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Sunderland v Middlesbrough : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 21st Sep, 12:30 BST, Stadium of Light, Sunderland

It's an away trip for Michael Carrick's Middlesbrough side on Saturday lunch time, as they visit the Stadium of Light for a Championship showdown with Régis Le Bris's Sunderland. You'll find stats supporting our top of below, but be sure to take a look at the 16 other betting markets we cover too. We aim to give you as full a picture as possible, with Championship performances and head to heads (H2Hs) included, so that you can make a smart bet. Finally, be sure to get the best odds from one of the UK's biggest bookmakers.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The stats suggest there isn't an obvious winner here, but good reason to think Sunderland and M'Boro will score 2 or more goals between them. We've seen goals when they've gone head-to-head in the past, and neither Régis Le Bris or Michael Carrick has subjected their supporters to too many 0-0s of late either. The bookmakers predict over 1.5 goals too, with top odds of 1.29 equating to approximately a 77% probability.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Sunderland are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 40% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.40.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Sunderland
40%
7/5
4%
13/10
6%
Draw
25%
12/511/5
M'Boro
35%
9/5
4%
13/8
5%
Draw 1-1
12%
11/25/1
Sunderland 1-0
9%
8/17/1
Sunderland 2-1
9%
17/2
5%
15/2
M'Boro 1-0
8%
17/215/2
M'Boro 2-1
8%
9/18/1
Sunderland 2-0
6%
11/1
8%
10/1
Draw 0-0
6%
10/18/1
5%
Draw 2-2
6%
12/111/1
9%
M'Boro 2-0
6%
14/1
15%
11/1
Sunderland 3-1
4%
18/1
10%
14/1
M'Boro 3-1
4%
20/116/1
Sunderland 3-0
3%
22/116/1
11%
Sunderland 3-2
3%
25/1
10%
18/1
10%
M'Boro 3-2
3%
28/120/1
M'Boro 3-0
2%
28/120/1
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
10/115/6
Under 2.5 Goals
47%
10/1110/11
Home 1st Goal
49%
4/5
2%
-
Away 1st Goal
47%
11/10-
No 1st Goal
4%
10/1-
BTTS - Yes
57%
4/6
3%
7/10
2%
BTTS - No
43%
11/10
5%
21/20
2%
BTTS - Home Win
20%
15/4
5%
17/5
2%
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/310/3
3%
BTTS - Away Win
18%
9/24/1
9%
Home/draw
65%
2/5
3%
2/5
5%
Away/draw
60%
8/15
2%
11/20
3%
Home/away
75%
3/103/10
Over 1.5 Goals
77%
2/72/7
Under 1.5 Goals
23%
11/412/5
3%
Over 3.5 Goals
31%
11/5
6%
2/1
Under 3.5 Goals
69%
4/11
2%
1/3
1%
Over 4.5 Goals
15%
5/119/4
5%
Under 4.5 Goals
85%
1/81/8
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
12/110/1
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1/251/33
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/201/20
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
10/117/2
Home DNB
58%
8/11
4%
8/11
4%
Away DNB
53%
1/1
5%
1/1
5%
Sunderland win to nil
20%
10/3-
M'Boro win to nil
17%
4/1-
Sunderland / Sunderland
21%
3/111/4
6%
Sunderland / M'Boro
3%
25/1
10%
20/1
Sunderland / Draw
6%
12/111/1
Draw / Sunderland
14%
5/19/2
4%
Draw / M'Boro
13%
11/25/1
Draw / Draw
15%
9/24/1
M'Boro / Sunderland
3%
25/120/1
M'Boro / M'Boro
18%
7/217/5
5%
M'Boro / Draw
6%
12/111/1
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Win / draw / win Championship table
Sunderland
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
M'Boro
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
Nov 26
Apr 5
 West Brom5410713 
Jan 21
Oct 1
-
-
 Sunderland Home5401812 
Feb 1
Sep 21
Apr 21
Dec 26
 Blackburn5320611 
Nov 27
Apr 5
w
 
1-0F
Jan 18
 Burnley5311810 
Dec 29
Dec 6
Feb 8
Sep 28
 Watford5311410 
Feb 15
Oct 5
Jan 1
Nov 29
 Sheff Utd532059 
Oct 23
Feb 12
Oct 26
Apr 26
 Oxford Utd530239 
Mar 29
Nov 23
Oct 1
Jan 21
 Derby530229 
Mar 1
l
 
1-0A
Oct 4
Feb 15
 Leeds522138 
Apr 8
Dec 10
Sep 21
Feb 1
 M'Boro Away522128 
-
-
Apr 12
Dec 14
 Swansea521227 
w
 
1-0F
Mar 8
May 3
Nov 2
 QPR5131-16 
Mar 11
Nov 5
Feb 22
Oct 20
 Hull6132-26 
Nov 30
Jan 1
Dec 7
Dec 29
 Stoke6204-56 
Sep 28
Feb 8
Nov 9
Mar 15
 Coventry5122-15 
Nov 2
May 3
Dec 21
Apr 8
 Norwich5122-25 
Apr 26
Oct 27
Jan 25
l
 
3-2F
 Plymouth5122-45 
Apr 18
Dec 21
Dec 10
Apr 18
 Bristol C5122-55 
Oct 19
Feb 21
Mar 29
Nov 23
 Millwall511304 
Dec 14
Apr 12
Feb 12
Oct 23
 Luton5113-44 
Nov 9
Mar 15
w
 
4-0F
Mar 1
 Sheff Wed5113-54 
Dec 26
Apr 21
Mar 11
Nov 6
 Preston5113-64 
d
 
1-1F
Jan 25
Jan 5
w
 
1-3F
 Portsmouth5032-53 
d
 
2-2A
Jan 18
Mar 8
w
 
0-2F
 Cardiff5014-101 
Jan 4
w
 
0-2F
Win / draw / win form
Sunderland 2ND
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
9
D
2
Lost
9
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Sunderland1 - 0Burnley
Sunderland4 - 0Sheff Wed
Sunderland0 - 2Sheff Wed
Sunderland0 - 1Millwall
Sunderland0 - 0Bristol C
Sunderland1 - 5Blackburn
Sunderland0 - 0QPR
Sunderland0 - 1Leicester
Sunderland1 - 2Swansea
Sunderland3 - 1Plymouth
Sunderland3 - 1Stoke
Sunderland0 - 1Hull
Sunderland2 - 0Preston
Sunderland0 - 3Coventry
Sunderland1 - 0Leeds
Sunderland2 - 1West Brom
Sunderland1 - 2Huddersfield
Sunderland3 - 1Birmingham
Sunderland3 - 1Norwich
Sunderland0 - 4M'Boro
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
6
D
3
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ASunderland2 - 3Plymouth
ASunderland3 - 1Portsmouth
HSunderland1 - 0Burnley
HSunderland4 - 0Sheff Wed
ASunderland2 - 0Cardiff
HSunderland0 - 2Sheff Wed
ASunderland0 - 1Watford
HSunderland0 - 1Millwall
ASunderland1 - 0West Brom
ASunderland0 - 0Leeds
HSunderland0 - 0Bristol C
HSunderland1 - 5Blackburn
ASunderland2 - 0Cardiff
HSunderland0 - 0QPR
ASunderland2 - 4Southampton
HSunderland0 - 1Leicester
ASunderland0 - 1Norwich
HSunderland1 - 2Swansea
ASunderland1 - 2Birmingham
ASunderland0 - 1Huddersfield
M'Boro 10TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
10
D
4
Lost
6
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Cardiff0 - 2M'Boro
Derby1 - 0M'Boro
Cardiff1 - 4M'Boro
Ipswich1 - 1M'Boro
Hull2 - 2M'Boro
Southampton1 - 1M'Boro
Birmingham0 - 1M'Boro
QPR0 - 2M'Boro
Stoke2 - 0M'Boro
Leicester1 - 2M'Boro
Preston2 - 1M'Boro
Millwall1 - 3M'Boro
Huddersfield1 - 2M'Boro
Rotherham1 - 0M'Boro
Swansea1 - 2M'Boro
Leeds3 - 2M'Boro
Bristol C3 - 2M'Boro
Plymouth3 - 3M'Boro
Norwich1 - 2M'Boro
Sunderland0 - 4M'Boro
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
Draw
6
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HM'Boro1 - 1Preston
AM'Boro2 - 0Cardiff
HM'Boro2 - 2Portsmouth
AM'Boro0 - 1Derby
HM'Boro1 - 0Swansea
HM'Boro3 - 1Watford
AM'Boro4 - 1Cardiff
HM'Boro3 - 4Leeds
AM'Boro1 - 1Ipswich
AM'Boro2 - 2Hull
HM'Boro2 - 0Swansea
HM'Boro2 - 0Sheff Wed
AM'Boro1 - 1Southampton
HM'Boro0 - 0Blackburn
AM'Boro1 - 0Birmingham
AM'Boro2 - 0QPR
HM'Boro3 - 1Norwich
AM'Boro0 - 2Stoke
HM'Boro0 - 2Plymouth
AM'Boro2 - 1Leicester
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Sunderland since 1994
Sunderland
M'Boro
Goals: Scored
19
25
Games: Scored
11 / 15
12 / 15
Clean sheets
3 / 15
4 / 15
SUN
5
D
3
MID
7
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Sunderland
0 - 4M'Boro
Sunderland2 - 0
Draw3 - 3Draw
1 - 2M'Boro
Sunderland2 - 0
Sunderland3 - 2
0 - 3M'Boro
1 - 3M'Boro
0 - 1M'Boro
Sunderland1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 2M'Boro
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 1M'Boro
Sunderland2 - 1
League games at M'Boro since 1993
M'Boro
Sunderland
Goals: Scored
22
12
Games: Scored
12 / 15
9 / 15
Clean sheets
6 / 15
3 / 15
SUN
2
D
6
MID
7
FIXTURE HISTORY AT M'Boro
Draw1 - 1Draw
M'Boro1 - 0
M'Boro1 - 0
M'Boro1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 2Sunderland
M'Boro3 - 0
M'Boro2 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
M'Boro3 - 1
0 - 1Sunderland
Draw2 - 2Draw
M'Boro4 - 1
Goal Statistics

Sunderland have been reliable in attack of late, finding the net in 5 consecutive Championship matches. Their PG of 1.5 against Middlesbrough on Saturday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Sunderland 2nd M'Boro 10th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Sunderland will score 1 or more goals
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 61% probability that M'Boro will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-19
Sunderland have scored 19% fewer goals at home than predicted
+21
M'Boro have scored 21% more goals when away than predicted
1.3
average goals scored
1.8
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/280159/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Sunderland
PG (predicted goals)
M'Boro
1.5
1.3
Attack rating
44%
better
SUN
MID
view stats
Games scored5
4
Failed to score0
1
Scored first5
3
Goals scored12
6
Avg. goals scored2.4
1.2
Avg. shots per game9
13
Avg. shots per goal4
11
Conversion rate for26
10
Avg. XG for1.7
1.9
KickOff rating
+44%
Defence rating
28%
better
SUN
MID
view stats
Games conceded2
3
Clean sheets3
2
Conceded first0
2
Goals conceded4
4
Avg. goals conceded0.8
0.8
Avg. shots/game conceded6
5
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
6
Conversion rate against13%
17%
Avg. XG against0.8
0.6
KickOff rating
+28%

Sunderland v M'Boro Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Sunderland Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5322
A PattersonR MundleP RobertsT Hume
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Patterson GLK5
-
D Cirkin DEF511
-
L O'Nien DEF521
-
T Hume DEF5
2
-
J Bellingham MID51
1
-
P Roberts MID512
1
-
C Rigg MID51
1
-
R Mundle FWD53
1
-
E Mayenda FWD532
-
A Browne MID4
-
D Neil MID4
1
-
N Rusyn FWD4
1
-
A Alese  DEF3
1
-
D Ballard DEF3
-
W Isidor FWD2
-
A Aouchiche MID1
-
I Poveda FWD1
-
M'Boro Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5221
S DiengM ClarkeF AzazA Morris
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Dieng GLK5
-
L Ayling DEF51
-
M Clarke DEF52
-
H Hackney MID5
-
F Azaz MID52
-
A Morris MID5
1
-
E Lath FWD51
1
-
I Jones FWD5
-
D Burgzorg FWD5
-
T Conway FWD42
-
M. Hamilton FWD4
-
L Engel DEF3
1
-
D Barlaser MID3
-
R Berg DEF2
-
A Dijksteel DEF2
-
N Borges DEF2
-
G Edmundson DEF1
-
R McGree MID1
-
J Howson MID1
-
A Gilbert FWD1
-
B Doak FWD1
-