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Stoke City v Derby County : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 2nd Nov, 12:30 BST, bet365 Stadium, Stoke

The Championship is the focus for both Stoke City and Derby County on Saturday lunch time, as managers Steven Schumacher and Paul Warne battle it out at the bet365 Stadium. The aim of this preview is, quite simply, to help you make the smartest bet possible. To this end, statistics for every betting market have been published below, with head-to-head records and particularly important form streaks highlighted. Odds are included as well.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Stoke
54%
--
Draw
23%
--
Derby
24%
--
Draw 1-1
10%
--
Stoke 2-1
10%
--
Stoke 1-0
9%
--
Stoke 2-0
8%
--
Derby 2-1
6%
--
Stoke 3-1
6%
--
Draw 2-2
6%
--
Derby 1-0
6%
--
Stoke 3-0
5%
--
Draw 0-0
5%
--
Stoke 3-2
4%
--
Derby 2-0
3%
--
Stoke 4-1
3%
--
Stoke 4-0
2%
--
Derby 3-1
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
41%
--
Home 1st Goal
54%
--
Away 1st Goal
44%
--
No 1st Goal
3%
--
BTTS - Yes
59%
--
BTTS - No
41%
--
BTTS - Home Win
28%
--
BTTS - Draw
18%
--
BTTS - Away Win
13%
--
Home/draw
76%
--
Away/draw
46%
--
Home/away
77%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
81%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
19%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
36%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
64%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
19%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
81%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
9%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
91%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
--
Home DNB
70%
--
Away DNB
40%
--
Stoke win to nil
26%
--
Derby win to nil
11%
--
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Win / draw / win Championship table

Stoke have played 9 matches so far this season and are in 17th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

7 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 5 games, drawn 1 and won 1. Stoke have conceded 11 goals, scored 3, failed to score in 4 matches and kept 2 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Stoke have played 4 games at home, winning 2, drawing 0 and losing 2 fixtures. They have scored 9 goals, conceded 6 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and scored in every home league game.

Derby lay in 12th place on 12 points in the Championship league table having played 9 matches. Derby have won all their 3 games against teams below them in the table and kept 3 clean sheets in those games. Derby have a terrible away record they have lost every game and didn't score in 2 games.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 3 games against teams below them in the table, winning 3, drawing 0 and losing 0 games. They have scored 6 goals and kept 3 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Derby have conceded 0 goals and scored in every game.

Away league performance

Derby have played 4 away games, winning 0, drawing 0 and losing 4 games. They have scored an average of 0.8 goals per away game and conceded an average 2.3 goals per away game.

Stoke
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Derby
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
Dec 29
Dec 7
 Sunderland96121019 
Jan 21
l
 
2-0A
Dec 26
Apr 21
 Leeds105411019 
Dec 29
Dec 7
Apr 26
Oct 26
 Sheff Utd10631719 
Feb 1
l
 
1-0A
Nov 30
Jan 1
 Burnley95311018 
Apr 9
Dec 10
l
 
1-2A
Jan 18
 West Brom9522617 
Dec 26
Apr 21
Mar 1
l
 
3-0A
 Watford9513016 
Jan 18
l
 
2-1F
Oct 19
Feb 22
 Norwich9432615 
l
 
2-3A
Feb 8
Mar 11
Nov 6
 Blackburn9432415 
Mar 8
l
 
4-2A
Feb 8
l
 
2-0A
 M'Boro9423314 
w
 
1-0F
Mar 1
Jan 25
l
 
1-0A
 Oxford Utd9333212 
Feb 11
Oct 22
Feb 15
d
 
0-00-0
 Swansea9333212 
Nov 27
Apr 5
Nov 2
May 3
 Derby Away9405012 
-
-
l
 
1-3F
Feb 1
 Hull9333-112 
Oct 26
Apr 26
Jan 4
w
 
0-1F
 Plymouth9324-311 
Nov 9
Mar 15
Apr 18
Dec 21
 Sheff Wed9324-411 
Dec 1
Jan 1
Oct 22
Feb 11
 Bristol C9252-411 
w
 
3-0F
Jan 4
-
-
 Stoke Home9315-210 
May 3
Nov 2
Nov 9
Mar 15
 Millwall923419 
Feb 22
Oct 19
Nov 26
Apr 5
 Preston9234-59 
Mar 29
Nov 23
w
 
1-0F
Mar 8
 Coventry9225-38 
Mar 11
Nov 6
Apr 8
Dec 10
 Luton9225-78 
Apr 18
Dec 20
Mar 29
Nov 23
 QPR9144-77 
w
 
2-0F
Feb 15
w
 
6-1F
Jan 22
 Portsmouth9054-115 
Dec 13
Apr 12
Dec 14
Apr 12
 Cardiff9126-145 
w
 
1-0F
Jan 25
Win / draw / win form
Stoke 17TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Stoke6 - 1Portsmouth
Stoke1 - 3Hull
Stoke1 - 2West Brom
Stoke1 - 0Coventry
Stoke4 - 0Bristol C
Stoke3 - 0Plymouth
Stoke2 - 2West Brom
Stoke1 - 1Huddersfield
Stoke0 - 3Norwich
Stoke2 - 0M'Boro
Stoke0 - 1Coventry
Stoke1 - 0QPR
Stoke0 - 5Leicester
Stoke1 - 2Birmingham
Stoke0 - 0Ipswich
Stoke0 - 0Millwall
Stoke1 - 1Swansea
Stoke0 - 1Sheff Wed
Stoke0 - 3Blackburn
Stoke0 - 0Cardiff
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AStoke0 - 0Swansea
HStoke6 - 1Portsmouth
AStoke0 - 2M'Boro
HStoke1 - 3Hull
AStoke0 - 1Oxford Utd
AStoke1 - 0Plymouth
HStoke1 - 2West Brom
AStoke0 - 3Watford
HStoke1 - 0Coventry
HStoke4 - 0Bristol C
AStoke1 - 0Southampton
HStoke3 - 0Plymouth
AStoke1 - 1Sheff Wed
AStoke0 - 3Swansea
HStoke2 - 2West Brom
HStoke1 - 1Huddersfield
AStoke2 - 0Hull
HStoke0 - 3Norwich
AStoke2 - 1Preston
AStoke0 - 1Leeds
Derby 12TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
9
D
3
Lost
8
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Sunderland2 - 0Derby
Sheff Utd1 - 0Derby
Watford2 - 1Derby
Blackburn4 - 2Derby
Cambridge0 - 1Derby
Wycombe0 - 0Derby
Portsmouth2 - 2Derby
Northampton1 - 0Derby
Bristol R0 - 3Derby
Barnsley2 - 1Derby
Exeter0 - 3Derby
Charlton0 - 1Derby
Reading1 - 0Derby
Lincoln0 - 0Derby
Fleetwood1 - 3Derby
Oxford Utd2 - 3Derby
Wigan0 - 1Derby
L Orient0 - 3Derby
Port Vale0 - 1Derby
Stevenage3 - 1Derby
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
8 / 20
Clean sheets
12 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
12
D
2
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HDerby2 - 0QPR
ADerby0 - 2Sunderland
HDerby2 - 3Norwich
ADerby0 - 1Sheff Utd
HDerby1 - 0Cardiff
HDerby3 - 0Bristol C
ADerby1 - 2Watford
HDerby1 - 0M'Boro
ADerby2 - 4Blackburn
HDerby2 - 0Carlisle
ADerby1 - 0Cambridge
HDerby3 - 0L Orient
ADerby0 - 0Wycombe
ADerby2 - 2Portsmouth
HDerby1 - 0Blackpool
ADerby0 - 1Northampton
HDerby1 - 0Bolton
HDerby2 - 1Reading
ADerby3 - 0Bristol R
HDerby3 - 0Port Vale
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Stoke since 1994
Stoke
Derby
Goals: Scored
16
13
Games: Scored
11 / 12
8 / 12
Clean sheets
4 / 12
1 / 12
STK
6
D
3
DER
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Stoke
1 - 2Derby
Stoke1 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
Stoke2 - 1
Stoke2 - 0
1 - 2Derby
Stoke1 - 0
Stoke2 - 1
1 - 3Derby
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Stoke2 - 1
League games at Derby since 1994
Derby
Stoke
Goals: Scored
23
11
Games: Scored
8 / 12
7 / 12
Clean sheets
5 / 12
4 / 12
STK
2
D
2
DER
8
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Derby
Derby2 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
Derby4 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 2Stoke
Derby2 - 1
Derby3 - 1
0 - 3Stoke
Derby2 - 0
Derby3 - 1
Derby3 - 0
Derby4 - 2
Goal Statistics
Stoke 17th Derby 12th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.9
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
15%
1
29%
2
27%
3
17%
4+
12%
There is a 85% probability that Stoke will score 1 or more goals
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 67% probability that Derby will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-8
Stoke’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-7
Derby’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.2
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/280244/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Stoke
PG (predicted goals)
Derby
1.9
1.2
Attack rating
%
better
STK
DER
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
STK
DER
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

Stoke v Derby Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Stoke Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
9434
V JohanssonT CannonJ. BaeB Wilmot
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
V Johansson GLK9
-
B Gibson DEF9
2
-
E Bocat DEF9
1
-
B Wilmot DEF91
4
-
W Burger MID9
3
-
J Tchamadeu DEF8
2
-
J Thompson MID8
2
-
J. Bae MID83
1
-
L. Koumas FWD81
1
-
M Manhoef FWD812
1
-
A Moran MID711
2
-
E Tezgel FWD6
1
-
T Cannon FWD54
1
-
N Ennis FWD5
-
L Gooch FWD5
-
M Rose DEF4
1
-
S. Sidibe MID31
-
R Mmaee FWD3
-
A Vidigal FWD3
-
S Gallagher FWD311
1
-
E Stevens DEF2
-
T Seko MID1
-
Derby Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
9233
C NelsonC NelsonN Mendez-LaingE Cashin
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C Nelson DEF92
1
-
E Adams MID91
2
-
K Goudmijn MID92
2
-
N Mendez-Laing FWD93
2
-
K Jackson FWD922
1
-
R Nyambe DEF8
1
-
C Forsyth DEF811
1
-
E Cashin DEF8
3
-
J Zetterström GLK7
-
J Yates FWD71
-
C Elder DEF61
2
-
B Osborn MID6
-
K Wilson DEF51
-
D Ozoh MID51
-
J Collins FWD5
1
-
N Phillips DEF4
-
L Thompson MID4
-
M Harness FWD41
1
-
C Blackett-Taylor FWD41
-
T Barkhuizen FWD4
1
-
J Ward MID3
-
J Vickers GLK2
-
S Bradley DEF2
1
-
T Chirewa MID2
1
-
D Brown FWD2
-
English Championship match betting previews, predictions and odds
Luton v Watford
Sat 19th Oct, 12:30
Cardiff v Plymouth
Sat 19th Oct, 12:30
Preston v Coventry
Sat 19th Oct, 12:30
Oxford Utd v West Brom
Sat 19th Oct, 12:30
Blackburn v Swansea
Sat 19th Oct, 15:00
Millwall v Derby
Sat 19th Oct, 15:00
Stoke v Norwich
Sat 19th Oct, 15:00
M'Boro v Bristol C
Sat 19th Oct, 15:00
QPR v Portsmouth
Sat 19th Oct, 15:00
Sheff Wed v Burnley
Sat 19th Oct, 15:00
Hull v Sunderland
Sun 20th Oct, 15:00
Cardiff v Portsmouth
Tue 22nd Oct, 19:45
Preston v Norwich
Tue 22nd Oct, 19:45
Stoke v Bristol C
Tue 22nd Oct, 19:45
Oxford Utd v Derby
Tue 22nd Oct, 19:45
Leeds v Watford
Tue 22nd Oct, 19:45
Sheff Wed v Swansea
Tue 22nd Oct, 19:45
QPR v Coventry
Tue 22nd Oct, 20:00
Blackburn v West Brom
Wed 23rd Oct, 19:45
Millwall v Plymouth
Wed 23rd Oct, 19:45
Luton v Sunderland
Wed 23rd Oct, 19:45
Hull v Burnley
Wed 23rd Oct, 19:45
M'Boro v Sheff Utd
Wed 23rd Oct, 20:00
Portsmouth v Sheff Wed
Fri 25th Oct, 20:00
Coventry v Luton
Sat 26th Oct, 12:30
Bristol C v Leeds
Sat 26th Oct, 12:30
Watford v Blackburn
Sat 26th Oct, 12:30
Sheff Utd v Stoke
Sat 26th Oct, 15:00
Swansea v Millwall
Sat 26th Oct, 15:00
Plymouth v Preston
Sat 26th Oct, 15:00
Burnley v QPR
Sat 26th Oct, 15:00
West Brom v Cardiff
Sat 26th Oct, 15:00
Derby v Hull
Sat 26th Oct, 15:00
Sunderland v Oxford Utd
Sat 26th Oct, 15:00
Norwich v M'Boro
Sun 27th Oct, 15:00
Luton v West Brom
Fri 1st Nov, 20:00
Blackburn v Sheff Utd
Sat 2nd Nov, 12:30
Stoke v Derby
Sat 2nd Nov, 12:30
Oxford Utd v Swansea
Sat 2nd Nov, 12:30
Leeds v Plymouth
Sat 2nd Nov, 15:00
M'Boro v Coventry
Sat 2nd Nov, 15:00
QPR v Sunderland
Sat 2nd Nov, 15:00
Sheff Wed v Watford
Sat 2nd Nov, 15:00
Preston v Bristol C
Sat 2nd Nov, 15:00
Hull v Portsmouth
Sat 2nd Nov, 15:00
Cardiff v Norwich
Sat 2nd Nov, 15:00