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Stoke City v Middlesbrough : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Tue 25th Feb, 19:45 BST, bet365 Stadium, Stoke

Stoke City are in Championship action on Tuesday evening, as Mark Warburton attempts to outsmart Michael Carrick and his Middlesbrough side at the bet365 Stadium. The aim of this preview is, quite simply, to help you make the smartest bet possible. To this end, stats for the biggest betting market have been laid out below, with head to head (H2H) records and particularly important form streaks highlighted. Odds from leading bookmakers are provided too.


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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Stoke
33%
--
Draw
25%
--
M'Boro
42%
--
Draw 1-1
11%
--
M'Boro 2-1
9%
--
M'Boro 1-0
9%
--
Stoke 2-1
8%
--
Stoke 1-0
7%
--
M'Boro 2-0
7%
--
Draw 2-2
6%
--
Draw 0-0
5%
--
Stoke 2-0
5%
--
M'Boro 3-1
5%
--
Stoke 3-1
3%
--
M'Boro 3-0
3%
--
M'Boro 3-2
3%
--
Stoke 3-2
3%
--
Stoke 3-0
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
44%
--
Home 1st Goal
47%
--
Away 1st Goal
50%
--
No 1st Goal
3%
--
BTTS - Yes
58%
--
BTTS - No
42%
--
BTTS - Home Win
17%
--
BTTS - Draw
19%
--
BTTS - Away Win
22%
--
Home/draw
58%
--
Away/draw
67%
--
Home/away
75%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
21%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
33%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
67%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
17%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
83%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
--
Home DNB
50%
--
Away DNB
60%
--
Stoke win to nil
16%
--
M'Boro win to nil
20%
--
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Win / draw / win Championship table

Stoke have played 30 matches so far this season and are in 19th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

23 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 10 games, drawn 9 and won 4. Stoke have conceded 28 goals, scored 19, failed to score in 11 matches and kept 7 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Stoke have played 15 games at home, winning 4, drawing 7 and losing 4 fixtures. They have scored 18 goals, conceded 17 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and failed to score 5 times in home league games.

M'Boro lay in 7th place on 44 points in the Championship league table having played 30 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 21 games against teams below them in the table, winning 9, drawing 6 and losing 6 games. They have scored 41 goals and kept 5 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. M'Boro have conceded 30 goals and have failed to score in 3 matches.

Away league performance

M'Boro have played 14 away games, winning 5, drawing 3 and losing 6 games. They have scored an average of 1.8 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.5 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Stoke
M'Boro
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Leeds3220934769 
l
 
0-2A
Apr 21
Apr 8
l
 
3-1A
2
Sheff Utd3120652164 
Apr 26
l
 
2-0A
w
 
1-0F
Feb 12
3
Burnley31161322861 
l
 
0-2A
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1F
4
Sunderland31161141959 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-1F
l
 
2-3F
l
 
1-0A
5
West Brom31111461347 
l
 
1-2A
d
 
1-1F
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
6
Blackburn3113612445 
Mar 12
w
 
0-2F
l
 
0-1A
Apr 5
7
M'Boro Away30128101044 
Feb 25
l
 
2-0A
-
-
8
Coventry3212812244 
w
 
1-0F
Mar 8
l
 
0-3A
May 3
9
Norwich32111011643 
d
 
1-1F
Feb 22
Apr 26
d
 
3-3A
10
Bristol C3110129242 
d
 
2-2F
Feb 12
l
 
0-2A
Feb 21
11
Sheff Wed3111911-442 
Apr 18
l
 
2-0A
d
 
3-3F
Apr 21
12
Watford3212614-642 
Mar 1
l
 
3-0A
Feb 15
l
 
2-1F
13
QPR32101111-641 
Mar 29
d
 
1-1F
Mar 11
w
 
1-4F
14
Millwall30101010340 
d
 
1-1A
Mar 15
w
 
1-0F
Apr 12
15
Preston319139-440 
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 5
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-1A
16
Oxford Utd3291112-1138 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-0A
Mar 29
w
 
2-6A
17
Swansea3110714-937 
Feb 15
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-0F
Mar 8
18
Portsmouth328915-1633 
w
 
6-1F
l
 
3-1A
d
 
2-2A
l
 
2-1F
19
Stoke Home3071112-932 
-
-
w
 
2-0F
Feb 25
20
Cardiff3171014-1931 
d
 
2-2F
Apr 12
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-2F
21
Derby327817-929 
w
 
2-1F
May 3
Mar 1
l
 
1-0A
22
Hull307815-929 
l
 
1-3F
w
 
1-2A
w
 
3-1F
w
 
0-1F
23
Luton307617-1927 
Apr 8
l
 
2-1F
w
 
5-1F
Mar 15
24
Plymouth3051015-3425 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-1F
Apr 18
d
 
3-3A
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Stoke 18TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
Draw
9
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Stoke0 - 0Oxford Utd
Stoke0 - 0Plymouth
Stoke1 - 0Sunderland
Stoke0 - 2Leeds
Stoke2 - 2Cardiff
Stoke0 - 2Burnley
Stoke0 - 0Preston
Stoke1 - 1Millwall
Stoke2 - 1Derby
Stoke2 - 2Bristol C
Stoke1 - 1Norwich
Stoke6 - 1Portsmouth
Stoke1 - 3Hull
Stoke1 - 2West Brom
Stoke1 - 0Coventry
Stoke4 - 0Bristol C
Stoke3 - 0Plymouth
Stoke2 - 2West Brom
Stoke1 - 1Huddersfield
Stoke0 - 3Norwich
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
4
Draw
9
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AStoke2 - 1Hull
HStoke0 - 0Oxford Utd
AStoke1 - 3Portsmouth
AStoke1 - 1West Brom
HStoke0 - 0Plymouth
AStoke0 - 0Burnley
HStoke1 - 0Sunderland
HStoke0 - 2Leeds
AStoke0 - 2Sheff Wed
HStoke2 - 2Cardiff
AStoke1 - 2Luton
AStoke1 - 2Sunderland
HStoke0 - 2Burnley
HStoke0 - 0Preston
AStoke1 - 1QPR
HStoke1 - 1Millwall
AStoke2 - 0Blackburn
HStoke2 - 1Derby
AStoke0 - 2Sheff Utd
HStoke2 - 2Bristol C
M'Boro 7TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Preston2 - 1M'Boro
Portsmouth2 - 1M'Boro
Hull0 - 1M'Boro
Plymouth3 - 3M'Boro
Leeds3 - 1M'Boro
Burnley1 - 1M'Boro
Oxford Utd2 - 6M'Boro
QPR1 - 4M'Boro
Norwich3 - 3M'Boro
Watford2 - 1M'Boro
West Brom0 - 1M'Boro
Sunderland1 - 0M'Boro
Cardiff0 - 2M'Boro
Derby1 - 0M'Boro
Cardiff1 - 4M'Boro
Ipswich1 - 1M'Boro
Hull2 - 2M'Boro
Southampton1 - 1M'Boro
Birmingham0 - 1M'Boro
QPR0 - 2M'Boro
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HM'Boro2 - 3Sunderland
AM'Boro1 - 2Preston
HM'Boro2 - 0West Brom
AM'Boro1 - 2Portsmouth
HM'Boro1 - 1Cardiff
AM'Boro1 - 0Hull
HM'Boro0 - 0Burnley
HM'Boro3 - 3Sheff Wed
AM'Boro3 - 3Plymouth
HM'Boro1 - 0Millwall
AM'Boro1 - 3Leeds
AM'Boro1 - 1Burnley
HM'Boro3 - 1Hull
HM'Boro0 - 1Blackburn
AM'Boro6 - 2Oxford Utd
HM'Boro5 - 1Luton
AM'Boro4 - 1QPR
HM'Boro0 - 3Coventry
AM'Boro3 - 3Norwich
HM'Boro1 - 0Sheff Utd
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Stoke since 1993
Stoke
M'Boro
Goals: Scored
13
8
Games: Scored
8 / 11
5 / 11
Clean sheets
6 / 11
3 / 11
STK
5
D
4
MID
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Stoke
Stoke2 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Stoke1 - 0
0 - 2M'Boro
Draw0 - 0Draw
Stoke2 - 0
Stoke1 - 0
1 - 2M'Boro
Draw1 - 1Draw
Stoke3 - 1
League games at M'Boro since 1993
M'Boro
Stoke
Goals: Scored
18
11
Games: Scored
10 / 12
9 / 12
Clean sheets
3 / 12
2 / 12
STK
3
D
2
MID
7
FIXTURE HISTORY AT M'Boro
M'Boro2 - 0
0 - 2Stoke
Draw1 - 1Draw
M'Boro3 - 1
M'Boro3 - 0
M'Boro2 - 1
M'Boro1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
M'Boro2 - 1
0 - 1Stoke
M'Boro2 - 1
1 - 2Stoke
Goal Statistics

Middlesbrough have been consistent in attack of late, finding the net in 6 consecutive Championship games. Their PG of 1.6 against Stoke City on Tuesday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Stoke 18th M'Boro 7th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.6
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 61% probability that Stoke will score no more than 1 goal
0
21%
1
33%
2
26%
3
13%
4+
There is a 79% probability that M'Boro will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-4
Stoke’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+26
M'Boro have scored 26% more goals when away than predicted
1.4
average goals scored
1.8
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/280458/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Stoke
PG (predicted goals)
M'Boro
1.4
1.6
Attack rating
%
better
STK
MID
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
STK
MID
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

Stoke v M'Boro Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Stoke Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
30459
V JohanssonA MoranJ. BaeJ Tchamadeu
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
V Johansson GLK30
3
-
J. Bae MID295
3
-
L. Koumas FWD2932
5
-
A Moran MID2741
7
-
J Tchamadeu DEF261
9
-
B Wilmot DEF262
6
-
W Burger MID26
8
-
B Gibson DEF213
5
-
E Bocat DEF211
1
-
M Manhoef FWD2033
1
-
T Seko MID19
1
-
M Rose DEF17
2
-
L Gooch FWD141
4
-
E Stevens DEF132
3
-
J Thompson MID12
4
-
E Tezgel FWD11
1
-
A Vidigal FWD10
-
S Gallagher FWD911
2
-
A Phillips DEF8
2
-
S. Sidibe MID81
-
L Baker MID51
1
-
N Lowe FWD41
2
-
M Lawal DEF3
-
R Mmaee FWD3
-
J Wilson-Esbrand DEF21
-
J. Dixon DEF2
-
A Al-Hamadi FWD11
-
M'Boro Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
29899
F AzazF AzazF AzazG Edmundson
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
F Azaz MID2989
3
-
H Hackney MID2752
4
1
D Burgzorg FWD2642
2
-
N Borges DEF253
3
-
B Doak FWD2437
8
-
L Ayling DEF222
2
-
G Edmundson DEF211
9
-
T Conway FWD208
-
D Barlaser MID1911
2
-
A Morris MID191
3
-
A Dijksteel DEF1811
2
-
S Dieng GLK17
-
R Berg DEF17
3
2
R McGree MID1615
2
-
D Fry DEF12
1
-
L Engel DEF9
1
-
J Howson MID91
-
M Forss FWD8
-
T Glover GLK7
-
S Brynn GLK6
-
R Giles DEF2
-
M Travers GLK1
-
S Junior FWD1
-
M Whittaker FWD1
-