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Stoke City v Burnley : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

bet365 Stadium, Stoke

Stoke City and Burnley take on one another at the bet365 Stadium on Saturday afternoon, with both Steven Schumacher and Scott Parker seeking a win in the Championship. All of the key stats for the clash, including head to heads (H2Hs), predictions and the best odds across 17 markets are included in this in-depth preview. It's all designed to help you make the most well-informed bet possible.

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Stoke City's next match is v Sunderland at 12:30 on Saturday 7th December
Burnley's next match is v M'Boro at 20:00 on Friday 6th December
The last English Championship meeting between Stoke and Burnley was on Saturday 30th November 2024
English Championship
November 30th 2024
Stoke 0
2 Burnley
 
52' J. Rodriguez
78' J. Brownhill
 
STK
BRN
Shots On
5
4
Shots Off
5
11
Corners
6
4
Possession
44%
56%
Fouls
10
5
Yellow/red cards
2/0
 
StokeBurnley
 
V. Johansson
B. Gibson
J. Tchamadeu
E. Bocat
B. Wilmot (L. Koumas 74')
T. Seko
J. Bae
W. Burger (A. Moran 64')
T. Cannon
M. Manhoef
Ashley Famiwuya
J. Trafford
B. Humphreys
M. Esteve
C. Roberts
C. Egan Riley
(H. Mejbri 88') J. Cullen
J. Laurent
J. Anthony
(Z. Flemming 71') football iconJ. Rodriguez
(J. Brownhill 71') J. Sarmiento
L. Koleosho

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

Concentration will be required as Stoke and Burnley go head-to-head, with hardly anything between the players in terms of who might win. The stats don't supply any conclusive evidence in that regard, but they are pointing strongly towards there being 2 goals or fewer in the game. It's a prediction which is available at best priced odds of 1.67 with the bookies, so we've made under 2.5 goals our tip of the day on this occasion.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 38% chance of Burnley coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Stoke
33%
21/10
13%
21/10
8%
Draw
29%
23/10
3%
11/5
2%
Burnley
38%
11/8
3%
11/8
3%
Draw 1-1
13%
5/1
8%
5/1
Burnley 1-0
12%
6/111/2
Stoke 1-0
11%
7/113/2
Draw 0-0
10%
7/1
11%
6/1
7%
Burnley 2-1
8%
17/215/2
6%
Burnley 2-0
7%
9/1
9%
17/2
5%
Stoke 2-1
7%
11/1
9%
9/1
5%
Stoke 2-0
6%
14/1
15%
11/1
Draw 2-2
4%
16/112/1
Burnley 3-1
3%
20/116/1
Burnley 3-0
3%
22/116/1
11%
Stoke 3-1
3%
28/1
12%
20/1
11%
Stoke 3-0
2%
33/1
17%
22/1
Burnley 3-2
2%
33/122/1
Stoke 3-2
2%
40/1
21%
28/1
12%
Over 2.5 Goals
39%
13/10
5%
6/5
2%
Under 2.5 Goals
61%
8/13
3%
3/5
3%
Home 1st Goal
45%
13/10
2%
-
Away 1st Goal
48%
4/5-
No 1st Goal
7%
7/1
11%
-
BTTS - Yes
46%
10/1119/20
2%
BTTS - No
54%
4/54/5
BTTS - Home Win
13%
6/1
17%
5/1
4%
BTTS - Draw
18%
7/2
10%
17/5
BTTS - Away Win
15%
9/24/1
Home/draw
62%
8/15
3%
4/7
3%
Away/draw
67%
4/11
3%
4/11
3%
Home/away
71%
1/3
2%
1/3
Over 1.5 Goals
66%
2/52/5
Under 1.5 Goals
34%
2/17/4
5%
Over 3.5 Goals
19%
10/3
8%
3/1
5%
Under 3.5 Goals
81%
2/9
2%
2/9
Over 4.5 Goals
8%
8/1
13%
7/1
7%
Under 4.5 Goals
92%
1/14
1%
1/16
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
18/116/1
13%
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1/401/80
Over 0.5 Goals
90%
1/12
1%
1/12
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
10%
7/1
11%
6/1
7%
Home DNB
53%
11/10
5%
23/20
8%
Away DNB
58%
4/6
3%
13/20
5%
Stoke win to nil
20%
4/1
11%
-
Burnley win to nil
24%
11/4-
Stoke / Stoke
15%
4/119/5
7%
Stoke / Burnley
3%
28/122/1
Stoke / Draw
6%
14/112/1
8%
Draw / Stoke
12%
11/211/2
8%
Draw / Burnley
15%
9/217/4
5%
Draw / Draw
18%
7/2
5%
10/3
2%
Burnley / Stoke
3%
33/125/1
13%
Burnley / Burnley
22%
3/127/10
5%
Burnley / Draw
6%
14/111/1
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Win / draw / win Championship table

Stoke have played 17 matches so far this season and are in 14th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

9 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 4 games, drawn 4 and won 1. Stoke have conceded 13 goals, scored 7, failed to score in 4 matches and kept 2 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Stoke have played 9 games at home, winning 3, drawing 4 and losing 2 fixtures. They have scored 15 goals, conceded 11 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 1 time in home league games.

Burnley lay in 3rd place on 33 points in the Championship league table having played 17 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 16 games against teams below them in the table, winning 8, drawing 6 and losing 2 games. They have scored 20 goals and kept 10 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Burnley have conceded 6 goals and have failed to score in 6 matches.

Away league performance

Burnley have played 9 away games, winning 4, drawing 3 and losing 2 games. They have scored an average of 1 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.4 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Stoke
Burnley
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Sheff Utd1812421638 
Apr 26
l
 
2-0A
Apr 21
Dec 26
2
Burnley 1810621736 
l
 
0-2A
Jan 1
-
-
3
Leeds1810531835 
Dec 26
Apr 21
Jan 27
w
 
0-1F
4
Sunderland189631333 
Dec 29
Dec 7
Jan 17
l
 
1-0A
5
M'Boro189361130 
Feb 7
l
 
2-0A
Dec 6
Dec 29
6
Watford18936230 
Mar 1
l
 
3-0A
Dec 21
Apr 18
7
West Brom186102728 
l
 
1-2A
Jan 18
Mar 11
d
 
0-00-0
8
Blackburn17845428 
Mar 11
w
 
0-2F
d
 
1-1F
Jan 4
9
Norwich18675825 
d
 
1-1F
Feb 22
Apr 12
Dec 15
10
Millwall17674525 
d
 
1-1A
Mar 15
May 3
l
 
1-0A
11
Bristol C18675325 
d
 
2-2F
Feb 12
Mar 29
w
 
0-1F
12
Sheff Wed18747-525 
Apr 18
Dec 21
Feb 21
w
 
0-2F
13
Swansea18657123 
Feb 15
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-0F
Mar 15
14
Stoke 18567-321 
-
-
Jan 1
w
 
0-2F
15
Derby18558-220 
w
 
2-1F
May 3
Dec 10
Apr 9
16
Coventry18468-318 
w
 
1-0F
Mar 8
w
 
2-0F
Apr 5
17
Oxford Utd18468-818 
Jan 25
l
 
1-0A
Feb 8
d
 
0-00-0
18
Preston18396-818 
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 5
d
 
0-00-0
Feb 15
19
Luton185310-1318 
Apr 8
Dec 10
Mar 8
w
 
1-4F
20
Cardiff18459-1117 
Dec 14
Apr 12
w
 
5-0F
Mar 1
21
Plymouth18459-2017 
Jan 4
w
 
0-1F
w
 
1-0F
Jan 22
22
Hull18369-915 
l
 
1-3F
Feb 1
Feb 12
d
 
1-1A
23
QPR18297-1115 
Mar 29
d
 
1-1F
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 26
24
Portsmouth16277-1213 
w
 
6-1F
Jan 22
w
 
2-1A
Feb 1
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Stoke 14TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
Draw
7
Lost
6
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Stoke0 - 0Preston
Stoke1 - 1Millwall
Stoke2 - 1Derby
Stoke2 - 2Bristol C
Stoke1 - 1Norwich
Stoke6 - 1Portsmouth
Stoke1 - 3Hull
Stoke1 - 2West Brom
Stoke1 - 0Coventry
Stoke4 - 0Bristol C
Stoke3 - 0Plymouth
Stoke2 - 2West Brom
Stoke1 - 1Huddersfield
Stoke0 - 3Norwich
Stoke2 - 0M'Boro
Stoke0 - 1Coventry
Stoke1 - 0QPR
Stoke0 - 5Leicester
Stoke1 - 2Birmingham
Stoke0 - 0Ipswich
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HStoke0 - 0Preston
AStoke1 - 1QPR
HStoke1 - 1Millwall
AStoke2 - 0Blackburn
HStoke2 - 1Derby
AStoke0 - 2Sheff Utd
HStoke2 - 2Bristol C
HStoke1 - 1Norwich
AStoke0 - 0Swansea
HStoke6 - 1Portsmouth
AStoke0 - 2M'Boro
HStoke1 - 3Hull
AStoke0 - 1Oxford Utd
AStoke1 - 0Plymouth
HStoke1 - 2West Brom
AStoke0 - 3Watford
HStoke1 - 0Coventry
HStoke4 - 0Bristol C
AStoke1 - 0Southampton
HStoke3 - 0Plymouth
Burnley 2ND
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Bristol C0 - 1Burnley
West Brom0 - 0Burnley
Millwall1 - 0Burnley
Hull1 - 1Burnley
Sheff Wed0 - 2Burnley
Oxford Utd0 - 0Burnley
Leeds0 - 1Burnley
Sunderland1 - 0Burnley
Luton1 - 4Burnley
Spurs2 - 1Burnley
Man Utd1 - 1Burnley
Sheff Utd1 - 4Burnley
Everton1 - 0Burnley
Chelsea2 - 2Burnley
West Ham2 - 2Burnley
C Palace3 - 0Burnley
Liverpool3 - 1Burnley
Man City3 - 1Burnley
A Villa3 - 2Burnley
Fulham0 - 2Burnley
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HBurnley2 - 0Coventry
ABurnley1 - 0Bristol C
HBurnley1 - 0Swansea
ABurnley0 - 0West Brom
ABurnley0 - 1Millwall
HBurnley0 - 0QPR
ABurnley1 - 1Hull
ABurnley2 - 0Sheff Wed
HBurnley0 - 0Preston
HBurnley1 - 0Plymouth
ABurnley0 - 0Oxford Utd
HBurnley2 - 1Portsmouth
ABurnley1 - 0Leeds
HBurnley1 - 1Blackburn
ABurnley0 - 1Sunderland
HBurnley5 - 0Cardiff
ABurnley4 - 1Luton
HBurnley1 - 2Nottm Forest
ABurnley1 - 2Spurs
HBurnley1 - 4Newcastle
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
Burnley have not lost to Stoke in 5 consecutive league meetings
League games at Stoke since 2003
Stoke
Burnley
Goals: Scored
9
10
Games: Scored
7 / 11
8 / 11
Clean sheets
3 / 11
4 / 11
STK
3
D
2
BRN
6
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Stoke
0 - 1Burnley
Draw1 - 1Draw
Stoke2 - 0
1 - 2Burnley
Stoke2 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 1Burnley
Stoke1 - 0
0 - 1Burnley
1 - 2Burnley
0 - 1Burnley
League games at Burnley since 2002
Burnley
Stoke
Goals: Scored
9
7
Games: Scored
7 / 11
6 / 11
Clean sheets
5 / 11
4 / 11
STK
2
D
5
BRN
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Burnley
Draw1 - 1Draw
Burnley1 - 0
Burnley1 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 1Stoke
Burnley1 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 1Stoke
Burnley2 - 1
Goal Statistics

Burnley's defensive record is to be admired, Scott Parker's men having conceded 1 or less in 17 consecutive Championship matches. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.1 for Stoke City makes sense in this context.

Stoke 14th Burnley 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.1
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 71% probability that Stoke will score no more than 1 goal
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 67% probability that Burnley will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+4
Stoke’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+6
Burnley’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.5
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/280302/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Stoke
PG (predicted goals)
Burnley
1.1
1.2
Attack rating
STK
BRN
4%
better
view stats
Games scored11
11
Failed to score6
6
Scored first8
9
Goals scored19
21
Avg. goals scored1.1
1.2
Avg. shots per game8
9
Avg. shots per goal7
7
Conversion rate for15
14
Avg. XG for1.2
1.1
KickOff rating
+4%
Defence rating
STK
BRN
52%
better
view stats
Games conceded12
6
Clean sheets5
11
Conceded first7
4
Goals conceded20
6
Avg. goals conceded1.2
0.4
Avg. shots/game conceded11
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
19
Conversion rate against11%
5%
Avg. XG against1.5
0.8
KickOff rating
+52%

Stoke v Burnley Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Stoke Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
18756
V JohanssonT CannonJ. BaeW Burger
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
V Johansson GLK18
1
-
B Wilmot DEF161
4
-
A Famiwuya DEF8
1
-
B Gibson DEF182
4
-
J Tchamadeu MID16
3
-
T Seko MID9
-
W Burger MID16
6
-
E Bocat MID161
1
-
M Manhoef MID1732
1
-
J. Bae MID175
3
-
T Cannon FWD1471
1
-
Subs
J Bonham GLK
-
M Rose DEF9
1
-
J Thompson MID12
4
-
A Moran MID1521
4
-
S. Sidibe MID61
-
L Gooch MID5
-
A Vidigal MID9
-
L. Koumas FWD1721
2
-
E Tezgel FWD7
1
-
Burnley Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
18624
M EstèveJ Brownhill C RobertsJ Cullen
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Trafford GLK17
3
-
C Roberts DEF142
1
-
C Egan-Riley DEF151
3
-
M Estève DEF18
2
-
B Humphreys DEF12
2
1
J Cullen MID16
4
-
J Laurent MID131
-
J Anthony MID1522
1
-
J Sarmiento  MID132
2
-
L Koleosho MID172
2
-
J Rodríguez FWD132
1
-
Subs
V Hladky GLK1
-
J Egan DEF2
-
L Pires DEF152
3
-
H Massengo MID81
1
-
J Brownhill  MID1761
2
-
N Redmond MID
-
Z Flemming MID911
1
-
H Mejbri MID13
4
-
A Hountondji FWD8
-