Swansea

Burnley

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

6 / 6

3 / 6

Clean sheets

3 / 6

0 / 6

SWA

BRN

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Swansea
	1 - 2	Burnley
Swansea	1 - 0
Swansea	3 - 2
Swansea	1 - 0
Swansea	1 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw

Burnley

Swansea

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

4 / 7

Clean sheets

3 / 7

SWA

BRN

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Burnley
Burnley	1 - 0
Burnley	4 - 0
Burnley	2 - 0
	0 - 1	Swansea
	0 - 1	Swansea
Burnley	2 - 1
	0 - 2	Swansea

Goal Statistics

	Swansea 16th	Burnley 3rd
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	0.9 goals	1.4 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 42% 1 36% 2 16% 3 4+ There is a 78% probability of Swansea scoring 1 goal or less	0 26% 1 35% 2 24% 3 11% 4+ There is a 61% probability that Burnley will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-11 Swansea have scored 11% fewer goals at home than predicted	+3 Burnley’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.3 average goals scored	1.3 average goals scored
	1.0 conceded	0.5 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2024/2025 season

SWA

BRN

better

view stats

Games scored	23		23
Failed to score	13		13
Scored first	17		19
Goals scored	38		49
Avg. goals scored	1.1		1.3
Avg. shots per game	8		9
Avg. shots per goal	7		6
Conversion rate for	14		15
Avg. XG for	1.3		1.2
KickOff rating		+9%

SWA

BRN

63%

better

view stats

Games conceded	26		10
Clean sheets	10		26
Conceded first	16		6
Goals conceded	46		10
Avg. goals conceded	1.3		0.3
Avg. shots/game conceded	9		6
Avg. shots/goal conceded	7		24
Conversion rate against	15%		4%
Avg. XG against	1.4		0.9
KickOff rating		+63%

Swansea v Burnley Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Swansea Championship squad statistics 2024/2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
36	10	6	7
L Vigouroux	L Cullen	Ronald	B Cabango

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
L Vigouroux GLK	36			-
Ronald FWD	36	1	6	3 -
J Tymon DEF	35	2	4	5 -
J Key DEF	35		2	3 -
B Cabango DEF	35	1	1	7 -
H Darling DEF	33	2	3	3 1
L Cullen FWD	33	10	2	6 -
Z Vipotnik FWD	32	5		1 -
G Franco MID	30	2	1	5 -
F Bianchini FWD	30	3		2 -
M Peart-Harris MID	29	3	4	6 -
J Eom FWD	27	1	1	1 -
J Fulton MID	22	1		3 -
K Naughton DEF	19			1 -
O Cooper MID	19	1	1	-
J Allen MID	16	1		1 -
C Christie DEF	8			1 -
H Delcroix DEF	6			1 -
L O'Brien MID	6			-
S. Parker DEF	4			-
J Ginnelly FWD	2			-
N Tjoe-A-On DEF	1			-
B Lloyd MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
10	21	6	33
L Cullen	L Cullen	Ronald	J Tymon

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
L Cullen FWD	10	21	2	17
Z Vipotnik FWD	5	15		3
M Peart-Harris MID	3	9	4	13
F Bianchini FWD	3	9		7
G Franco MID	2	12	1	14
J Tymon DEF	2	8	4	33
H Darling DEF	2	12	3	9
J Allen MID	1	3		3
O Cooper MID	1	2	1	8
J Fulton MID	1	1		3
J Eom FWD	1	8	1	16
Ronald FWD	1	13	6	27
B Cabango DEF	1	4	1	9
L O'Brien MID		1		1
K Naughton DEF				4
J Key DEF		7	2	19

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
2575	92	225
B Cabango	G Franco	Ronald

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
B Cabango DEF	2575	76	176
H Darling DEF	2033	29	156
L Vigouroux GLK	1494	3	14
J Key DEF	1472	41	131
J Tymon DEF	1447	41	99
G Franco MID	1145	92	153
Ronald FWD	867	66	225
L Cullen FWD	620	29	94
K Naughton DEF	495	25	47
M Peart-Harris MID	493	19	87
J Eom FWD	473	26	105
J Fulton MID	321	9	25
H Delcroix DEF	307	13	26
L O'Brien MID	278	10	37
O Cooper MID	257	22	59
J Allen MID	214	8	17
F Bianchini FWD	202	19	62
C Christie DEF	189	1	18
Z Vipotnik FWD	187	6	50
S. Parker DEF	22		2
J Ginnelly FWD	9		3
B Lloyd MID	6
N Tjoe-A-On DEF	4

Burnley Championship squad statistics 2024/2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
37	12	6	10
M Estève	J Brownhill	J Anthony	J Cullen

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
M Estève DEF	37	1		3 -
J Trafford GLK	36			8 -
J Cullen MID	35	1	2	10 -
J Anthony FWD	34	3	6	5 -
J Brownhill MID	33	12	4	3 -
J Laurent MID	33	2	2	4 -
C Egan-Riley DEF	32	1		6 1
C Roberts DEF	32	2	3	4 -
J Sarmiento MID	29	2		3 -
H Mejbri MID	28		2	6 1
Z Flemming MID	27	8	2	2 -
L Koleosho FWD	26	2		3 -
L Pires DEF	25		2	6 -
B Humphreys DEF	25	1	2	2 1
L Foster FWD	23	2	4	3 -
J Worrall DEF	7		1	1 -
M Edwards FWD	6	1	1	-
A Barnes FWD	6	1		1 -
E Agyei FWD	3			-
B Hedilazio FWD	3	1		1 -
O Sonne DEF	2			-
J Shelvey MID	2			-
V Hladky GLK	1			-
S Sambo DEF	1			-
N Redmond MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
12	23	6	39
J Brownhill	Z Flemming	J Anthony	J Anthony

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
J Brownhill MID	12	21	4	26
Z Flemming MID	8	23	2	14
J Anthony FWD	3	19	6	39
J Laurent MID	2	7	2	11
C Roberts DEF	2	4	3	15
J Sarmiento MID	2	9		9
L Koleosho FWD	2	11		25
L Foster FWD	2	12	4	7
M Estève DEF	1	1
M Edwards FWD	1	2	1	1
J Cullen MID	1	5	2	24
C Egan-Riley DEF	1	3		9
B Hedilazio FWD	1	1
A Barnes FWD	1	1
B Humphreys DEF	1	3	2	11
J Shelvey MID				1
L Pires DEF		3	2	22
E Agyei FWD				1
J Worrall DEF			1	1
J Trafford GLK				1
H Mejbri MID		3	2	10

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
2552	52	155
M Estève	J Brownhill	J Cullen

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
M Estève DEF	2552	37	126
C Egan-Riley DEF	2306	50	128
J Cullen MID	2175	46	155
C Roberts DEF	1769	39	111
J Brownhill MID	1264	52	111
J Trafford GLK	1260	1	20
J Anthony FWD	1040	44	126
L Pires DEF	1039	52	92
B Humphreys DEF	977	41	99
J Laurent MID	906	46	121
H Mejbri MID	604	29	102
L Koleosho FWD	508	31	97
L Foster FWD	389	18	79
J Sarmiento MID	334	35	91
Z Flemming MID	311	13	82
J Worrall DEF	245	2	16
M Edwards FWD	144	4	21
V Hladky GLK	34
B Hedilazio FWD	31	2	5
E Agyei FWD	24	4	6
O Sonne DEF	17		1
J Shelvey MID	13
A Barnes FWD	11		3
S Sambo DEF	9	1	2
N Redmond MID	1

English Championship match betting previews, predictions and odds

Portsmouth v Plymouth

Coventry v Sunderland

Sat 15th Mar, 15:00

Blackburn v Cardiff

Sat 15th Mar, 15:00

Sheff Wed v Sheff Utd

Sun 16th Mar, 12:30

Swansea City v Burnley : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Swansea have played 36 matches so far this season and are in 16th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

Home league performance

Burnley lay in 3rd place on 75 points in the Championship league table having played 37 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

Away league performance

Swansea v Burnley Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

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